Table.Briefing: China

Taiwan’s new submarine + Germany’s plans for Huawei

Dear reader,

Two high-ranking politicians get down to business this weekend: German Finance Minister Christian Lindner and Vice Premier He Lifeng will hold a new round of financial talks on Sunday. The meeting was overdue: The previous round took place before the pandemic. The senior counterpart for Lindner also signals that China forgives his party’s visits to Taiwan and critical remarks of important female politicians for now. We will keep you posted on what emerges from the talks in our Monday edition.

Nancy Faeser represents another German minister who has expressed criticism of Huawei as a business partner. The German Ministry of the Interior is forming a strategy for dealing with Huawei’s telecom equipment in German networks. Falk Steiner has summarized the details of the project known so far.

The narwhal is a whale whose most distinctive feature is its long tusk. It is now also the namesake of a new class of submarines with which Taiwan wants to protect its coasts. President Tsai Ing-wen attended the launch of the first one. David Demes reports on the island’s defense capabilities: The government takes the Chinese threat seriously and is systematically preparing for an invasion attempt.

Your
Finn Mayer-Kuckuk
Image of Finn  Mayer-Kuckuk

Feature

Taiwan arms itself against China

President Tsai Ing-wen (center) at the launch of the first Haikun-class submarine at Kaohsiung Naval Shipyard.

On Thursday, Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen christened the first domestically manufactured submarine in Kaohsiung. “A domestically developed submarine was considered an impossible task. But, today, a submarine designed and manufactured by our country’s people sits before our eyes,” Tsai praised the product of Taiwan’s shipyard.

Taiwan’s ambitious defense project is a response to the growing threat posed by the People’s Republic over recent years. At a press event in Taipei on the same day, Foreign Minister Joseph Wu underscored the project’s significance for Taiwan’s national defense. He told a group of foreign journalists that the development of the country’s own submarine showed Taiwan’s determination to defend itself. Wu sees his country as well prepared, but does not want to minimize the threat from the mainland either.

Tactics in the gray zone

Taiwan has been facing increased military pressure from China since 2016. Beijing relies on so-called gray zone tactics that remain below the threshold of a military conflict, but are intended to gradually undermine Taiwan’s defense capabilities and operational readiness. For instance, China dispatches fighter jets off the coast of the democratically ruled island on a daily basis.

Foreign Minister Joseph Wu in Taipei on Thursday.

The new submarines are also expected to help break a possible Chinese blockade. The development and construction of the diesel-electric vessel cost Taiwanese taxpayers one and a half billion US dollars. Another submarine is scheduled to be added by 2027.

Together with the two Dutch-built boats that Taiwan acquired in the 1980s, the Taiwanese navy would have four submarines in service. It could thus protect the island’s east coast from attack by China’s new aircraft carriers. That is the plan.

Doubts about the use of submarines

However, some experts believe Taiwan would be better off investing this money in asymmetric capabilities. Joseph Wu strongly disagrees. “Having a new submarine is one of those strategies. For anyone who questions Taiwan’s submarine strategy, I would be a most forceful advocate for Taiwan to acquire submarines because that’s needed to deter war from taking place.”

Wu confirmed that China is conducting more frequent and larger military maneuvers in the region. He said the goal of these exercises is to prepare for a possible attack on Taiwan and intervention by the United States and that Taiwan’s partners in the region, including Japan and the USA, are also keeping a close eye on this escalation.

Growing pressure ahead of the elections

Wu suspects that another reason behind these exercises could be an attempt to influence Taiwan’s upcoming elections and give the opposition a better chance; the opposition tends to favor a rapprochement with Beijing.

The People’s Republic’s attempts to sway Taiwan’s voters through psychological warfare and disinformation could be more successful than the military threats. Wu said the main goal here is to damage the reputation of the United States as Taiwan’s protector. “They want to make Taiwanese believe that the United States can’t be trusted, that the United States doesn’t really want to help Taiwan,” adding that China is deliberately fueling this skepticism about America.

Hunt for fake news

According to Wu, Taiwan is also better positioned than many other countries in the fight against Chinese disinformation. This is mainly thanks to the efforts of Taiwan’s civil society. NGOs such as the Doublethink Lab, Taiwan FactCheck Center, Cofacts and IORG are doing an excellent job of educating people about media literacy, Wu said.

Thanks to Chinese interference operations, Taiwan has considerable experience in dealing with fake news. “Many countries, especially in Europe, are affected by Russian disinformation campaigns,” and China has also become active in the meantime. “Some countries ask Taiwan to send experts to share our experience with them,” Wu said.

  • Defense
  • Geopolitics
  • People’s Liberation Army
  • Taiwan

How China is supposed to exit Germany’s critical infrastructure

The recent case of Volkswagen clearly shows how dependent companies are on a functioning IT infrastructure. But it would be far more problematic if communications were disrupted on a much larger scale. That is why the German Federal Ministry of the Interior plans to significantly tighten the regulations for mobile networks, with the support of the German Foreign Office. Only the Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport has reservations – debates are in full swing behind the scenes. Nothing less than the implementation of the de-risking approach is at stake – and telecommunications companies are just the start of the debate.

Authorities must already be notified when critical components are used for the first time in the so-called core network – the Federal Ministry of the Interior then has three months to prohibit their use. This regulation of the BSI law was introduced in 2021 and was supposed to provisionally end the debate about Huawei and ZTE, China’s two major component manufacturers.

The US, in particular, warned against using their components, and the EU responded with its so-called 5G toolbox, which member states are encouraged to utilize in order to make their networks more secure: EU countries are supposed to act in unison as far as possible – but internal and external security is not a jointly coordinated area.

BMI review of critical components

German regulations show massive gaps in this respect: They have not worked in practice so far – something that even the Federal Ministry of the Interior indirectly concedes. Since spring this year, it has repeatedly asked Germany’s three largest mobile operators, Telekom, Vodafone and Telefonica, for comment.

So far, the BMI has not actually banned a single component. However, it is not satisfied with either the current regulations or the current degree of dependence on Chinese suppliers. This is why the focus is now being broadened: “The procedural object of these ex-post reviews – in contrast to the ex-ante reviews that have already taken place – are all critical components already in use in the operators’ respective public 5G mobile networks,” a spokeswoman said. It is now being used to assess the situation, followed by new regulations.

