Table.Briefing: Climate (English)

Bridgetown Initiative: reforming financial markets, mitigating risks + Recycling of rotor blades

Dear reader,

Currently, the “who’s who” of the energy transition scene is gathering at the Berlin Energy Transition Dialogue. The central question of the event revolves around what is necessary to accelerate the transition to renewable energy. Avinash Persaud is also grappling with this question. In today’s interview, the architect of the Bridgetown Initiative for fair climate financing explains the challenges faced by heavily indebted countries in the energy transition, the investment risks that wealthy countries should mitigate and how to mobilize trillions for climate financing.

Even with a successful energy transition, there are still challenges to address – such as the recycling of rotor blades from wind turbines. Sarah Kröger analyzes various solutions and explains why microplastics generated by wind turbines, contrary to current reports, may not pose a significant problem.

Your
Lisa Kuner
Image of Lisa  Kuner

Feature

‘The 2.4 trillion dollar problem can be solved’

Avinash Persaud advises Mia Mottley, Prime Minister of Barbados, on climate finance and serves as a special advisor to the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB).

Mr. Persaud, 2024 is said to be the year of climate finance. The Bridgetown Initiative, which you co-designed as Barbados’ climate special envoy alongside Prime Minister Mia Mottley, could play a crucial role. What has been achieved so far?

The Bridgetown Initiative has played a pivotal role in advancing the climate agenda. It has made it clear: The climate crisis is a financing problem. Financing mitigation and resilience efforts in developing countries is much costlier than in industrialized nations. It also underscores that emissions reduction, adaptation and “loss and damage” require distinct financing approaches.

Could you elaborate on that?

Emissions reduction generates revenue. Solar parks, wind turbines, geothermal energy – all these generate income. Thus, the private sector could be engaged in climate mitigation efforts. This works in industrialized countries but not in developing ones. Adaptation to climate change can also save money – for example, building a dam with a loan to prevent future damage. However, it’s different with losses and damages: You can’t borrow money to rebuild poor people’s destroyed homes. Hence, a fund was established, with an initial capital injection of 800 million dollars. However, it needs to be a hundred times larger. 2023 was a significant year, but it’s just the beginning. We need to accelerate progress and implementation in 2024.

‘Climate change is an uninsurable event’

What role do multilateral development banks, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank under its new President Ajay Banga play in this?

The central role of multilateral development banks is to provide loans for large-scale public infrastructure projects like adaptation measures, dams, flood protection and improved drainage systems, costing billions. They need to increase lending for climate finance purposes, offering long-term, low-cost loans. They’ve stepped up efforts in the past year. The World Bank has revamped its strategy, placing climate alongside poverty reduction and growth at its core. By reducing its equity requirement, it has increased its lending capacity by about 50 billion dollars. Discussions are underway regarding expanding portfolio guarantees and utilizing Special Drawing Rights at the IMF. Collectively, these measures could increase climate lending by 200 billion dollars. We’ve established some damage funds, with one trillion in new capital.

Will that be enough?

It has become clear that climate change is an uninsurable event. This poses a real problem, especially for our European friends: They have the world’s largest reinsurers who sought to address climate change through more insurance. However, insurance only works if the risk doesn’t increase in correlation, extent and frequency.

What do you propose instead?

The alternative is the conditional suspension of interest and principal payments and our natural disaster clause, allowing a country to defer payment obligations for two years in the event of a natural disaster. The World Bank has announced its intention to incorporate these clauses into its bonds and loans. This is crucial for countries to buy time. However, the most critical area needing reform, but where none is seen, is the financial markets.

‘Public sector needs to reduce the costs of hedging exchange rate risk’

What needs to change?

We need to reform the system that defines things as safe or risky. South Africa emits many greenhouse gases because much of its electricity comes from coal. Switching to non-fossil electricity generation costs about 100 billion dollars. When a German investor invests in South African solar parks, they wonder: How much do I need to pay to eliminate exchange rate risk if the South African rand depreciates against me? The market price for such protection is around eleven to twelve percent per year. So, the project needs to generate eleven to twelve percent more annually than the same project in Germany. In reality, the rand depreciates by an average of only six percent per year. So, you’re paying five or six percent too much. The private sector doesn’t want to take on this risk.

How can this risk be eliminated?

The public sector needs to step in and reduce the costs of hedging exchange rate risk. Thus, it needs to charge for the actual risk, in this case, six percent, not twelve percent. This risk premium endangers the world. This is not about making money but saving the planet. The Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) and the Brazilian Central Bank have initiated a pilot project. If successful and replicable, it would be a rather radical reform.

‘The initiative aims to reduce the debt of developing countries’

Currently, about 60 percent of low-income countries are highly vulnerable to or are already in payment difficulties. Some proposals of the Bridgetown Initiative would further increase lending to developing countries. How do you address the debt problem?

The Bridgetown Initiative aims to do the opposite: reduce the debt of developing countries. We need to minimize the amount of future debt, which, in turn, reduces the total debt. Countries should only borrow money for things that lead to future savings – not for coping with losses and damages caused by the climate crisis. Their economies should grow faster with cheap loans, making them more resilient to climate shocks. Currency guarantees should promote private sector investments for green transformation. This is how we intend to address the debt problem.

