Table.Briefing: Europe (English)

These EU politicians want to join the Bundestag + Letter from Scholz

Dear reader,

Federal Chancellor Olaf Scholz apparently wants to use the momentum of the new year: In a letter to Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, he speaks out in favor of an increased commitment to European competitiveness and the reduction of bureaucracy. According to the letter, the aim now is to reduce strategic dependencies and provide targeted support for European companies.

Scholz lists a number of points on which he would like the Commission to take “swift, targeted action”. At the top of his list are less bureaucracy and fewer reporting obligations for companies. It is important to find a “pragmatic balance” between objectives that serve the European economy and those of climate and environmental action. “Where planned projects harm competitiveness, they must be postponed or even completely withdrawn,” he writes. This applies, for example, to the targets for green hydrogen, which are too strict.

The Chancellor also criticizes the excessive burdens imposed by the Sustainability Directive (CSRD), the EU taxonomy, and the Supply Chain Directive (CSDDD). He is calling for the reporting obligation stipulated in the CSRD to be postponed by two years and for the thresholds for turnover and the number of employees to be raised.

In the run-up to the strategic dialog on the future of the automotive industry, which von der Leyen will chair, Scholz makes proposals for the automotive industry. In order to promote e-mobility, he would like the Commission to launch an initiative for a Europe-wide EV purchase incentive”. He also comments on the tariffs for EVs produced in China in the letter. Here it is important to reach an “amicable result” in the talks with Beijing on the withdrawal of European tariffs.

Scholz also wants support for the energy-intensive industry. He emphasizes the importance of the German and European steel industry, for which he is calling for a concept for a lead market for green steel, among other things. The funding framework for the switch to climate-friendly steel production should be “more pragmatic and flexible”, and the use of natural gas and blue hydrogen should be possible for the time being.

Scholz is critical of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which “disregards the international competitiveness of our own energy-intensive industry on the global market”. Export refunds and less bureaucracy are also needed here.

Get the first weekend of the year off to a good start!

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Sarah Schaefer
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Feature

Election on Feb. 23: These EU politicians want to enter the Bundestag

Two of 96 German MEPs are running for the Bundestag in the early federal elections on Feb. 23. In addition, two employees of German MEPs are also running for the Bundestag. One of the two MEPs and the two staff members have a chance of entering the national parliament.

It is reasonably certain that right-wing extremist Maximilian Krah will leave the European Parliament and move to the Bundestag. The 47-year-old, who has been a Member of the European Parliament since 2019, is running for an AfD direct mandate in the “Chemnitz Umland – Erzgebirgskreis II” constituency in Saxony. In 2021, the AfD won the Chemnitz Umland constituency with 28.9% of the vote.

After the European elections, Krah was expelled from the AfD delegation. He had previously relativized crimes committed by the SS. This prompted Marine Le Pen of the Rassemblement National to expel the AfD from the radical right-wing European party family. He is also accused of accepting bribes from pro-Russian forces and providing access to the European Parliament for an assistant who was a spy for China.

Krah is likely hoping that his entry into the Bundestag will help him escape political isolation within his own camp. Of the 15 newly elected AfD MEPs, eight voted for his exclusion and four against on the day after the European elections. Three MEPs abstained.

Volt founder wants to compete with the Greens

MEP Damian Boeselager is also running for the Bundestag. The 36-year-old founded the Volt party, which describes itself as pan-European, with fellow campaigners in 2017 and was the only Volt representative to enter the European Parliament for the first time in 2019. A share of 0.7% of the votes cast in Germany was enough for this. He joined the Green Group in the European Parliament. In 2024, he was again elected to the European Parliament in the European elections. This time, four other Volt politicians won a seat in the Strasbourg Parliament alongside him. The Volt delegation once again joined the Green Group.

Boeselager hopes that his candidacy will lead to a breakthrough for the young party in national elections in Germany. So far, Volt has only been represented in the national parliaments of Cyprus and the Netherlands. “I see an opportunity for Volt to enter another national parliament,” he told Table.Briefings. He wants to appeal to voters in a spectrum between the traffic light and the CDU/CSU who are hoping for a “new, moderate, fact-based policy in the center”. In doing so, he is aiming to win over voters, particularly the Greens, who are disappointed with the Green Party’s record of participation in the federal government.

Volt has not yet appeared in the opinion polls for the federal elections. This means that the party has a share of less than three percent of the vote and is therefore far from overcoming the five percent hurdle nationwide.

Boeselager’s goal is for Volt to reach “3 percent plus” in the polls in the remaining weeks: “That would be a signal to our supporters that we can make it into the Bundestag. Then we’ll shoot up to seven percent.” If the concept does not work out and Volt fails to pass the blocking clause, he will keep his seat in the European Parliament, where he is Vice-Chair of the Economic Affairs Committee.

Helmut Kohl’s grandson runs for the CDU

Johannes Volkmann, who has headed the office of CDU MEP Sven Simon since 2020, is running for a direct mandate in the Hessian constituency of Lahn-Dill. In 2021, the SPD won the constituency with a three percent lead over the CDU. In view of the poll results and because he has already achieved high popularity ratings personally, Volkmann is considered to have a good chance of entering the Bundestag.

The 28-year-old grandson of Helmut Kohl is a member of the extended CDU federal executive. “I would like to campaign for a reorientation of China policy in the Bundestag,” Volkmann told Table.Briefings. If he makes it into the Bundestag, however, he will not make any demands as a newcomer. Volkmann has a Master’s degree in China studies and a Bachelor’s degree in political science and sociology.

