Table.Briefing: Climate (English)

Banks: billions for fossil fuels + ‘Clean cooking’ saves lives + Russia: climate in court

Dear reader,

For the global energy transition, trillions of dollars or euros need to be shifted from climate-harmful to climate-friendly investments. Many banks promise exactly that – but continue to invest substantial sums in fossil industries, as Nick Nuttall illustrates with new figures.

Because cooking is life-threatening, millions of women and children are at risk: Over two billion people prepare their food using only wood, coal or charcoal – and suffer from the pollutants in the smoke. Now, a high-level summit in Paris aims to mitigate this danger while also preserving nature and climate, especially in Africa, as Urmi Goswami explains.

Kiel’s mayor, Ulf Kämpfer, explains in an interview with Malte Kreuzfeldt where the money for the heat transition in Germany should come from. He shares his thoughts on the right pace and why he considers Kiel a pioneer.

We also look at a study that explains why the economic damages of climate change are even greater than previously assumed, a possible first climate lawsuit in Russia, and how costly a coal phase-out could be for China and India.

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Lisa Kuner
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Feature

Financial industry: These banks funded fossil fuels with 700 billion in 2023 despite climate goals

JP Morgan Chase, according to a recent analysis, invests a particularly large amount of money in the fossil fuel industry.

Sixty of the world’s largest banks invested over 700 billion dollars in supporting oil, gas and coal companies in 2023, apparently flying in the face of international efforts to combat climate change by decarbonizing the global economy. 

In climate diplomacy, finance is set to become a central issue this year, as a new financial target is expected to be adopted at COP29. However, investors can now use a new platform called “Move the Money” to see precisely whether their banks are advancing fossil investments and, if in doubt, switch to other financial institutions.

Needed: eight to nine trillion dollars for climate action

The Climate Policy Initiative has estimated that global financial flows into climate action need to reach $8 to 9 trillion annually up to 2030 and then jump to up to over 12 trillion dollars a year from 2031 to 2050. 

But since the Paris Agreement of 2015, 60 of the globe’s biggest private banks including JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America and Mizuho of Japan, invested a total of 7.1 trillion dollars not in climate action but into fossil fuels a new report out today claims. Nearly half of this investment – 3.5 trillion dollars – has supported expansion of fossil fuels including in ecologically sensitive areas like the Amazon and the Arctic says the Banking on Climate Chaos report.

This is not an isolated case in the financial industry: Table.Briefings recently reported that Commerzbank missed its climate goals.

More financing for LNG, steam coal, coking coal

The report is considered the most comprehensive global analysis of “fossil fuel banking”, covering lending to over 4,200 companies involved in fossil fuels. It was prepared by experts from organizations and non-governmental organizations such as the Rainforest Action Network, BankTrack, Oil Change International and Urgewald.

The study shows that in 2023, financing increased in three markets for fossil fuels: methane or liquefied natural gas (LNG), thermal coal used for power plants and heating and metallurgical coal used as coke for products like steel. Accordingly:

  • Financing for LNG rose by 3.23 percent to over 120 billion dollars in 2023, with private banks Mizuho, Mitsubishi UFG, Santander, RBC (Royal Bank of Canada) and JP Morgan Chase being the largest funders.
  • During the same period, 42.5 billion dollars was invested in coal mining, with Chinese banks like China CITIC and China Merchant Bank leading.
  • Financing for coking coal also reached 42.5 billion dollars in 2023, with Chinese banks and Bank of America leading.
  • In some areas, financing by the 60 private banks declined in 2023. For example, financing for oil and gas projects in the Arctic decreased from 3.4 to 2.4 billion dollars. UniCredit, Citigroup, Barclays, and Credit Agricole were among the largest funders in this area.

Many banks are committed to Net Zero Banking

Many of the banks named in the report are members of the UN’s Net Zero Banking Alliance. JP Morgan Chase, topping the list of global financiers of fossil fuels in 2023, did not respond to a request from Table.Briefings regarding how they reconcile these investments with their membership in the UN Net Zero Banking Alliance.

Asked how they square this membership with sustained fossil fuel investments, Sandrine Dickson Decleve, co-President of the Club of Rome and Co-Chair of the European Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance, told Climate Table. “Many of them also invest in renewables, so they kind of think they are climate neutral with their investments – which is frankly delusional.” 

“Many also say these investments are supporting pensions. But that makes no sense when you look at what climate impacts from burning fossil fuels are likely to do to the economy and thus people’s pensions,” she added. “They (the big banks) know that regulation is going to get tighter over the coming years, but they’re keen to max out their fossil fuel profits before that happens-to be honest governments need to step up the rules on sustainable investment flows now, before we are locked into temperature rises above 1.5 C.”

The alternative: fossil-free banks from GABV

The actions of these 60 big banks, most of whom are headquartered in North America, Europe and China, contrast sharply with a group of 17 banks who are members of the Global Alliance for Banking on Values (GABV). On Earth Day 2024, they reaffirmed their support for the adoption of a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty aimed at managing the world-wide phasing down and phasing out fossil fuels. 

Martin Rohner, Executive Director of the Global Alliance for Banking on Values, told Climate Table: “Most values-based banks exclude financing of any fossil fuel related activities, and many have committed to ambitious net zero targets as early as 2035. We encourage the wider financial industry to follow our lead and join us in our effort to protect the climate.”

Katrin Ganswindt, a co-author of Banking on Climate Chaos and Head of Finance and Research at Urgewald in Germany, said she was concerned that coal was still attracting investment given its high climate footprint.  “While we urgently need to exit coal, only 5 per cent of global coal companies have announced exit dates for their core business,” she added. However, there are also pioneers: “Frontrunners like Credit Mutuel or Banque Postale (two French banks in the new report) with strong exclusion policies lead the way to a climate sensitive finance industry.”

Nick Nuttall is a presenter and Director with We Don’t Have Time and the official UN spokesperson for the Paris Climate Agreement.

  • Finanzpolitik
Translation missing.

Summit on Clean Cooking: How affordable climate action could save millions of lives

Cooking as a health hazard: women in a refugee camp in Malawi after floods.

With a high-level summit, representatives from states, businesses, charities, development banks and the International Energy Agency (IEA) aim to make significant progress for climate action and development on Wednesday in Paris: The Clean Cooking initiative aims to address a significant problem, particularly in Africa, improve the health of millions of people, protect nature, and significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions relatively inexpensively.

