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Economic Situation

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IfW study: decoupling is bearable

The IfW has simulated the "Cold War 2.0" scenario. If trade between Germany and China were to come to a standstill, an economic shock would ensue. However, it could be weathered within a few years.

By Felix Lee

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Chances of a larger economic stimulus package increase

The Central Economic Work Conference has convened – and shifted the focus of economic policy. An increase in government debt indicates that Beijing now wants to kick-start the sluggish economy with additional spending after all.

By Redaktion Table

TM_China_Jugendarbeitslosigkeit_Juli2023_EN
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An enormous economy flying blind

China is publishing less and less data that could give a complete picture of the economic situation. The discontinuation of youth unemployment statistics is just the latest example. The second-largest economy is becoming a black box.

By Jörn Petring

China Zhengzhou Youth Unemployment Students look for employment opportunities at a job fair in Zhengzhou University in Zhengzhou in central China s Henan province Wednesday, June 07, 2023., Credit:FEATURECHINA / Avalon CHINA, HENAN, ZHENGZHOU PUBLICATIONxNOTxINxUKxFRAxUSA Copyright: xFEATURECHINAx/xAvalonx 0782190073
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Post-Covid upswing has faded

The recovery after the zero-covid opening has already ended. The People's Republic must prepare for continued slowing growth. Particularly worrying: youth unemployment remains high, confidence low.

By Redaktion Table

GUANGZHOU, CHINA - MAY 30: Citizens walk on the street during high temperatures on May 30, 2023 in Guangzhou, Guangdong Province of China. Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory issued an orange alert for high temperatures on May 30. PUBLICATIONxINxGERxSUIxAUTxHUNxONLY Copyright: xChinaxNewsxServicex 111438993964
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Summer heatwave threatens growth

After heatwaves and massive power outages in the past two years, China is about to experience another extreme summer. This does not bode well for the already slow economy.

By Jörn Petring