However, by 2030, developing countries need 2.4 trillion dollars annually for climate and development financing. This exceeds the assistance currently provided by multilateral development banks worldwide, as well as the existing financial aid from industrialized nations.

Current global aid totals 200 billion dollars. It would need to increase twelvefold. This won’t happen. It’s not a solution for industrialized countries to provide all the money. While they are morally responsible and have become rich by abusing the environment, such a solution won’t be elected. Instead, industrialized countries should provide funds for things that cannot be financed otherwise, such as losses and damages. If not directly, then through higher taxes on fossil fuels used in shipping and aviation. Additionally, they should contribute more capital to multilateral development banks: If 10 billion dollars per year is invested in development banks, these seven banks can lend an additional 1 trillion dollars. This makes the problem of 2.4 trillion dollars realistic, achievable and politically acceptable.

There are rumors that Mia Mottley could become the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. You’ve known Mia Mottley since college and worked closely with her. Does she have the qualities needed to be a UN Secretary-General?

I have no doubt that she would be a good Secretary-General. My experience is that she can bridge differences, understand people and instill a desire in everyone to come together and elevate common ambitions. However, I must also say that, besides world peace, there is nothing more important to her than the Caribbean, Caribbean development and Caribbean integration. I believe she would need a lot of convincing to leave the region she deeply cares about.

  • Climate financing
  • Climate policy
  • COP28
  • Loss and Damage

Wind energy: recycling of rotor blades still in its infancy

As wind turbine installations in Saxony-Anhalt continue to expand, the question of recycling becomes increasingly critical.

In 2023, nearly 30,000 wind turbines were operational in Germany, generating approximately one-third of the country’s electricity. As part of the energy transition, their contribution is expected to increase further. However, with the addition of more turbines and the aging of existing ones, the issue of recycling comes into sharper focus. Steffen Czichon, Head of Rotor Blade Department at the Fraunhofer Institute for Wind Energy and Energy System Technology (IWES), remarks, “Currently, the quantities requiring decommissioning are still relatively small, giving us time to further develop technical solutions.” However, the Federal Environment Agency anticipates nearly 400,000 tons of waste, primarily from rotor blades, over the next 20 years. Globally, BloombergNEF projects that around 782,000 tons of rotor blades will need to be recycled by 2044.

There is ongoing discussion about the amount of microplastics released due to erosion of rotor blades, but precise data on microplastic emissions is lacking. An estimate suggests that Germany experiences a maximum erosion rate of 1,395 tons per year. To put this into perspective, tire abrasion exceeds 100,000 tons annually and shoe sole abrasion surpasses 9,000 tons.

Despite these challenges, the wind energy industry generates relatively little waste and approximately 90 percent of turbine components can be recycled. However, rotor blades pose a significant challenge due to their composition of wood, metal, adhesives and, primarily, composite materials. These materials, whether glass fiber-reinforced (older models) or carbon fiber-reinforced (newer models), are difficult to separate. Researchers and companies are, therefore, exploring solutions.

Wind turbines remain profitable longer than expected

Previously, the Bremen-based company Neowa recycled glass fiber-reinforced plastic (GFK) rotor blades through co-processing, shredding the material and converting it into granules used as alternative fuel in the cement industry. At the same time, the glass content replaces some of the sand used in cement production.

However, operations were suspended last year due to a sharp decline in the number of decommissioned rotor blades. The reason is that wind turbines are often operated beyond their planned 20-year lifespan when technically viable. Moreover, increased energy prices render them economically viable even after the expiration of government subsidies. Some sites await approval to replace old turbines with larger, more efficient ones, delaying decommissioning.

Further use as terrace boards

Continuum, a Danish company, is planning to build several recycling plants to address the eventual recycling of rotor blades. These facilities will shred the blades to produce composite materials for kitchen countertops or construction panels. According to the company, these panels will consist of 92 percent recycled material.

Additionally, the process aims to significantly reduce the CO2 emissions associated with the current practice of incinerating and processing rotor blade residues in cement factories. The first plant is scheduled to be completed in early 2024, with five plants planned across Europe, including one in Germany. Each facility is expected to process approximately 36,000 tons of GRP annually and operate on renewable energy sources.

Novotech, based in Aschersleben, Saxony-Anhalt, also recycles GRP waste through mechanical processing. The rotor blades are crushed into coarse powder and combined with wood chips and other additives to create terrace boards. These boards can contain up to 30 percent recycled rotor blade material.

Closing the recycling loop

To simplify recycling in the future, it is crucial to consider the final steps during the product design process and design rotor blades for easier material separation. For example, Siemens Gamesa has developed the “RecyclableBlade”, featuring a new resin with a chemical structure that facilitates the separation of different components. With a mild acid solution, the resin, glass fibers and wood can be separated and reused in construction, consumer goods or the automotive industry.

The German startup Voodin Blades is collaborating with a Finnish wood material producer to develop lighter rotor blades made from laminated veneer lumber. The company is currently testing a 20-meter blade, with an 80-meter blade planned next.

Currently not yet a circular economy

However, existing recycling approaches have yet to achieve a true circular economy. While materials are reused, the resulting products are generally of lower quality – a classic case of downcycling. Research is ongoing to improve existing concepts to achieve higher material values and reduce energy consumption.

