The new German government has set a clear direction for its relations with China: Germany’s approach is to become more European. So it is rather fitting that France, Germany’s closest partner, took over the EU Council presidency at the turn of the year.
Amelie Richter took a closer look at the French leader’s agenda for Europe and discovered: Even if Emmanuel Macron wants to set an Indo-Pacific focus and China is not explicitly at the top of the list, there will be no way to avoid the People’s Republic. Aside from strategic decisions, there are also important personnel decisions to be made.
China’s opening up policy has a rather bad reputation right now. But things can work differently. Just at the turn of the year, the Chinese State Council gave all foreign employees in China an unexpected present: The planned tax law change was postponed for a year. Finn Mayer-Kuckuk has analyzed the situation. In times of almost completely shut borders, the postponement is an unexpected offer of cooperation to the international business community.
Last but not least, I would like to bring your attention to an obituary. Jonathan D. Spence passed away during the Christmas holidays at the age of 85. He was one of the world’s most renowned sinologists, and presumably almost everyone interested in China has at least one of his books on their shelf. In today’s briefing we also take a look at what characterized his works on China.
I hope you enjoy today’s briefing!
New year, new EU Council presidency: On January 1, Paris took over the leadership of the body of heads of state and government. In the French capital, even the Eiffel Tower carried the EU flag to mark the occasion. After the relatively weak and disputed Slovenian presidency under the controversial Prime Minister Janez Janša, France’s head of state Emmanuel Macron is now taking over. Expectations are high, as the 44-year-old started the French presidency with a clear European focus. Three main pillars are to shape the next six months: “Relance, puissance, appartenance” – “recovery, strength, sense of belonging”.
While China may not be at the top of the agenda, the current trade dispute with Lithuania inevitably shifts the EU’s relationship with the People’s Republic into focus. The EU also continues to struggle to find a common line for the upcoming Winter Olympics. The domestic agenda also has the upcoming French presidential election in April – so France is starting with a full agenda.
The first three months of the year will be particularly intense for Paris, says researcher Antoine Bondaz, who focuses on China and Asia for the French think tank Fondation pour la recherche stratégique (FRS). From April onwards, it will become increasingly difficult to plan events with high-ranking representatives. The election campaign in France follows soon afterward. Foreign policy has so far played a minor role in the race for France’s highest office. The debate is dominated by migration and Covid policy.
The French EU Council presidency too will focus on the lingering issues of migration and the Covid pandemic. In his New Year’s address, Macron promised to do everything in his power to make the presidency a moment of progress: “Progress on controlling our borders, on climate-friendly technologies, on equality between men and women, on building a new alliance with Africa, on better monitoring of major internet platforms, on culture in Europe.”
Among other things, Macron wants to launch a Schengen reform to improve border defense in the next six months and calls for an EU-wide minimum wage and the creation of a CO2 border adjustment for imports, the so-called Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) (China.Table reported).
The main focus in foreign policy will be on “puissance” – the strength and power that Brussels aims to display as a self-proclaimed geopolitical power, Bondaz explains. The focus here is primarily on the Indo-Pacific region. Seven of France’s thirteen overseas departments are located in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific after all. The Élysée had already presented a strategy for the region in 2018.
Bondaz is convinced that under the leadership of the French, the EU’s Indo-Pacific strategy in particular will shift into focus. A first ministerial meeting between member states and countries in the region is scheduled for the end of February. “It will be a big event in Paris.” Whether it will also generate concrete results, however, remains to be seen, says Bondaz. It certainly would be time.
Brussels had presented its Indo-Pacific strategy back in September last year. It is now crucial that key projects are identified and addressed expeditiously, the French researcher said. “How do we ensure that we can build synergies with partners in the region like Japan and Korea?” These and other questions are on the minds of the French EU presidency. “We need pilot projects now, as there are no clear initiatives so far.” China may not be officially on the priority list – but with increased involvement in the Indo-Pacific, the relationship with Beijing will certainly play an unofficial role.
Bondaz sees it as an advantage that France is virtually on home soil. Around 1.5 million French citizens live in the Indo-Pacific region. In the Indian Ocean on the islands of La Réunion and Mayotte, in the Pacific in New Caledonia and French Polynesia. In addition, 7000 French troops are permanently stationed in the Indo-Pacific. The region’s distinctive characteristics must be considered in the implementation of the EU strategy, especially the “maritime dimension,” according to Bondaz. This primarily involves securing international sea routes and important maritime trade routes. This is an issue where Beijing fears a growing influence on the Taiwan Strait. This bears the potential for conflict.
Another of Brussels’ geopolitical strategies also needs to gain momentum during the six months of the French Council Presidency: The EU Commission wants the infrastructure initiative Global Gateway to produce concrete projects by mid-2022.
President Macron has been advocating a more independent supply for Europe, not least since the start of the Covid pandemic, and is already, for example, relocating the production of paracetamol to France. In his speech on the priorities of the EU Presidency, Macron emphasized the strive for self-sufficiency, including semiconductors.
Macron also made a statement during his speech that was less well-received. Addressing a possible diplomatic boycott of the Winter Olympics in Beijing, France’s head of state expressed that he doesn’t think much of being absent: “I don’t think we should politicize these topics, especially if it’s to take steps that are insignificant and symbolic.” France’s president, however, will not travel to Beijing, Bondaz is sure. Ministers may be sent – but Macron himself will not visit, despite having attended the Olympic Games in Japan this summer. Should Beijing have any complaints about it, the presidential election in France or the pandemic situation could be cited as reasons, Bondaz said. Paris, by the way, is hosting the 2024 Olympics.
Bondaz believes that the still shelved CAI investment agreement will not experience a revival under the French Council Presidency. Currently, there is no way to resolve the impasse of mutual sanctions – and France can’t change that either. Macron was hammered with criticism from left and right shortly after the political agreement in December 2020 (China.Table reported). So it would not be the worst idea to simply leave the agreement, which is unpopular in France, in the freezer as long as he is in the election campaign.