Helena Wolf, constituency assistant to MEP Udo Bullmann, is running for the Bundestag for the Hessian SPD in Offenbach. She has already worked as an assistant in the Bundestag for two years. The 27-year-old studied mechanical engineering and is the leader of the parliamentary group on Offenbach city council. In 2021, the CDU won the constituency with a lead of 1.4 percentage points over the SPD. Wolf told Table.Briefings: “I would like to campaign for solid funding for local authorities in the Bundestag.” A stable economy and fair distribution are also important to her.

  • AfD
  • CDU/CSU
  • EU Parliament
Translation missing.

State budget under pressure: Why Russia wants to retain foreign companies

Russia wants to attract new foreign investors to the country – with special security guarantees that they can withdraw an unlimited amount of their capital at any time. No company that was in the country before February 2022 can currently do this.

The appearance of Deputy Finance Minister Alexey Mojsew at the presentation of the plans in December was reminiscent of the famous greed scene from the 1987 film Wall Street. Mojsew said: “We believe that it is not a fantasy that foreign investors can enter the Russian market. We and all those who have been working in the financial market for a long time know very well that greed triumphs over everything else.”

Contrary to plans, the war budget increases

Russia needs money. The war against Ukraine is devouring huge resources. According to Defense Minister Andrey Beloussov, by 2025 it will be 6.3 percent of the gross domestic product, or 32.5 percent of the entire state budget. Janis Kluge from the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik) even assumes seven to eight percent of GDP. According to old plans from 2023, this expenditure should fall.

The Ministry of Finance and the Russian Central Bank are now preparing a law that guarantees special securities for future foreign investors. Whether the hope that fresh capital will come into the country will be fulfilled is questionable. If Western financial investors do indeed channel money into Russia despite sanctions, it is hard to imagine that Western states will stand idly by and watch these transactions.

However, more than half of all foreign companies are still active in Russia, including many German companies. It is almost impossible to determine exactly how many of the 3,651 German companies that were still in the country in February 2022 have remained. They are not violating sanctions. They have decided – despite moral questions – to stay in the market. And now leaving is bureaucratically more difficult and economically particularly disadvantageous. According to two German interlocutors who are in Moscow, it is now impossible to leave without suffering heavy losses. “You no longer sell – you give away,” said one of them, who regularly talks to German managers and companies in Russia.

Those who want to leave even pay extra

In 2024, Russia generated the equivalent of more than €1.4 billion from the exit deals of Western companies. According to media loyal to the Kremlin, this is one and a half times the revenue from 2023. At the end of 2024, revenue from this source exceeded the plans for this year by ten percent. So-called voluntary levies and enforced discounts ensure that a company loses at least 95% of its value when selling its Russian business. In fact, however, it even loses more. This is because the forced discount must be given on the value of the company, which is determined by a state-appointed appraiser. And he does not estimate the value according to the rules of the market.

The money that Western companies earn in Russia can only be transferred abroad in very small tranches. The profits therefore remain in the country. The companies could invest the money locally, but do not do so, as the head of the Metro Group, Steffen Greubel, explained in the Handelsblatt newspaper. The money is therefore parked in Russian banks. The profits of Western companies in Russia therefore help the state budget (through taxes) and the financial sector (through liquidity).

Both Russia and foreign companies are in a dilemma at the end of the third year of the war: Russia earns from every exit deal, but it also loses know-how and long-term revenue from various taxes, such as profit, sales, income, and value-added taxes. Every foreign company that leaves, in turn, loses technology, the value of the company, and a lucrative market in the long term.

Foreign values as a bargaining chip

According to a German who observes the exit processes in Russia and the pro-Kremlin newspaper Izvestia, hardly any exit procedures are currently being completed. The Kremlin apparently does not want the foreigners to leave. The German interlocutor in Moscow also says that the “big shock” for foreign companies is over and that they have adapted.

Furthermore, according to the second interlocutor, the authorities had apparently understood that it would be better if the factories remained in the hands of the owners. And finally, the profits and values of these foreign companies are also a bargaining chip if Moscow wants to regulate relations with the West.

  • Ukraine-Krieg

News

‘Security, Europe!’: Poland’s program for the Council Presidency

The motto of the Polish Council Presidency, which Prime Minister Donald Tusk took up on Jan. 1, is: “Security, Europe!” These are not empty words – under Tusk, Poland has increased its defense spending to 4.3 percent of gross domestic product in 2024 – and plans to spend 4.7 percent of GDP in the current year.

Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Tusk has been urgently warning of a possible third world war. He therefore wants to work with EU partners to strengthen European defense, ramp up arms production again, and secure long-term support for Ukraine. In order to finance this expenditure, Tusk is proposing joint European borrowing – the security situation is too serious, he says, to wait until the next EU budget.

Clear plans for the Council Presidency

But there is much more to his understanding of security: Tusk wants to strengthen the EU’s external borders and restrict illegal migration. Warsaw will use its Council Presidency to convince the EU to co-finance the border and defense facilities (Eastern Shield) on the border with Russia and Belarus. In the Baltic Sea, Tusk is advocating joint air and sea patrols by the NATO states in order to counteract Russian acts of sabotage. A week ago, the Estlink 2 submarine energy cable between Finland and Estonia was deliberately damaged by a ship from Russia. Poland wants to further tighten EU sanctions against Russia, in particular to paralyze the “shadow fleet” that transports Russian oil.