Policy interventions are also necessary. As Czichon from IWES notes, a recyclable blade does not necessarily equate to a blade that will be recycled. “I always compare it to coffee cups. It’s great if they’re compostable. But if I then burn them, it’s no good. And it’s the same with recyclable rotor blades.”

Therefore, establishing a closed recycling chain, such as setting up central collection points for old rotor blades, is essential. However, clearer political frameworks are needed, as wind energy expansion currently takes precedence over recycling on the priority list. Sarah Kröger, with Lisa Kuner

  • Circular Economy
  • Kreislaufwirtschaft
  • Recycling
  • Renewable energies
  • Wind power

News

Even if Germany meets the 2030 climate target, high fines loom

The positive climate figures presented by the Federal Environment Agency (UBA) on Friday are not a reason for reassurance, according to key experts. Even if the UBA projections were to materialize and Germany reaches its overall reduction target for 2030, the national reduction target at the EU level would still be missed. This is because sectors not covered by the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS), particularly transportation and buildings, are separately assessed and are projected to significantly miss their targets.

“Here, there is a risk of fines or costs in the billions for the purchase of emissions rights from other EU countries,” warns Gunnar Luderer from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. The Director of the New Climate Institute, Niklas Höhne, estimates the costs at around twelve billion euros at a price of 100 euros per certificate.

Twelve billion euros in costs loom

Furthermore, according to several scientists, the overall assessment of emissions is problematic. Despite the favorable numbers for 2030, it is expected that “the goal of climate neutrality by 2045 will be significantly missed with a continuation of current developments and political measures,” explains Manfred Fischedick, President of the Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy. “To close this gap, additional ambitious measures need to be decided and implemented in all sectors now, especially in the problem sectors of transportation and buildings.”

“Offsetting across all sectors, as envisaged in the climate action amendment, is misleading and counterproductive,” Niklas Höhne also comments. He argues that meeting the budget for 2030 overall obscures the significant problems in the transportation and building sectors. “Catching up in transportation is almost impossible after 2030, except through drastic and disruptive measures such as extremely high CO2 prices or bans on driving.” The federal cabinet initiated the controversial amendment to the Climate Change Act, which aims to abolish the previously binding sectoral targets, in July last year. It was introduced into the Bundestag in September, and whether and when it will be passed there is uncertain. mkr

  • Verkehrspolitik

Report: UK needs eleven times more heat pumps to meet climate targets

The British government aims to increase the installation rate of heat pumps to 600,000 units per year by 2028. By 2035, this number is expected to rise to 1.6 million per year. However, according to a report by the independent regulatory body, the National Audit Office (NAO), released on Monday, this target is far from being achieved. There is a lack of a long-term plan to motivate and financially support the population to switch to heat pumps.

In an initial response to the NAO’s criticism, the British government cited an ongoing advertising campaign and subsidies. However, the “Boiler Upgrade Scheme“, which provides 7,500 pounds to cover around half of the cost of a heat pump, has so far resulted in only half as many applications as hoped. Even in Germany, which is also lagging behind, far more heat pumps were sold in 2022 than the 55,000 units in the UK.

The building heating sector accounts for one-fifth of the total UK greenhouse gas emissions. Although overall emissions decreased by 5.7 percent compared to the previous year – reaching their lowest level since 1879 – the sluggish transition to heat pumps poses a long-term risk to the UK’s climate goals, warns the NAO. Eleven times more newly installed heat pumps per year are needed by 2028.

Gas lobby secures delay of market mechanism

Additionally, from next year, a new market mechanism is supposed to lead to the installation of more heat pumps. This mechanism mandates heating installers to install a progressively increasing percentage of heat pumps compared to gas boilers annually. If they fail to meet this quota, they will be fined. However, the introduction of the mechanism has been postponed by a year to April 2025 – a response to the resistance from gas companies and their lobbyists, who referred to the mechanism as a “boiler tax”. There are often such disinformation campaigns in the heating debate that keep demand low and delay or weaken laws. rtr/lb

  • Klimaziele

Cement industry: achieving climate goals not possible without rapid expansion of CO2 pipelines

In a new study, the cement industry is pressing for a swift expansion of CO2 infrastructure in Germany. Otherwise, neither the sector nor Germany can achieve their long-term climate goals. According to the study by the Verein Deutscher Zementwerke (VDZ), waste incineration plants and the cement and lime industry could capture and store (Carbon Capture and Storage, CCS) around 500 million tons of CO2 between 2028 and 2047 if pipelines for transporting the climate gas are built quickly enough. By no later than 2035, the ten major CO2 clusters of the cement and lime industry must be mostly connected to a pipeline network. If the expansion is delayed even by a few years, only half of the CO2 could be captured and stored, according to the study.

In total, approximately 4,800 kilometers of CO2 trunk lines would need to be built for the sector to become climate-neutral by 2040. The cost is estimated at 14 billion euros. Transporting one ton of CO2 from the cement, lime and waste incineration sectors would thus cost 35 euros over the observation period – operational costs for the CO2 pipeline network are not yet included. Transport by rail would only be feasible initially and would play only a “secondary role” due to high costs and technical complexity. Almost all sites of the cement and lime industry would be “approximately 50 kilometers from previously planned corridors for the CO2 pipeline network,” according to the study.

