Table.Briefing: Europe (English)

Austria’s Commissioner appointment + What’s next for the Green Deal?

Dear reader,

The European elections start today, and it is the voters in the Netherlands who are going first. They are called upon to go to the polls by 9 pm today when the polling stations close. On Friday, it’s the turn of the Irish, followed by voters in Malta, Latvia, and Slovakia on Saturday. On Sunday, the polling stations in the other member states will close in the evening.

The first national forecasts are expected from 6 pm. Two hours later, at around 8:15 pm, the first projection for the new parliament will follow on the basis of the forecasts in the member states where the polling stations have closed. Another projection for the distribution of seats will follow after 11 pm, based on the first preliminary results from all 27 countries.

For EU nerds like us, this election is like our own Olympics. That’s why the Table.Briefings Editorial Team is launching a news ticker today. There you will be able to read everything about the European elections. On Sunday, the entire Editorial Team will be on deck in Brussels and Berlin, accompanied by our correspondents in Paris, Madrid, Rome, Warsaw, and Prague.

We will take a close look at what is happening in the European elections: The new balance of power, the winners and losers of the elections as well as the effects at the national level – be it in Germany or France, Italy or Spain. In the turmoil and noise of these elections, we will be looking for what really matters.

I wish you an exciting read.

Your
Claire Stam
Image of Claire  Stam
  • Europawahlen 2024

Feature

These are the possible Commissioners after the European elections – Part II

On Wednesday, Table.Briefings named possible Commissioner candidates from 13 member states; Today, candidates from the remaining member states will be announced. But beware – the European elections and the subsequent power poker for the top jobs entail many uncertainties, not only for von der Leyen. The list is an approximation, much can still change.

Malta

Prime Minister and Labour leader Robert Abela actually wanted to send his deputy Chris Fearne to Brussels, but he resigned at the beginning of May due to allegations of misappropriation of taxpayers’ money. Former MEP Miriam Dalli, who once negotiated the stricter CO2 fleet limits for cars, is now considered the favorite. She is currently Minister for Climate and Energy.

Netherlands

Climate Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra would like to continue. However, as a Christian Democrat, he has the wrong party membership following the formation of the government in The Hague. It is not known whether the new liberal-conservative-populist coalition would have reached an agreement. If they are unable to reach an agreement and the country is offered an attractive dossier, Hoekstra could remain in the game.

Austria

The FPÖ is likely to be the strongest party in the European elections, but the ÖVP will probably once again propose the new Commissioner (see our Analysis in this issue). Karoline Edtstadler, Minister for European Affairs and Constitutional Affairs, who already shaped Austria’s most recent EU Council Presidency, is being considered. Foreign Minister Alexander Schallenberg has denied any interest, while Finance Minister Magnus Brunner has also been mentioned in the media.

Poland

Prime Minister Donald Tusk is very interested in the post of Defense Commissioner, which Ursula von der Leyen now wants to create. Some PO politicians in Warsaw even believe that Poland could apply for the post of High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy. The current Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski is considered a promising candidate for both posts.

Portugal

It is clear that Elisa Ferreira, Commissioner for Cohesion, no longer has a chance. She is a Social Democrat and her party is no longer represented in the new minority government in Lisbon led by the Christian Democrats. Should the EPP member party PSD propose the Commissioner, these names will be mentioned: Miguel Poiares Maduro, Maria Luísa Albuquerque, and Jorge Moreira da Silva.

Romania

Klaus Iohannis, the current President of Romania, would like to move to Brussels. His first choice would be to become NATO Secretary General, the second President of the Council. The chances of this are not great. Whether he would move to Brussels as a simple commissioner is uncertain. In addition, elections are due to be held in Romania in the fall, in which his Christian Democratic Party is not looking good.

Sweden

EU Minister Jessika Roswall, whose party belongs to the EPP party family, is considered the favorite. She has made a good impression during the Swedish Council Presidency. Former Prime Minister Carl Bildt is mentioned as an alternative. As a Social Democrat, the current Commissioner Ylva Johansson is unlikely to have a chance of winning another mandate.

Slovakia

It is becoming clear that Commission Vice-President Maroš Šefčovič will remain in Brussels. Prime Minister Robert Fico knows what he has in the non-party diplomat. Šefčovič has been a member of the Commission since 2009, with different areas of responsibility. When Frans Timmermans stepped down in 2023, von der Leyen gave Šefčovič the role of Executive Vice-President for the Green Deal. The head of the Commission appreciates the work of the 57-year-old and he is likely to continue to play an important role under her.

Slovenia

The government apparently wants to propose Tomaž Vesel, a former member of the EU Court of Auditors. He is independent. Foreign Minister Tanja Fajon, a former MEP, is said to have ambitions for the post of Foreign Affairs Commissioner. Her chances are considered slim because the socialist party family is likely to make a bid for the Presidency of the Council first and would then no longer have a chance at the post of Foreign Affairs Commissioner.

Spain

Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s Socialists have nominated Teresa Ribera, Minister for Ecological Transition, as their lead candidate for the European elections. She is also likely to become a Commissioner. Ribera has made a name for herself as a determined campaigner for climate protection and reportedly wants to become Vice-President with a corresponding thematic area. However, she is considered to be controversial and outspoken. Von der Leyen would therefore probably think twice about this. For the EPP, Ribera is likely to be difficult to accept in such a position after the experience with Green Deal Commissioner Frans Timmermans.

Czech Republic

Prime Minister Petr Fiala is aiming for a “strong economic portfolio” in the future Commission, as he has repeatedly emphasized. Three candidates are under discussion: The economist Danuše Nerudová, who was defeated in the recent presidential elections, the Minister for Industry and Trade, Jozef Síkela (both from the mayoral party STAN), and the MEP Marcel Kolaja from the Pirate Party. All three are considered suitable. Síkela, for example, made a name for himself in Brussels during the Czech EU Council Presidency. In the government, the mayoral party has the right to nominate the candidate. The Pirates dispute this and also want to have their say.

Hungary

Right-wing populist Viktor Orbán will once again make a loyal proposal. If he chooses Enlargement Commissioner Olivér Várhelyi again, he is likely to fail the parliamentary hearing. Who comes next is not certain.

Cyprus

Stella Kyriakides, Commissioner for Health, was considered to be out of her depth during the pandemic. The Christian Democrat is therefore likely to have little chance of being reappointed. Former Finance Minister Harris Georgiades and former Energy Minister George Lakkotrypis, both members of the EPP, are being considered. Markus Grabitz, Till Hoppe, Hans-Jörg Schmidt

  • Europawahlen 2024
Translation missing.