“It’s a major humanitarian issue beyond energy and climate change,” said IEA chief Fatih Birol about the summit, which he invited along with Tanzanian President Samia Suluhu Hassan, Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, and President of the African Development Bank Group Akinwumi A. Adesina. “For me, the most important gender equity issue today is that in Africa, 80 percent of the people use primitive cookstoves for preparing a meal by using wood, agricultural and animal waste and it is almost exclusive women who are doing the cooking. This creates major respiratory diseases, and it is one of the two reasons for premature death of women in Africa,” said Fatih Birol, International Energy Agency.

Solution not a matter of technology but implementation

Clean cooking reduces or eliminates these problems. Due to various conditions, there isn’t a single technique – anything that replaces fuels like charcoal, coal, crop residues, dung, kerosene or wood is considered “clean.” Access to “clean cooking” is considered achieved when a household reaches level 4 of the World Bank’s multi-stage framework, which considers efficiency, pollutant load, comfort, fuel availability, safety, and affordability.

The lack of access to clean cooking affects some 2.3 billion people worldwide across 128 countries, contributing to 3.7 million premature deaths annually with women and children most at risk. Ensuring universal access to clean cooking is not a question of technology or policy solutions, it is an issue of implementation capacity and funding.

There has been progress in Asia and Latin America, where the number of people without access to clean cooking has been declining, countries like India, China, Indonesia halving their population without clean cooking access. Less than a third of those lacking access live in countries with adequate policies and funding required to achieve the 2030 target. The numbers, however, continue to rise in Africa, particularly in the sub-Saharan region. Today, roughly 1 billion in Africa, roughly four in every five, are dependent on primitive cooking options and polluting fuels. The policy and funding gap is widest in Africa. Less than a third of clean cooking plans in Africa are funded; incentives and financial support to households have been affected by the Covid-19 pandemic and high fuel prices due to the global energy crisis.

Needed in Africa: four billion. An LNG terminal: 25 billion

For Africa to achieve universal access to clean cooking by 2030, international financial flows, particularly concessional finance, will have to play a key role. “It is a very small amount of money when you think of the order of magnitude of the problem. If you want to solve the access to energy and clean cooking problem in Africa, you will need 25 billion dollars a year to put it in context, the cost of building one LNG terminal is 25 billion dollars,” said Birol. Globally, an investment of 8 billion dollars in clean cooking appliances and infrastructure is required annually. This is less than 1 percent of what governments spent in 2022 to keep energy prices affordable for their citizens during the global energy crisis.

Clean cooking trends over the past 20 years show that gaseous fuels, particularly liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), has emerged as the front runner fuel – 70 per cent of those who gained access in the last decade did so through LPG. Between 2000 and 2021, the share of gaseous fuels for cooking rose from 36 percent to 60 percent, bypassing biomass (share dropped from 44 percent to 29 percent). Among the commercially available solutions, LPG is the least cost, realistic scenario of achieving universal clean cooking.

New financing models planned

Affordability is a major challenge, as the most clean cooking appliances require households to make upfront payments and ongoing expenditure for fuels. A large majority of households cannot afford the upfront costs even though switching to clean cooking systems eventually pays for itself. This is why clean stoves are often promoted through offset projects, although these do not always deliver what they promise – as Table.Briefings reported.

The initiators of the summit want to counter this with new business models based on financing by the end consumer, such as:

  • the Pay-As-You-Go (PAYGO) model for energy as a service,
  • financing by the energy supplier
  • or the razor blades model, which assumes low device costs that are amortized through fuel.

The IEA expects the summit to be a turning point in addressing the issue of clean cooking. The IEA has been working over the past several months with companies, philanthropies, multilateral development banks, and governments to come to the summit with pledges, monetary and projects on the ground. “The numbers are very, very encouraging for filling a lot of the gaps. So, there will be a real mobilization, with financing and actions on the ground,” said Laura Cozzi, Director of Sustainability, Technology and Outlooks.

Representatives from India, Kenya, Egypt among others will share their experiences. “They will talk about what has worked and what hasn’t, and lessons learnt as well as good practices,” said Cozzi. Discussions on policy frameworks that can help will also be discussed.

Climate action through reduced pollutants and deforestation

It is expected that several milestones will be agreed on to drive concrete action in policy, financing, and partnerships that will be taken up at the G7 and G20 summits in June and September, respectively. The communique of the G7 Climate, Energy and Environment ministerial in Turin, Italy in April welcomed the IEA’s clean cooking access initiative and pledged to promote clean cooking technologies, including by electrification, sustainable and low GHG biomass, biogas, ethanol and where alternatives are unavailable LPG. These partnerships will be carried forward at COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan culminating with COP30 in Belem, Brazil.

Achieving the goal of universal clean cooking access is a net gain for the environment. While the switch to fuels like LPG will lead to increase in emsission by 100 million tons of CO2 2030, the reduction fuelwood and charcoal use will lead to reduction in methane and other greenhouse gas emitted by incomplete combustion in primitive cookstoves by 900 million tons carbon dioxide equivalent and reduction in deforestation, saving 700 million tons by 2030.

  • Climate protection
  • Deforestation
  • Energiekrise
  • Entwaldung
  • IEA
  • Natural gas

Mayor of Kiel: ‘I am very unhappy with the district heating bashing’

Ulf Kämpfer, SPD, Oberbürgermeister von Kiel, Präsident des VKU, Stellvertretender Präsident des Deutschen Städtetags.
Ulf Kämpfer (SPD), Mayor of Kiel and President of the German Association of Local Public Utilities.

One of the biggest tasks for municipalities currently is the climate transition in heating supply. How is Kiel progressing in this regard?

We aim to have district heating in Kiel 100 percent climate-neutral by 2035. We’re relying on large heat pumps, decarbonized waste incineration, deep geothermal energy and hydrogen. A mix that shows: Those who are ambitious in the heating transition can also find models for how to make it work.

You’re simultaneously the President of the German Association of Local Public Utilities (VKU) and Deputy President of the German Association of Cities. These associations are much less ambitious in the heating transition. How does that fit together?

This is because the conditions of our member companies are very, very different. On the one hand, we are further along with heating planning than others because Schleswig-Holstein introduced it early by state law, and the major cities in Schleswig-Holstein have to finish it by the end of the year. I have the Baltic Sea in Kiel, where I can relatively easily put large heat pumps into operation. Others have it harder, so the starting positions are different. As a federation, we have to take that into account, especially since the climate neutrality goal for 2045 is already ambitious. But I would say that climate action has already arrived everywhere.