There is a lot at stake here: Fear of China on the one side and high costs on the other. Vodafone does not use Huawei hardware in its German core network. Telefonica has also already decided in 2020 to use components made by the Swedish provider Ericsson in its core network. Deutsche Telekom relies on Ericsson and also on the US software provider Avenir.

Expansion to the antenna network planned

But BMI apparently also wants to tighten controls in the antenna network RAN. And here, Huawei still plays a significant role. All three providers use Huawei technology – in addition to other manufacturers. “The antenna network has never shown any irregularities from individual manufacturers,” Vodafone said in response to a Table.Media inquiry.

Telefonica and Telekom also emphasize that they have always complied with all the requirements and relied on multi-vendor strategies to avoid one-sided dependencies. They are backed by the German Federal Ministry of Digital Affairs, which points to the high security standards already in place.

Network operators plan lawsuits

Network operators warn of the consequences of a ban considered in government circles for 2026. Deutsche Telekom, for example, believes this is completely unrealistic: “In view of approval procedures, available capacities at alternative suppliers, available capacities at construction companies, and the continued expansion of mobile communications desired by customers and politicians, a target date of 2026 for the RAN replacement is unrealistic.”

And Telefonica warns: “Should there be an exclusion of components, a sufficiently long period must be granted for their replacement. This is essential to maintain network quality and performance.” How many antennas and related components would actually have to be replaced if Chinese providers were banned from the network under government control remains unclear. According to industry estimates, there are about 25,000 sites, usually with three antennas and associated technology.

Roettgen: Telecommunication companies have only themselves to blame

That is why Telefonica plans to “examine claims for damages against the Federal Republic of Germany in case of a retroactively required conversion of the network.” In addition, it would also have these prohibitions reviewed by the courts, if deemed adequate. According to Norbert Roettgen, foreign policy politician for the German Christian Democratic Union, the providers have only themselves to blame, saying that it has been clear for years what was coming: “These warnings have been ignored.”

In that case, the providers would be left to bear the costs. He also sees government aid in the restructuring process critically: “I see no reason why the taxpayer should now have to pay for the greed of certain companies that, in full awareness, have opted for low prices instead of security.”

Portugal and United Kingdom could indicate potential consequences

The impact of a Huawei ban can currently be observed in Portugal. By making amendments to technical security regulations, the Portuguese government has imposed a de facto ban from the perspective of the Chinese provider – in response, Huawei filed a lawsuit in Lisbon on August 31 against the security committee of the supervisory authority. Meanwhile, companies from the People’s Republic hold stakes in important Portuguese companies – as the fourth-largest foreign investor.

Portuguese newspapers reported that China threatened retaliatory measures. The effect is different in the United Kingdom: Where Chinese providers are forced out of networks, the 5G network rollout progresses relatively slowly. The required replacement of Huawei products is not easy to obtain and expensive.

Customers face dead zones

This is also something that German providers warn of. If RAN elements had to be replaced across the board, it would also impair rollout capacities elsewhere. In this case, entire mast networks would have to be temporarily disconnected from the grid. “It is not clear to us why German mobile communications customers, who benefit from one of the best 5G networks in Europe, should be forced to accept significant quality drops by the BMI,” Telekom says.

And Vodafone stresses that “a way must be found that optimally protects Germany’s digital infrastructure, but does not come at the expense of millions of smartphone users.” The Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport emphasizes that a balanced solution must be found: “Nationwide coverage with stable, fast and affordable mobile Internet remains ensured, that network operators retain control of their networks and that no dependencies arise” must be considered.

One next step could be: The antennas remain untouched for the time being – but the underlying technology of the antenna network would have to be replaced by 2026. This would not be in the interests of the German providers either, but it could be a simpler compromise and at least somewhat more cost-effective.

German railway 5G network not covered by regulation

Other sectors are also closely following the debate about Chinese providers in telecommunications companies. For example, Germany’s national railroad company Deutsche Bahn, part of the critical infrastructure, plans to build its 5G network, including Huawei technology. Among other things, the network is intended to replace the GSM-R railroad radio system.

Deutsche Bahn puts such projects out to tender – and as a publicly owned company, it is obliged to take the lowest bid. “The fact that Deutsche Bahn, as a 100-percent property of the federal government and under the supervision of members of the federal government, wants to build its IP network with Chinese components is scandalous in my view,” Roettgen criticizes. “No lessons have been learned here from the 5G debate.”

Although Deutsche Bahn is subject to critical infrastructure regulations, it is exempt from the special rules for telecommunications networks, which are intended to eliminate Chinese providers from the network. This applies at the European level, as a Commission spokeswoman confirmed in response to a question from Table.Media: While campus networks could be highly relevant, “such networks are not subject to the EU telecommunications framework.” And in Germany, too, there is no effective legal framework yet. That’s because, in its “current version, it applies exclusively to public 5G mobile networks,” according to the BMI. And so-called campus networks, such as those used by Deutsche Bahn, are not considered public.

Focus on other critical infrastructure operators

However, the Federal Ministry of the Interior intends to make many more changes with the KRITIS Umbrella Act: Critical components could be more strictly regulated in all systems in the future – from special screws, chips, and campus networks to entire plants.

A spokesperson for the German Association of Local Public Utilities (VKU) says: “The VKU does currently not have any data that would indicate any major dependence of local public utilities on Chinese manufacturers or suppliers.” However, they are not entirely sure: “Dependencies in certain areas cannot be ruled out, for example, in fiber optics due to the relatively small number of suppliers of active components.” Not even operators are often aware of how much China has invested in critical infrastructure in Germany.

So, the actual debate about practical de-risking has only just begun. Norbert Roettgen believes it is high time for this to happen. He warns: “In the event of conflict, China will use every opportunity to exert influence on the German government for its own interests.”