Election outlook for Austria: How the FPÖ and ÖVP are jockeying for the Commissioner post

“Stop EU madness” can be read on election posters throughout Austria. You will look in vain for a portrait of a candidate for the EU Parliament. Instead, you will find Ursula von der Leyen and Volodymyr Zelenskiy kissing in front of tanks, wind turbines and refugees. Buzzwords such as “warmongering”, “corona chaos” and “eco-communism” are emblazoned on the FPÖ’s black and white posters.

With its anti-EU stance, the right-wing populist party has been leading the polls for months. Its lead candidate Harald Vilimsky is ahead with just under 30 percent and therefore believes his party is entitled to the post of EU Commissioner if it comes first.

National elections in September

However, the EU Commissioner is nominated by the respective federal government. He or she also needs a majority in the National Council. The ÖVP and the Greens are in power in Austria, but new elections will be held in September 2024. The ÖVP is polling at around 20 percent, the Greens at ten percent. A new coalition therefore seems a long way off.

Nevertheless, the ÖVP could once again appoint the EU Commissioner, which it has always done since Austria joined the EU in 1995 – much to the displeasure of the opposition. This role is currently held by Johannes Hahn, Commissioner for Budget and Administration.

During the coalition negotiations, the ÖVP and the Greens agreed in a “side letter” that the ÖVP would once again be allowed to appoint the Commissioner. Federal Chancellor Karl Nehammer insisted on this. Such secret agreements, which regulate the most important politically appointed posts such as National Bank Director, ORF Director General and the ECJ, already existed in the previous government between the ÖVP and FPÖ, as reported by Der Standard.

FPÖ wants ‘Commissioner for Re-migration’

The FPÖ protests. In response to an inquiry, it stated that “the nomination of the Austrian EU Commissioner should be the responsibility of the new government”. The new Commissioner should only be appointed after the National Council elections and should be a “Commissioner for Re-migration”. He should either be appointed by the FPÖ or “in a halved commission together with other [countries]”, as FPÖ top candidate Vilimsky said in an interview with ORF in April. This new commissioner should “tackle the EU’s failure to repatriate illegal residents in the EU”, Vilimsky also explained in a press release.

The FPÖ and ÖVP both remain silent on the question of personnel. Several names have recently been mentioned in the ÖVP environment: European Affairs Minister Karoline Edtstadler, Foreign Minister Alexander Schallenberg and, most recently, Finance Minister Magnus Brunner. However, Schallenberg has explicitly denied any possible ambitions.

Pollster Peter Hajek sees the ÖVP at an advantage. “The formation of a coalition could be protracted because two new parties could enter parliament. It is therefore easily possible that the black-green government will still provide the commissioner”, he told Table.Briefings. Time is running against the right-wing populist party.

Election campaign of ÖVP and SPÖ bobs along

Otherwise, the ÖVP and SPÖ hardly stood out in the election campaign for the European Parliament. Both are at around 20 percent. “I can’t recognize the election campaign tactics of the SPÖ and ÖVP“, says pollster Hajek. “Both parties have long-serving, experienced top candidates. The Social Democrats are campaigning to ‘shape Europe fairly’ – but they have been saying that for 20 years. The ÖVP is doing it according to the motto ‘Europe is better’. There is ‘no emotion and nothing tangible in it’.”

The FPÖ, the NEOS and the Greens, on the other hand, are all about emotions. The liberal NEOS – with top candidate Helmut Brandstätter at 13 percent – are clearly the most pro-European party. They are calling for a deepening of the EU with the “United States of Europe”. The FPÖ, on the other hand, is positioned on the other side: The expulsion of foreigners, more subsidiarity, less regulation and a reduction in bureaucracy as well as the return of competences to the member states. Although there is no “Öxit” with the FPÖ, top candidate Vilimsky threatened in an interview with Der Standard that payments to Brussels could be stopped.

Green election campaign full of mishaps

According to Hajek, the Greens’ election campaign is also emotional. “For them, it’s all about the climate, so it’s easy for them.” However, the election slogan “Heart instead of agitation” of the Greens’ top candidate Lena Schilling took on a new meaning at the beginning of May. According to a report in Der Standard, Schilling is said to have made several false claims about third parties, causing them problems that threatened their existence in some cases. The Standard investigated deeply into Schilling’s private life; a novelty in journalism in Austria, which also raises questions about how far journalism is allowed to go.

The Green party leadership is united behind Schilling. They are sticking by their top candidate, who only recently switched from climate activism to politics. However, the Greens made several gaffes at a press conference. Vice-Chancellor Werner Kogler, for example, described the reporting as “farting” and “mumbling”. The accusations against Schilling, on the other hand, were not denied. The crisis management was pretty much the worst that has been seen in Austria for a long time”, says Hajek. However, surveys conducted by his opinion research institute show “that the Greens have not lost that much ground.” They have a stable voter base, but could lose their third mandate to the NEOS.

  • Europawahlen 2024
Translation missing.

Climate outlook: What’s next after the election

Immediately after the election, the member states will once again deal with the most controversial dossier of the Green Deal. The Belgian Council Presidency is making one more attempt to get the renaturation law over the finishing line after all. At the Environment Council on June 17, the member states are to hold a final vote. Parliament has already formally waved the trilogue result through, so all that is missing is the approval of the ministers.

Just a few days later, climate action should have been high on the agenda again – at the EU summit on June 27-28. There, the heads of state and government will agree on the strategic agenda – i.e. the direction and goals of the EU member states for the next five years. It was debated whether the member states would agree on their own position on the EU’s 2040 climate target at this point. In all likelihood, they will not, as unanimity is required. The member states have not yet been able to agree on the Commission’s proposal of a 90 percent reduction in CO2 compared to 1990, nor on a lower target or a target corridor.

New NDC due in spring 2025

The German government does not yet have a united position on the EU’s 2040 climate target either, although Minister Annalena Baerbock (Greens) demonstratively backed the Commission’s proposal at the Petersberg Climate Dialogue in Berlin at the end of April. Insiders from Brussels report that the upcoming Hungarian Council Presidency wants to put the issue on the table at the EU summit in December.

By spring 2025 at the latest, the EU member states will also have to submit their climate target for 2035 (NDC) to the United Nations. In theory, a qualified majority in the Council of Ministers is sufficient for this. In EU logic, however, a target for 2040 must first be set, from which the target for 2035 emerges, which further complicates the process. In the weeks and months following the European elections, the focus will, therefore, be more on the more fundamental climate policy lines than on regulatory activities.