‘Perhaps we need to slow down a bit sometimes’

But if the issue has arrived, why did your associations fight to push back the deadlines for decarbonizing district heating in the Heating Planning Act?

From my perspective, there’s a good reason for that. We not only want to decarbonize existing district heating but massively expand it, ideally tripling it. And that comes with many uncertainties, also due to lacking political frameworks: Do I, as a municipality, have the capacity and capital? Do the citizens want it? Can I offer an attractive price? If renewable shares in district heating are legislatively increased too quickly, many municipal utilities would be cautious and expand district heating less. That’s why we advocated not wanting too much, because ultimately that would achieve less. Perhaps we need to slow down a bit sometimes to achieve climate action for everyone at a good pace.

You mentioned the necessary capital. With the expansion of heat networks and climate-friendly power plants, there are huge sums involved, plus the expansion of distribution networks for electricity. Where will the money come from?

Nobody knows for sure yet. We only know that we need to diversify the financing bases significantly. On the one hand, municipalities must be willing to forego the distribution of profits so that they can be invested. But we’re talking about an amount of roughly 600 billion euros by 2030 and at least one trillion euros by 2045 – we won’t get there with classical instruments, we need new ones.

‘We need new capital collection points’

What could that be?

We need new capital collection points to use money from other sources. As the VKU, we are currently developing the rough concept for an Energy Transition Fund, which we will soon present with the BDEW. In addition, there are other forms of financial citizen participation, such as bonds or citizen cooperatives. But it’s clear that it mostly must be private capital.

When private capital is invested, it expects a good return. Wouldn’t it be cheaper to finance this task with public funds?

Of course, we also need the state, especially for district heating. But we all know the discussion about the debt brake and the federal budget. We would already be pleased if the federal government would provide municipalities with the three billion euros per year for district heating as demanded, instead of the one-time 3.2 billion euros until 2029. To be honest, I lack the imagination that there are political majorities for completely financing this task with taxpayer money. That would overtax the state. And of course, private investors want a return. But if the investment is secure, for example, through state guarantees, the interest doesn’t have to be so high, even though a higher equity interest in energy transition investments would help.

‘We don’t have to be the cheapest everywhere’

Already, district heating has become quite expensive in some cases. And unlike with electricity or gas, you can’t simply switch to a cheaper provider. How do you respond to criticism that getting a district heating connection is a financial adventure with an uncertain outcome?

I understand the critical questions and we’re also discussing other price-setting mechanisms. But it shouldn’t be overregulated or heavily cut. Because no supervisory board of a municipal utility can embark on the adventure of massive district heating expansion without knowing how the prices will be regulated afterward and how the investments can be refinanced. And we also have to be careful not to talk district heating to pieces. Because it’s not as if operators can demand any prices they want; it’s already a controlled market. And of course, prices have risen during the energy crisis, but they have also risen for electricity and gas, which impacts district heating with a delay. That’s why I’m very unhappy with the district heating bashing that’s sometimes happening.

But isn’t a heat pump really cheaper – and above all, more predictable – for many households?

In addition to acquisition costs etc., you’re dependent on the electricity price, which is also uncertain. And of course, district heating prices must be attractive compared to the alternatives, but we don’t have to be the cheapest everywhere. Because district heating offers other advantages: You don’t have to install heating at home, the infrastructure is provided. I have high supply security with a provider I can trust. It doesn’t have to be a bargain, as my municipal utilities say – but of course, nobody wants to pay twice as much for district heating as for heating with a heat pump.

Ulf Kämpfer, 51, has been Lord Mayor of Kiel for ten years. He is also President of the German Association of Local Public Utilities (VKU) and Deputy President of the Association of German Cities. The SPD politician, who was once State Secretary in Schleswig-Holstein under Robert Habeck, is seen as a potential challenger to Daniel Günther in the next state elections.

  • Wärmewende

News

Economic damage of climate change greater than expected

An increase in global temperature by 1 degree Celsius leads to a decrease in global GDP by 12 percent. This is the conclusion reached by the authors of a study on the macroeconomic consequences of climate change. Adrien Bilal from Harvard University and Diego R. Känzig from Northwestern University in the USA examined the effects of global temperature shocks on Gross Domestic Products (GDP).

Previously, economists assumed that a 1-degree increase in world temperature would reduce global production by at most one to three percent. According to the researchers, the macroeconomic consequences of climate change are therefore six times larger than previously thought. With current global climate policies, the UN expects a temperature increase of up to three degrees, which would have correspondingly higher economic impacts.

Global temperature shocks instead of local temperature changes

In contrast to previous studies, Bilal and Känzig focused on the influence of global temperature shocks , as these are better suited to predicting extreme climate events than local temperature changes. Global temperature changes have a much greater impact on economic development than local temperature changes, the authors write. As previous studies have focused on local temperature changes, they have come to much lower estimates.

The study authors conclude that one ton of carbon dioxide incurs costs of over 1,000 US dollars, which would lead to a long-term loss of prosperity of 31 percent if no action is taken. Previously, it was assumed, for example in the case of the USA, that one emitted ton of CO2 causes costs of only 30 US dollars for the USA. Because the costs of decarbonization per ton of CO2 are usually significantly higher than this value, a unilateral decarbonization policy for the USA has not been truly worthwhile.

According to the new estimate, the authors now assume costs of 211 US dollars per ton of CO2 for the USA alone, which exceeds the costs of most decarbonization measures. Therefore, a “unilateral decarbonization policy for the USA is cost-effective.” luk

  • Mitigation

Mobility transition: fast investments save costs in the long run

From an economic perspective, early investments are the most cost-effective way to achieve Germany’s climate goals in the transportation sector. This is the conclusion of the study “Mobility transition as added value“, presented on Monday by the think tank Agora Verkehrswende and the economic research company Prognos.

According to the study, public budgets, private consumers and companies would initially need to spend an additional eleven to 16 billion euros annually. However, by 2035, annual expenditures across the entire transportation sector would fall below the projection of the Federal Environment Agency, which aligns with the government’s approved and planned measures. In a scenario where additional measures are delayed until 2030, the investment requirements would increase more sharply. By the mid-2030s, additional annual expenditures of over 90 billion euros would be necessary. The long-term cost savings stem primarily from shifting traffic from roads to railways.

The study compares three scenarios. The reference scenario is based on the projection of the Federal Environment Agency, which, however, does not achieve climate neutrality by 2045 or adhere to the emission budget. The “Transition in 2025” scenario calculates the macroeconomic effects of rapid policy changes, including substantial investments in rail, public transportation, EV charging infrastructure and the digitization of transportation modes.