Very high electricity consumption for CCS

According to the study, the annual electricity demand of the cement and lime industry will quadruple by 2045 due to CO2 capture. Therefore, the VDZ is calling for a rapid expansion of renewable energies and power grids, as well as an acceleration of planning and approval procedures. According to the authors of the study, there are currently planned and published CO2 storage projects in Europe with an annual storage capacity of about 140 million tons by 2038. The German cement, lime, and waste incineration industry will require storage of 19 to 31 million tons by 2040. nib

  • CO2-Speicher

Climate Alliance: advocating for green hydrogen imports only

A broad coalition of environmental and development initiatives demanded on Monday the incorporation of “specific and binding sustainability standards” in Germany’s hydrogen import strategy, currently being developed by the federal government. The Climate Alliance calls for supporting only hydrogen and its derivatives produced without fossil energy. Additionally, this subsidized hydrogen should be used only in applications that cannot be directly electrified.

Bread for the World, an NGO, also presented a study by the Wuppertal Institute on the political instruments needed to ensure the sustainability of hydrogen imports:

  • Economic promotion and incentive instruments of the federal government, such as the H2Global mechanism, loans, guarantees and, in part, recently announced climate action contracts for industry decarbonization, are particularly suitable.
  • These instruments should be more closely linked, specified and expanded with the EU Supply Chains Directive, development cooperation and hydrogen partnerships with countries in the Global South to “anchor ambitious sustainability criteria for hydrogen projects”.

Avoiding environmental damage in the Global South

According to the Climate Alliance, social and environmental damage must be avoided in the export countries of the Global South. This includes concerns about land conflicts when large areas are allocated for solar and wind energy. The high water consumption in hydrogen production should be covered by seawater desalination plants; the remaining brine must be disposed of in an environmentally friendly manner. Additionally, participatory and transparent processes should ensure that profits are not captured by small elites.

The demand for exclusively green hydrogen imports has been controversial, including within the National Hydrogen Council, whose members advise the federal government. In the recently launched climate action contracts program aimed at driving decarbonization of German industry, blue hydrogen, where emitted CO2 is captured and stored, is an option. According to the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action, the hydrogen import strategy should be presented “shortly”. av

  • Green hydrogen
  • Grüner Wasserstoff
  • Hydrogen
  • Nachhaltigkeitsstandards
  • Technology

CBAM: Experts call for reforming CO2 border tax

In the study “Watts Next: Securing Europe’s Energy and Competitiveness”, experts led by Karen Pittel from the Ifo Institute argue that the European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) has several deficiencies and should be replaced by a climate club. This club should include the G7 or the G20 and coordinate the regulation of emissions-intensive industries.

Currently, the CBAM only applies to parts of the industrial value chain. Moreover, non-European producers can easily deliver more emissions-intensive products to non-EU countries, resulting in no overall climate benefit. If a climate club is not established, the authors suggest reforming the CBAM. The pricing should be based on the average emissions along the entire value chain.

Critique of national climate action contracts

The experts also criticize national climate action contracts, which are intended to partially subsidize additional costs for more climate-friendly production methods. “The massive introduction of such systems at the national level would lead to unequal support and unequal protection of national industries in the European internal market,” write the scientists.

Just a week ago, German Minister for Economic Affairs Robert Habeck initiated the first round of tenders for climate action contracts worth four billion euros. ber

  • CBAM
  • Emissions trading

Researchers provide recommendations for biodiversity strategy

With the “10 must-knows from biodiversity research 2024“, presented by the Leibniz Biodiversity Research Network on Monday, scientists aim to advance the ongoing debate on the national biodiversity strategy in terms of content. The strategy is set to be adopted before the next World Nature Conference, scheduled for next autumn in Cali, Colombia. In the document, experts consolidate current research findings and also provide concrete recommendations to effectively protect biological diversity while also addressing climate concerns.

The report carries a significant message for climate policy: In the fight against biodiversity and climate crises simultaneously, it is advantageous to initially focus on measures to combat species extinction, rather than prioritizing climate action policies. The experts argue that many measures to preserve biodiversity also mitigate climate change and promote adaptation to global warming, “while far fewer measures to protect the climate are also beneficial for biodiversity“.

Recommendation: Forest, peatland and marine conservation

As an example, they mention the protection of “natural and diverse forests”, which serve as both CO₂ sinks and habitats. In contrast, “the exclusive focus on CO2-effective measures, such as the cultivation of bioenergy crops on large areas or afforestation with monocultures, could have negative impacts on biodiversity” and should therefore be avoided.

The researchers recommend prioritizing energy crops and biomass from forests for long-lasting materials rather than energy production, “given more efficient renewable energy sources such as solar and wind”. They also warn against land use conflicts.

The report also describes how species protection and climate action can go hand in hand, using the examples of peatland and marine conservation: Peatlands and marine ecosystems, such as seagrass beds, are important CO2 sinks. According to the report, simply rewetting all drained peatland areas in Germany would reduce greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture by up to 40 percent.