Will the combustion engine ban be overturned?

Unless the new Commission gives in to pressure from the EPP and reintroduces the CO2 fleet limits for cars from the Fit for 55 package in order to reverse the phase-out of combustion engines. This is not particularly likely as long as Ursula von der Leyen remains in office. Nevertheless, the remaining German Christian Democrats, in particular, are serious about their desire to be able to continue allowing new combustion engines after 2035.

The Hungarian Council Presidency, which is not very well-versed in climate policy, will be very cautious in the second half of the year. On the one hand, because no new proposals are expected from the Commission. Secondly, because it will not set its priorities in climate policy.

A new legislative package to implement the climate target is not planned until 2026. Unlike the Fit for 55 package for the 2030 climate target, it will contain fewer new measures, but rather align existing measures with the potential increase in ambition. For example, the European Emissions Trading System for Energy and Industry (ETS 1) could be extended to other industrial sectors. The focus is on the agricultural and food sectors. Solutions are also needed for the integration of natural carbon sinks (carbon farming) and technical CO2 removal (direct air capture), which will play a role in the 2040 climate target.

Some of these measures are likely to be implemented as part of the regular legislative revisions due in 2026 or 2027. These include the ETS and the carbon border adjustment mechanism CBAM, but also the Common Agricultural Policy. Initial proposals for the CAP after 2027 are expected in the coming year.

How will climate action be financed in the future?

The question of how to finance the energy and industrial turnaround will also arise in the coming years. The pandemic recovery fund expires at the end of 2026 and public funds will also be kept tighter again due to the new EU debt rules. A central concern of the EU Commission and some member state governments is therefore the deepening of the Capital Markets Union. This should ensure that European companies have easier access to funding to invest in their growth.

However, national hurdles could continue to stand in the way of this goal. Even if the Capital Markets Union comes to fruition, there is no guarantee that the additional capital will flow into climate-friendly measures. The EU’s next Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) for the period from 2028 to 2034 offers another opportunity for more funding. The first proposal for this is due in mid-2025. With János Ammann

  • Climate & Environment
  • Emissions trading
  • ETS
  • EU climate target 2040
  • EU-Klimaziel 2040
  • EU-Schuldenregeln
  • European election 2024
  • European policy
  • GAP
Translation missing.

Events

June 10, 2024; 8:30-9:30 a.m., online
DGAP, Panel Discussion The European Election: Results, Interpretations, Implications
The German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) discusses the results of the European elections. INFO & REGISTRATION

June 10, 2024; 6:30-8 p.m., Berlin (Germany)
EK, Seminar Europe has voted – what now?
The European Commission Representation in Berlin discusses the results of the European elections. INFO & REGISTRATION

News

Scholz: Banking union only conceivable if institutional protection for savings banks is retained

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is insisting on the completion of the EU Capital Markets Union, but is putting the brakes on the European Banking Union. “We are prepared to create European reinsurance for national deposit guarantee schemes as part of a comprehensive overall package”, said the Chancellor at the meeting of the Volksbanken and Raiffeisenbanken in Berlin on Wednesday.

But the prerequisite for this was “a further strengthening of the resolution regime and an effective prevention of an excessive concentration of government bonds in bank balance sheets”, he added. “Another prerequisite – and this is particularly important to me – is the preservation of institutional protection for the savings banks and cooperative banks“, emphasized the SPD politician. This is because Germany and other member states have well-functioning protection systems for smaller banks, which should not be jeopardized.

Insufficient positions of Parliament and Commission

The Chancellor emphasized that the preservation of institutional protection would therefore remain the guiding principle in the negotiations on the reform of the crisis management framework for banks. The European Parliament had not sufficiently amended the EU Commission’s plans for a common European Deposit Insurance Scheme (EDIS). They must therefore be corrected. “Work on the remaining elements of the banking union – including EDIS – should only be resumed after this”, he said.

With regard to the Capital Markets Union, it is important to harmonize the national insolvency law regimes in the 27 EU member states and common tax harmonization, the Chancellor demanded. It is also important that private investors in the EU have a wider range of financial products at their disposal, “for example through the introduction of Europe-wide savings and pension products”. The next EU Commission must also review and simplify financial market rules, particularly with regard to reporting and notification obligations. He is campaigning for this together with French President Emmanuel Macron. rtr

  • Finanzpolitik

How Ariane 6 will give Europe access to space

Europe is one step closer to its own access to space: On July 9, the European launcher Ariane 6 is scheduled to take off for the first time. This was announced by the European Space Agency ESA on Wednesday at the International Aerospace Exhibition (ILA). “Ariane 6 marks a new era in autonomous, versatile European space travel“, said ESA Director General Josef Aschbacher in Berlin. The first commercial flight is scheduled to take place before the end of 2024, and nine launches per year should be possible by 2028 – provided the first launch is successful.

At the ILA, Federal Chancellor Olaf Scholz made a surprisingly clear promise to strengthen space travel – and the European Ariane 6 project. “We want to give this launcher a clear perspective, even beyond the first flight. That is why we have promised to support the suppliers, who will now have planning security”, said Scholz in his opening speech on Wednesday.

Ariane launch comes four years later than planned

However, Ariane 6 is not without controversy. The planned launch is taking place around four years later than originally planned due to numerous problems, and the project is much more expensive overall than planned. However, the “A6” will finally give Europe its own access to space, according to Scholz. Germany is one of ESA’s largest financial backers.

The predecessor rocket Ariane 5 was decommissioned in July 2023, leaving a gap. Since the Russian war of aggression, Europe has also lost the option of relying on Russian launchers and launch capabilities. This meant that Europe lacked its own access to space, not only in terms of launchers but also due to the lack of a spaceport on European soil. For the launch of Ariane 6, Europe must fall back on the spaceport on the north coast of South America, in French Guiana. klm

  • Luftfahrt

FCAS: How Belgium should provide the air combat system with new orders

Belgium will officially be granted observer status in the Future Combat Air System (FCAS) this Thursday. The letter of intent for this is to be signed this afternoon at the ILA, Table.Briefings has learned from French government circles. Belgian Defense Minister Ludivine Dedonder had already announced in December 2023 that Belgium would officially join as an observer.

However, the current contract partners Germany, France and Spain are likely to expect Belgium to participate in orders for the system. To date, the Belgian Air Force has relied heavily on the American F-16 or F-35 fighter jets. Recently, the contract partners made progress on the design of the Next Generation Fighter, which is to be at the heart of the system.