Brussels had repeatedly shown its intention to finalize trade instruments that could be used defensively against Beijing, while the CAI remained unfinished. Next year, among other things, new regulations for international procurement are to be finalized through the International Procurement Instrument (IPI). This, however, could cause a dispute between the Parliament and the EU Council about the implementation authority (China.Table reported). However, it is expected that IPI can be finalized under the French Council Presidency.
There is also a need to discuss the authority of the anti-coercion instrument (API), which is intended to respond more effectively to economic pressure from third countries such as China. Given the current situation in Lithuania, there is a particular focus on the EU Commission’s initiative, which is to be discussed in the Council and the EU Parliament soon.
Progress on foreign investment legislation is also expected in the first six months. In March, the so-called EU Strategic Compass is to be adopted (China.Table reported). In addition, the search continues for a suitable time for a face-to-face meeting between the EU and Chinese leaders. Several possible dates for the summit have already been discussed – but given the ongoing pandemic, the Winter Games in Beijing, and the People’s Congress in early March, it is unlikely that it will happen within the next three months.
2022 also holds some staff changes in store: China’s ambassador to Brussels, Zhang Ming, has already left the Belgian capital, the Chinese EU mission wrote in its newsletter on New Year’s Eve. His successor is still unclear. There is also a change on the other end. The EU ambassador to China, Nicolas Chapuis, will also be leaving his post soon.
The end of tax breaks for foreigners living in China is a much-discussed topic in the expat community. The State Council under Li Keqiang has now decided to extend the transition period until the end of the new year (China.Table reported). Accordingly, last year’s rules will continue to apply in 2022. But postponed doesn’t mean canceled. As planned, the tax law will be aligned with regulations for nationals in 2023.
The foreign chambers of commerce see the postponement as a success of their lobbying. Both the national chambers and the US Chamber of Commerce (AmCham), as well as the EU Chamber of Commerce (European Chamber), had used their contacts with the Chinese government to overturn the tax reform if possible. Now there was at least a reprieve. “The extension of non-taxed benefits is of utmost importance, not only for a large number of foreign companies employing experienced expatriates but also for China itself,” says Joerg Wuttke, president of the EU Chamber. The imminent risk of an exodus of international specialists has thus been averted.
The decision just before the end of the year is generally regarded as a positive signal in times of tightly shut Chinese borders caused by the Covid pandemic. Coupled with the Chinese government’s efforts towards more industrial independence, international companies had felt less and less welcome. Instead of the long-awaited opening, they have rather experienced an expansion of existing restrictions into new areas.
From a Chinese perspective, on the other hand, the change in tax law was a logical step. The obligations of foreign employees would thus be aligned with Chinese laws. Specifically, this involves several employer benefits:
These fringe benefits usually have to be paid directly by the employer. They should not go through the employee’s account for better clarity. But especially for smaller items, tax bureaus also accept refunds for receipts (Fapiao).
The new regulations indeed provide for new deductions. However, the effect of the savings would be nowhere near the previous deductions. According to the new rules, deductibles are:
The latter points clearly show the proximity to domestic tax law. They rarely occur for expats. The big difference to the old system: Previously, these benefits were simply completely excluded from income. In the future, they will be considered non-cash benefits, but at least allowances can be deducted. However, these allowances are small.
For example, tuition fees up to ¥1000 per month are deductible. But the German School in Beijing alone costs over €25,000 in the first year (depending on the individual case). That is about ¥15,000 a month. Amcham estimates that an employee who previously received ¥960,000 in fringe benefits per year would soon have to pay a higher tax of ¥785,000. That is about €100,000. Since employment contracts often guarantee parity with the original location, this means additional costs for the company in the future.
The outlines of the new regulations have been known since the beginning of 2019. A transition period originally set to last three years has been in place since 2018. Expats can currently choose whether to pay tax under the old or the new procedure. However, the reformed version has only found few voluntary supporters. Figures from Amcham show that an overwhelming majority of employees opted for the previous benefits.
In many cases, however, these new regulations will mainly affect employers. Secondment contracts often stipulate that the company bears the additional costs. But this is also relevant for China as a location. Secondments bear significant costs for companies as it is. In response to rising costs, the obvious corporate response would be to reduce expat positions.
In any case, the chambers warn of two trends: an exodus of expats who have to bear the costs themselves, and a loss of importance of China as a location. At 45 percent, the standard tax rate in China is already rather high by Asian standards. The figure is also higher than the EU average. Management consultancy KPMG sees China here on the same level as Germany. The EU Chamber now expects that the State Council’s friendly gesture will “improve China’s international relations overall”.
With the extension of the transitional period, a core demand of the chambers has been met. However, they would also like to see untaxed benefits retained. The AmCham in Shanghai is also asking for more predictability in rule changes. A notice six months in advance would be required for companies to adjust. This advance notice was not given in the unexpected decision on New Year’s Eve. But this time at least, it went in the desired direction.
China has mandated 97 “key state-owned enterprises” to reduce power consumption and CO2 emissions over the next few years. The companies in question are also to increase their renewable energy generation capacity. This is according to an official order dated December 30, 2021. However, no absolute targets have been set for power consumption and carbon emissions. Rather, by 2025, power efficiency, which is power consumption relative to company production, is to be reduced by 15 percent, and CO2 emissions relative to production are to be reduced by 18 percent compared to 2020. By 2030, emissions in relation to production are to fall by 65 percent – in this case, however, compared to 2005.
In addition, renewable energy is expected to account for more than 50 percent of the centrally state-owned enterprises’ power generation capacity by 2025. The renewable energy expansion target means that “hundreds [of gigawatts] of solar and wind buildout in next four years,” writes energy expert Yan Qin of Refinitiv, a provider of financial market data, on Twitter.
State-owned enterprises are 97 companies that carry out commercial activities on behalf of the Chinese government. Many of them operate in power-intensive sectors such as steel, construction, aviation, telecommunications, power generation, and mining, according to the South China Morning Post. State-owned enterprises are responsible for 90 percent of the nation’s oil and gas supply, 60 percent of its power supply, and 25 percent of its coal supply, according to Yan Qin. “SOEs hold an important position in national security and the economy, while they are also key units of carbon emissions. They should play demonstrative and leading roles in promoting carbon peaking and carbon-neutrality,” said the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council (SASAC), which issued the directive. nib
The Chinese central bank has provided the first tranche of billions for loans that are to be used specifically for “green projects”. The tranche comprises around $13 billion, as the Chinese business magazine Caixin reports.