According to Tusk, Europe needs to intensify cooperation in order to be better equipped against disinformation and hybrid warfare by Russia. Data security, in particular, urgently needs to be improved. Poland also wants to advocate reforms to ensure the EU’s competitiveness in the global market. In Warsaw, there are doubts as to whether Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s government has really understood the extent of the threat posed by Russia – and is eagerly awaiting the general election. ar

  • EU-Haushalt
  • European Council
  • Migration
  • Poland
  • Russland

How Russia is using the Balkans as a testing ground for propaganda

Russia is influencing political landscapes in Europe via an “axis of autocrats”, writes Balkan expert Thomas Brey in a new study for the Friedrich Naumann Foundation. This axis begins with Vladimir Putin and runs through Hungary’s head of government Viktor Orbán, Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić and his junior partner Milorad Dodik to Slovakian Prime Minister Robert Fico.

Southeastern Europe is described as a “testing ground and training fieldfor the Kremlin’s propaganda of lies. The Moscow-controlled agencies Sputnik and RT Balkan (formerly Russia Today) find significant resonance in the region’s media landscapes. New forms of propaganda are being tested, and their effectiveness is being evaluated. Nationalistic narratives and longstanding hostilities provide the ideal breeding ground for fostering divisions and inciting the population “against the West”.

Serbia’s key role

Serbia plays a special role here as Russia’s closest European ally. The EU is still by far the largest donor in Serbia and the region. Most private investors also come from Europe and Germany in particular. In Serbia’s media, however, the “special relations” between the big and the little Slavic brothers are celebrated. All major media and small portals spread propaganda with unfiltered false information.

In addition, Serbian officials also spread pro-Russian and anti-Western narratives, writes Brey in his study. The vast majority of the population relies on television as their main source of information. The data showed that pro-Russian narratives dominated the programs with national reach. Pro-Russian commentators and conspiracy theorists are frequent guests. Russia is praised to the skies and the West is demonized.

As one example, the author cites an interview by the Russian state agency Tass with former German MP Klaus Ernst (BSW, formerly of the Left Party), which ran under the headline “Germany should return to Russian gas”. The interview was widely received in Serbia with the headline: “We made a mistake: Yet another country turns to Russia”. The message was that Germany had realized its mistake and now wanted to work with Moscow again.

German government politicians as a target

At the same time, German government politicians such as Minister Annalena Baerbock are regularly the target of lies and personal defamation. The narrative is also aimed at undermining Europe’s support for Ukraine. The USA, NATO, and the EU cannot win against a much stronger Russia.

At the same time, the economic and social situation in the West is portrayed as catastrophic, while Serbia is prospering thanks to its friendship with Russia. Strikes are portrayed as “outright uprisings” by broad sections of the population against those in power. The population in the West is impoverished because the NATO countries would rather spend money on arming Ukraine than on the welfare of their own citizens.

What can the EU do?

The study concludes with the question of what Europe can do to counter Russian destabilization: Western sources of funding are needed to make the introduction of a media literacy subject possible. Funding is also needed for initiatives in the region that specialize in fact-checking. Mention is also made of foreign radio programs such as the BBC or Deutsche Welle (DW), which are present in the region in the local languages but are still not listened to enough.

As part of the accession process, the EU must also demand transparency from media owners, according to the study. More effort could also be made in the promotion and coaching of young journalists. The EU must also counter propaganda more effectively and become more active in the fight against disinformation. sti

  • Desinformation

Annulled election in Romania: Georgescu files suit in Strasbourg

The right-wing extremist Călin Georgescu is taking legal action against the annulment of the first round of the presidential election in Romania. Georgescu has filed a complaint with the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) in Strasbourg, said his lawyer Maria Vasii, according to Romanian media.

In the ballot on Nov. 24, the far-right and Russia-friendly politician had surprisingly won first place. However, the Romanian Constitutional Court declared the result invalid and ordered a re-run of the election because the entire election process had been irregular.

According to Georgescu, the ECtHR is now demanding that the Romanian state is obliged to reverse the annulment of the first round of voting and organize a second round. Following the Constitutional Court’s decision, however, the entire election process must be repeated, including the examination of the candidates. There are no new dates for this yet.

Georgescu campaigned on TikTok

The Constitutional Court had argued, among other things, that voters had been manipulated in the election by unlawfully giving preferential treatment to one candidate on social media. Georgescu, who was little known until shortly before the election, had mainly campaigned for himself on TikTok. According to Romania’s government, TikTok had failed to label Georgescu as a politician and his posts as election advertising. The public prosecutor’s office is currently investigating this.

Georgescu has also already tried to legally defend himself against the election annulment in Romania. The Court of Appeal in Bucharest rejected his application at the end of December 2024. The plaintiff now has the option of appealing to the country’s supreme court. dpa

Merz: Free trade instead of a ‘tariff spiral’ with the USA

CDU chancellor candidate Friedrich Merz is in favor of proposing a new attempt at a transatlantic free trade agreement to future POTUS Donald Trump. “We need a positive agenda with the USA that benefits American and European consumers alike,” the CDU leader told the German Press Agency. “A new European-American initiative for joint free trade could prevent a dangerous spiral of tariffs.”

Negotiations between the EU and the USA on the Comprehensive Trade and Investment agreement TTIP were halted by Trump in 2017 at the start of his first term of office and have been on hold ever since.

Merz made it clear that he expects tougher conditions for the European economy when the new US government takes office. We would probably have to be prepared for America to look out for itself, as announced by Trump, and protect its own interests – for example with high import tariffs. “But our response to this should not be to start imposing tariffs now.” dpa

  • Donald Trump
  • Zölle

Norway almost there with switch to EVs

In Norway, diesel and gas cars are becoming obsolete. Almost nine out of ten new cars sold in the Scandinavian country are now electric vehicles, according to data released by the Road Traffic Authority on Thursday. This means that Norway is almost at its target of only putting new electric vehicles on the roads from 2025. “Norway will be the first country in the world to pretty much remove diesel and gasoline vehicles from the new car market,” says Christina Bu, head of the Norwegian Electric Car Association.