The program, in which a combination of fighter aircraft and drones is to be developed via a so-called Combat Cloud, should be usable from 2040. The project is currently running smoothly, but the distribution of tasks for phase 2, which is to be settled in the fall of 2025, could lead to new conflicts between the most important contract partners Airbus Defence and Space on the German side and Dassault Aviation on the French side. As the expiry of phase 1B falls shortly after the German parliamentary elections in the fall of 2025, there are discussions about bringing the negotiations forward. France says that they understand if it takes a little longer for the Germans. However, they want to make the transition to phase 2 as smooth as possible. bub

  • Rüstung

Asylum procedure in Albania: Will Meloni fulfill her campaign promise?

According to Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, the reception centers planned by Italy for migrants outside the EU in Albania will be operational from August. Almost seven months after the signing of a migration agreement between Italy and Albania, Meloni and her Albanian counterpart Edi Rama announced the completion of the camp in the port city of Shengjin. According to the plan, this will be used for the first reception of boat migrants and an initial assessment of refugees’ chances of asylum. However, a second camp in Gjader has not yet been completed.

According to the plans, people who have previously been taken on board by the Italian authorities on the high seas will be brought to both camps. The project is aimed at migrants making their way to Italy on boats across the central Mediterranean. Italy is one of the countries particularly affected by the movement of refugees from Africa to Europe via the Mediterranean. Tens of thousands of people arrive there every year. Meloni took office in the fall of 2022 with the promise of significantly reducing these numbers.

Italy is to pay all costs

According to the plans, the two facilities in Shengjin and Gjader will be able to accommodate around 36,000 people per year. The first medical examinations and the initial assessment of the migrants’ chances of asylum are to take place in Shengjin. From there, the people are to be taken seven kilometers inland to Gjader.

The centers are explicitly not intended for migrants who arrive by boat on Italian shores or are picked up by private aid organizations – but only for those who are taken on board by the Italian authorities in international waters. Italy manages the camps and ensures their security. The Mediterranean country also bears all “direct and indirect” costs. A total of €675 million has been budgeted for the next ten years, of which €142 million will be spent this year. dpa

  • Giorgia Meloni

Heads

Cesar Cunha Campos: Bridge builder between Brazil and Germany

Cesar Cunha Campos heads the office of the Brazilian Getulio Vargas Foundation in Europe.

For far too long, Latin America was seen as the backyard of the USA, but Brazil has a lot to offer, says Cesar Cunha Campos: “Brazil is often underestimated, although in reality it is a diverse country with significant technological and energy resources.”

As Managing Director of Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV), he has been committed to Brazil’s development since 2003. Until 2018, he headed the technical consulting unit FGV Projetos with over 300 experts from the fields of economics, finance, management and politics. There, the engineer developed projects for leading Brazilian companies in the public and private sectors, including feasibility studies to raise funds from major banks and development agencies. He has also represented FGV as a knowledge partner of the OECD since 2010.

As Brazil’s leading educational and research institution, the FGV plays an important role in the country’s academic world and influences political and economic events, according to the 68-year-old. The Brazilian foundation has its headquarters in Rio de Janeiro and is represented in all of the country’s major cities with over 4,000 employees. To strengthen its international presence, particularly in Europe, Campos came to Cologne with FGV Europe in 2016. At that time, the city provided the foundation with premises in the Messe building for its first international office worldwide.

Campos holds a degree in civil engineering from the Pontificia Universidade Católica in Rio de Janeiro and a Master’s degree in business administration from London Business School. He received his doctorate in transportation planning from the Technical University of Vienna and initially worked as an engineer in Brazil’s transportation sector.

Pioneering work in the first foreign office

Cesar Cunha Campos was responsible for setting up and managing the first international FGV office, building international relationships with relevant stakeholders from the public and private sectors and developing international studies and projects. He describes FGV Europe as a think tank with the main objective of positioning Brazil more internationally. The institution shares the FGV’s expertise on Brazil through research, projects, technical support, seminars and publications. According to Campos, it is not primarily about profit, but rather about exchanging expertise and promoting cooperation between Brazil and Europe to enrich both sides.

Not only because Brazilian culture is closely linked to European culture, but also to promote and educate mutual understanding: “Brazil is big, but people think it’s an island.” On the other hand, the mediation function also plays an important role in the transfer of knowledge about the structures and functions of the European Union in order to ensure that the EU is better understood in Latin America.

German bureaucracy scares Brazilians

Cesar Cunha Campos sees the biggest differences between Germany and Brazil in the bureaucracy. While his Brazilian colleagues sometimes struggle with this, the Brazilian himself finds it easy to empathize with the German mentality. He is structured, never loses track of things and plans carefully. An advantage for his mediating position and possibly due to his German family background, he says. Campos has been commuting between Cologne and Berlin since last year. The foundation has also opened an office in the capital. This makes it easier to maintain links with the German government.

Brazil is making progress in green energy, sustainable resource extraction and agriculture in particular, according to Campos. “President Lula is striving to establish Brazil as a leading power in the global South alongside India and China.” The upcoming G20 presidency and the COP30 conference in 2025 would provide Brazil with ‘golden opportunities’ to demonstrate the country’s leadership qualities. A closer partnership between Germany and Brazil would be extremely beneficial for both sides.

Mercosur

The Mercosur free trade agreement would create one of the world’s largest free trade zones with more than 700 million inhabitants. This is of great importance for Latin America, but even more so for the EU, which is drastically losing economic power and whose share of global economic output is continuously falling. Germany, an export nation, is suffering the most from these trends. This free trade agreement was therefore urgently needed and it was regrettable that the negotiations had lasted twenty years without concluding.

Overall, he describes Brazil’s relations with the EU as positive and growing. The challenge lies not in the people, but in the geographical distance, as Germany is closer to China than Brazil, for example. In the future, he wants to expand academic cooperation with universities in the EU, particularly in Eastern Europe. “The big universities have a great interest in becoming more international, and that suits us as FGV very well.” He has just been to Charles University in Prague and Mendel University in Brno, where there is great interest in cooperation. Sarah Birkhäuser

  • Mercosur

Europe.Table Editorial Team

EUROPE.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

Licenses:
    Dear reader,

    The European elections start today, and it is the voters in the Netherlands who are going first. They are called upon to go to the polls by 9 pm today when the polling stations close. On Friday, it’s the turn of the Irish, followed by voters in Malta, Latvia, and Slovakia on Saturday. On Sunday, the polling stations in the other member states will close in the evening.