The loan program was approved last November and is part of China’s efforts to use financial resources to move the country toward carbon neutrality. From now on, banks can register with the central bank and then lend funds for emission-reducing projects.
With the support of the central bank, banks have now provided ¥140 billion. Some 2,800 companies have already taken advantage of such green loans. Their projects can reduce CO2 emissions by nearly 29 million tons, a central bank official said in Beijing last Thursday.
China was responsible for more than 30 percent of global CO2 emissions in 2020. At the end of October, the leadership in Beijing had therefore presented a climate action plan to reduce emissions in China and to reach the peak in CO2 emissions by 2030 (China.Table reported). In total, the action plan lists nine overarching areas where emissions are to be reduced – from power to construction to transportation. The central bank is also to provide financial resources and incentives to achieve China’s climate targets.
These targets are a “strictly controlled” coal consumption and a decrease between 2026 and 2030. The share of non-fossil power consumption is to reach 25 percent by 2030. Carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP are to fall by more than 65 percent by 2030 compared to 2005. rad
Two senior officials in the megacity of Xi’an were removed from their posts on Sunday. This is reported by the South China Morning Post. The reason given is the poor handling of the current Covid outbreak. Several residents of the city had complained about food shortages.
According to the People’s Daily, Wang Bin and Cui Shiyue were in charge of the Yanta District. It has been hit the hardest by the current Covid outbreak. Wang Bin was most recently chairman of the district committee as a CP functionary, and Cui Shiyue was his deputy. The layoffs come just as the situation in the provincial capital of central China’s Shaanxi province is finally easing somewhat. Over the weekend, the number of new daily infections dropped below 100 for the first time since December 24. 101 new cases were registered nationwide, 90 in Xi’an alone.
A strict lockdown has been in effect for the 13 million residents of Xi’an for several days (China.Table reported). Initially, people were allowed to leave their homes every few days to buy food, but now they are only allowed to leave their homes for the mandatory Covid tests. As a result, they are completely dependent on state-organized supplies. While Chinese state media paints a largely rosy picture of devoted neighborhood committees and grateful residents, German journalist Fabian Kretschmer, on the other hand, reports differently: “It’s been over a week since we are no longer allowed to leave our housing complex, and the district government has so far not organized any meat, milk, or other food,” a Chinese woman from the southern part of the city, the epicenter of the Covid outbreak, told him.
China is pursuing a strict zero-covid strategy in the pandemic: With rigid measures such as those now in place in Xi’an, the virus has so far largely been brought under control. However, there have been several outbreaks since autumn. Now, the leadership fears the far more infectious Omicron variant. rad
The trade dispute between Lithuania and China remains unresolved in the new year. The Lithuanian government is therefore considering an aid package of up to €130 million to support companies affected by the Chinese tariff blockade. Six million euros have initially been allocated to the companies by the European Regional Development Fund, Lithuania’s Finance Minister Gintarė Skaistė said. China had imposed “unannounced sanctions” on Lithuanian companies. In return, the People’s Republic’s office in Lithuania accused the Baltic country of allowing the bilateral dispute to escalate at the EU level.
Meanwhile, a Chinese diplomat in Germany warned the new German government against following Lithuania’s example and allowing a Taiwan office under that name. Berlin should not play the “Taiwan card”, Wang Weidong, minister and chief of the Economic and Commercial Department at the Chinese Embassy in Germany, told the Chinese newspaper Global Times. According to Wang, “Lithuania aims to hold hostage the EU’s position on the Taiwan question with claims of economic coercion.” The People’s Republic had strictly adhered to the rules of the World Trade Organization (WTO). Reports in Western media about a tariff blockade of Lithuanian goods were “completely unfounded”. The interview came in response to a letter from the German-Baltic Chamber of Commerce warning of factory closures if the dispute could not be settled (China.Table reported).
The People’s Republic has been blocking the import of Lithuanian goods for a month. These are no longer being processed by customs. Other EU states are also affected if their products include components from Lithuania. Beijing has not yet made an official statement on the action. The EU is currently gathering information to potentially file a complaint with the WTO. ari
The human rights organization Human Rights Watch (HRW) has demanded the resignation of the president of the International Olympic Committee (IOC) and thinks due to the ongoing human rights violations, no Olympic Games should be held in China. During an interview with Deutschlandfunk radio, Wenzel Michalski, Human Rights Watch director for Germany, said: “If even the business community is now demanding that the human rights violations in Xinjiang should also be denounced by companies, then by now it should be clear to Mr. Bach and the others that their time has come.”
Four weeks before the start of the Winter Olympics in Beijing, Michalski stressed: “They must resign and leave the field to a new generation of human rights-conscious officials.” China has to face continued criticism for human rights violations against Uyghur and Tibetan minorities. In addition, China is also under fire for the suppression of the democracy movement in Hong Kong and growing threats against Taiwan.
This year, several sporting events are scheduled in countries with human rights problems, including the Winter Olympics in China and the World Cup in Qatar. HRW director Michalski also demanded that the power of these sports federations “should actually be broken now, because they have shown that they only act irresponsibly and out of money greed”.
FDP human rights politician Peter Heidt says: “I think it is madness to hold these Winter Games in China now. I know the athletes are preparing for it. But we should boycott these Winter Games completely.” Heidt also told Deutschlandradio that he was currently working on a motion to have Germany boycott the Games, at least diplomatically. But he said it was not easy to find the right wording in the governing coalition. So far, the German government has not found a unified line on the issue (China.Table reported).