The other “must-knows” address topics such as the connection between climate action, health and species protection, agriculture and food, cultural diversity and the opportunities for international cooperation. ae

  • Climate & Environment
  • Climate adaptation
  • Climate protection
  • Klimaanpassung

Climate.Table editorial team

CLIMATE.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

Licenses:
    Dear reader,

    Currently, the “who’s who” of the energy transition scene is gathering at the Berlin Energy Transition Dialogue. The central question of the event revolves around what is necessary to accelerate the transition to renewable energy. Avinash Persaud is also grappling with this question. In today’s interview, the architect of the Bridgetown Initiative for fair climate financing explains the challenges faced by heavily indebted countries in the energy transition, the investment risks that wealthy countries should mitigate and how to mobilize trillions for climate financing.

    Even with a successful energy transition, there are still challenges to address – such as the recycling of rotor blades from wind turbines. Sarah Kröger analyzes various solutions and explains why microplastics generated by wind turbines, contrary to current reports, may not pose a significant problem.

    Your
    Lisa Kuner
    Image of Lisa  Kuner

    Feature

    ‘The 2.4 trillion dollar problem can be solved’

    Avinash Persaud advises Mia Mottley, Prime Minister of Barbados, on climate finance and serves as a special advisor to the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB).

    Mr. Persaud, 2024 is said to be the year of climate finance. The Bridgetown Initiative, which you co-designed as Barbados’ climate special envoy alongside Prime Minister Mia Mottley, could play a crucial role. What has been achieved so far?

    The Bridgetown Initiative has played a pivotal role in advancing the climate agenda. It has made it clear: The climate crisis is a financing problem. Financing mitigation and resilience efforts in developing countries is much costlier than in industrialized nations. It also underscores that emissions reduction, adaptation and “loss and damage” require distinct financing approaches.

    Could you elaborate on that?

    Emissions reduction generates revenue. Solar parks, wind turbines, geothermal energy – all these generate income. Thus, the private sector could be engaged in climate mitigation efforts. This works in industrialized countries but not in developing ones. Adaptation to climate change can also save money – for example, building a dam with a loan to prevent future damage. However, it’s different with losses and damages: You can’t borrow money to rebuild poor people’s destroyed homes. Hence, a fund was established, with an initial capital injection of 800 million dollars. However, it needs to be a hundred times larger. 2023 was a significant year, but it’s just the beginning. We need to accelerate progress and implementation in 2024.

    ‘Climate change is an uninsurable event’

    What role do multilateral development banks, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank under its new President Ajay Banga play in this?

    The central role of multilateral development banks is to provide loans for large-scale public infrastructure projects like adaptation measures, dams, flood protection and improved drainage systems, costing billions. They need to increase lending for climate finance purposes, offering long-term, low-cost loans. They’ve stepped up efforts in the past year. The World Bank has revamped its strategy, placing climate alongside poverty reduction and growth at its core. By reducing its equity requirement, it has increased its lending capacity by about 50 billion dollars. Discussions are underway regarding expanding portfolio guarantees and utilizing Special Drawing Rights at the IMF. Collectively, these measures could increase climate lending by 200 billion dollars. We’ve established some damage funds, with one trillion in new capital.

    Will that be enough?

    It has become clear that climate change is an uninsurable event. This poses a real problem, especially for our European friends: They have the world’s largest reinsurers who sought to address climate change through more insurance. However, insurance only works if the risk doesn’t increase in correlation, extent and frequency.

    What do you propose instead?

    The alternative is the conditional suspension of interest and principal payments and our natural disaster clause, allowing a country to defer payment obligations for two years in the event of a natural disaster. The World Bank has announced its intention to incorporate these clauses into its bonds and loans. This is crucial for countries to buy time. However, the most critical area needing reform, but where none is seen, is the financial markets.

    ‘Public sector needs to reduce the costs of hedging exchange rate risk’

    What needs to change?

    We need to reform the system that defines things as safe or risky. South Africa emits many greenhouse gases because much of its electricity comes from coal. Switching to non-fossil electricity generation costs about 100 billion dollars. When a German investor invests in South African solar parks, they wonder: How much do I need to pay to eliminate exchange rate risk if the South African rand depreciates against me? The market price for such protection is around eleven to twelve percent per year. So, the project needs to generate eleven to twelve percent more annually than the same project in Germany. In reality, the rand depreciates by an average of only six percent per year. So, you’re paying five or six percent too much. The private sector doesn’t want to take on this risk.

    How can this risk be eliminated?

    The public sector needs to step in and reduce the costs of hedging exchange rate risk. Thus, it needs to charge for the actual risk, in this case, six percent, not twelve percent. This risk premium endangers the world. This is not about making money but saving the planet. The Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) and the Brazilian Central Bank have initiated a pilot project. If successful and replicable, it would be a rather radical reform.

    ‘The initiative aims to reduce the debt of developing countries’

    Currently, about 60 percent of low-income countries are highly vulnerable to or are already in payment difficulties. Some proposals of the Bridgetown Initiative would further increase lending to developing countries. How do you address the debt problem?

    The Bridgetown Initiative aims to do the opposite: reduce the debt of developing countries. We need to minimize the amount of future debt, which, in turn, reduces the total debt. Countries should only borrow money for things that lead to future savings – not for coping with losses and damages caused by the climate crisis. Their economies should grow faster with cheap loans, making them more resilient to climate shocks. Currency guarantees should promote private sector investments for green transformation. This is how we intend to address the debt problem.

    However, by 2030, developing countries need 2.4 trillion dollars annually for climate and development financing. This exceeds the assistance currently provided by multilateral development banks worldwide, as well as the existing financial aid from industrialized nations.