    The first national forecasts are expected from 6 pm. Two hours later, at around 8:15 pm, the first projection for the new parliament will follow on the basis of the forecasts in the member states where the polling stations have closed. Another projection for the distribution of seats will follow after 11 pm, based on the first preliminary results from all 27 countries.

    For EU nerds like us, this election is like our own Olympics. That’s why the Table.Briefings Editorial Team is launching a news ticker today. There you will be able to read everything about the European elections. On Sunday, the entire Editorial Team will be on deck in Brussels and Berlin, accompanied by our correspondents in Paris, Madrid, Rome, Warsaw, and Prague.

    We will take a close look at what is happening in the European elections: The new balance of power, the winners and losers of the elections as well as the effects at the national level – be it in Germany or France, Italy or Spain. In the turmoil and noise of these elections, we will be looking for what really matters.

    I wish you an exciting read.

    Your
    Claire Stam
    Image of Claire  Stam
    • Europawahlen 2024

    Feature

    These are the possible Commissioners after the European elections – Part II

    On Wednesday, Table.Briefings named possible Commissioner candidates from 13 member states; Today, candidates from the remaining member states will be announced. But beware – the European elections and the subsequent power poker for the top jobs entail many uncertainties, not only for von der Leyen. The list is an approximation, much can still change.

    Malta

    Prime Minister and Labour leader Robert Abela actually wanted to send his deputy Chris Fearne to Brussels, but he resigned at the beginning of May due to allegations of misappropriation of taxpayers’ money. Former MEP Miriam Dalli, who once negotiated the stricter CO2 fleet limits for cars, is now considered the favorite. She is currently Minister for Climate and Energy.

    Netherlands

    Climate Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra would like to continue. However, as a Christian Democrat, he has the wrong party membership following the formation of the government in The Hague. It is not known whether the new liberal-conservative-populist coalition would have reached an agreement. If they are unable to reach an agreement and the country is offered an attractive dossier, Hoekstra could remain in the game.

    Austria

    The FPÖ is likely to be the strongest party in the European elections, but the ÖVP will probably once again propose the new Commissioner (see our Analysis in this issue). Karoline Edtstadler, Minister for European Affairs and Constitutional Affairs, who already shaped Austria’s most recent EU Council Presidency, is being considered. Foreign Minister Alexander Schallenberg has denied any interest, while Finance Minister Magnus Brunner has also been mentioned in the media.

    Poland

    Prime Minister Donald Tusk is very interested in the post of Defense Commissioner, which Ursula von der Leyen now wants to create. Some PO politicians in Warsaw even believe that Poland could apply for the post of High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy. The current Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski is considered a promising candidate for both posts.

    Portugal

    It is clear that Elisa Ferreira, Commissioner for Cohesion, no longer has a chance. She is a Social Democrat and her party is no longer represented in the new minority government in Lisbon led by the Christian Democrats. Should the EPP member party PSD propose the Commissioner, these names will be mentioned: Miguel Poiares Maduro, Maria Luísa Albuquerque, and Jorge Moreira da Silva.

    Romania

    Klaus Iohannis, the current President of Romania, would like to move to Brussels. His first choice would be to become NATO Secretary General, the second President of the Council. The chances of this are not great. Whether he would move to Brussels as a simple commissioner is uncertain. In addition, elections are due to be held in Romania in the fall, in which his Christian Democratic Party is not looking good.

    Sweden

    EU Minister Jessika Roswall, whose party belongs to the EPP party family, is considered the favorite. She has made a good impression during the Swedish Council Presidency. Former Prime Minister Carl Bildt is mentioned as an alternative. As a Social Democrat, the current Commissioner Ylva Johansson is unlikely to have a chance of winning another mandate.

    Slovakia

    It is becoming clear that Commission Vice-President Maroš Šefčovič will remain in Brussels. Prime Minister Robert Fico knows what he has in the non-party diplomat. Šefčovič has been a member of the Commission since 2009, with different areas of responsibility. When Frans Timmermans stepped down in 2023, von der Leyen gave Šefčovič the role of Executive Vice-President for the Green Deal. The head of the Commission appreciates the work of the 57-year-old and he is likely to continue to play an important role under her.

    Slovenia

    The government apparently wants to propose Tomaž Vesel, a former member of the EU Court of Auditors. He is independent. Foreign Minister Tanja Fajon, a former MEP, is said to have ambitions for the post of Foreign Affairs Commissioner. Her chances are considered slim because the socialist party family is likely to make a bid for the Presidency of the Council first and would then no longer have a chance at the post of Foreign Affairs Commissioner.

    Spain

    Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s Socialists have nominated Teresa Ribera, Minister for Ecological Transition, as their lead candidate for the European elections. She is also likely to become a Commissioner. Ribera has made a name for herself as a determined campaigner for climate protection and reportedly wants to become Vice-President with a corresponding thematic area. However, she is considered to be controversial and outspoken. Von der Leyen would therefore probably think twice about this. For the EPP, Ribera is likely to be difficult to accept in such a position after the experience with Green Deal Commissioner Frans Timmermans.

    Czech Republic

    Prime Minister Petr Fiala is aiming for a “strong economic portfolio” in the future Commission, as he has repeatedly emphasized. Three candidates are under discussion: The economist Danuše Nerudová, who was defeated in the recent presidential elections, the Minister for Industry and Trade, Jozef Síkela (both from the mayoral party STAN), and the MEP Marcel Kolaja from the Pirate Party. All three are considered suitable. Síkela, for example, made a name for himself in Brussels during the Czech EU Council Presidency. In the government, the mayoral party has the right to nominate the candidate. The Pirates dispute this and also want to have their say.

    Hungary

    Right-wing populist Viktor Orbán will once again make a loyal proposal. If he chooses Enlargement Commissioner Olivér Várhelyi again, he is likely to fail the parliamentary hearing. Who comes next is not certain.

    Cyprus

    Stella Kyriakides, Commissioner for Health, was considered to be out of her depth during the pandemic. The Christian Democrat is therefore likely to have little chance of being reappointed. Former Finance Minister Harris Georgiades and former Energy Minister George Lakkotrypis, both members of the EPP, are being considered. Markus Grabitz, Till Hoppe, Hans-Jörg Schmidt

    • Europawahlen 2024
    Translation missing.