Given the human rights violations in China, the US, Australia, the UK as well as Canada have announced a diplomatic boycott of the Games. They will not send any officials. IOC chief Thomas Bach apparently sees the situation differently. He had recently even spoken of great international support. “The support of the international community for these Winter Olympics is obvious and most welcome,” Bach said in his New Year’s address. The Winter Games will take place from February 4 to 20. rad
Anyone who studies or was somehow involved with China likely knew him: Jonathan D. Spence. He is considered one of the most renowned sinologists of our time. At least one of his many books can be found on the shelves of anyone interested in China: be it “The Search for Modern China”, “The Gate of Heavenly Peace”, “The Death of Woman Wang” or “God’s Chinese Son”, the biography of Hong Xiuquan (洪秀全), the founder and leader of the Taiping movement that once shook all of China.
Over the Christmas holidays, Jonathan Spence passed away at his home in West Haven, Connecticut. As his wife Annping Chin told American media, he died due to complications with his Parkinson’s disease. He was 85.
Although China and the US can hardly agree on anything lately, they share an admiration of Spence. He has influenced generations of Sinologists, writes the Washington Post. The Chinese business magazine Caixin praises Spence for explaining China to the West. And even the Beijing-based Global Times, which is usually fond of nationalist rhetoric, praises Spence as the guru of modern Chinese studies in the USA. The German historian Juergen Osterhammel once called Spence “one of the greatest artists of visualizing foreign worlds”.
Spence taught at the renowned Yale University for more than 40 years. His survey course on Chinese history alone was so popular all those years that it had to be held in the university’s largest halls – more often than not even in the campus chapel.
The lecture also produced what is probably his best-known book: The Search for Modern China. Published in 1990, it was translated into dozens of languages, became an international bestseller, and has long since become a classic in China’s history. In about 870 pages, Spence describes the multifaceted development of China from the 17th century to the events around Tiananmen Square in 1989. The book’s title reflects his approach: searching, ever vigilant, with great respect for detail.
The New York Times once wrote about his book “Treason by the Book”: “This is a delicate spider’s web of a book, deft, fascinating and precise as Chinese calligraphy.” The book is about the scholar Zeng Jing (曾靜), who tried to incite a rebellion against the emperor Yongzheng (雍正) in 1730.
Spence’s first publication appeared in 1966 under the title “Ts’ao Yin and the Kang-Hsi Emperor: Bondservant and Master”. In the foreword, Spence writes about his protagonist: “No great claims need be formulated concerning the importance of Ts’ao Yin. He was neither one of the great generals of the Qing dynasty nor a decisive figure in the reign of Emperor K’ang-hsi. Rather, his importance lies in the fact that the course of his life tells us much about the society in which he lived and the institutions in which he operated.
These words highlight the fundamental character of his work: Spence did not want to create a projection called China. At a time when historiography was little more than pure event history, Spence dared something revolutionary: With him, history was not made by places, dates, or treaties, but by people. He used concrete biographies in their concrete Chinese conditions to portray China as it was at the time.
Through the lives of historically authenticated figures, Spence’s readers casually learn about the social, cultural, and political events of times past. Spence himself once wrote: “It is my tacit belief that bold generalizations are usually far from reality and that individual experience is rare is in line with the assumed general trend.”
But his style was also met with criticism. Because Spence sometimes lets his characters speak, some critics accuse him of sometimes blurring the line between historical truth and literary fantasy.
Yet Spence attached great importance and care to the use of Chinese sources. By luck and chance, he was the first Western historian to visit the imperial archives in Taiwan in 1962. At the time, the documents were neither organized nor cataloged, so Spence worked his way through mountains of messy paper. In a 2010 interview, he described how he stumbled upon the handwritten notes of Qing Emperor Kangxi (K’ang-hsi, 康熙). “It was something that is still very emotional for me.”
Jonathan Dermot Spence was born in Surrey, England, in 1936. After spending two years in Germany during World War 2, he first studied history at Cambridge before finally focusing on China at Yale. There, he taught for more than 40 years until his retirement in 2008. With his second wife Annping Chin, he lived in West Haven, Connecticut, until his death.
Spence has received numerous honors and prizes: He received the John Addison Porter Prize for his dissertation and was elected to the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 1985, the American Philosophical Society in 1992, and the British Academy in 1997. In 2001, Queen Elizabeth II named him a Companion of the Distinguished Order of St Michael and St George. He has received honorary doctorates and degrees from Yale, Oxford, Hong Kong, Beijing, and Nanjing Universities, among others.
Spence’s Chinese name, by the way, is 史景遷 (Shǐ Jǐngqiān) – it is a tribute to the Chinese historian and writer Sima Qian. The latter is considered the founder of Chinese historiography because he was the first to write a summary of more than 2000 years of Chinese history, from the legendary Yellow Emperor to his time in the first century BC.
Spence was once asked what had sparked his interest in China: the thousands of years of history, the beautiful Chinese characters, or the mighty emperors on the dragon throne? Nothing of the sort. Rather, it was simple Chinese workers. His father had taken him to the cinema when he was a little boy; they were going to see a Disney film. It was 1944 and news was shown before the movie, with one news story making a lasting impression on young Spence: simple Chinese laborers had built a road through the mountains with their bare hands while fighting Japanese troops. “I found that performance very impressive.” It was this fascination with ordinary people that drove Spence throughout his academic career.
With Jonathan Spence, the world has lost one of its most influential China experts.
Chris Harvey has joined consulting platform XpertiseNow as CEO of its Hong Kong branch. He previously worked at Deloitte.
Chen Zhongqi has stepped down as chief executive of Hong Kong property company Agile Group. However, he will remain with the company on the Risk Assessment Committee.
Christian Bischof is now the head of the Baoli brand for the Europe, Middle East and Africa regions at Kion Group. Kion Baoli is a company based in Jiangsu.
It’s an icy highlight right at the beginning of the year: the Ice Festival in Harbin. Its origins lie in Harbin’s traditional lantern shows and garden parties, which have been held annually in winter since 1963. In the meantime, the festival has become highly professionalized and takes place on Sun Island, an area a few minutes away from the city. There, more than 12,000 workers create a colorful world of ice and snow at around minus 20 degrees. The festival doesn’t officially start until January 5. But it’s so beautiful that it’s hard to wait.