Late change of course makes the transport transition more expensive

The “Transition in 2030” scenario assumes that political measures leading to transportation climate neutrality would not occur until the next decade. This scenario is by far the most expensive: Since many greenhouse gases would be emitted by then, functioning combustion engine vehicles would need to be decommissioned to reach the cumulative emission budget. This radical phase-out of combustion engines would be very costly from an economic standpoint.

Wiebke Zimmer, Deputy Director of Agora Verkehrswende, urged swift political action: “If the federal government were to act according to economic logic, it would have to quickly set all levers in motion for climate action in transportation.” In addition to monetary costs, climate damages must also be considered: “The price is measured either in money or in greenhouse gases, with all the associated risks.” av

  • Verkehrswende

Russia: Constitutional Court considers climate lawsuit for the first time

Russia’s Constitutional Court has admitted a climate lawsuit for examination for the first time. In the lawsuit, the NGO Ecodefense and 18 activists from the environmental, climate and human rights movements argue that various Russian laws violate the constitution because they endanger the fundamental rights to life, health and a clean environment. A previous lawsuit against Russia’s climate policy was rejected by the Russian Constitutional Court in 2023.

In the current proceedings, the plaintiffs challenge the constitutionality of Presidential Decree No. 666 of November 4, 2020, titled “On the Reduction of Greenhouse Gas Emissions”. Their lawsuit targets the “Strategy for the Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Federation with Low Greenhouse Gas Emissions until 2050” and a series of related laws. The decree and the strategy are Russia’s key guiding documents for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The activists argue that these documents are completely inadequate for the Paris Climate Agreement and also violate the Russian constitution. The Climate Action Tracker platform also rates the climate policy of the Russian Federation with the lowest rating of “critically insufficient.” kul

  • Klimaklagen

Coal phase-out: How much China and India would need to pay for compensation

A coal phase-out in China and India could cost two trillion US dollars in compensation. This is according to a recently published study. The authors from Chalmers University of Technology in Sweden and the Central European University in Austria analyzed national and international coal phase-out plans. According to the study, 23 countries with coal phase-out plans are paying compensation to companies, regions affected by the coal phase-out or workers. These compensations amount to 209 billion US dollars. If India and China were to decide on a coal phase-out and make similar payments, trillions of dollars in costs would be incurred by the two largest coal consumers.

Currently, more than half of the compensation payments come from international sources, such as through the Just Energy Transition Partnerships (JETPs). However, how the necessary funds for compensation payments could be mobilized in India and China is an open question, according to the study authors. “The estimated compensation payments in China and India are not only larger in absolute terms [than previous compensation mechanisms], but would also be more expensive compared to the economic capacities” of the two states, says Lola Nacke, one of the study’s authors.

Previous compensation costs are below CO2 price

The previously estimated 209 billion US dollars for compensation payments in various countries are already a high amount, according to the study authors. However, they lead to a reduction of six billion tons of CO2 emissions. However, “the costs of compensating for coal phase-outs per ton of avoided CO2 emissions (29 to 46 US dollars per ton) are significantly below recent carbon prices in Europe (around 64 to 80 US dollars per ton)”. Additionally, compensation costs are always offset by avoided costs for climate damages that can be prevented through ambitious climate policies. nib

  • JETP
  • Kohleausstieg

Forest condition: Why only every fifth tree is healthy

The forest in Germany continues to suffer. Among the most prevalent tree species – spruce, pine, beech, and oak – only one in five trees is healthy. This is the result of the new forest condition survey for 2023 conducted by the Federal Ministry of Food and Agriculture (BMEL). Reasons for this include persistent drought and high temperatures since 2018. The state of the forest has neither significantly improved nor worsened since the previous year. Overall, only 20 percent of the forest area in Germany in 2023 is so healthy that it shows no crown thinning, meaning no visible or measurable needle or leaf loss in the tree canopy. Only in the case of pine was there a slight improvement in crown condition.

Compared to other main tree species, spruce is faring the worst, with the highest mortality rate. Since the first survey in 1984, the visible leaf or needle loss of all tree species has been increasing. The most significant changes were observed in 2019. “The climate crisis has a firm grip on our forest; prolonged drought and high temperatures in recent years have left lasting damage,” says Cem Özdemir, Federal Minister for Food and Agriculture. The forest is becoming a chronic patient. Therefore, the BMEL has allocated 250 million euros for forest promotion this year to protect the forest against the climate crisis. seh

  • Wald

Agricultural ETS: Liese believes debate on CO2 price for farmers is premature

The rapporteur for the European Emissions Trading System, Peter Liese (EPP), does not consider it appropriate to include the agricultural sector in the ETS yet. He argues that the focus should be on the benefits provided by farmers and foresters, rather than problematizing the sector. “It is the only sector that provides large amounts of CO2 sinks,” Liese said in response to inquiries from Table.Briefings. Therefore, it is not the right time to discuss the inclusion of the sector in the ETS.

However, the fact remains that the agricultural sector is currently considered a net emitter in the EU. Economists and environmental organizations, therefore, demand that agriculture also be subject to a CO2 price to incentivize the industry to reduce emissions. However, experts – including Peter Liese – advocate for integrating compensation for carbon removals from the atmosphere into the ETS to incentivize CO2 removals. This way, the natural carbon sequestration capacity of the agricultural sector could become profitable for farmers. However, the implementation of an agricultural ETS is currently hindered by the lack of a system that fully captures removed CO2 in the agriculture and land use sector (LULUCF).

Liese: ‘A too high ETS price jeopardizes industrial production’

Liese also rejects interventions in the existing EU Emissions Trading System (ETS). He refuses to concede to demands for measures to raise the declining CO2 price in the ETS. “A too high ETS price can accelerate the decline of industrial production in the European Union because decarbonization in industry does not happen so quickly,” the EPP’s climate policy spokesperson said.

After the price crashes last year, calls for clearer market signals through higher CO2 prices and urging the Commission to suspend auctions for additional emission allowances grew louder. Liese is confident that the CO2 price will eventually rise back to 100 euros and beyond. “Therefore, no one should have illusions: Those who invest in clean technologies now will benefit in the long run,” he emphasizes. luk

  • Agricultural Policy
  • Klima & Umwelt

Opinion

Energy transition requires support for large battery storage

by Benedikt Deuchert
Benedikt Deuchert, Head of Business Development & Regulatory Affairs at Kyon Energy.

