China's renewed saber-rattling over Taiwan, galvanized by US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi's visit to the island, is born of a need to maintain some control over the situation in the Taiwan Strait following steady electoral victories by Taiwan's pro-independence party. But while Chinese military action is unlikely at this juncture, an accidental clash is all too plausible.
By Redaktion Table
The official timeframe of the military maneuvers around Taiwan has ended, but they have not yet been formally declared to be over. Overall, the feeling of uncertainty remained over the weekend: After sanctions against Nancy Pelosi, China broke off dialogue with the United States on several issues – including military and climate talks. German MPs now want to travel to Taiwan more than ever.
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The repercussions of Pelosi's trip not only affect China and Taiwan, but also all other neighboring countries. Above all, Japan finds itself in the conflict zone. The ASEAN states criticize both China and the trip of the US politician.
By Christiane Kuehl
Taiwan is paying for Nancy Pelosi's visit with a series of Chinese naval drills near its coasts and with Chinese sanctions against its export sector. Taiwan's representative in Germany, Shieh Jhy-wey, says it was still worth it. For his country, it was a matter of survival. Moreover, the world has seen that Chinese threats are by no means always fulfilled. Marcel Grzanna spoke with Shieh.
By Marcel Grzanna
China's military exercises have also affected some of the world's most important trade routes. Taiwan's authorities have urged ship captains to avoid the zones. However, analysts say there will only be a potential impact on global supply chains if the military drills are extended or prolonged.
By Nico Beckert
Political scientist Angela Stanzel supports Pelosi's visit in principle: Such visits send a clear signal that the USA continues to stand firmly by Taiwan's side. Nevertheless, she also sees the action as a "PR show" for Pelosi, which could still have consequences if the military makes a fatal mistake. Michael Radunski spoke with Stanzel.
By Michael Radunski