  • Chips

Events

Oct. 2, 2023; 6 p.m. CEST (12 a.m. CST)
Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, Panel Discussion: Environment in Asia Series – Stevan Harrell’s “An Ecological History of Modern China” More

Oct. 3, 2023; 2:30 p.m. CEST (8:30 p.m. CST)
Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, Urban China Series Featuring Li Zhigang: China’s New Experiments of Urban Neighborhood Governance (in Chinese). More

Oct. 5, 2023; 4 a.m. CEST (10 a.m. CST)
Yusof Ishak Institute, Webinar: Dealing with China’s Gray-Zone Strategy in the South China Sea More

Oct 5, 2023; 7 p.m.
C*SPACE Berlin, Pop-Up Teahouse Salon (in Berlin): “Emerging Chinese Art Community in Berlin? – Views from Berlin-based Chinese Diaspora Artists More

Oct. 5, 2023; 10 p.m. CEST (Oct. 6, 4 a.m. CST)
Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, Critical Issues Confronting China featuring Yao Yang: China’s New Era: Reversing the Dire Consequences of 40 Years of Reform More

Oct. 5, 2023; 9 p.m. CEST (Oct. 6, 3 a.m. CST)
SOAS University of London, Webinar: US-China rivalry for world superpower in 2023 More

Oct. 10, 2023; 9 a.m. CST
Venture Capital World Summit, Conference: Shanghai 2023 Venture Capital World Summit More

News

Third Sino-German financial dialogue announced

China and Germany will hold the third high-level bilateral financial dialogue. The two countries will co-host the meeting next Sunday, Oct. 1, the Chinese Ministry of Finance announced Thursday. According to Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning, Vice Premier He Lifeng, who is in charge of financial affairs, will co-chair the meeting with German Finance Minister Christian Lindner.

After the first two financial dialogues, the Covid pandemic resulted in a several-year hiatus. At the last round of talks in January 2019, China and Germany signed agreements on strengthening coordination in banking, financial and capital markets. The two sides also pledged to further open market access in the financial sector and deepen cooperation. However, there have been recent concerns in the EU and Germany about establishing overly close cooperation with the People’s Republic.

The agenda was initially unknown. However, the relationship faces a number of sticking points. For example, last week the German government announced plans to force telecom operators to restrict the use of equipment made by Chinese manufacturers Huawei and ZTE in their 5G networks after a review found excessive dependence. China also expressed anger at German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock’s remark that President Xi Jinping was a dictator. It is still unclear whether these disputes will overshadow the dialogue. ck/rtr

  • Finance
  • Germany

MPs criticize Baerbock for China strategy

German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock defended Germany’s China strategy on Thursday in the Bundestag, which was presented in June by the German government. “China is changing as a partner, as a competitor and increasingly as a systemic rival,” Baerbock said. “We can neither overlook nor ignore this development.”

She expressed particular concern about China’s foreign policy, which she said is characterized by “support for Assad, diplomatic relations with the Taliban, and an increasingly offensive approach in the Indo-Pacific.” Baerbock pointed to a recently published map by the Chinese government to underscore its territorial claims in East Asia. These were “claims that affect almost the entire South China Sea to just off the coasts of other littoral countries and underscore territorial conflicts with other countries.”

The German government’s China strategy gives relations with the People’s Republic a firm framework for the first time, Baerbock said. “We want to cooperate wherever possible – but based on fair rules.”

Opposition criticizes fine words instead of decisive action

The opposition immediately criticized this positive depiction. Too often, the German government does the opposite of what it has written down, criticized Jens Spahn of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU). It was right to diversify to minimize the risks with China. However, the negotiations on the free trade agreement with Latin America, Mercosur, were so overloaded with additional proposals that no agreement was reached, Spahn said, pointing out that first Latin American countries consider withdrawing. Germany could be the engine for new trade agreements, Spahn said. “But there is nothing to be seen from the German government.”

Gesine Loetzsch, a member of the Left Party, accused Baerbock of fueling conflicts with China through critical statements and deliberate dissociation. “This is playing with fire,” Loetzsch said. Instead of classifying China as a rival, Germany should “see the People’s Republic as a partner – and win it back as a partner where necessary.” In “five decades of hard work,” previous German governments had built up relations with China, AFD MP Petr Bystron raged. “You are trampling on everything they have built up.”

Last week, Baerbock referred to China’s President Xi Jinping as a “dictator” in an interview with the US broadcaster Fox News, prompting outrage not only in Beijing. Staff in her own ministry also accuse her of lacking a sense of diplomacy. Baerbock’s special climate envoy, Jennifer Morgan, felt this during her current visit to Beijing. No ranking official on the Chinese side was willing to receive her. flee

Seafood import ban hits Japan’s fishermen

Japanese exports of fish and seafood to China plunged 76 percent in August year-on-year. This is due to import restrictions after Japan’s decision to dump radioactive water from the destroyed Fukushima nuclear power plant into the Pacific Ocean. China is Japan’s biggest fishing market.

Even Russia, as China’s ally, is considering restricting imports of Japanese fishery products. The reason given is the risk of radioactive contamination. However, the quantities released by Japan each year are small, and contamination with the hydrogen isotope tritium is considered negligible. Russia itself claims not to have detected elevated levels in samples taken from its own coast. Conversely, Japan is an important consumer of fish from Russia. fin

Airlines order one hundred C919 from Comac

China Eastern Airlines has placed a large order of 100 C919 aircraft from Chinese aircraft manufacturer Comac, Bloomberg reports. According to the list price, the order is worth 9.9 billion US dollars, however, due to the large order, the airline said it received a significant discount. The aircraft will be delivered between 2024 and 2031.

The Comac C919 is the first passenger aircraft entirely developed in the People’s Republic and was first shipped in December 2022. This makes the Chinese aircraft manufacturer a competitor to Boeing and Airbus, which have so far divided the Chinese market between themselves. However, Comac’s production target for the C919 is currently only 150 aircraft annually, meaning sales are unlikely to shift too quickly.

A Boeing market analysis shows that one-fifth of all new aircraft will be delivered to China over the next 20 years, 8,560 aircraft in absolute terms. A large proportion of these, around 6,500 aircraft, are narrowbody aircraft such as the Comac C919, the A320 or the Boeing 737.

While Airbus signed a major order for 100 aircraft with China Eastern last year, Boeing’s order books for the Chinese market are not quite as good. China is Boeing’s largest export market, but the American manufacturer feels the effects of the tense political situation between the United States and China. Boeing already felt this when the 737 Max aircraft type had to stay on the ground much longer in China than elsewhere due to two crashes: While the aircraft were allowed to take off in the rest of the world in 2018 and 2019, China only approved operations in 2021. jul

  • Airbus
  • Comac

Relaxation of cross-border data transfers

The Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) is considering relaxing international data transfer regulations. In particular, security checks for data exports in international trade, academic cooperation, cross-border production and marketing could be relaxed if they do not contain personal or important data.