The goal of Solar Package I within the new European Renewable Energy Directive (RED III) is commendable: to streamline and accelerate the construction and operation of wind and photovoltaic installations. Among other things, so-called “acceleration zones” are provided for renewable energy projects. And this acceleration is urgently needed. By 2030, 80 percent of the electricity consumed in Germany is supposed to come from renewable sources. This requires easy access to wind and solar power and better options for using volatile energy and relieving or stabilizing the grid. Large battery storage plays a crucial role here.

Large battery storage currently serves mainly three purposes: stabilizing grid frequency by providing regulation energy, managing bottlenecks in the power grid and smoothing out extreme price fluctuations in the electricity market.

They not only stabilize market prices but also have a price-reducing effect. Additionally, they reduce the need for controllable generators like gas power plants and contribute to supply security. Expansion is more relevant than ever. By 2030, the Fraunhofer Institute ISE estimates the need for storage capacity at around 104 gigawatt-hours. Currently, only about 1.5 gigawatt-hours are installed (as of January 2024).

Due to the highly dynamic market development with investment announcements on a billion-dollar scale, storage systems are now moving up the political agenda for the first time. This is important because the legal-regulatory framework still massively hinders the potential of large battery storage. The German government is currently working on three strategies concerning large battery storage: the system development strategy, the electricity storage strategy, and the power plant strategy. Initial conclusion: the strategies are not aligned with each other.

Strategies lacking foresight

With the electricity storage strategy, the German government recognizes the role of large battery storage and accurately describes why they must play a central role in the future energy system. However, it remains a statement of intent because concrete measures and timelines are missing. In contrast, the system development strategy completely ignores the relevance of large battery storage: It is based on long-term scenarios that consider the energy system up to 2045. Neither the interim report nor the updated scenarios (February 2024) are aligned with the electricity storage strategy. For example, the reference scenario does not assume any expansion of storage. The model does not even differentiate between home storage and large-scale facilities. And even worse, the reality of expanding energy storage is inadequately considered. The models are already outdated.

The recently published power plant strategy, on the other hand, focuses on how a secure generation capacity can be created from hydrogen-based gas power plants. However, the extent to which “storage power plants” should play a role remains open. Also, a capacity mechanism is announced from 2028 onwards. This is akin to a bombshell because it would effectively abolish the established energy-only market that has been in place for many years. The mere announcement of this will have significant implications for investment readiness in various areas of energy generation. It is, therefore, crucial to quickly clarify the design of these mechanisms to prevent necessary and economically viable investments in energy generation and storage from being withheld due to uncertainties. Such a situation would exacerbate the problem and turn the capacity mechanism into a “self-fulfilling prophecy”. It should, therefore, be ensured that any future mechanism does not unduly affect the price signals in the energy-only market in a way that excessively dampens price volatility. Furthermore, the strategy should stipulate that a capacity of a few hours, as is typically the case with newly planned large battery storage (and also pump storage power plants), is highly valuable for the overall system.

A holistic perspective is needed

A closer look, unfortunately, reveals that the individual strategies are conceived as silos. However, neither the expansion of renewables nor of storage is an end in itself. It’s about building an energy system that works with 100 percent renewables in the future. This requires a holistic approach that must also consider storage, among other things, alongside improvements for wind and photovoltaics. The German government needs to step up here.

This means that the electricity storage strategy must contain concrete measures and a clear legislative timeline. Legal clarity regarding the discontinuation of construction cost subsidies and privileges in rural areas is necessary. Similarly, a market-based redispatch instrument for storage is needed. Fair conditions for providing non-frequency system services and, if necessary, for the future capacity mechanism should also be ensured. The system development strategy urgently needs to emphasize the relevance of large battery storage and realistically correct the expansion rates of large battery storage.

In the first step, the power plant strategy needs a quick clarification of the design of the announced capacity mechanism to ensure future investment readiness. The role of storage power plants should also be defined. Instead of sticking to silo thinking, it is now advisable to promote synergies to ensure that the strategies support each other rather than undermine each other.

Benedikt Deuchert is Head of Business Development & Regulatory Affairs at Kyon Energy, a project development company focusing on large battery storage systems.

Climate.Table editorial team

CLIMATE.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

Licenses:
    Dear reader,

    For the global energy transition, trillions of dollars or euros need to be shifted from climate-harmful to climate-friendly investments. Many banks promise exactly that – but continue to invest substantial sums in fossil industries, as Nick Nuttall illustrates with new figures.

    Because cooking is life-threatening, millions of women and children are at risk: Over two billion people prepare their food using only wood, coal or charcoal – and suffer from the pollutants in the smoke. Now, a high-level summit in Paris aims to mitigate this danger while also preserving nature and climate, especially in Africa, as Urmi Goswami explains.

    Kiel’s mayor, Ulf Kämpfer, explains in an interview with Malte Kreuzfeldt where the money for the heat transition in Germany should come from. He shares his thoughts on the right pace and why he considers Kiel a pioneer.

    We also look at a study that explains why the economic damages of climate change are even greater than previously assumed, a possible first climate lawsuit in Russia, and how costly a coal phase-out could be for China and India.

    Your
    Lisa Kuner
    Image of Lisa  Kuner

    Feature

    Financial industry: These banks funded fossil fuels with 700 billion in 2023 despite climate goals

    JP Morgan Chase, according to a recent analysis, invests a particularly large amount of money in the fossil fuel industry.

    Sixty of the world’s largest banks invested over 700 billion dollars in supporting oil, gas and coal companies in 2023, apparently flying in the face of international efforts to combat climate change by decarbonizing the global economy. 

    In climate diplomacy, finance is set to become a central issue this year, as a new financial target is expected to be adopted at COP29. However, investors can now use a new platform called “Move the Money” to see precisely whether their banks are advancing fossil investments and, if in doubt, switch to other financial institutions.

    Needed: eight to nine trillion dollars for climate action

    The Climate Policy Initiative has estimated that global financial flows into climate action need to reach $8 to 9 trillion annually up to 2030 and then jump to up to over 12 trillion dollars a year from 2031 to 2050. 

    But since the Paris Agreement of 2015, 60 of the globe’s biggest private banks including JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America and Mizuho of Japan, invested a total of 7.1 trillion dollars not in climate action but into fossil fuels a new report out today claims. Nearly half of this investment – 3.5 trillion dollars – has supported expansion of fossil fuels including in ecologically sensitive areas like the Amazon and the Arctic says the Banking on Climate Chaos report.

    This is not an isolated case in the financial industry: Table.Briefings recently reported that Commerzbank missed its climate goals.