The Norwegian government has imposed high import duties on combustion vehicles, while EVs are exempt from such duties and other tax breaks apply. According to experts, this strategy also works because it has been maintained for a long time. “In other countries, we often see that tax concessions are first adopted and then withdrawn again,” says Bu.

Most of the EVs are from Tesla

Norway also benefits from the fact that no EVs are built in the country itself – and therefore there is no powerful car lobby. In 2024, most cars came from Tesla, followed by Volkswagen and Toyota. But Chinese suppliers are also gaining market share.

In the EU, the car industry is up in arms against the phasing out of combustion engines from 2035. The electric vehicle market is currently weakening and vehicle sales are falling. In particular, the abrupt end of the scrapping bonus in Germany has caused demand for such vehicles to collapse. At the same time, stricter CO2 fleet limits have been in force since this year. Experts assume that these limits cannot be met without a higher proportion of electric vehicles and that many manufacturers will face fines as a result. rtr

  • E-Autos

Opinion

Softened CO2 limits harm the German car industry and motorists

By Felix Creutzig
Felix Creutzig heads the Land Use, Infrastructure and Transportation working group at the Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC Berlin).

Europe is at a crossroads: While European regulation is tightening the CO2 limits for new cars next year as planned, the German car industry is struggling to remain competitive. Cheap electric vehicles from China are putting pressure on the market, while ambitious emissions targets are set to accelerate the transformation of the industry – with uncertain consequences for jobs and innovation. In this situation, Volkswagen and Mercedes – unlike BWM or Opel – are pushing to soften the upcoming CO2 limits.

However, softening the CO2 fleet limits in the EU from 2025 would be a serious strategic mistake that would damage the German automotive industry in the long term. Instead of focusing on the future markets of electromobility, such a decision would chain the industry to the past – in a shrinking market for combustion engines.

Why the transition to electromobility is inevitable

The future market is clear: electric vehicles. They are already on the way to becoming competitive in terms of production costs. Thanks to falling battery costs, they will be cheaper than combustion engines by the end of this decade at the latest. This development is being accelerated by technological advances, economies of scale and massive investment in the charging infrastructure. At the same time, the operating costs of combustion engines are increasing due to rising energy prices, CO2 levies and higher maintenance costs.

The transition to electromobility is not only inevitable but also economically indispensable for an industry that wants to remain globally competitive. A strategy that continues to rely on combustion engines ignores this dynamic and ties up resources in an outdated concept.

Consumers foot the bill

Currently, newly registered cars may not emit more than 115.1 grams of CO2 per kilometer on average in the EU. In 2025, this limit would fall to 93.6 grams. Softening the CO2 limits would mean passing on the costs to consumers. How is that possible?

Lower CO2 fleet limits would slow down the sale of electric vehicles, as the pressure on manufacturers to offer zero-emission vehicles would decrease. This would have immediate consequences: In three years’ time, there would be more vehicles with combustion engines on the roads, which would increase CO2 emissions. These additional emissions would be reflected in the ETS-II emissions trading system, which will also cover the transport sector in the future. Higher emissions lead to a shortage of certificates and therefore to rising prices. These additional costs will be passed on directly to consumers in the form of higher gas and diesel prices at the gas station. The strategy of the Brussels lobbyists therefore amounts to shifting the costs of the transformation from the automotive industry to the public, while at the same time delaying the urgently needed reduction in emissions.

‘Technological openness’ is a smokescreen to preserve the combustion engine

However, a flexibility option that allows the fleet limits to be exceeded in 2025 and in turn overcompensates for the fleet limits for 2026 would have virtually no impact on the ETS II CO2 prices in the following years. In these years, the same amount of CO2 emissions would be generated in the transport sector with or without the flexibility option. In this respect, a flexibility option limited to 2025 and 2026 would be acceptable.

The assumption that the existing CO2 limits for 2025 would result in billions being paid out to the German car industry per se should be treated with caution. Rather, the limits create incentives to push more EVs onto the market at a discount and to offer combustion engines without a discount: a desired effect in order to achieve the fleet limits, avoid fines, and take an important step towards achieving climate targets.

The argument that the softening of fleet limits is necessary to ensure “technological openness” also turns out to be a smokescreen on closer inspection. The aim behind this buzzword is often to keep the combustion engine artificially alive. While hydrogen and e-fuels are propagated as alternatives for propulsion, these technologies are neither sufficiently available nor economically suitable for widespread use in passenger cars.

The cost of producing e-fuels is disproportionately high and the energy loss during their production and use is enormous. Biofuels, on the other hand, are hardly sustainable in large quantities. In fact, these “alternative technologies” are often just a pretext for delaying the transition to electromobility and protecting fossil fuel business models.

The German automotive industry has the opportunity to secure its global leadership position by consistently focusing on electromobility. Competitors from China and the USA are investing massively in electric vehicles and already dominate key markets. Those who now rely on a stagnating past market risk being left behind in global competition. Instead of softening the limits, the EU should stringently maintain its fleet limits and thus set the course for sustainable, future-proof mobility. This is not only good for the climate, but also crucial for the long-term competitiveness of the German automotive industry.

Prof. Dr. Felix Creutzig heads the Land Use, Infrastructure and Transport working group at the Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC Berlin). He is Bennett Chair for Innovation and Policy Innovation at the University of Sussex and is a member of the Expert Advisory Board on Climate Protection in Mobility.