In addition, the CAC wants to potentially abolish security checks altogether for data exports in certain situations, such as cross-border purchases, hotel reservations, hiring workers, or processing visa applications that require personal data to be transferred overseas.

The appropriate handling of data of all kinds is an important compliance issue for companies active in China, and one that is often difficult to understand. Several laws apply, some of which provide clear guidelines, while others are vaguely worded and, therefore, offer little clarity and fuel concerns about unintentional misconduct. To ensure compliance, it is not uncommon for companies to make significant additional investments. Alex Roberts, a Shanghai-based lawyer at law firm Linklaters, called the new rules “a great signal for foreign investment and trade in China.”

According to China’s Cybersecurity Law, which has been in effect since 2017, companies must store their relevant data in China and may only export it under special conditions. A law on the protection of personal information has also been in force since 2021. jul/rtr

China Perspective

The party is suffocating the pop scene

China hasn’t produced new pop superstars in years. Instead, crops of starlets were churned out to cater to the tastes of different groups of young people. But they didn’t contribute any hit songs. The veteran big stars, who occasionally hold concerts primarily for nostalgic fans, also failed to release new music.  

However, over the past two months, two new songs have gone viral across the country. Their popularity isn’t due to their musical prowess but rather poignant lyrics resonating with the general public’s feelings of suppressed frustration, anger toward an absurd reality, and an overwhelming sense of helplessness. 

Literature citations with subtle hints

One of the songs is by Daolang (刀郎), a 52-year-old singer who enjoyed great success two decades ago but had been silent recently. In July, he released the track “Luocha Haishi.” The lyrics are based on a sarcastic story from “Strange Tales from a Studio of Leisure” by Pu Songling (蒲松龄 1640 – 1715). This story, akin to Jonathan Swift’s “Gulliver’s Travels,” narrates a young man’s experiences in Luocha, a land where beauty standards are reversed, the ugly are considered attractive, and the beautiful deemed ugly. Furthermore, social status is determined by looks, with those believed to be beautiful by Luocha’s standards occupying higher positions in the hierarchy.

The song is composed in a ballad style with folk music elements from northeast China. While writing, the singer added some details and commentary not found in the original story. He sings about chickens believing they are donkeys while donkeys perceive themselves as chickens. After remarking, “prostitutes always try to appear classy, eunuchs love power and good reputation,” he concludes the song with a philosophical twist: “Chicken or donkey…what Wittgenstein tackled is a fundamental question for mankind.” 

The song triggered a wave of interpretations and comments, with some suggesting that Daolang was subtly mocking big-name stars in China’s pop scene who had once ostracized him. Others felt it accurately depicted the struggles of young people navigating a world that contradicts their ideals. What commentators agreed on was that the song cleverly ridiculed the currently prevailing values and norms in China. 

Critical social media starlet

Then, last week, a song from a TV pop show quickly became very popular on WeChat, Douyin (the Chinese version of TikTok) and other social media platforms. 35-year-old actress Ren Suxi (任素汐) sings the song together with the band Wayina. Many listeners wrote that the song moved them to tears.

The multi-talented Ren had previously written and sung the only published song addressing China’s strict Covid-related restrictions during the country’s harsh lockdown. The short song, only 48 seconds long, was put on the internet in April 2020. It was widely shared before being removed by government censors within two days. 

The lyrics read: “In that year babies were born / In that year men lost their livelihood / In that year hearts were full of anger and hatred / In that year life and death took turns / In that year the streets were empty / In that year we breathed carefully / In that year proud people were cooped up by iron fences / In that year people cried for the late Qing / In that year we couldn’t distinguish day from night / In that year we awaited sunny days.”

The line “people cried for late Qing” was particularly striking, as it could be seen as a veiled curse to the current government: the Qing Dynasty in its latter years was a failing regime, which would eventually be brought down amid unrest and uprisings.  

A ballad bundles current concerns

In her latest song, Ren and Wayina play a sad ballad that also captures the life plights and worries of different age groups in China and their sentiment: exhaustion, helplessness and disorientation, highlighted by the refrain “What should I do?” repeated time and again. 

Excerpts:

“I’m twelve years old, never left home. I’m going to middle school. But it is dozens of miles from home. What should I do? 

I’m 18, didn’t get into college. Should I try again or go find a job?  

I came to Shenzhen and wandered for a while, couldn’t find a job. Money is running out, what should I do? 

I’m 28 and I’ve got a date. I met her siblings on the street. 
Her sister asked: “Without a stable job, how do you buy a house? Do you want kids?” 
Caught off guard, I ran away. What should I do? 

I’m 38, and my kid is a good girl. I want to spend more time with her, but I have to work overtime.  
Bread, school and hospital. I work like a machine, can’t stop, what should I do? 

I’m 58. My second son is divorced, and I am supposed to care for his kid. He said he’d go out and try his luck while he’s still young, maybe he could come back better off. What should I do? 

I’m 78, and suddenly I collapse. Lying in a hospital bed, time feels long. What should I do? 

Helpless as a child in the face of the unknown, I pretend to be OK in front of my husband, saying it’s just a tiny bump in the road… 

If life is just a dream, what would you do?…”

The song is titled “Big Dream” (大梦 Da Meng), referencing a Chinese literary idiom that uses “big dream” as a metaphor for life. However, hearing this, one can’t help but think of the beautiful concept of “China Dream,” masterminded by President Xi Jinping.

It’s a miracle that both Luocha Haishi and Big Dream are not banned yet.  

Executive Moves

Aadil Brar will become the new China reporter for the US magazine Newsweek. He will be based in Taipei and will focus on US-China relations.

Chen Huaping has been appointed vice chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission.

Is something changing in your organization? Let us know at heads@table.media!

  • CSRC

Dessert

The Asian Games in Hangzhou continue. Seen are Feng Yingying of China in the blue gi and Gulnoza Matniyazova of Uzbekistan in the judo semifinals.