    More financing for LNG, steam coal, coking coal

    The report is considered the most comprehensive global analysis of “fossil fuel banking”, covering lending to over 4,200 companies involved in fossil fuels. It was prepared by experts from organizations and non-governmental organizations such as the Rainforest Action Network, BankTrack, Oil Change International and Urgewald.

    The study shows that in 2023, financing increased in three markets for fossil fuels: methane or liquefied natural gas (LNG), thermal coal used for power plants and heating and metallurgical coal used as coke for products like steel. Accordingly:

    • Financing for LNG rose by 3.23 percent to over 120 billion dollars in 2023, with private banks Mizuho, Mitsubishi UFG, Santander, RBC (Royal Bank of Canada) and JP Morgan Chase being the largest funders.
    • During the same period, 42.5 billion dollars was invested in coal mining, with Chinese banks like China CITIC and China Merchant Bank leading.
    • Financing for coking coal also reached 42.5 billion dollars in 2023, with Chinese banks and Bank of America leading.
    • In some areas, financing by the 60 private banks declined in 2023. For example, financing for oil and gas projects in the Arctic decreased from 3.4 to 2.4 billion dollars. UniCredit, Citigroup, Barclays, and Credit Agricole were among the largest funders in this area.

    Many banks are committed to Net Zero Banking

    Many of the banks named in the report are members of the UN’s Net Zero Banking Alliance. JP Morgan Chase, topping the list of global financiers of fossil fuels in 2023, did not respond to a request from Table.Briefings regarding how they reconcile these investments with their membership in the UN Net Zero Banking Alliance.

    Asked how they square this membership with sustained fossil fuel investments, Sandrine Dickson Decleve, co-President of the Club of Rome and Co-Chair of the European Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance, told Climate Table. “Many of them also invest in renewables, so they kind of think they are climate neutral with their investments – which is frankly delusional.” 

    “Many also say these investments are supporting pensions. But that makes no sense when you look at what climate impacts from burning fossil fuels are likely to do to the economy and thus people’s pensions,” she added. “They (the big banks) know that regulation is going to get tighter over the coming years, but they’re keen to max out their fossil fuel profits before that happens-to be honest governments need to step up the rules on sustainable investment flows now, before we are locked into temperature rises above 1.5 C.”

    The alternative: fossil-free banks from GABV

    The actions of these 60 big banks, most of whom are headquartered in North America, Europe and China, contrast sharply with a group of 17 banks who are members of the Global Alliance for Banking on Values (GABV). On Earth Day 2024, they reaffirmed their support for the adoption of a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty aimed at managing the world-wide phasing down and phasing out fossil fuels. 

    Martin Rohner, Executive Director of the Global Alliance for Banking on Values, told Climate Table: “Most values-based banks exclude financing of any fossil fuel related activities, and many have committed to ambitious net zero targets as early as 2035. We encourage the wider financial industry to follow our lead and join us in our effort to protect the climate.”

    Katrin Ganswindt, a co-author of Banking on Climate Chaos and Head of Finance and Research at Urgewald in Germany, said she was concerned that coal was still attracting investment given its high climate footprint.  “While we urgently need to exit coal, only 5 per cent of global coal companies have announced exit dates for their core business,” she added. However, there are also pioneers: “Frontrunners like Credit Mutuel or Banque Postale (two French banks in the new report) with strong exclusion policies lead the way to a climate sensitive finance industry.”

    Nick Nuttall is a presenter and Director with We Don’t Have Time and the official UN spokesperson for the Paris Climate Agreement.

    • Finanzpolitik
    Translation missing.

    Summit on Clean Cooking: How affordable climate action could save millions of lives

    Cooking as a health hazard: women in a refugee camp in Malawi after floods.

    With a high-level summit, representatives from states, businesses, charities, development banks and the International Energy Agency (IEA) aim to make significant progress for climate action and development on Wednesday in Paris: The Clean Cooking initiative aims to address a significant problem, particularly in Africa, improve the health of millions of people, protect nature, and significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions relatively inexpensively.

    “It’s a major humanitarian issue beyond energy and climate change,” said IEA chief Fatih Birol about the summit, which he invited along with Tanzanian President Samia Suluhu Hassan, Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, and President of the African Development Bank Group Akinwumi A. Adesina. “For me, the most important gender equity issue today is that in Africa, 80 percent of the people use primitive cookstoves for preparing a meal by using wood, agricultural and animal waste and it is almost exclusive women who are doing the cooking. This creates major respiratory diseases, and it is one of the two reasons for premature death of women in Africa,” said Fatih Birol, International Energy Agency.

    Solution not a matter of technology but implementation

    Clean cooking reduces or eliminates these problems. Due to various conditions, there isn’t a single technique – anything that replaces fuels like charcoal, coal, crop residues, dung, kerosene or wood is considered “clean.” Access to “clean cooking” is considered achieved when a household reaches level 4 of the World Bank’s multi-stage framework, which considers efficiency, pollutant load, comfort, fuel availability, safety, and affordability.

    The lack of access to clean cooking affects some 2.3 billion people worldwide across 128 countries, contributing to 3.7 million premature deaths annually with women and children most at risk. Ensuring universal access to clean cooking is not a question of technology or policy solutions, it is an issue of implementation capacity and funding.

    There has been progress in Asia and Latin America, where the number of people without access to clean cooking has been declining, countries like India, China, Indonesia halving their population without clean cooking access. Less than a third of those lacking access live in countries with adequate policies and funding required to achieve the 2030 target. The numbers, however, continue to rise in Africa, particularly in the sub-Saharan region. Today, roughly 1 billion in Africa, roughly four in every five, are dependent on primitive cooking options and polluting fuels. The policy and funding gap is widest in Africa. Less than a third of clean cooking plans in Africa are funded; incentives and financial support to households have been affected by the Covid-19 pandemic and high fuel prices due to the global energy crisis.

    Needed in Africa: four billion. An LNG terminal: 25 billion

    For Africa to achieve universal access to clean cooking by 2030, international financial flows, particularly concessional finance, will have to play a key role. “It is a very small amount of money when you think of the order of magnitude of the problem. If you want to solve the access to energy and clean cooking problem in Africa, you will need 25 billion dollars a year to put it in context, the cost of building one LNG terminal is 25 billion dollars,” said Birol. Globally, an investment of 8 billion dollars in clean cooking appliances and infrastructure is required annually. This is less than 1 percent of what governments spent in 2022 to keep energy prices affordable for their citizens during the global energy crisis.