  • E-Fuels
  • Elektromobilität
  • Fleet limits

Europe.Table Editorial Team

EUROPE.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

Licenses:
    Dear reader,

    Federal Chancellor Olaf Scholz apparently wants to use the momentum of the new year: In a letter to Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, he speaks out in favor of an increased commitment to European competitiveness and the reduction of bureaucracy. According to the letter, the aim now is to reduce strategic dependencies and provide targeted support for European companies.

    Scholz lists a number of points on which he would like the Commission to take “swift, targeted action”. At the top of his list are less bureaucracy and fewer reporting obligations for companies. It is important to find a “pragmatic balance” between objectives that serve the European economy and those of climate and environmental action. “Where planned projects harm competitiveness, they must be postponed or even completely withdrawn,” he writes. This applies, for example, to the targets for green hydrogen, which are too strict.

    The Chancellor also criticizes the excessive burdens imposed by the Sustainability Directive (CSRD), the EU taxonomy, and the Supply Chain Directive (CSDDD). He is calling for the reporting obligation stipulated in the CSRD to be postponed by two years and for the thresholds for turnover and the number of employees to be raised.

    In the run-up to the strategic dialog on the future of the automotive industry, which von der Leyen will chair, Scholz makes proposals for the automotive industry. In order to promote e-mobility, he would like the Commission to launch an initiative for a Europe-wide EV purchase incentive”. He also comments on the tariffs for EVs produced in China in the letter. Here it is important to reach an “amicable result” in the talks with Beijing on the withdrawal of European tariffs.

    Scholz also wants support for the energy-intensive industry. He emphasizes the importance of the German and European steel industry, for which he is calling for a concept for a lead market for green steel, among other things. The funding framework for the switch to climate-friendly steel production should be “more pragmatic and flexible”, and the use of natural gas and blue hydrogen should be possible for the time being.

    Scholz is critical of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which “disregards the international competitiveness of our own energy-intensive industry on the global market”. Export refunds and less bureaucracy are also needed here.

    Get the first weekend of the year off to a good start!

    Your
    Sarah Schaefer
    Image of Sarah  Schaefer

    Feature

    Election on Feb. 23: These EU politicians want to enter the Bundestag

    Two of 96 German MEPs are running for the Bundestag in the early federal elections on Feb. 23. In addition, two employees of German MEPs are also running for the Bundestag. One of the two MEPs and the two staff members have a chance of entering the national parliament.

    It is reasonably certain that right-wing extremist Maximilian Krah will leave the European Parliament and move to the Bundestag. The 47-year-old, who has been a Member of the European Parliament since 2019, is running for an AfD direct mandate in the “Chemnitz Umland – Erzgebirgskreis II” constituency in Saxony. In 2021, the AfD won the Chemnitz Umland constituency with 28.9% of the vote.

    After the European elections, Krah was expelled from the AfD delegation. He had previously relativized crimes committed by the SS. This prompted Marine Le Pen of the Rassemblement National to expel the AfD from the radical right-wing European party family. He is also accused of accepting bribes from pro-Russian forces and providing access to the European Parliament for an assistant who was a spy for China.

    Krah is likely hoping that his entry into the Bundestag will help him escape political isolation within his own camp. Of the 15 newly elected AfD MEPs, eight voted for his exclusion and four against on the day after the European elections. Three MEPs abstained.

    Volt founder wants to compete with the Greens

    MEP Damian Boeselager is also running for the Bundestag. The 36-year-old founded the Volt party, which describes itself as pan-European, with fellow campaigners in 2017 and was the only Volt representative to enter the European Parliament for the first time in 2019. A share of 0.7% of the votes cast in Germany was enough for this. He joined the Green Group in the European Parliament. In 2024, he was again elected to the European Parliament in the European elections. This time, four other Volt politicians won a seat in the Strasbourg Parliament alongside him. The Volt delegation once again joined the Green Group.

    Boeselager hopes that his candidacy will lead to a breakthrough for the young party in national elections in Germany. So far, Volt has only been represented in the national parliaments of Cyprus and the Netherlands. “I see an opportunity for Volt to enter another national parliament,” he told Table.Briefings. He wants to appeal to voters in a spectrum between the traffic light and the CDU/CSU who are hoping for a “new, moderate, fact-based policy in the center”. In doing so, he is aiming to win over voters, particularly the Greens, who are disappointed with the Green Party’s record of participation in the federal government.

    Volt has not yet appeared in the opinion polls for the federal elections. This means that the party has a share of less than three percent of the vote and is therefore far from overcoming the five percent hurdle nationwide.

    Boeselager’s goal is for Volt to reach “3 percent plus” in the polls in the remaining weeks: “That would be a signal to our supporters that we can make it into the Bundestag. Then we’ll shoot up to seven percent.” If the concept does not work out and Volt fails to pass the blocking clause, he will keep his seat in the European Parliament, where he is Vice-Chair of the Economic Affairs Committee.

    Helmut Kohl’s grandson runs for the CDU

    Johannes Volkmann, who has headed the office of CDU MEP Sven Simon since 2020, is running for a direct mandate in the Hessian constituency of Lahn-Dill. In 2021, the SPD won the constituency with a three percent lead over the CDU. In view of the poll results and because he has already achieved high popularity ratings personally, Volkmann is considered to have a good chance of entering the Bundestag.

    The 28-year-old grandson of Helmut Kohl is a member of the extended CDU federal executive. “I would like to campaign for a reorientation of China policy in the Bundestag,” Volkmann told Table.Briefings. If he makes it into the Bundestag, however, he will not make any demands as a newcomer. Volkmann has a Master’s degree in China studies and a Bachelor’s degree in political science and sociology.