China.Table editorial office

CHINA.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

Licenses:
    Dear reader,

    Two high-ranking politicians get down to business this weekend: German Finance Minister Christian Lindner and Vice Premier He Lifeng will hold a new round of financial talks on Sunday. The meeting was overdue: The previous round took place before the pandemic. The senior counterpart for Lindner also signals that China forgives his party’s visits to Taiwan and critical remarks of important female politicians for now. We will keep you posted on what emerges from the talks in our Monday edition.

    Nancy Faeser represents another German minister who has expressed criticism of Huawei as a business partner. The German Ministry of the Interior is forming a strategy for dealing with Huawei’s telecom equipment in German networks. Falk Steiner has summarized the details of the project known so far.

    The narwhal is a whale whose most distinctive feature is its long tusk. It is now also the namesake of a new class of submarines with which Taiwan wants to protect its coasts. President Tsai Ing-wen attended the launch of the first one. David Demes reports on the island’s defense capabilities: The government takes the Chinese threat seriously and is systematically preparing for an invasion attempt.

    Your
    Finn Mayer-Kuckuk
    Image of Finn  Mayer-Kuckuk

    Feature

    Taiwan arms itself against China

    President Tsai Ing-wen (center) at the launch of the first Haikun-class submarine at Kaohsiung Naval Shipyard.

    On Thursday, Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen christened the first domestically manufactured submarine in Kaohsiung. “A domestically developed submarine was considered an impossible task. But, today, a submarine designed and manufactured by our country’s people sits before our eyes,” Tsai praised the product of Taiwan’s shipyard.

    Taiwan’s ambitious defense project is a response to the growing threat posed by the People’s Republic over recent years. At a press event in Taipei on the same day, Foreign Minister Joseph Wu underscored the project’s significance for Taiwan’s national defense. He told a group of foreign journalists that the development of the country’s own submarine showed Taiwan’s determination to defend itself. Wu sees his country as well prepared, but does not want to minimize the threat from the mainland either.

    Tactics in the gray zone

    Taiwan has been facing increased military pressure from China since 2016. Beijing relies on so-called gray zone tactics that remain below the threshold of a military conflict, but are intended to gradually undermine Taiwan’s defense capabilities and operational readiness. For instance, China dispatches fighter jets off the coast of the democratically ruled island on a daily basis.

    Foreign Minister Joseph Wu in Taipei on Thursday.

    The new submarines are also expected to help break a possible Chinese blockade. The development and construction of the diesel-electric vessel cost Taiwanese taxpayers one and a half billion US dollars. Another submarine is scheduled to be added by 2027.

    Together with the two Dutch-built boats that Taiwan acquired in the 1980s, the Taiwanese navy would have four submarines in service. It could thus protect the island’s east coast from attack by China’s new aircraft carriers. That is the plan.

    Doubts about the use of submarines

    However, some experts believe Taiwan would be better off investing this money in asymmetric capabilities. Joseph Wu strongly disagrees. “Having a new submarine is one of those strategies. For anyone who questions Taiwan’s submarine strategy, I would be a most forceful advocate for Taiwan to acquire submarines because that’s needed to deter war from taking place.”

    Wu confirmed that China is conducting more frequent and larger military maneuvers in the region. He said the goal of these exercises is to prepare for a possible attack on Taiwan and intervention by the United States and that Taiwan’s partners in the region, including Japan and the USA, are also keeping a close eye on this escalation.

    Growing pressure ahead of the elections

    Wu suspects that another reason behind these exercises could be an attempt to influence Taiwan’s upcoming elections and give the opposition a better chance; the opposition tends to favor a rapprochement with Beijing.

    The People’s Republic’s attempts to sway Taiwan’s voters through psychological warfare and disinformation could be more successful than the military threats. Wu said the main goal here is to damage the reputation of the United States as Taiwan’s protector. “They want to make Taiwanese believe that the United States can’t be trusted, that the United States doesn’t really want to help Taiwan,” adding that China is deliberately fueling this skepticism about America.

    Hunt for fake news

    According to Wu, Taiwan is also better positioned than many other countries in the fight against Chinese disinformation. This is mainly thanks to the efforts of Taiwan’s civil society. NGOs such as the Doublethink Lab, Taiwan FactCheck Center, Cofacts and IORG are doing an excellent job of educating people about media literacy, Wu said.

    Thanks to Chinese interference operations, Taiwan has considerable experience in dealing with fake news. “Many countries, especially in Europe, are affected by Russian disinformation campaigns,” and China has also become active in the meantime. “Some countries ask Taiwan to send experts to share our experience with them,” Wu said.

    • Defense
    • Geopolitics
    • People’s Liberation Army
    • Taiwan

    How China is supposed to exit Germany’s critical infrastructure

    The recent case of Volkswagen clearly shows how dependent companies are on a functioning IT infrastructure. But it would be far more problematic if communications were disrupted on a much larger scale. That is why the German Federal Ministry of the Interior plans to significantly tighten the regulations for mobile networks, with the support of the German Foreign Office. Only the Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport has reservations – debates are in full swing behind the scenes. Nothing less than the implementation of the de-risking approach is at stake – and telecommunications companies are just the start of the debate.

    Authorities must already be notified when critical components are used for the first time in the so-called core network – the Federal Ministry of the Interior then has three months to prohibit their use. This regulation of the BSI law was introduced in 2021 and was supposed to provisionally end the debate about Huawei and ZTE, China’s two major component manufacturers.

    The US, in particular, warned against using their components, and the EU responded with its so-called 5G toolbox, which member states are encouraged to utilize in order to make their networks more secure: EU countries are supposed to act in unison as far as possible – but internal and external security is not a jointly coordinated area.

    BMI review of critical components

    German regulations show massive gaps in this respect: They have not worked in practice so far – something that even the Federal Ministry of the Interior indirectly concedes. Since spring this year, it has repeatedly asked Germany’s three largest mobile operators, Telekom, Vodafone and Telefonica, for comment.

    So far, the BMI has not actually banned a single component. However, it is not satisfied with either the current regulations or the current degree of dependence on Chinese suppliers. This is why the focus is now being broadened: “The procedural object of these ex-post reviews – in contrast to the ex-ante reviews that have already taken place – are all critical components already in use in the operators’ respective public 5G mobile networks,” a spokeswoman said. It is now being used to assess the situation, followed by new regulations.