    Clean cooking trends over the past 20 years show that gaseous fuels, particularly liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), has emerged as the front runner fuel – 70 per cent of those who gained access in the last decade did so through LPG. Between 2000 and 2021, the share of gaseous fuels for cooking rose from 36 percent to 60 percent, bypassing biomass (share dropped from 44 percent to 29 percent). Among the commercially available solutions, LPG is the least cost, realistic scenario of achieving universal clean cooking.

    New financing models planned

    Affordability is a major challenge, as the most clean cooking appliances require households to make upfront payments and ongoing expenditure for fuels. A large majority of households cannot afford the upfront costs even though switching to clean cooking systems eventually pays for itself. This is why clean stoves are often promoted through offset projects, although these do not always deliver what they promise – as Table.Briefings reported.

    The initiators of the summit want to counter this with new business models based on financing by the end consumer, such as:

    • the Pay-As-You-Go (PAYGO) model for energy as a service,
    • financing by the energy supplier
    • or the razor blades model, which assumes low device costs that are amortized through fuel.

    The IEA expects the summit to be a turning point in addressing the issue of clean cooking. The IEA has been working over the past several months with companies, philanthropies, multilateral development banks, and governments to come to the summit with pledges, monetary and projects on the ground. “The numbers are very, very encouraging for filling a lot of the gaps. So, there will be a real mobilization, with financing and actions on the ground,” said Laura Cozzi, Director of Sustainability, Technology and Outlooks.

    Representatives from India, Kenya, Egypt among others will share their experiences. “They will talk about what has worked and what hasn’t, and lessons learnt as well as good practices,” said Cozzi. Discussions on policy frameworks that can help will also be discussed.

    Climate action through reduced pollutants and deforestation

    It is expected that several milestones will be agreed on to drive concrete action in policy, financing, and partnerships that will be taken up at the G7 and G20 summits in June and September, respectively. The communique of the G7 Climate, Energy and Environment ministerial in Turin, Italy in April welcomed the IEA’s clean cooking access initiative and pledged to promote clean cooking technologies, including by electrification, sustainable and low GHG biomass, biogas, ethanol and where alternatives are unavailable LPG. These partnerships will be carried forward at COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan culminating with COP30 in Belem, Brazil.

    Achieving the goal of universal clean cooking access is a net gain for the environment. While the switch to fuels like LPG will lead to increase in emsission by 100 million tons of CO2 2030, the reduction fuelwood and charcoal use will lead to reduction in methane and other greenhouse gas emitted by incomplete combustion in primitive cookstoves by 900 million tons carbon dioxide equivalent and reduction in deforestation, saving 700 million tons by 2030.

    • Climate protection
    • Deforestation
    • Energiekrise
    • Entwaldung
    • IEA
    • Natural gas

    Mayor of Kiel: ‘I am very unhappy with the district heating bashing’

    Ulf Kämpfer, SPD, Oberbürgermeister von Kiel, Präsident des VKU, Stellvertretender Präsident des Deutschen Städtetags.
    Ulf Kämpfer (SPD), Mayor of Kiel and President of the German Association of Local Public Utilities.

    One of the biggest tasks for municipalities currently is the climate transition in heating supply. How is Kiel progressing in this regard?

    We aim to have district heating in Kiel 100 percent climate-neutral by 2035. We’re relying on large heat pumps, decarbonized waste incineration, deep geothermal energy and hydrogen. A mix that shows: Those who are ambitious in the heating transition can also find models for how to make it work.

    You’re simultaneously the President of the German Association of Local Public Utilities (VKU) and Deputy President of the German Association of Cities. These associations are much less ambitious in the heating transition. How does that fit together?

    This is because the conditions of our member companies are very, very different. On the one hand, we are further along with heating planning than others because Schleswig-Holstein introduced it early by state law, and the major cities in Schleswig-Holstein have to finish it by the end of the year. I have the Baltic Sea in Kiel, where I can relatively easily put large heat pumps into operation. Others have it harder, so the starting positions are different. As a federation, we have to take that into account, especially since the climate neutrality goal for 2045 is already ambitious. But I would say that climate action has already arrived everywhere.

    ‘Perhaps we need to slow down a bit sometimes’

    But if the issue has arrived, why did your associations fight to push back the deadlines for decarbonizing district heating in the Heating Planning Act?

    From my perspective, there’s a good reason for that. We not only want to decarbonize existing district heating but massively expand it, ideally tripling it. And that comes with many uncertainties, also due to lacking political frameworks: Do I, as a municipality, have the capacity and capital? Do the citizens want it? Can I offer an attractive price? If renewable shares in district heating are legislatively increased too quickly, many municipal utilities would be cautious and expand district heating less. That’s why we advocated not wanting too much, because ultimately that would achieve less. Perhaps we need to slow down a bit sometimes to achieve climate action for everyone at a good pace.

    You mentioned the necessary capital. With the expansion of heat networks and climate-friendly power plants, there are huge sums involved, plus the expansion of distribution networks for electricity. Where will the money come from?

    Nobody knows for sure yet. We only know that we need to diversify the financing bases significantly. On the one hand, municipalities must be willing to forego the distribution of profits so that they can be invested. But we’re talking about an amount of roughly 600 billion euros by 2030 and at least one trillion euros by 2045 – we won’t get there with classical instruments, we need new ones.

    ‘We need new capital collection points’

    What could that be?

    We need new capital collection points to use money from other sources. As the VKU, we are currently developing the rough concept for an Energy Transition Fund, which we will soon present with the BDEW. In addition, there are other forms of financial citizen participation, such as bonds or citizen cooperatives. But it’s clear that it mostly must be private capital.

    When private capital is invested, it expects a good return. Wouldn’t it be cheaper to finance this task with public funds?

    Of course, we also need the state, especially for district heating. But we all know the discussion about the debt brake and the federal budget. We would already be pleased if the federal government would provide municipalities with the three billion euros per year for district heating as demanded, instead of the one-time 3.2 billion euros until 2029. To be honest, I lack the imagination that there are political majorities for completely financing this task with taxpayer money. That would overtax the state. And of course, private investors want a return. But if the investment is secure, for example, through state guarantees, the interest doesn’t have to be so high, even though a higher equity interest in energy transition investments would help.

    ‘We don’t have to be the cheapest everywhere’

    Already, district heating has become quite expensive in some cases. And unlike with electricity or gas, you can’t simply switch to a cheaper provider. How do you respond to criticism that getting a district heating connection is a financial adventure with an uncertain outcome?

