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Sinolytics Radar

China between state and market economy

Compared to other bond markets, China’s default rate is astonishingly low. This is largely caused by the government’s implicit promise to bail out SOEs that are in trouble, creating a typical “moral hazard” situation. Recent SOE defaults, however, show that China’s financial regulators are trying to move more strictly against this “moral hazard”. But their task is difficult: Other political goals, like employment and social stability, still often restrain financial regulators from allowing SOEs to fail.​

By Redaktion Table

HUAIAN, CHINA - DECEMBER 06: Aerial view of Evergrande Metropolis or Evergrande Mingdu housing complex on December 6, 2021 in Huaian, Jiangsu Province of China. PUBLICATIONxINxGERxSUIxAUTxHUNxONLY Copyright: xVCGx CFP111360592090
Feature

China's housing market: decline more likely than crash

Because Evergrande and other Chinese real estate developers are fighting for their future, the rating agency Fitch is predicting a sharp drop in prices on China's housing market. But will Beijing really let it get that far?

By Redaktion Table