    Helena Wolf, constituency assistant to MEP Udo Bullmann, is running for the Bundestag for the Hessian SPD in Offenbach. She has already worked as an assistant in the Bundestag for two years. The 27-year-old studied mechanical engineering and is the leader of the parliamentary group on Offenbach city council. In 2021, the CDU won the constituency with a lead of 1.4 percentage points over the SPD. Wolf told Table.Briefings: “I would like to campaign for solid funding for local authorities in the Bundestag.” A stable economy and fair distribution are also important to her.

    • AfD
    • CDU/CSU
    • EU Parliament
    Translation missing.

    State budget under pressure: Why Russia wants to retain foreign companies

    Russia wants to attract new foreign investors to the country – with special security guarantees that they can withdraw an unlimited amount of their capital at any time. No company that was in the country before February 2022 can currently do this.

    The appearance of Deputy Finance Minister Alexey Mojsew at the presentation of the plans in December was reminiscent of the famous greed scene from the 1987 film Wall Street. Mojsew said: “We believe that it is not a fantasy that foreign investors can enter the Russian market. We and all those who have been working in the financial market for a long time know very well that greed triumphs over everything else.”

    Contrary to plans, the war budget increases

    Russia needs money. The war against Ukraine is devouring huge resources. According to Defense Minister Andrey Beloussov, by 2025 it will be 6.3 percent of the gross domestic product, or 32.5 percent of the entire state budget. Janis Kluge from the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik) even assumes seven to eight percent of GDP. According to old plans from 2023, this expenditure should fall.

    The Ministry of Finance and the Russian Central Bank are now preparing a law that guarantees special securities for future foreign investors. Whether the hope that fresh capital will come into the country will be fulfilled is questionable. If Western financial investors do indeed channel money into Russia despite sanctions, it is hard to imagine that Western states will stand idly by and watch these transactions.

    However, more than half of all foreign companies are still active in Russia, including many German companies. It is almost impossible to determine exactly how many of the 3,651 German companies that were still in the country in February 2022 have remained. They are not violating sanctions. They have decided – despite moral questions – to stay in the market. And now leaving is bureaucratically more difficult and economically particularly disadvantageous. According to two German interlocutors who are in Moscow, it is now impossible to leave without suffering heavy losses. “You no longer sell – you give away,” said one of them, who regularly talks to German managers and companies in Russia.

    Those who want to leave even pay extra

    In 2024, Russia generated the equivalent of more than €1.4 billion from the exit deals of Western companies. According to media loyal to the Kremlin, this is one and a half times the revenue from 2023. At the end of 2024, revenue from this source exceeded the plans for this year by ten percent. So-called voluntary levies and enforced discounts ensure that a company loses at least 95% of its value when selling its Russian business. In fact, however, it even loses more. This is because the forced discount must be given on the value of the company, which is determined by a state-appointed appraiser. And he does not estimate the value according to the rules of the market.

    The money that Western companies earn in Russia can only be transferred abroad in very small tranches. The profits therefore remain in the country. The companies could invest the money locally, but do not do so, as the head of the Metro Group, Steffen Greubel, explained in the Handelsblatt newspaper. The money is therefore parked in Russian banks. The profits of Western companies in Russia therefore help the state budget (through taxes) and the financial sector (through liquidity).

    Both Russia and foreign companies are in a dilemma at the end of the third year of the war: Russia earns from every exit deal, but it also loses know-how and long-term revenue from various taxes, such as profit, sales, income, and value-added taxes. Every foreign company that leaves, in turn, loses technology, the value of the company, and a lucrative market in the long term.

    Foreign values as a bargaining chip

    According to a German who observes the exit processes in Russia and the pro-Kremlin newspaper Izvestia, hardly any exit procedures are currently being completed. The Kremlin apparently does not want the foreigners to leave. The German interlocutor in Moscow also says that the “big shock” for foreign companies is over and that they have adapted.

    Furthermore, according to the second interlocutor, the authorities had apparently understood that it would be better if the factories remained in the hands of the owners. And finally, the profits and values of these foreign companies are also a bargaining chip if Moscow wants to regulate relations with the West.

    • Ukraine-Krieg

    News

    ‘Security, Europe!’: Poland’s program for the Council Presidency

    The motto of the Polish Council Presidency, which Prime Minister Donald Tusk took up on Jan. 1, is: “Security, Europe!” These are not empty words – under Tusk, Poland has increased its defense spending to 4.3 percent of gross domestic product in 2024 – and plans to spend 4.7 percent of GDP in the current year.

    Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Tusk has been urgently warning of a possible third world war. He therefore wants to work with EU partners to strengthen European defense, ramp up arms production again, and secure long-term support for Ukraine. In order to finance this expenditure, Tusk is proposing joint European borrowing – the security situation is too serious, he says, to wait until the next EU budget.

    Clear plans for the Council Presidency

    But there is much more to his understanding of security: Tusk wants to strengthen the EU’s external borders and restrict illegal migration. Warsaw will use its Council Presidency to convince the EU to co-finance the border and defense facilities (Eastern Shield) on the border with Russia and Belarus. In the Baltic Sea, Tusk is advocating joint air and sea patrols by the NATO states in order to counteract Russian acts of sabotage. A week ago, the Estlink 2 submarine energy cable between Finland and Estonia was deliberately damaged by a ship from Russia. Poland wants to further tighten EU sanctions against Russia, in particular to paralyze the “shadow fleet” that transports Russian oil.