    Election outlook for Austria: How the FPÖ and ÖVP are jockeying for the Commissioner post

    “Stop EU madness” can be read on election posters throughout Austria. You will look in vain for a portrait of a candidate for the EU Parliament. Instead, you will find Ursula von der Leyen and Volodymyr Zelenskiy kissing in front of tanks, wind turbines and refugees. Buzzwords such as “warmongering”, “corona chaos” and “eco-communism” are emblazoned on the FPÖ’s black and white posters.

    With its anti-EU stance, the right-wing populist party has been leading the polls for months. Its lead candidate Harald Vilimsky is ahead with just under 30 percent and therefore believes his party is entitled to the post of EU Commissioner if it comes first.

    National elections in September

    However, the EU Commissioner is nominated by the respective federal government. He or she also needs a majority in the National Council. The ÖVP and the Greens are in power in Austria, but new elections will be held in September 2024. The ÖVP is polling at around 20 percent, the Greens at ten percent. A new coalition therefore seems a long way off.

    Nevertheless, the ÖVP could once again appoint the EU Commissioner, which it has always done since Austria joined the EU in 1995 – much to the displeasure of the opposition. This role is currently held by Johannes Hahn, Commissioner for Budget and Administration.

    During the coalition negotiations, the ÖVP and the Greens agreed in a “side letter” that the ÖVP would once again be allowed to appoint the Commissioner. Federal Chancellor Karl Nehammer insisted on this. Such secret agreements, which regulate the most important politically appointed posts such as National Bank Director, ORF Director General and the ECJ, already existed in the previous government between the ÖVP and FPÖ, as reported by Der Standard.

    FPÖ wants ‘Commissioner for Re-migration’

    The FPÖ protests. In response to an inquiry, it stated that “the nomination of the Austrian EU Commissioner should be the responsibility of the new government”. The new Commissioner should only be appointed after the National Council elections and should be a “Commissioner for Re-migration”. He should either be appointed by the FPÖ or “in a halved commission together with other [countries]”, as FPÖ top candidate Vilimsky said in an interview with ORF in April. This new commissioner should “tackle the EU’s failure to repatriate illegal residents in the EU”, Vilimsky also explained in a press release.

    The FPÖ and ÖVP both remain silent on the question of personnel. Several names have recently been mentioned in the ÖVP environment: European Affairs Minister Karoline Edtstadler, Foreign Minister Alexander Schallenberg and, most recently, Finance Minister Magnus Brunner. However, Schallenberg has explicitly denied any possible ambitions.

    Pollster Peter Hajek sees the ÖVP at an advantage. “The formation of a coalition could be protracted because two new parties could enter parliament. It is therefore easily possible that the black-green government will still provide the commissioner”, he told Table.Briefings. Time is running against the right-wing populist party.

    Election campaign of ÖVP and SPÖ bobs along

    Otherwise, the ÖVP and SPÖ hardly stood out in the election campaign for the European Parliament. Both are at around 20 percent. “I can’t recognize the election campaign tactics of the SPÖ and ÖVP“, says pollster Hajek. “Both parties have long-serving, experienced top candidates. The Social Democrats are campaigning to ‘shape Europe fairly’ – but they have been saying that for 20 years. The ÖVP is doing it according to the motto ‘Europe is better’. There is ‘no emotion and nothing tangible in it’.”

    The FPÖ, the NEOS and the Greens, on the other hand, are all about emotions. The liberal NEOS – with top candidate Helmut Brandstätter at 13 percent – are clearly the most pro-European party. They are calling for a deepening of the EU with the “United States of Europe”. The FPÖ, on the other hand, is positioned on the other side: The expulsion of foreigners, more subsidiarity, less regulation and a reduction in bureaucracy as well as the return of competences to the member states. Although there is no “Öxit” with the FPÖ, top candidate Vilimsky threatened in an interview with Der Standard that payments to Brussels could be stopped.

    Green election campaign full of mishaps

    According to Hajek, the Greens’ election campaign is also emotional. “For them, it’s all about the climate, so it’s easy for them.” However, the election slogan “Heart instead of agitation” of the Greens’ top candidate Lena Schilling took on a new meaning at the beginning of May. According to a report in Der Standard, Schilling is said to have made several false claims about third parties, causing them problems that threatened their existence in some cases. The Standard investigated deeply into Schilling’s private life; a novelty in journalism in Austria, which also raises questions about how far journalism is allowed to go.

    The Green party leadership is united behind Schilling. They are sticking by their top candidate, who only recently switched from climate activism to politics. However, the Greens made several gaffes at a press conference. Vice-Chancellor Werner Kogler, for example, described the reporting as “farting” and “mumbling”. The accusations against Schilling, on the other hand, were not denied. The crisis management was pretty much the worst that has been seen in Austria for a long time”, says Hajek. However, surveys conducted by his opinion research institute show “that the Greens have not lost that much ground.” They have a stable voter base, but could lose their third mandate to the NEOS.

    • Europawahlen 2024
    Translation missing.

    Climate outlook: What’s next after the election

    Immediately after the election, the member states will once again deal with the most controversial dossier of the Green Deal. The Belgian Council Presidency is making one more attempt to get the renaturation law over the finishing line after all. At the Environment Council on June 17, the member states are to hold a final vote. Parliament has already formally waved the trilogue result through, so all that is missing is the approval of the ministers.

    Just a few days later, climate action should have been high on the agenda again – at the EU summit on June 27-28. There, the heads of state and government will agree on the strategic agenda – i.e. the direction and goals of the EU member states for the next five years. It was debated whether the member states would agree on their own position on the EU’s 2040 climate target at this point. In all likelihood, they will not, as unanimity is required. The member states have not yet been able to agree on the Commission’s proposal of a 90 percent reduction in CO2 compared to 1990, nor on a lower target or a target corridor.

    New NDC due in spring 2025

    The German government does not yet have a united position on the EU’s 2040 climate target either, although Minister Annalena Baerbock (Greens) demonstratively backed the Commission’s proposal at the Petersberg Climate Dialogue in Berlin at the end of April. Insiders from Brussels report that the upcoming Hungarian Council Presidency wants to put the issue on the table at the EU summit in December.

    By spring 2025 at the latest, the EU member states will also have to submit their climate target for 2035 (NDC) to the United Nations. In theory, a qualified majority in the Council of Ministers is sufficient for this. In EU logic, however, a target for 2040 must first be set, from which the target for 2035 emerges, which further complicates the process. In the weeks and months following the European elections, the focus will, therefore, be more on the more fundamental climate policy lines than on regulatory activities.