The new German government has set a clear direction for its relations with China: Germany’s approach is to become more European. So it is rather fitting that France, Germany’s closest partner, took over the EU Council presidency at the turn of the year.
Amelie Richter took a closer look at the French leader’s agenda for Europe and discovered: Even if Emmanuel Macron wants to set an Indo-Pacific focus and China is not explicitly at the top of the list, there will be no way to avoid the People’s Republic. Aside from strategic decisions, there are also important personnel decisions to be made.
China’s opening up policy has a rather bad reputation right now. But things can work differently. Just at the turn of the year, the Chinese State Council gave all foreign employees in China an unexpected present: The planned tax law change was postponed for a year. Finn Mayer-Kuckuk has analyzed the situation. In times of almost completely shut borders, the postponement is an unexpected offer of cooperation to the international business community.
Last but not least, I would like to bring your attention to an obituary. Jonathan D. Spence passed away during the Christmas holidays at the age of 85. He was one of the world’s most renowned sinologists, and presumably almost everyone interested in China has at least one of his books on their shelf. In today’s briefing we also take a look at what characterized his works on China.
I hope you enjoy today’s briefing!
New year, new EU Council presidency: On January 1, Paris took over the leadership of the body of heads of state and government. In the French capital, even the Eiffel Tower carried the EU flag to mark the occasion. After the relatively weak and disputed Slovenian presidency under the controversial Prime Minister Janez Janša, France’s head of state Emmanuel Macron is now taking over. Expectations are high, as the 44-year-old started the French presidency with a clear European focus. Three main pillars are to shape the next six months: “Relance, puissance, appartenance” – “recovery, strength, sense of belonging”.
While China may not be at the top of the agenda, the current trade dispute with Lithuania inevitably shifts the EU’s relationship with the People’s Republic into focus. The EU also continues to struggle to find a common line for the upcoming Winter Olympics. The domestic agenda also has the upcoming French presidential election in April – so France is starting with a full agenda.
The first three months of the year will be particularly intense for Paris, says researcher Antoine Bondaz, who focuses on China and Asia for the French think tank Fondation pour la recherche stratégique (FRS). From April onwards, it will become increasingly difficult to plan events with high-ranking representatives. The election campaign in France follows soon afterward. Foreign policy has so far played a minor role in the race for France’s highest office. The debate is dominated by migration and Covid policy.
The French EU Council presidency too will focus on the lingering issues of migration and the Covid pandemic. In his New Year’s address, Macron promised to do everything in his power to make the presidency a moment of progress: “Progress on controlling our borders, on climate-friendly technologies, on equality between men and women, on building a new alliance with Africa, on better monitoring of major internet platforms, on culture in Europe.”
Among other things, Macron wants to launch a Schengen reform to improve border defense in the next six months and calls for an EU-wide minimum wage and the creation of a CO2 border adjustment for imports, the so-called Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) (China.Table reported).
The main focus in foreign policy will be on “puissance” – the strength and power that Brussels aims to display as a self-proclaimed geopolitical power, Bondaz explains. The focus here is primarily on the Indo-Pacific region. Seven of France’s thirteen overseas departments are located in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific after all. The Élysée had already presented a strategy for the region in 2018.
Bondaz is convinced that under the leadership of the French, the EU’s Indo-Pacific strategy in particular will shift into focus. A first ministerial meeting between member states and countries in the region is scheduled for the end of February. “It will be a big event in Paris.” Whether it will also generate concrete results, however, remains to be seen, says Bondaz. It certainly would be time.
Brussels had presented its Indo-Pacific strategy back in September last year. It is now crucial that key projects are identified and addressed expeditiously, the French researcher said. “How do we ensure that we can build synergies with partners in the region like Japan and Korea?” These and other questions are on the minds of the French EU presidency. “We need pilot projects now, as there are no clear initiatives so far.” China may not be officially on the priority list – but with increased involvement in the Indo-Pacific, the relationship with Beijing will certainly play an unofficial role.
Bondaz sees it as an advantage that France is virtually on home soil. Around 1.5 million French citizens live in the Indo-Pacific region. In the Indian Ocean on the islands of La Réunion and Mayotte, in the Pacific in New Caledonia and French Polynesia. In addition, 7000 French troops are permanently stationed in the Indo-Pacific. The region’s distinctive characteristics must be considered in the implementation of the EU strategy, especially the “maritime dimension,” according to Bondaz. This primarily involves securing international sea routes and important maritime trade routes. This is an issue where Beijing fears a growing influence on the Taiwan Strait. This bears the potential for conflict.
Another of Brussels’ geopolitical strategies also needs to gain momentum during the six months of the French Council Presidency: The EU Commission wants the infrastructure initiative Global Gateway to produce concrete projects by mid-2022.
President Macron has been advocating a more independent supply for Europe, not least since the start of the Covid pandemic, and is already, for example, relocating the production of paracetamol to France. In his speech on the priorities of the EU Presidency, Macron emphasized the strive for self-sufficiency, including semiconductors.
Macron also made a statement during his speech that was less well-received. Addressing a possible diplomatic boycott of the Winter Olympics in Beijing, France’s head of state expressed that he doesn’t think much of being absent: “I don’t think we should politicize these topics, especially if it’s to take steps that are insignificant and symbolic.” France’s president, however, will not travel to Beijing, Bondaz is sure. Ministers may be sent – but Macron himself will not visit, despite having attended the Olympic Games in Japan this summer. Should Beijing have any complaints about it, the presidential election in France or the pandemic situation could be cited as reasons, Bondaz said. Paris, by the way, is hosting the 2024 Olympics.
Bondaz believes that the still shelved CAI investment agreement will not experience a revival under the French Council Presidency. Currently, there is no way to resolve the impasse of mutual sanctions – and France can’t change that either. Macron was hammered with criticism from left and right shortly after the political agreement in December 2020 (China.Table reported). So it would not be the worst idea to simply leave the agreement, which is unpopular in France, in the freezer as long as he is in the election campaign.