    There is a lot at stake here: Fear of China on the one side and high costs on the other. Vodafone does not use Huawei hardware in its German core network. Telefonica has also already decided in 2020 to use components made by the Swedish provider Ericsson in its core network. Deutsche Telekom relies on Ericsson and also on the US software provider Avenir.

    Expansion to the antenna network planned

    But BMI apparently also wants to tighten controls in the antenna network RAN. And here, Huawei still plays a significant role. All three providers use Huawei technology – in addition to other manufacturers. “The antenna network has never shown any irregularities from individual manufacturers,” Vodafone said in response to a Table.Media inquiry.

    Telefonica and Telekom also emphasize that they have always complied with all the requirements and relied on multi-vendor strategies to avoid one-sided dependencies. They are backed by the German Federal Ministry of Digital Affairs, which points to the high security standards already in place.

    Network operators plan lawsuits

    Network operators warn of the consequences of a ban considered in government circles for 2026. Deutsche Telekom, for example, believes this is completely unrealistic: “In view of approval procedures, available capacities at alternative suppliers, available capacities at construction companies, and the continued expansion of mobile communications desired by customers and politicians, a target date of 2026 for the RAN replacement is unrealistic.”

    And Telefonica warns: “Should there be an exclusion of components, a sufficiently long period must be granted for their replacement. This is essential to maintain network quality and performance.” How many antennas and related components would actually have to be replaced if Chinese providers were banned from the network under government control remains unclear. According to industry estimates, there are about 25,000 sites, usually with three antennas and associated technology.

    Roettgen: Telecommunication companies have only themselves to blame

    That is why Telefonica plans to “examine claims for damages against the Federal Republic of Germany in case of a retroactively required conversion of the network.” In addition, it would also have these prohibitions reviewed by the courts, if deemed adequate. According to Norbert Roettgen, foreign policy politician for the German Christian Democratic Union, the providers have only themselves to blame, saying that it has been clear for years what was coming: “These warnings have been ignored.”

    In that case, the providers would be left to bear the costs. He also sees government aid in the restructuring process critically: “I see no reason why the taxpayer should now have to pay for the greed of certain companies that, in full awareness, have opted for low prices instead of security.”

    Portugal and United Kingdom could indicate potential consequences

    The impact of a Huawei ban can currently be observed in Portugal. By making amendments to technical security regulations, the Portuguese government has imposed a de facto ban from the perspective of the Chinese provider – in response, Huawei filed a lawsuit in Lisbon on August 31 against the security committee of the supervisory authority. Meanwhile, companies from the People’s Republic hold stakes in important Portuguese companies – as the fourth-largest foreign investor.

    Portuguese newspapers reported that China threatened retaliatory measures. The effect is different in the United Kingdom: Where Chinese providers are forced out of networks, the 5G network rollout progresses relatively slowly. The required replacement of Huawei products is not easy to obtain and expensive.

    Customers face dead zones

    This is also something that German providers warn of. If RAN elements had to be replaced across the board, it would also impair rollout capacities elsewhere. In this case, entire mast networks would have to be temporarily disconnected from the grid. “It is not clear to us why German mobile communications customers, who benefit from one of the best 5G networks in Europe, should be forced to accept significant quality drops by the BMI,” Telekom says.

    And Vodafone stresses that “a way must be found that optimally protects Germany’s digital infrastructure, but does not come at the expense of millions of smartphone users.” The Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport emphasizes that a balanced solution must be found: “Nationwide coverage with stable, fast and affordable mobile Internet remains ensured, that network operators retain control of their networks and that no dependencies arise” must be considered.

    One next step could be: The antennas remain untouched for the time being – but the underlying technology of the antenna network would have to be replaced by 2026. This would not be in the interests of the German providers either, but it could be a simpler compromise and at least somewhat more cost-effective.

    German railway 5G network not covered by regulation

    Other sectors are also closely following the debate about Chinese providers in telecommunications companies. For example, Germany’s national railroad company Deutsche Bahn, part of the critical infrastructure, plans to build its 5G network, including Huawei technology. Among other things, the network is intended to replace the GSM-R railroad radio system.

    Deutsche Bahn puts such projects out to tender – and as a publicly owned company, it is obliged to take the lowest bid. “The fact that Deutsche Bahn, as a 100-percent property of the federal government and under the supervision of members of the federal government, wants to build its IP network with Chinese components is scandalous in my view,” Roettgen criticizes. “No lessons have been learned here from the 5G debate.”

    Although Deutsche Bahn is subject to critical infrastructure regulations, it is exempt from the special rules for telecommunications networks, which are intended to eliminate Chinese providers from the network. This applies at the European level, as a Commission spokeswoman confirmed in response to a question from Table.Media: While campus networks could be highly relevant, “such networks are not subject to the EU telecommunications framework.” And in Germany, too, there is no effective legal framework yet. That’s because, in its “current version, it applies exclusively to public 5G mobile networks,” according to the BMI. And so-called campus networks, such as those used by Deutsche Bahn, are not considered public.

    Focus on other critical infrastructure operators

    However, the Federal Ministry of the Interior intends to make many more changes with the KRITIS Umbrella Act: Critical components could be more strictly regulated in all systems in the future – from special screws, chips, and campus networks to entire plants.

    A spokesperson for the German Association of Local Public Utilities (VKU) says: “The VKU does currently not have any data that would indicate any major dependence of local public utilities on Chinese manufacturers or suppliers.” However, they are not entirely sure: “Dependencies in certain areas cannot be ruled out, for example, in fiber optics due to the relatively small number of suppliers of active components.” Not even operators are often aware of how much China has invested in critical infrastructure in Germany.

    So, the actual debate about practical de-risking has only just begun. Norbert Roettgen believes it is high time for this to happen. He warns: “In the event of conflict, China will use every opportunity to exert influence on the German government for its own interests.”