    Current global aid totals 200 billion dollars. It would need to increase twelvefold. This won’t happen. It’s not a solution for industrialized countries to provide all the money. While they are morally responsible and have become rich by abusing the environment, such a solution won’t be elected. Instead, industrialized countries should provide funds for things that cannot be financed otherwise, such as losses and damages. If not directly, then through higher taxes on fossil fuels used in shipping and aviation. Additionally, they should contribute more capital to multilateral development banks: If 10 billion dollars per year is invested in development banks, these seven banks can lend an additional 1 trillion dollars. This makes the problem of 2.4 trillion dollars realistic, achievable and politically acceptable.

    There are rumors that Mia Mottley could become the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. You’ve known Mia Mottley since college and worked closely with her. Does she have the qualities needed to be a UN Secretary-General?

    I have no doubt that she would be a good Secretary-General. My experience is that she can bridge differences, understand people and instill a desire in everyone to come together and elevate common ambitions. However, I must also say that, besides world peace, there is nothing more important to her than the Caribbean, Caribbean development and Caribbean integration. I believe she would need a lot of convincing to leave the region she deeply cares about.

    • Climate financing
    • Climate policy
    • COP28
    • Loss and Damage

    Wind energy: recycling of rotor blades still in its infancy

    As wind turbine installations in Saxony-Anhalt continue to expand, the question of recycling becomes increasingly critical.

    In 2023, nearly 30,000 wind turbines were operational in Germany, generating approximately one-third of the country’s electricity. As part of the energy transition, their contribution is expected to increase further. However, with the addition of more turbines and the aging of existing ones, the issue of recycling comes into sharper focus. Steffen Czichon, Head of Rotor Blade Department at the Fraunhofer Institute for Wind Energy and Energy System Technology (IWES), remarks, “Currently, the quantities requiring decommissioning are still relatively small, giving us time to further develop technical solutions.” However, the Federal Environment Agency anticipates nearly 400,000 tons of waste, primarily from rotor blades, over the next 20 years. Globally, BloombergNEF projects that around 782,000 tons of rotor blades will need to be recycled by 2044.

    There is ongoing discussion about the amount of microplastics released due to erosion of rotor blades, but precise data on microplastic emissions is lacking. An estimate suggests that Germany experiences a maximum erosion rate of 1,395 tons per year. To put this into perspective, tire abrasion exceeds 100,000 tons annually and shoe sole abrasion surpasses 9,000 tons.

    Despite these challenges, the wind energy industry generates relatively little waste and approximately 90 percent of turbine components can be recycled. However, rotor blades pose a significant challenge due to their composition of wood, metal, adhesives and, primarily, composite materials. These materials, whether glass fiber-reinforced (older models) or carbon fiber-reinforced (newer models), are difficult to separate. Researchers and companies are, therefore, exploring solutions.

    Wind turbines remain profitable longer than expected

    Previously, the Bremen-based company Neowa recycled glass fiber-reinforced plastic (GFK) rotor blades through co-processing, shredding the material and converting it into granules used as alternative fuel in the cement industry. At the same time, the glass content replaces some of the sand used in cement production.

    However, operations were suspended last year due to a sharp decline in the number of decommissioned rotor blades. The reason is that wind turbines are often operated beyond their planned 20-year lifespan when technically viable. Moreover, increased energy prices render them economically viable even after the expiration of government subsidies. Some sites await approval to replace old turbines with larger, more efficient ones, delaying decommissioning.

    Further use as terrace boards

    Continuum, a Danish company, is planning to build several recycling plants to address the eventual recycling of rotor blades. These facilities will shred the blades to produce composite materials for kitchen countertops or construction panels. According to the company, these panels will consist of 92 percent recycled material.

    Additionally, the process aims to significantly reduce the CO2 emissions associated with the current practice of incinerating and processing rotor blade residues in cement factories. The first plant is scheduled to be completed in early 2024, with five plants planned across Europe, including one in Germany. Each facility is expected to process approximately 36,000 tons of GRP annually and operate on renewable energy sources.

    Novotech, based in Aschersleben, Saxony-Anhalt, also recycles GRP waste through mechanical processing. The rotor blades are crushed into coarse powder and combined with wood chips and other additives to create terrace boards. These boards can contain up to 30 percent recycled rotor blade material.

    Closing the recycling loop

    To simplify recycling in the future, it is crucial to consider the final steps during the product design process and design rotor blades for easier material separation. For example, Siemens Gamesa has developed the “RecyclableBlade”, featuring a new resin with a chemical structure that facilitates the separation of different components. With a mild acid solution, the resin, glass fibers and wood can be separated and reused in construction, consumer goods or the automotive industry.

    The German startup Voodin Blades is collaborating with a Finnish wood material producer to develop lighter rotor blades made from laminated veneer lumber. The company is currently testing a 20-meter blade, with an 80-meter blade planned next.

    Currently not yet a circular economy

    However, existing recycling approaches have yet to achieve a true circular economy. While materials are reused, the resulting products are generally of lower quality – a classic case of downcycling. Research is ongoing to improve existing concepts to achieve higher material values and reduce energy consumption.