    According to Tusk, Europe needs to intensify cooperation in order to be better equipped against disinformation and hybrid warfare by Russia. Data security, in particular, urgently needs to be improved. Poland also wants to advocate reforms to ensure the EU’s competitiveness in the global market. In Warsaw, there are doubts as to whether Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s government has really understood the extent of the threat posed by Russia – and is eagerly awaiting the general election. ar

    • EU-Haushalt
    • European Council
    • Migration
    • Poland
    • Russland

    How Russia is using the Balkans as a testing ground for propaganda

    Russia is influencing political landscapes in Europe via an “axis of autocrats”, writes Balkan expert Thomas Brey in a new study for the Friedrich Naumann Foundation. This axis begins with Vladimir Putin and runs through Hungary’s head of government Viktor Orbán, Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić and his junior partner Milorad Dodik to Slovakian Prime Minister Robert Fico.

    Southeastern Europe is described as a “testing ground and training fieldfor the Kremlin’s propaganda of lies. The Moscow-controlled agencies Sputnik and RT Balkan (formerly Russia Today) find significant resonance in the region’s media landscapes. New forms of propaganda are being tested, and their effectiveness is being evaluated. Nationalistic narratives and longstanding hostilities provide the ideal breeding ground for fostering divisions and inciting the population “against the West”.

    Serbia’s key role

    Serbia plays a special role here as Russia’s closest European ally. The EU is still by far the largest donor in Serbia and the region. Most private investors also come from Europe and Germany in particular. In Serbia’s media, however, the “special relations” between the big and the little Slavic brothers are celebrated. All major media and small portals spread propaganda with unfiltered false information.

    In addition, Serbian officials also spread pro-Russian and anti-Western narratives, writes Brey in his study. The vast majority of the population relies on television as their main source of information. The data showed that pro-Russian narratives dominated the programs with national reach. Pro-Russian commentators and conspiracy theorists are frequent guests. Russia is praised to the skies and the West is demonized.

    As one example, the author cites an interview by the Russian state agency Tass with former German MP Klaus Ernst (BSW, formerly of the Left Party), which ran under the headline “Germany should return to Russian gas”. The interview was widely received in Serbia with the headline: “We made a mistake: Yet another country turns to Russia”. The message was that Germany had realized its mistake and now wanted to work with Moscow again.

    German government politicians as a target

    At the same time, German government politicians such as Minister Annalena Baerbock are regularly the target of lies and personal defamation. The narrative is also aimed at undermining Europe’s support for Ukraine. The USA, NATO, and the EU cannot win against a much stronger Russia.

    At the same time, the economic and social situation in the West is portrayed as catastrophic, while Serbia is prospering thanks to its friendship with Russia. Strikes are portrayed as “outright uprisings” by broad sections of the population against those in power. The population in the West is impoverished because the NATO countries would rather spend money on arming Ukraine than on the welfare of their own citizens.

    What can the EU do?

    The study concludes with the question of what Europe can do to counter Russian destabilization: Western sources of funding are needed to make the introduction of a media literacy subject possible. Funding is also needed for initiatives in the region that specialize in fact-checking. Mention is also made of foreign radio programs such as the BBC or Deutsche Welle (DW), which are present in the region in the local languages but are still not listened to enough.

    As part of the accession process, the EU must also demand transparency from media owners, according to the study. More effort could also be made in the promotion and coaching of young journalists. The EU must also counter propaganda more effectively and become more active in the fight against disinformation. sti

    • Desinformation

    Annulled election in Romania: Georgescu files suit in Strasbourg

    The right-wing extremist Călin Georgescu is taking legal action against the annulment of the first round of the presidential election in Romania. Georgescu has filed a complaint with the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) in Strasbourg, said his lawyer Maria Vasii, according to Romanian media.

    In the ballot on Nov. 24, the far-right and Russia-friendly politician had surprisingly won first place. However, the Romanian Constitutional Court declared the result invalid and ordered a re-run of the election because the entire election process had been irregular.

    According to Georgescu, the ECtHR is now demanding that the Romanian state is obliged to reverse the annulment of the first round of voting and organize a second round. Following the Constitutional Court’s decision, however, the entire election process must be repeated, including the examination of the candidates. There are no new dates for this yet.

    Georgescu campaigned on TikTok

    The Constitutional Court had argued, among other things, that voters had been manipulated in the election by unlawfully giving preferential treatment to one candidate on social media. Georgescu, who was little known until shortly before the election, had mainly campaigned for himself on TikTok. According to Romania’s government, TikTok had failed to label Georgescu as a politician and his posts as election advertising. The public prosecutor’s office is currently investigating this.

    Georgescu has also already tried to legally defend himself against the election annulment in Romania. The Court of Appeal in Bucharest rejected his application at the end of December 2024. The plaintiff now has the option of appealing to the country’s supreme court. dpa

    Merz: Free trade instead of a ‘tariff spiral’ with the USA

    CDU chancellor candidate Friedrich Merz is in favor of proposing a new attempt at a transatlantic free trade agreement to future POTUS Donald Trump. “We need a positive agenda with the USA that benefits American and European consumers alike,” the CDU leader told the German Press Agency. “A new European-American initiative for joint free trade could prevent a dangerous spiral of tariffs.”

    Negotiations between the EU and the USA on the Comprehensive Trade and Investment agreement TTIP were halted by Trump in 2017 at the start of his first term of office and have been on hold ever since.

    Merz made it clear that he expects tougher conditions for the European economy when the new US government takes office. We would probably have to be prepared for America to look out for itself, as announced by Trump, and protect its own interests – for example with high import tariffs. “But our response to this should not be to start imposing tariffs now.” dpa

    • Donald Trump
    • Zölle

    Norway almost there with switch to EVs

    In Norway, diesel and gas cars are becoming obsolete. Almost nine out of ten new cars sold in the Scandinavian country are now electric vehicles, according to data released by the Road Traffic Authority on Thursday. This means that Norway is almost at its target of only putting new electric vehicles on the roads from 2025. “Norway will be the first country in the world to pretty much remove diesel and gasoline vehicles from the new car market,” says Christina Bu, head of the Norwegian Electric Car Association.