    • Chips

    Events

    Oct. 2, 2023; 6 p.m. CEST (12 a.m. CST)
    Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, Panel Discussion: Environment in Asia Series – Stevan Harrell’s “An Ecological History of Modern China” More

    Oct. 3, 2023; 2:30 p.m. CEST (8:30 p.m. CST)
    Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, Urban China Series Featuring Li Zhigang: China’s New Experiments of Urban Neighborhood Governance (in Chinese). More

    Oct. 5, 2023; 4 a.m. CEST (10 a.m. CST)
    Yusof Ishak Institute, Webinar: Dealing with China’s Gray-Zone Strategy in the South China Sea More

    Oct 5, 2023; 7 p.m.
    C*SPACE Berlin, Pop-Up Teahouse Salon (in Berlin): “Emerging Chinese Art Community in Berlin? – Views from Berlin-based Chinese Diaspora Artists More

    Oct. 5, 2023; 10 p.m. CEST (Oct. 6, 4 a.m. CST)
    Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, Critical Issues Confronting China featuring Yao Yang: China’s New Era: Reversing the Dire Consequences of 40 Years of Reform More

    Oct. 5, 2023; 9 p.m. CEST (Oct. 6, 3 a.m. CST)
    SOAS University of London, Webinar: US-China rivalry for world superpower in 2023 More

    Oct. 10, 2023; 9 a.m. CST
    Venture Capital World Summit, Conference: Shanghai 2023 Venture Capital World Summit More

    News

    Third Sino-German financial dialogue announced

    China and Germany will hold the third high-level bilateral financial dialogue. The two countries will co-host the meeting next Sunday, Oct. 1, the Chinese Ministry of Finance announced Thursday. According to Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning, Vice Premier He Lifeng, who is in charge of financial affairs, will co-chair the meeting with German Finance Minister Christian Lindner.

    After the first two financial dialogues, the Covid pandemic resulted in a several-year hiatus. At the last round of talks in January 2019, China and Germany signed agreements on strengthening coordination in banking, financial and capital markets. The two sides also pledged to further open market access in the financial sector and deepen cooperation. However, there have been recent concerns in the EU and Germany about establishing overly close cooperation with the People’s Republic.

    The agenda was initially unknown. However, the relationship faces a number of sticking points. For example, last week the German government announced plans to force telecom operators to restrict the use of equipment made by Chinese manufacturers Huawei and ZTE in their 5G networks after a review found excessive dependence. China also expressed anger at German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock’s remark that President Xi Jinping was a dictator. It is still unclear whether these disputes will overshadow the dialogue. ck/rtr

    • Finance
    • Germany

    MPs criticize Baerbock for China strategy

    German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock defended Germany’s China strategy on Thursday in the Bundestag, which was presented in June by the German government. “China is changing as a partner, as a competitor and increasingly as a systemic rival,” Baerbock said. “We can neither overlook nor ignore this development.”

    She expressed particular concern about China’s foreign policy, which she said is characterized by “support for Assad, diplomatic relations with the Taliban, and an increasingly offensive approach in the Indo-Pacific.” Baerbock pointed to a recently published map by the Chinese government to underscore its territorial claims in East Asia. These were “claims that affect almost the entire South China Sea to just off the coasts of other littoral countries and underscore territorial conflicts with other countries.”

    The German government’s China strategy gives relations with the People’s Republic a firm framework for the first time, Baerbock said. “We want to cooperate wherever possible – but based on fair rules.”

    Opposition criticizes fine words instead of decisive action

    The opposition immediately criticized this positive depiction. Too often, the German government does the opposite of what it has written down, criticized Jens Spahn of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU). It was right to diversify to minimize the risks with China. However, the negotiations on the free trade agreement with Latin America, Mercosur, were so overloaded with additional proposals that no agreement was reached, Spahn said, pointing out that first Latin American countries consider withdrawing. Germany could be the engine for new trade agreements, Spahn said. “But there is nothing to be seen from the German government.”

    Gesine Loetzsch, a member of the Left Party, accused Baerbock of fueling conflicts with China through critical statements and deliberate dissociation. “This is playing with fire,” Loetzsch said. Instead of classifying China as a rival, Germany should “see the People’s Republic as a partner – and win it back as a partner where necessary.” In “five decades of hard work,” previous German governments had built up relations with China, AFD MP Petr Bystron raged. “You are trampling on everything they have built up.”

    Last week, Baerbock referred to China’s President Xi Jinping as a “dictator” in an interview with the US broadcaster Fox News, prompting outrage not only in Beijing. Staff in her own ministry also accuse her of lacking a sense of diplomacy. Baerbock’s special climate envoy, Jennifer Morgan, felt this during her current visit to Beijing. No ranking official on the Chinese side was willing to receive her. flee

    Seafood import ban hits Japan’s fishermen

    Japanese exports of fish and seafood to China plunged 76 percent in August year-on-year. This is due to import restrictions after Japan’s decision to dump radioactive water from the destroyed Fukushima nuclear power plant into the Pacific Ocean. China is Japan’s biggest fishing market.

    Even Russia, as China’s ally, is considering restricting imports of Japanese fishery products. The reason given is the risk of radioactive contamination. However, the quantities released by Japan each year are small, and contamination with the hydrogen isotope tritium is considered negligible. Russia itself claims not to have detected elevated levels in samples taken from its own coast. Conversely, Japan is an important consumer of fish from Russia. fin

    Airlines order one hundred C919 from Comac

    China Eastern Airlines has placed a large order of 100 C919 aircraft from Chinese aircraft manufacturer Comac, Bloomberg reports. According to the list price, the order is worth 9.9 billion US dollars, however, due to the large order, the airline said it received a significant discount. The aircraft will be delivered between 2024 and 2031.

    The Comac C919 is the first passenger aircraft entirely developed in the People’s Republic and was first shipped in December 2022. This makes the Chinese aircraft manufacturer a competitor to Boeing and Airbus, which have so far divided the Chinese market between themselves. However, Comac’s production target for the C919 is currently only 150 aircraft annually, meaning sales are unlikely to shift too quickly.

    A Boeing market analysis shows that one-fifth of all new aircraft will be delivered to China over the next 20 years, 8,560 aircraft in absolute terms. A large proportion of these, around 6,500 aircraft, are narrowbody aircraft such as the Comac C919, the A320 or the Boeing 737.

    While Airbus signed a major order for 100 aircraft with China Eastern last year, Boeing’s order books for the Chinese market are not quite as good. China is Boeing’s largest export market, but the American manufacturer feels the effects of the tense political situation between the United States and China. Boeing already felt this when the 737 Max aircraft type had to stay on the ground much longer in China than elsewhere due to two crashes: While the aircraft were allowed to take off in the rest of the world in 2018 and 2019, China only approved operations in 2021. jul

    • Airbus
    • Comac

    Relaxation of cross-border data transfers

    The Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) is considering relaxing international data transfer regulations. In particular, security checks for data exports in international trade, academic cooperation, cross-border production and marketing could be relaxed if they do not contain personal or important data.