    Policy interventions are also necessary. As Czichon from IWES notes, a recyclable blade does not necessarily equate to a blade that will be recycled. “I always compare it to coffee cups. It’s great if they’re compostable. But if I then burn them, it’s no good. And it’s the same with recyclable rotor blades.”

    Therefore, establishing a closed recycling chain, such as setting up central collection points for old rotor blades, is essential. However, clearer political frameworks are needed, as wind energy expansion currently takes precedence over recycling on the priority list. Sarah Kröger, with Lisa Kuner

    • Circular Economy
    • Kreislaufwirtschaft
    • Recycling
    • Renewable energies
    • Wind power

    News

    Even if Germany meets the 2030 climate target, high fines loom

    The positive climate figures presented by the Federal Environment Agency (UBA) on Friday are not a reason for reassurance, according to key experts. Even if the UBA projections were to materialize and Germany reaches its overall reduction target for 2030, the national reduction target at the EU level would still be missed. This is because sectors not covered by the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS), particularly transportation and buildings, are separately assessed and are projected to significantly miss their targets.

    “Here, there is a risk of fines or costs in the billions for the purchase of emissions rights from other EU countries,” warns Gunnar Luderer from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. The Director of the New Climate Institute, Niklas Höhne, estimates the costs at around twelve billion euros at a price of 100 euros per certificate.

    Twelve billion euros in costs loom

    Furthermore, according to several scientists, the overall assessment of emissions is problematic. Despite the favorable numbers for 2030, it is expected that “the goal of climate neutrality by 2045 will be significantly missed with a continuation of current developments and political measures,” explains Manfred Fischedick, President of the Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy. “To close this gap, additional ambitious measures need to be decided and implemented in all sectors now, especially in the problem sectors of transportation and buildings.”

    “Offsetting across all sectors, as envisaged in the climate action amendment, is misleading and counterproductive,” Niklas Höhne also comments. He argues that meeting the budget for 2030 overall obscures the significant problems in the transportation and building sectors. “Catching up in transportation is almost impossible after 2030, except through drastic and disruptive measures such as extremely high CO2 prices or bans on driving.” The federal cabinet initiated the controversial amendment to the Climate Change Act, which aims to abolish the previously binding sectoral targets, in July last year. It was introduced into the Bundestag in September, and whether and when it will be passed there is uncertain. mkr

    • Verkehrspolitik

    Report: UK needs eleven times more heat pumps to meet climate targets

    The British government aims to increase the installation rate of heat pumps to 600,000 units per year by 2028. By 2035, this number is expected to rise to 1.6 million per year. However, according to a report by the independent regulatory body, the National Audit Office (NAO), released on Monday, this target is far from being achieved. There is a lack of a long-term plan to motivate and financially support the population to switch to heat pumps.

    In an initial response to the NAO’s criticism, the British government cited an ongoing advertising campaign and subsidies. However, the “Boiler Upgrade Scheme“, which provides 7,500 pounds to cover around half of the cost of a heat pump, has so far resulted in only half as many applications as hoped. Even in Germany, which is also lagging behind, far more heat pumps were sold in 2022 than the 55,000 units in the UK.

    The building heating sector accounts for one-fifth of the total UK greenhouse gas emissions. Although overall emissions decreased by 5.7 percent compared to the previous year – reaching their lowest level since 1879 – the sluggish transition to heat pumps poses a long-term risk to the UK’s climate goals, warns the NAO. Eleven times more newly installed heat pumps per year are needed by 2028.

    Gas lobby secures delay of market mechanism

    Additionally, from next year, a new market mechanism is supposed to lead to the installation of more heat pumps. This mechanism mandates heating installers to install a progressively increasing percentage of heat pumps compared to gas boilers annually. If they fail to meet this quota, they will be fined. However, the introduction of the mechanism has been postponed by a year to April 2025 – a response to the resistance from gas companies and their lobbyists, who referred to the mechanism as a “boiler tax”. There are often such disinformation campaigns in the heating debate that keep demand low and delay or weaken laws. rtr/lb

    • Klimaziele

    Cement industry: achieving climate goals not possible without rapid expansion of CO2 pipelines

    In a new study, the cement industry is pressing for a swift expansion of CO2 infrastructure in Germany. Otherwise, neither the sector nor Germany can achieve their long-term climate goals. According to the study by the Verein Deutscher Zementwerke (VDZ), waste incineration plants and the cement and lime industry could capture and store (Carbon Capture and Storage, CCS) around 500 million tons of CO2 between 2028 and 2047 if pipelines for transporting the climate gas are built quickly enough. By no later than 2035, the ten major CO2 clusters of the cement and lime industry must be mostly connected to a pipeline network. If the expansion is delayed even by a few years, only half of the CO2 could be captured and stored, according to the study.

    In total, approximately 4,800 kilometers of CO2 trunk lines would need to be built for the sector to become climate-neutral by 2040. The cost is estimated at 14 billion euros. Transporting one ton of CO2 from the cement, lime and waste incineration sectors would thus cost 35 euros over the observation period – operational costs for the CO2 pipeline network are not yet included. Transport by rail would only be feasible initially and would play only a “secondary role” due to high costs and technical complexity. Almost all sites of the cement and lime industry would be “approximately 50 kilometers from previously planned corridors for the CO2 pipeline network,” according to the study.