    Will the combustion engine ban be overturned?

    Unless the new Commission gives in to pressure from the EPP and reintroduces the CO2 fleet limits for cars from the Fit for 55 package in order to reverse the phase-out of combustion engines. This is not particularly likely as long as Ursula von der Leyen remains in office. Nevertheless, the remaining German Christian Democrats, in particular, are serious about their desire to be able to continue allowing new combustion engines after 2035.

    The Hungarian Council Presidency, which is not very well-versed in climate policy, will be very cautious in the second half of the year. On the one hand, because no new proposals are expected from the Commission. Secondly, because it will not set its priorities in climate policy.

    A new legislative package to implement the climate target is not planned until 2026. Unlike the Fit for 55 package for the 2030 climate target, it will contain fewer new measures, but rather align existing measures with the potential increase in ambition. For example, the European Emissions Trading System for Energy and Industry (ETS 1) could be extended to other industrial sectors. The focus is on the agricultural and food sectors. Solutions are also needed for the integration of natural carbon sinks (carbon farming) and technical CO2 removal (direct air capture), which will play a role in the 2040 climate target.

    Some of these measures are likely to be implemented as part of the regular legislative revisions due in 2026 or 2027. These include the ETS and the carbon border adjustment mechanism CBAM, but also the Common Agricultural Policy. Initial proposals for the CAP after 2027 are expected in the coming year.

    How will climate action be financed in the future?

    The question of how to finance the energy and industrial turnaround will also arise in the coming years. The pandemic recovery fund expires at the end of 2026 and public funds will also be kept tighter again due to the new EU debt rules. A central concern of the EU Commission and some member state governments is therefore the deepening of the Capital Markets Union. This should ensure that European companies have easier access to funding to invest in their growth.

    However, national hurdles could continue to stand in the way of this goal. Even if the Capital Markets Union comes to fruition, there is no guarantee that the additional capital will flow into climate-friendly measures. The EU’s next Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) for the period from 2028 to 2034 offers another opportunity for more funding. The first proposal for this is due in mid-2025. With János Ammann

    • Climate & Environment
    • Emissions trading
    • ETS
    • EU climate target 2040
    • EU-Klimaziel 2040
    • EU-Schuldenregeln
    • European election 2024
    • European policy
    • GAP
    Translation missing.

    Events

    June 10, 2024; 8:30-9:30 a.m., online
    DGAP, Panel Discussion The European Election: Results, Interpretations, Implications
    The German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) discusses the results of the European elections. INFO & REGISTRATION

    June 10, 2024; 6:30-8 p.m., Berlin (Germany)
    EK, Seminar Europe has voted – what now?
    The European Commission Representation in Berlin discusses the results of the European elections. INFO & REGISTRATION

    News

    Scholz: Banking union only conceivable if institutional protection for savings banks is retained

    German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is insisting on the completion of the EU Capital Markets Union, but is putting the brakes on the European Banking Union. “We are prepared to create European reinsurance for national deposit guarantee schemes as part of a comprehensive overall package”, said the Chancellor at the meeting of the Volksbanken and Raiffeisenbanken in Berlin on Wednesday.

    But the prerequisite for this was “a further strengthening of the resolution regime and an effective prevention of an excessive concentration of government bonds in bank balance sheets”, he added. “Another prerequisite – and this is particularly important to me – is the preservation of institutional protection for the savings banks and cooperative banks“, emphasized the SPD politician. This is because Germany and other member states have well-functioning protection systems for smaller banks, which should not be jeopardized.

    Insufficient positions of Parliament and Commission

    The Chancellor emphasized that the preservation of institutional protection would therefore remain the guiding principle in the negotiations on the reform of the crisis management framework for banks. The European Parliament had not sufficiently amended the EU Commission’s plans for a common European Deposit Insurance Scheme (EDIS). They must therefore be corrected. “Work on the remaining elements of the banking union – including EDIS – should only be resumed after this”, he said.

    With regard to the Capital Markets Union, it is important to harmonize the national insolvency law regimes in the 27 EU member states and common tax harmonization, the Chancellor demanded. It is also important that private investors in the EU have a wider range of financial products at their disposal, “for example through the introduction of Europe-wide savings and pension products”. The next EU Commission must also review and simplify financial market rules, particularly with regard to reporting and notification obligations. He is campaigning for this together with French President Emmanuel Macron. rtr

    • Finanzpolitik

    How Ariane 6 will give Europe access to space

    Europe is one step closer to its own access to space: On July 9, the European launcher Ariane 6 is scheduled to take off for the first time. This was announced by the European Space Agency ESA on Wednesday at the International Aerospace Exhibition (ILA). “Ariane 6 marks a new era in autonomous, versatile European space travel“, said ESA Director General Josef Aschbacher in Berlin. The first commercial flight is scheduled to take place before the end of 2024, and nine launches per year should be possible by 2028 – provided the first launch is successful.

    At the ILA, Federal Chancellor Olaf Scholz made a surprisingly clear promise to strengthen space travel – and the European Ariane 6 project. “We want to give this launcher a clear perspective, even beyond the first flight. That is why we have promised to support the suppliers, who will now have planning security”, said Scholz in his opening speech on Wednesday.

    Ariane launch comes four years later than planned

    However, Ariane 6 is not without controversy. The planned launch is taking place around four years later than originally planned due to numerous problems, and the project is much more expensive overall than planned. However, the “A6” will finally give Europe its own access to space, according to Scholz. Germany is one of ESA’s largest financial backers.

    The predecessor rocket Ariane 5 was decommissioned in July 2023, leaving a gap. Since the Russian war of aggression, Europe has also lost the option of relying on Russian launchers and launch capabilities. This meant that Europe lacked its own access to space, not only in terms of launchers but also due to the lack of a spaceport on European soil. For the launch of Ariane 6, Europe must fall back on the spaceport on the north coast of South America, in French Guiana. klm

    • Luftfahrt

    FCAS: How Belgium should provide the air combat system with new orders

    Belgium will officially be granted observer status in the Future Combat Air System (FCAS) this Thursday. The letter of intent for this is to be signed this afternoon at the ILA, Table.Briefings has learned from French government circles. Belgian Defense Minister Ludivine Dedonder had already announced in December 2023 that Belgium would officially join as an observer.

    However, the current contract partners Germany, France and Spain are likely to expect Belgium to participate in orders for the system. To date, the Belgian Air Force has relied heavily on the American F-16 or F-35 fighter jets. Recently, the contract partners made progress on the design of the Next Generation Fighter, which is to be at the heart of the system.