    In addition, the CAC wants to potentially abolish security checks altogether for data exports in certain situations, such as cross-border purchases, hotel reservations, hiring workers, or processing visa applications that require personal data to be transferred overseas.

    The appropriate handling of data of all kinds is an important compliance issue for companies active in China, and one that is often difficult to understand. Several laws apply, some of which provide clear guidelines, while others are vaguely worded and, therefore, offer little clarity and fuel concerns about unintentional misconduct. To ensure compliance, it is not uncommon for companies to make significant additional investments. Alex Roberts, a Shanghai-based lawyer at law firm Linklaters, called the new rules “a great signal for foreign investment and trade in China.”

    According to China’s Cybersecurity Law, which has been in effect since 2017, companies must store their relevant data in China and may only export it under special conditions. A law on the protection of personal information has also been in force since 2021. jul/rtr

    China Perspective

    The party is suffocating the pop scene

    China hasn’t produced new pop superstars in years. Instead, crops of starlets were churned out to cater to the tastes of different groups of young people. But they didn’t contribute any hit songs. The veteran big stars, who occasionally hold concerts primarily for nostalgic fans, also failed to release new music.  

    However, over the past two months, two new songs have gone viral across the country. Their popularity isn’t due to their musical prowess but rather poignant lyrics resonating with the general public’s feelings of suppressed frustration, anger toward an absurd reality, and an overwhelming sense of helplessness. 

    Literature citations with subtle hints

    One of the songs is by Daolang (刀郎), a 52-year-old singer who enjoyed great success two decades ago but had been silent recently. In July, he released the track “Luocha Haishi.” The lyrics are based on a sarcastic story from “Strange Tales from a Studio of Leisure” by Pu Songling (蒲松龄 1640 – 1715). This story, akin to Jonathan Swift’s “Gulliver’s Travels,” narrates a young man’s experiences in Luocha, a land where beauty standards are reversed, the ugly are considered attractive, and the beautiful deemed ugly. Furthermore, social status is determined by looks, with those believed to be beautiful by Luocha’s standards occupying higher positions in the hierarchy.

    The song is composed in a ballad style with folk music elements from northeast China. While writing, the singer added some details and commentary not found in the original story. He sings about chickens believing they are donkeys while donkeys perceive themselves as chickens. After remarking, “prostitutes always try to appear classy, eunuchs love power and good reputation,” he concludes the song with a philosophical twist: “Chicken or donkey…what Wittgenstein tackled is a fundamental question for mankind.” 

    The song triggered a wave of interpretations and comments, with some suggesting that Daolang was subtly mocking big-name stars in China’s pop scene who had once ostracized him. Others felt it accurately depicted the struggles of young people navigating a world that contradicts their ideals. What commentators agreed on was that the song cleverly ridiculed the currently prevailing values and norms in China. 

    Critical social media starlet

    Then, last week, a song from a TV pop show quickly became very popular on WeChat, Douyin (the Chinese version of TikTok) and other social media platforms. 35-year-old actress Ren Suxi (任素汐) sings the song together with the band Wayina. Many listeners wrote that the song moved them to tears.

    The multi-talented Ren had previously written and sung the only published song addressing China’s strict Covid-related restrictions during the country’s harsh lockdown. The short song, only 48 seconds long, was put on the internet in April 2020. It was widely shared before being removed by government censors within two days. 

    The lyrics read: “In that year babies were born / In that year men lost their livelihood / In that year hearts were full of anger and hatred / In that year life and death took turns / In that year the streets were empty / In that year we breathed carefully / In that year proud people were cooped up by iron fences / In that year people cried for the late Qing / In that year we couldn’t distinguish day from night / In that year we awaited sunny days.”

    The line “people cried for late Qing” was particularly striking, as it could be seen as a veiled curse to the current government: the Qing Dynasty in its latter years was a failing regime, which would eventually be brought down amid unrest and uprisings.  

    A ballad bundles current concerns

    In her latest song, Ren and Wayina play a sad ballad that also captures the life plights and worries of different age groups in China and their sentiment: exhaustion, helplessness and disorientation, highlighted by the refrain “What should I do?” repeated time and again. 

    Excerpts:

    “I’m twelve years old, never left home. I’m going to middle school. But it is dozens of miles from home. What should I do? 

    I’m 18, didn’t get into college. Should I try again or go find a job?  

    I came to Shenzhen and wandered for a while, couldn’t find a job. Money is running out, what should I do? 

    I’m 28 and I’ve got a date. I met her siblings on the street. 
    Her sister asked: “Without a stable job, how do you buy a house? Do you want kids?” 
    Caught off guard, I ran away. What should I do? 

    I’m 38, and my kid is a good girl. I want to spend more time with her, but I have to work overtime.  
    Bread, school and hospital. I work like a machine, can’t stop, what should I do? 

    I’m 58. My second son is divorced, and I am supposed to care for his kid. He said he’d go out and try his luck while he’s still young, maybe he could come back better off. What should I do? 

    I’m 78, and suddenly I collapse. Lying in a hospital bed, time feels long. What should I do? 

    Helpless as a child in the face of the unknown, I pretend to be OK in front of my husband, saying it’s just a tiny bump in the road… 

    If life is just a dream, what would you do?…”

    The song is titled “Big Dream” (大梦 Da Meng), referencing a Chinese literary idiom that uses “big dream” as a metaphor for life. However, hearing this, one can’t help but think of the beautiful concept of “China Dream,” masterminded by President Xi Jinping.

    It’s a miracle that both Luocha Haishi and Big Dream are not banned yet.  

    Executive Moves

    Aadil Brar will become the new China reporter for the US magazine Newsweek. He will be based in Taipei and will focus on US-China relations.

    Chen Huaping has been appointed vice chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission.

    Is something changing in your organization? Let us know at heads@table.media!

    • CSRC

    Dessert

    The Asian Games in Hangzhou continue. Seen are Feng Yingying of China in the blue gi and Gulnoza Matniyazova of Uzbekistan in the judo semifinals.

    China.Table editorial office

    CHINA.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

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