    Very high electricity consumption for CCS

    According to the study, the annual electricity demand of the cement and lime industry will quadruple by 2045 due to CO2 capture. Therefore, the VDZ is calling for a rapid expansion of renewable energies and power grids, as well as an acceleration of planning and approval procedures. According to the authors of the study, there are currently planned and published CO2 storage projects in Europe with an annual storage capacity of about 140 million tons by 2038. The German cement, lime, and waste incineration industry will require storage of 19 to 31 million tons by 2040. nib

    • CO2-Speicher

    Climate Alliance: advocating for green hydrogen imports only

    A broad coalition of environmental and development initiatives demanded on Monday the incorporation of “specific and binding sustainability standards” in Germany’s hydrogen import strategy, currently being developed by the federal government. The Climate Alliance calls for supporting only hydrogen and its derivatives produced without fossil energy. Additionally, this subsidized hydrogen should be used only in applications that cannot be directly electrified.

    Bread for the World, an NGO, also presented a study by the Wuppertal Institute on the political instruments needed to ensure the sustainability of hydrogen imports:

    • Economic promotion and incentive instruments of the federal government, such as the H2Global mechanism, loans, guarantees and, in part, recently announced climate action contracts for industry decarbonization, are particularly suitable.
    • These instruments should be more closely linked, specified and expanded with the EU Supply Chains Directive, development cooperation and hydrogen partnerships with countries in the Global South to “anchor ambitious sustainability criteria for hydrogen projects”.

    Avoiding environmental damage in the Global South

    According to the Climate Alliance, social and environmental damage must be avoided in the export countries of the Global South. This includes concerns about land conflicts when large areas are allocated for solar and wind energy. The high water consumption in hydrogen production should be covered by seawater desalination plants; the remaining brine must be disposed of in an environmentally friendly manner. Additionally, participatory and transparent processes should ensure that profits are not captured by small elites.

    The demand for exclusively green hydrogen imports has been controversial, including within the National Hydrogen Council, whose members advise the federal government. In the recently launched climate action contracts program aimed at driving decarbonization of German industry, blue hydrogen, where emitted CO2 is captured and stored, is an option. According to the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action, the hydrogen import strategy should be presented “shortly”. av

    • Green hydrogen
    • Grüner Wasserstoff
    • Hydrogen
    • Nachhaltigkeitsstandards
    • Technology

    CBAM: Experts call for reforming CO2 border tax

    In the study “Watts Next: Securing Europe’s Energy and Competitiveness”, experts led by Karen Pittel from the Ifo Institute argue that the European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) has several deficiencies and should be replaced by a climate club. This club should include the G7 or the G20 and coordinate the regulation of emissions-intensive industries.

    Currently, the CBAM only applies to parts of the industrial value chain. Moreover, non-European producers can easily deliver more emissions-intensive products to non-EU countries, resulting in no overall climate benefit. If a climate club is not established, the authors suggest reforming the CBAM. The pricing should be based on the average emissions along the entire value chain.

    Critique of national climate action contracts

    The experts also criticize national climate action contracts, which are intended to partially subsidize additional costs for more climate-friendly production methods. “The massive introduction of such systems at the national level would lead to unequal support and unequal protection of national industries in the European internal market,” write the scientists.

    Just a week ago, German Minister for Economic Affairs Robert Habeck initiated the first round of tenders for climate action contracts worth four billion euros. ber

    • CBAM
    • Emissions trading

    Researchers provide recommendations for biodiversity strategy

    With the “10 must-knows from biodiversity research 2024“, presented by the Leibniz Biodiversity Research Network on Monday, scientists aim to advance the ongoing debate on the national biodiversity strategy in terms of content. The strategy is set to be adopted before the next World Nature Conference, scheduled for next autumn in Cali, Colombia. In the document, experts consolidate current research findings and also provide concrete recommendations to effectively protect biological diversity while also addressing climate concerns.

    The report carries a significant message for climate policy: In the fight against biodiversity and climate crises simultaneously, it is advantageous to initially focus on measures to combat species extinction, rather than prioritizing climate action policies. The experts argue that many measures to preserve biodiversity also mitigate climate change and promote adaptation to global warming, “while far fewer measures to protect the climate are also beneficial for biodiversity“.

    Recommendation: Forest, peatland and marine conservation

    As an example, they mention the protection of “natural and diverse forests”, which serve as both CO₂ sinks and habitats. In contrast, “the exclusive focus on CO2-effective measures, such as the cultivation of bioenergy crops on large areas or afforestation with monocultures, could have negative impacts on biodiversity” and should therefore be avoided.

    The researchers recommend prioritizing energy crops and biomass from forests for long-lasting materials rather than energy production, “given more efficient renewable energy sources such as solar and wind”. They also warn against land use conflicts.

    The report also describes how species protection and climate action can go hand in hand, using the examples of peatland and marine conservation: Peatlands and marine ecosystems, such as seagrass beds, are important CO2 sinks. According to the report, simply rewetting all drained peatland areas in Germany would reduce greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture by up to 40 percent.

    The other “must-knows” address topics such as the connection between climate action, health and species protection, agriculture and food, cultural diversity and the opportunities for international cooperation. ae

    • Climate & Environment
    • Climate adaptation
    • Climate protection
    • Klimaanpassung

    Climate.Table editorial team

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