    The Norwegian government has imposed high import duties on combustion vehicles, while EVs are exempt from such duties and other tax breaks apply. According to experts, this strategy also works because it has been maintained for a long time. “In other countries, we often see that tax concessions are first adopted and then withdrawn again,” says Bu.

    Most of the EVs are from Tesla

    Norway also benefits from the fact that no EVs are built in the country itself – and therefore there is no powerful car lobby. In 2024, most cars came from Tesla, followed by Volkswagen and Toyota. But Chinese suppliers are also gaining market share.

    In the EU, the car industry is up in arms against the phasing out of combustion engines from 2035. The electric vehicle market is currently weakening and vehicle sales are falling. In particular, the abrupt end of the scrapping bonus in Germany has caused demand for such vehicles to collapse. At the same time, stricter CO2 fleet limits have been in force since this year. Experts assume that these limits cannot be met without a higher proportion of electric vehicles and that many manufacturers will face fines as a result. rtr

    • E-Autos

    Opinion

    Softened CO2 limits harm the German car industry and motorists

    By Felix Creutzig
    Felix Creutzig heads the Land Use, Infrastructure and Transportation working group at the Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC Berlin).

    Europe is at a crossroads: While European regulation is tightening the CO2 limits for new cars next year as planned, the German car industry is struggling to remain competitive. Cheap electric vehicles from China are putting pressure on the market, while ambitious emissions targets are set to accelerate the transformation of the industry – with uncertain consequences for jobs and innovation. In this situation, Volkswagen and Mercedes – unlike BWM or Opel – are pushing to soften the upcoming CO2 limits.

    However, softening the CO2 fleet limits in the EU from 2025 would be a serious strategic mistake that would damage the German automotive industry in the long term. Instead of focusing on the future markets of electromobility, such a decision would chain the industry to the past – in a shrinking market for combustion engines.

    Why the transition to electromobility is inevitable

    The future market is clear: electric vehicles. They are already on the way to becoming competitive in terms of production costs. Thanks to falling battery costs, they will be cheaper than combustion engines by the end of this decade at the latest. This development is being accelerated by technological advances, economies of scale and massive investment in the charging infrastructure. At the same time, the operating costs of combustion engines are increasing due to rising energy prices, CO2 levies and higher maintenance costs.

    The transition to electromobility is not only inevitable but also economically indispensable for an industry that wants to remain globally competitive. A strategy that continues to rely on combustion engines ignores this dynamic and ties up resources in an outdated concept.

    Consumers foot the bill

    Currently, newly registered cars may not emit more than 115.1 grams of CO2 per kilometer on average in the EU. In 2025, this limit would fall to 93.6 grams. Softening the CO2 limits would mean passing on the costs to consumers. How is that possible?

    Lower CO2 fleet limits would slow down the sale of electric vehicles, as the pressure on manufacturers to offer zero-emission vehicles would decrease. This would have immediate consequences: In three years’ time, there would be more vehicles with combustion engines on the roads, which would increase CO2 emissions. These additional emissions would be reflected in the ETS-II emissions trading system, which will also cover the transport sector in the future. Higher emissions lead to a shortage of certificates and therefore to rising prices. These additional costs will be passed on directly to consumers in the form of higher gas and diesel prices at the gas station. The strategy of the Brussels lobbyists therefore amounts to shifting the costs of the transformation from the automotive industry to the public, while at the same time delaying the urgently needed reduction in emissions.

    ‘Technological openness’ is a smokescreen to preserve the combustion engine

    However, a flexibility option that allows the fleet limits to be exceeded in 2025 and in turn overcompensates for the fleet limits for 2026 would have virtually no impact on the ETS II CO2 prices in the following years. In these years, the same amount of CO2 emissions would be generated in the transport sector with or without the flexibility option. In this respect, a flexibility option limited to 2025 and 2026 would be acceptable.

    The assumption that the existing CO2 limits for 2025 would result in billions being paid out to the German car industry per se should be treated with caution. Rather, the limits create incentives to push more EVs onto the market at a discount and to offer combustion engines without a discount: a desired effect in order to achieve the fleet limits, avoid fines, and take an important step towards achieving climate targets.

    The argument that the softening of fleet limits is necessary to ensure “technological openness” also turns out to be a smokescreen on closer inspection. The aim behind this buzzword is often to keep the combustion engine artificially alive. While hydrogen and e-fuels are propagated as alternatives for propulsion, these technologies are neither sufficiently available nor economically suitable for widespread use in passenger cars.

    The cost of producing e-fuels is disproportionately high and the energy loss during their production and use is enormous. Biofuels, on the other hand, are hardly sustainable in large quantities. In fact, these “alternative technologies” are often just a pretext for delaying the transition to electromobility and protecting fossil fuel business models.

    The German automotive industry has the opportunity to secure its global leadership position by consistently focusing on electromobility. Competitors from China and the USA are investing massively in electric vehicles and already dominate key markets. Those who now rely on a stagnating past market risk being left behind in global competition. Instead of softening the limits, the EU should stringently maintain its fleet limits and thus set the course for sustainable, future-proof mobility. This is not only good for the climate, but also crucial for the long-term competitiveness of the German automotive industry.

    Prof. Dr. Felix Creutzig heads the Land Use, Infrastructure and Transport working group at the Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC Berlin). He is Bennett Chair for Innovation and Policy Innovation at the University of Sussex and is a member of the Expert Advisory Board on Climate Protection in Mobility.

    • E-Fuels
    • Elektromobilität
    • Fleet limits

    Europe.Table Editorial Team

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