Brussels had repeatedly shown its intention to finalize trade instruments that could be used defensively against Beijing, while the CAI remained unfinished. Next year, among other things, new regulations for international procurement are to be finalized through the International Procurement Instrument (IPI). This, however, could cause a dispute between the Parliament and the EU Council about the implementation authority (China.Table reported). However, it is expected that IPI can be finalized under the French Council Presidency.
There is also a need to discuss the authority of the anti-coercion instrument (API), which is intended to respond more effectively to economic pressure from third countries such as China. Given the current situation in Lithuania, there is a particular focus on the EU Commission’s initiative, which is to be discussed in the Council and the EU Parliament soon.
Progress on foreign investment legislation is also expected in the first six months. In March, the so-called EU Strategic Compass is to be adopted (China.Table reported). In addition, the search continues for a suitable time for a face-to-face meeting between the EU and Chinese leaders. Several possible dates for the summit have already been discussed – but given the ongoing pandemic, the Winter Games in Beijing, and the People’s Congress in early March, it is unlikely that it will happen within the next three months.
2022 also holds some staff changes in store: China’s ambassador to Brussels, Zhang Ming, has already left the Belgian capital, the Chinese EU mission wrote in its newsletter on New Year’s Eve. His successor is still unclear. There is also a change on the other end. The EU ambassador to China, Nicolas Chapuis, will also be leaving his post soon.
The end of tax breaks for foreigners living in China is a much-discussed topic in the expat community. The State Council under Li Keqiang has now decided to extend the transition period until the end of the new year (China.Table reported). Accordingly, last year’s rules will continue to apply in 2022. But postponed doesn’t mean canceled. As planned, the tax law will be aligned with regulations for nationals in 2023.
The foreign chambers of commerce see the postponement as a success of their lobbying. Both the national chambers and the US Chamber of Commerce (AmCham), as well as the EU Chamber of Commerce (European Chamber), had used their contacts with the Chinese government to overturn the tax reform if possible. Now there was at least a reprieve. “The extension of non-taxed benefits is of utmost importance, not only for a large number of foreign companies employing experienced expatriates but also for China itself,” says Joerg Wuttke, president of the EU Chamber. The imminent risk of an exodus of international specialists has thus been averted.
The decision just before the end of the year is generally regarded as a positive signal in times of tightly shut Chinese borders caused by the Covid pandemic. Coupled with the Chinese government’s efforts towards more industrial independence, international companies had felt less and less welcome. Instead of the long-awaited opening, they have rather experienced an expansion of existing restrictions into new areas.
From a Chinese perspective, on the other hand, the change in tax law was a logical step. The obligations of foreign employees would thus be aligned with Chinese laws. Specifically, this involves several employer benefits:
These fringe benefits usually have to be paid directly by the employer. They should not go through the employee’s account for better clarity. But especially for smaller items, tax bureaus also accept refunds for receipts (Fapiao).
The new regulations indeed provide for new deductions. However, the effect of the savings would be nowhere near the previous deductions. According to the new rules, deductibles are:
The latter points clearly show the proximity to domestic tax law. They rarely occur for expats. The big difference to the old system: Previously, these benefits were simply completely excluded from income. In the future, they will be considered non-cash benefits, but at least allowances can be deducted. However, these allowances are small.
For example, tuition fees up to ¥1000 per month are deductible. But the German School in Beijing alone costs over €25,000 in the first year (depending on the individual case). That is about ¥15,000 a month. Amcham estimates that an employee who previously received ¥960,000 in fringe benefits per year would soon have to pay a higher tax of ¥785,000. That is about €100,000. Since employment contracts often guarantee parity with the original location, this means additional costs for the company in the future.
The outlines of the new regulations have been known since the beginning of 2019. A transition period originally set to last three years has been in place since 2018. Expats can currently choose whether to pay tax under the old or the new procedure. However, the reformed version has only found few voluntary supporters. Figures from Amcham show that an overwhelming majority of employees opted for the previous benefits.
In many cases, however, these new regulations will mainly affect employers. Secondment contracts often stipulate that the company bears the additional costs. But this is also relevant for China as a location. Secondments bear significant costs for companies as it is. In response to rising costs, the obvious corporate response would be to reduce expat positions.
In any case, the chambers warn of two trends: an exodus of expats who have to bear the costs themselves, and a loss of importance of China as a location. At 45 percent, the standard tax rate in China is already rather high by Asian standards. The figure is also higher than the EU average. Management consultancy KPMG sees China here on the same level as Germany. The EU Chamber now expects that the State Council’s friendly gesture will “improve China’s international relations overall”.
With the extension of the transitional period, a core demand of the chambers has been met. However, they would also like to see untaxed benefits retained. The AmCham in Shanghai is also asking for more predictability in rule changes. A notice six months in advance would be required for companies to adjust. This advance notice was not given in the unexpected decision on New Year’s Eve. But this time at least, it went in the desired direction.
China has mandated 97 “key state-owned enterprises” to reduce power consumption and CO2 emissions over the next few years. The companies in question are also to increase their renewable energy generation capacity. This is according to an official order dated December 30, 2021. However, no absolute targets have been set for power consumption and carbon emissions. Rather, by 2025, power efficiency, which is power consumption relative to company production, is to be reduced by 15 percent, and CO2 emissions relative to production are to be reduced by 18 percent compared to 2020. By 2030, emissions in relation to production are to fall by 65 percent – in this case, however, compared to 2005.
In addition, renewable energy is expected to account for more than 50 percent of the centrally state-owned enterprises’ power generation capacity by 2025. The renewable energy expansion target means that “hundreds [of gigawatts] of solar and wind buildout in next four years,” writes energy expert Yan Qin of Refinitiv, a provider of financial market data, on Twitter.
State-owned enterprises are 97 companies that carry out commercial activities on behalf of the Chinese government. Many of them operate in power-intensive sectors such as steel, construction, aviation, telecommunications, power generation, and mining, according to the South China Morning Post. State-owned enterprises are responsible for 90 percent of the nation’s oil and gas supply, 60 percent of its power supply, and 25 percent of its coal supply, according to Yan Qin. “SOEs hold an important position in national security and the economy, while they are also key units of carbon emissions. They should play demonstrative and leading roles in promoting carbon peaking and carbon-neutrality,” said the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council (SASAC), which issued the directive. nib
The Chinese central bank has provided the first tranche of billions for loans that are to be used specifically for “green projects”. The tranche comprises around $13 billion, as the Chinese business magazine Caixin reports.