    The program, in which a combination of fighter aircraft and drones is to be developed via a so-called Combat Cloud, should be usable from 2040. The project is currently running smoothly, but the distribution of tasks for phase 2, which is to be settled in the fall of 2025, could lead to new conflicts between the most important contract partners Airbus Defence and Space on the German side and Dassault Aviation on the French side. As the expiry of phase 1B falls shortly after the German parliamentary elections in the fall of 2025, there are discussions about bringing the negotiations forward. France says that they understand if it takes a little longer for the Germans. However, they want to make the transition to phase 2 as smooth as possible. bub

    • Rüstung

    Asylum procedure in Albania: Will Meloni fulfill her campaign promise?

    According to Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, the reception centers planned by Italy for migrants outside the EU in Albania will be operational from August. Almost seven months after the signing of a migration agreement between Italy and Albania, Meloni and her Albanian counterpart Edi Rama announced the completion of the camp in the port city of Shengjin. According to the plan, this will be used for the first reception of boat migrants and an initial assessment of refugees’ chances of asylum. However, a second camp in Gjader has not yet been completed.

    According to the plans, people who have previously been taken on board by the Italian authorities on the high seas will be brought to both camps. The project is aimed at migrants making their way to Italy on boats across the central Mediterranean. Italy is one of the countries particularly affected by the movement of refugees from Africa to Europe via the Mediterranean. Tens of thousands of people arrive there every year. Meloni took office in the fall of 2022 with the promise of significantly reducing these numbers.

    Italy is to pay all costs

    According to the plans, the two facilities in Shengjin and Gjader will be able to accommodate around 36,000 people per year. The first medical examinations and the initial assessment of the migrants’ chances of asylum are to take place in Shengjin. From there, the people are to be taken seven kilometers inland to Gjader.

    The centers are explicitly not intended for migrants who arrive by boat on Italian shores or are picked up by private aid organizations – but only for those who are taken on board by the Italian authorities in international waters. Italy manages the camps and ensures their security. The Mediterranean country also bears all “direct and indirect” costs. A total of €675 million has been budgeted for the next ten years, of which €142 million will be spent this year. dpa

    • Giorgia Meloni

    Heads

    Cesar Cunha Campos: Bridge builder between Brazil and Germany

    Cesar Cunha Campos heads the office of the Brazilian Getulio Vargas Foundation in Europe.

    For far too long, Latin America was seen as the backyard of the USA, but Brazil has a lot to offer, says Cesar Cunha Campos: “Brazil is often underestimated, although in reality it is a diverse country with significant technological and energy resources.”

    As Managing Director of Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV), he has been committed to Brazil’s development since 2003. Until 2018, he headed the technical consulting unit FGV Projetos with over 300 experts from the fields of economics, finance, management and politics. There, the engineer developed projects for leading Brazilian companies in the public and private sectors, including feasibility studies to raise funds from major banks and development agencies. He has also represented FGV as a knowledge partner of the OECD since 2010.

    As Brazil’s leading educational and research institution, the FGV plays an important role in the country’s academic world and influences political and economic events, according to the 68-year-old. The Brazilian foundation has its headquarters in Rio de Janeiro and is represented in all of the country’s major cities with over 4,000 employees. To strengthen its international presence, particularly in Europe, Campos came to Cologne with FGV Europe in 2016. At that time, the city provided the foundation with premises in the Messe building for its first international office worldwide.

    Campos holds a degree in civil engineering from the Pontificia Universidade Católica in Rio de Janeiro and a Master’s degree in business administration from London Business School. He received his doctorate in transportation planning from the Technical University of Vienna and initially worked as an engineer in Brazil’s transportation sector.

    Pioneering work in the first foreign office

    Cesar Cunha Campos was responsible for setting up and managing the first international FGV office, building international relationships with relevant stakeholders from the public and private sectors and developing international studies and projects. He describes FGV Europe as a think tank with the main objective of positioning Brazil more internationally. The institution shares the FGV’s expertise on Brazil through research, projects, technical support, seminars and publications. According to Campos, it is not primarily about profit, but rather about exchanging expertise and promoting cooperation between Brazil and Europe to enrich both sides.

    Not only because Brazilian culture is closely linked to European culture, but also to promote and educate mutual understanding: “Brazil is big, but people think it’s an island.” On the other hand, the mediation function also plays an important role in the transfer of knowledge about the structures and functions of the European Union in order to ensure that the EU is better understood in Latin America.

    German bureaucracy scares Brazilians

    Cesar Cunha Campos sees the biggest differences between Germany and Brazil in the bureaucracy. While his Brazilian colleagues sometimes struggle with this, the Brazilian himself finds it easy to empathize with the German mentality. He is structured, never loses track of things and plans carefully. An advantage for his mediating position and possibly due to his German family background, he says. Campos has been commuting between Cologne and Berlin since last year. The foundation has also opened an office in the capital. This makes it easier to maintain links with the German government.

    Brazil is making progress in green energy, sustainable resource extraction and agriculture in particular, according to Campos. “President Lula is striving to establish Brazil as a leading power in the global South alongside India and China.” The upcoming G20 presidency and the COP30 conference in 2025 would provide Brazil with ‘golden opportunities’ to demonstrate the country’s leadership qualities. A closer partnership between Germany and Brazil would be extremely beneficial for both sides.

    Mercosur

    The Mercosur free trade agreement would create one of the world’s largest free trade zones with more than 700 million inhabitants. This is of great importance for Latin America, but even more so for the EU, which is drastically losing economic power and whose share of global economic output is continuously falling. Germany, an export nation, is suffering the most from these trends. This free trade agreement was therefore urgently needed and it was regrettable that the negotiations had lasted twenty years without concluding.

    Overall, he describes Brazil’s relations with the EU as positive and growing. The challenge lies not in the people, but in the geographical distance, as Germany is closer to China than Brazil, for example. In the future, he wants to expand academic cooperation with universities in the EU, particularly in Eastern Europe. “The big universities have a great interest in becoming more international, and that suits us as FGV very well.” He has just been to Charles University in Prague and Mendel University in Brno, where there is great interest in cooperation. Sarah Birkhäuser

    • Mercosur

    Europe.Table Editorial Team

    EUROPE.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

    Licenses:

      Sign up now and continue reading immediately

      No credit card details required. No automatic renewal.

      Sie haben bereits das Table.Briefing Abonnement?

      Anmelden und weiterlesen