The loan program was approved last November and is part of China’s efforts to use financial resources to move the country toward carbon neutrality. From now on, banks can register with the central bank and then lend funds for emission-reducing projects.
With the support of the central bank, banks have now provided ¥140 billion. Some 2,800 companies have already taken advantage of such green loans. Their projects can reduce CO2 emissions by nearly 29 million tons, a central bank official said in Beijing last Thursday.
China was responsible for more than 30 percent of global CO2 emissions in 2020. At the end of October, the leadership in Beijing had therefore presented a climate action plan to reduce emissions in China and to reach the peak in CO2 emissions by 2030 (China.Table reported). In total, the action plan lists nine overarching areas where emissions are to be reduced – from power to construction to transportation. The central bank is also to provide financial resources and incentives to achieve China’s climate targets.
These targets are a “strictly controlled” coal consumption and a decrease between 2026 and 2030. The share of non-fossil power consumption is to reach 25 percent by 2030. Carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP are to fall by more than 65 percent by 2030 compared to 2005. rad
Two senior officials in the megacity of Xi’an were removed from their posts on Sunday. This is reported by the South China Morning Post. The reason given is the poor handling of the current Covid outbreak. Several residents of the city had complained about food shortages.
According to the People’s Daily, Wang Bin and Cui Shiyue were in charge of the Yanta District. It has been hit the hardest by the current Covid outbreak. Wang Bin was most recently chairman of the district committee as a CP functionary, and Cui Shiyue was his deputy. The layoffs come just as the situation in the provincial capital of central China’s Shaanxi province is finally easing somewhat. Over the weekend, the number of new daily infections dropped below 100 for the first time since December 24. 101 new cases were registered nationwide, 90 in Xi’an alone.
A strict lockdown has been in effect for the 13 million residents of Xi’an for several days (China.Table reported). Initially, people were allowed to leave their homes every few days to buy food, but now they are only allowed to leave their homes for the mandatory Covid tests. As a result, they are completely dependent on state-organized supplies. While Chinese state media paints a largely rosy picture of devoted neighborhood committees and grateful residents, German journalist Fabian Kretschmer, on the other hand, reports differently: “It’s been over a week since we are no longer allowed to leave our housing complex, and the district government has so far not organized any meat, milk, or other food,” a Chinese woman from the southern part of the city, the epicenter of the Covid outbreak, told him.
China is pursuing a strict zero-covid strategy in the pandemic: With rigid measures such as those now in place in Xi’an, the virus has so far largely been brought under control. However, there have been several outbreaks since autumn. Now, the leadership fears the far more infectious Omicron variant. rad
The trade dispute between Lithuania and China remains unresolved in the new year. The Lithuanian government is therefore considering an aid package of up to €130 million to support companies affected by the Chinese tariff blockade. Six million euros have initially been allocated to the companies by the European Regional Development Fund, Lithuania’s Finance Minister Gintarė Skaistė said. China had imposed “unannounced sanctions” on Lithuanian companies. In return, the People’s Republic’s office in Lithuania accused the Baltic country of allowing the bilateral dispute to escalate at the EU level.
Meanwhile, a Chinese diplomat in Germany warned the new German government against following Lithuania’s example and allowing a Taiwan office under that name. Berlin should not play the “Taiwan card”, Wang Weidong, minister and chief of the Economic and Commercial Department at the Chinese Embassy in Germany, told the Chinese newspaper Global Times. According to Wang, “Lithuania aims to hold hostage the EU’s position on the Taiwan question with claims of economic coercion.” The People’s Republic had strictly adhered to the rules of the World Trade Organization (WTO). Reports in Western media about a tariff blockade of Lithuanian goods were “completely unfounded”. The interview came in response to a letter from the German-Baltic Chamber of Commerce warning of factory closures if the dispute could not be settled (China.Table reported).
The People’s Republic has been blocking the import of Lithuanian goods for a month. These are no longer being processed by customs. Other EU states are also affected if their products include components from Lithuania. Beijing has not yet made an official statement on the action. The EU is currently gathering information to potentially file a complaint with the WTO. ari
The human rights organization Human Rights Watch (HRW) has demanded the resignation of the president of the International Olympic Committee (IOC) and thinks due to the ongoing human rights violations, no Olympic Games should be held in China. During an interview with Deutschlandfunk radio, Wenzel Michalski, Human Rights Watch director for Germany, said: “If even the business community is now demanding that the human rights violations in Xinjiang should also be denounced by companies, then by now it should be clear to Mr. Bach and the others that their time has come.”
Four weeks before the start of the Winter Olympics in Beijing, Michalski stressed: “They must resign and leave the field to a new generation of human rights-conscious officials.” China has to face continued criticism for human rights violations against Uyghur and Tibetan minorities. In addition, China is also under fire for the suppression of the democracy movement in Hong Kong and growing threats against Taiwan.
This year, several sporting events are scheduled in countries with human rights problems, including the Winter Olympics in China and the World Cup in Qatar. HRW director Michalski also demanded that the power of these sports federations “should actually be broken now, because they have shown that they only act irresponsibly and out of money greed”.
FDP human rights politician Peter Heidt says: “I think it is madness to hold these Winter Games in China now. I know the athletes are preparing for it. But we should boycott these Winter Games completely.” Heidt also told Deutschlandradio that he was currently working on a motion to have Germany boycott the Games, at least diplomatically. But he said it was not easy to find the right wording in the governing coalition. So far, the German government has not found a unified line on the issue (China.Table reported).
Given the human rights violations in China, the US, Australia, the UK as well as Canada have announced a diplomatic boycott of the Games. They will not send any officials. IOC chief Thomas Bach apparently sees the situation differently. He had recently even spoken of great international support. “The support of the international community for these Winter Olympics is obvious and most welcome,” Bach said in his New Year’s address. The Winter Games will take place from February 4 to 20. rad
Anyone who studies or was somehow involved with China likely knew him: Jonathan D. Spence. He is considered one of the most renowned sinologists of our time. At least one of his many books can be found on the shelves of anyone interested in China: be it “The Search for Modern China”, “The Gate of Heavenly Peace”, “The Death of Woman Wang” or “God’s Chinese Son”, the biography of Hong Xiuquan (洪秀全), the founder and leader of the Taiping movement that once shook all of China.
Over the Christmas holidays, Jonathan Spence passed away at his home in West Haven, Connecticut. As his wife Annping Chin told American media, he died due to complications with his Parkinson’s disease. He was 85.
Although China and the US can hardly agree on anything lately, they share an admiration of Spence. He has influenced generations of Sinologists, writes the Washington Post. The Chinese business magazine Caixin praises Spence for explaining China to the West. And even the Beijing-based Global Times, which is usually fond of nationalist rhetoric, praises Spence as the guru of modern Chinese studies in the USA. The German historian Juergen Osterhammel once called Spence “one of the greatest artists of visualizing foreign worlds”.
Spence taught at the renowned Yale University for more than 40 years. His survey course on Chinese history alone was so popular all those years that it had to be held in the university’s largest halls – more often than not even in the campus chapel.
The lecture also produced what is probably his best-known book: The Search for Modern China. Published in 1990, it was translated into dozens of languages, became an international bestseller, and has long since become a classic in China’s history. In about 870 pages, Spence describes the multifaceted development of China from the 17th century to the events around Tiananmen Square in 1989. The book’s title reflects his approach: searching, ever vigilant, with great respect for detail.
The New York Times once wrote about his book “Treason by the Book”: “This is a delicate spider’s web of a book, deft, fascinating and precise as Chinese calligraphy.” The book is about the scholar Zeng Jing (曾靜), who tried to incite a rebellion against the emperor Yongzheng (雍正) in 1730.
Spence’s first publication appeared in 1966 under the title “Ts’ao Yin and the Kang-Hsi Emperor: Bondservant and Master”. In the foreword, Spence writes about his protagonist: “No great claims need be formulated concerning the importance of Ts’ao Yin. He was neither one of the great generals of the Qing dynasty nor a decisive figure in the reign of Emperor K’ang-hsi. Rather, his importance lies in the fact that the course of his life tells us much about the society in which he lived and the institutions in which he operated.
These words highlight the fundamental character of his work: Spence did not want to create a projection called China. At a time when historiography was little more than pure event history, Spence dared something revolutionary: With him, history was not made by places, dates, or treaties, but by people. He used concrete biographies in their concrete Chinese conditions to portray China as it was at the time.
Through the lives of historically authenticated figures, Spence’s readers casually learn about the social, cultural, and political events of times past. Spence himself once wrote: “It is my tacit belief that bold generalizations are usually far from reality and that individual experience is rare is in line with the assumed general trend.”
But his style was also met with criticism. Because Spence sometimes lets his characters speak, some critics accuse him of sometimes blurring the line between historical truth and literary fantasy.
Yet Spence attached great importance and care to the use of Chinese sources. By luck and chance, he was the first Western historian to visit the imperial archives in Taiwan in 1962. At the time, the documents were neither organized nor cataloged, so Spence worked his way through mountains of messy paper. In a 2010 interview, he described how he stumbled upon the handwritten notes of Qing Emperor Kangxi (K’ang-hsi, 康熙). “It was something that is still very emotional for me.”
Jonathan Dermot Spence was born in Surrey, England, in 1936. After spending two years in Germany during World War 2, he first studied history at Cambridge before finally focusing on China at Yale. There, he taught for more than 40 years until his retirement in 2008. With his second wife Annping Chin, he lived in West Haven, Connecticut, until his death.
Spence has received numerous honors and prizes: He received the John Addison Porter Prize for his dissertation and was elected to the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 1985, the American Philosophical Society in 1992, and the British Academy in 1997. In 2001, Queen Elizabeth II named him a Companion of the Distinguished Order of St Michael and St George. He has received honorary doctorates and degrees from Yale, Oxford, Hong Kong, Beijing, and Nanjing Universities, among others.
Spence’s Chinese name, by the way, is 史景遷 (Shǐ Jǐngqiān) – it is a tribute to the Chinese historian and writer Sima Qian. The latter is considered the founder of Chinese historiography because he was the first to write a summary of more than 2000 years of Chinese history, from the legendary Yellow Emperor to his time in the first century BC.
Spence was once asked what had sparked his interest in China: the thousands of years of history, the beautiful Chinese characters, or the mighty emperors on the dragon throne? Nothing of the sort. Rather, it was simple Chinese workers. His father had taken him to the cinema when he was a little boy; they were going to see a Disney film. It was 1944 and news was shown before the movie, with one news story making a lasting impression on young Spence: simple Chinese laborers had built a road through the mountains with their bare hands while fighting Japanese troops. “I found that performance very impressive.” It was this fascination with ordinary people that drove Spence throughout his academic career.
With Jonathan Spence, the world has lost one of its most influential China experts.
Chris Harvey has joined consulting platform XpertiseNow as CEO of its Hong Kong branch. He previously worked at Deloitte.
Chen Zhongqi has stepped down as chief executive of Hong Kong property company Agile Group. However, he will remain with the company on the Risk Assessment Committee.
Christian Bischof is now the head of the Baoli brand for the Europe, Middle East and Africa regions at Kion Group. Kion Baoli is a company based in Jiangsu.
It’s an icy highlight right at the beginning of the year: the Ice Festival in Harbin. Its origins lie in Harbin’s traditional lantern shows and garden parties, which have been held annually in winter since 1963. In the meantime, the festival has become highly professionalized and takes place on Sun Island, an area a few minutes away from the city. There, more than 12,000 workers create a colorful world of ice and snow at around minus 20 degrees. The festival doesn’t officially start until January 5. But it’s so beautiful that it’s hard to wait.