    I understand the critical questions and we’re also discussing other price-setting mechanisms. But it shouldn’t be overregulated or heavily cut. Because no supervisory board of a municipal utility can embark on the adventure of massive district heating expansion without knowing how the prices will be regulated afterward and how the investments can be refinanced. And we also have to be careful not to talk district heating to pieces. Because it’s not as if operators can demand any prices they want; it’s already a controlled market. And of course, prices have risen during the energy crisis, but they have also risen for electricity and gas, which impacts district heating with a delay. That’s why I’m very unhappy with the district heating bashing that’s sometimes happening.

    But isn’t a heat pump really cheaper – and above all, more predictable – for many households?

    In addition to acquisition costs etc., you’re dependent on the electricity price, which is also uncertain. And of course, district heating prices must be attractive compared to the alternatives, but we don’t have to be the cheapest everywhere. Because district heating offers other advantages: You don’t have to install heating at home, the infrastructure is provided. I have high supply security with a provider I can trust. It doesn’t have to be a bargain, as my municipal utilities say – but of course, nobody wants to pay twice as much for district heating as for heating with a heat pump.

    Ulf Kämpfer, 51, has been Lord Mayor of Kiel for ten years. He is also President of the German Association of Local Public Utilities (VKU) and Deputy President of the Association of German Cities. The SPD politician, who was once State Secretary in Schleswig-Holstein under Robert Habeck, is seen as a potential challenger to Daniel Günther in the next state elections.

    • Wärmewende

    News

    Economic damage of climate change greater than expected

    An increase in global temperature by 1 degree Celsius leads to a decrease in global GDP by 12 percent. This is the conclusion reached by the authors of a study on the macroeconomic consequences of climate change. Adrien Bilal from Harvard University and Diego R. Känzig from Northwestern University in the USA examined the effects of global temperature shocks on Gross Domestic Products (GDP).

    Previously, economists assumed that a 1-degree increase in world temperature would reduce global production by at most one to three percent. According to the researchers, the macroeconomic consequences of climate change are therefore six times larger than previously thought. With current global climate policies, the UN expects a temperature increase of up to three degrees, which would have correspondingly higher economic impacts.

    Global temperature shocks instead of local temperature changes

    In contrast to previous studies, Bilal and Känzig focused on the influence of global temperature shocks , as these are better suited to predicting extreme climate events than local temperature changes. Global temperature changes have a much greater impact on economic development than local temperature changes, the authors write. As previous studies have focused on local temperature changes, they have come to much lower estimates.

    The study authors conclude that one ton of carbon dioxide incurs costs of over 1,000 US dollars, which would lead to a long-term loss of prosperity of 31 percent if no action is taken. Previously, it was assumed, for example in the case of the USA, that one emitted ton of CO2 causes costs of only 30 US dollars for the USA. Because the costs of decarbonization per ton of CO2 are usually significantly higher than this value, a unilateral decarbonization policy for the USA has not been truly worthwhile.

    According to the new estimate, the authors now assume costs of 211 US dollars per ton of CO2 for the USA alone, which exceeds the costs of most decarbonization measures. Therefore, a “unilateral decarbonization policy for the USA is cost-effective.” luk

    • Mitigation

    Mobility transition: fast investments save costs in the long run

    From an economic perspective, early investments are the most cost-effective way to achieve Germany’s climate goals in the transportation sector. This is the conclusion of the study “Mobility transition as added value“, presented on Monday by the think tank Agora Verkehrswende and the economic research company Prognos.

    According to the study, public budgets, private consumers and companies would initially need to spend an additional eleven to 16 billion euros annually. However, by 2035, annual expenditures across the entire transportation sector would fall below the projection of the Federal Environment Agency, which aligns with the government’s approved and planned measures. In a scenario where additional measures are delayed until 2030, the investment requirements would increase more sharply. By the mid-2030s, additional annual expenditures of over 90 billion euros would be necessary. The long-term cost savings stem primarily from shifting traffic from roads to railways.

    The study compares three scenarios. The reference scenario is based on the projection of the Federal Environment Agency, which, however, does not achieve climate neutrality by 2045 or adhere to the emission budget. The “Transition in 2025” scenario calculates the macroeconomic effects of rapid policy changes, including substantial investments in rail, public transportation, EV charging infrastructure and the digitization of transportation modes.

    Late change of course makes the transport transition more expensive

    The “Transition in 2030” scenario assumes that political measures leading to transportation climate neutrality would not occur until the next decade. This scenario is by far the most expensive: Since many greenhouse gases would be emitted by then, functioning combustion engine vehicles would need to be decommissioned to reach the cumulative emission budget. This radical phase-out of combustion engines would be very costly from an economic standpoint.

    Wiebke Zimmer, Deputy Director of Agora Verkehrswende, urged swift political action: “If the federal government were to act according to economic logic, it would have to quickly set all levers in motion for climate action in transportation.” In addition to monetary costs, climate damages must also be considered: “The price is measured either in money or in greenhouse gases, with all the associated risks.” av

    • Verkehrswende

    Russia: Constitutional Court considers climate lawsuit for the first time

    Russia’s Constitutional Court has admitted a climate lawsuit for examination for the first time. In the lawsuit, the NGO Ecodefense and 18 activists from the environmental, climate and human rights movements argue that various Russian laws violate the constitution because they endanger the fundamental rights to life, health and a clean environment. A previous lawsuit against Russia’s climate policy was rejected by the Russian Constitutional Court in 2023.

    In the current proceedings, the plaintiffs challenge the constitutionality of Presidential Decree No. 666 of November 4, 2020, titled “On the Reduction of Greenhouse Gas Emissions”. Their lawsuit targets the “Strategy for the Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Federation with Low Greenhouse Gas Emissions until 2050” and a series of related laws. The decree and the strategy are Russia’s key guiding documents for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The activists argue that these documents are completely inadequate for the Paris Climate Agreement and also violate the Russian constitution. The Climate Action Tracker platform also rates the climate policy of the Russian Federation with the lowest rating of “critically insufficient.” kul

    • Klimaklagen

    Coal phase-out: How much China and India would need to pay for compensation

    A coal phase-out in China and India could cost two trillion US dollars in compensation. This is according to a recently published study. The authors from Chalmers University of Technology in Sweden and the Central European University in Austria analyzed national and international coal phase-out plans. According to the study, 23 countries with coal phase-out plans are paying compensation to companies, regions affected by the coal phase-out or workers. These compensations amount to 209 billion US dollars. If India and China were to decide on a coal phase-out and make similar payments, trillions of dollars in costs would be incurred by the two largest coal consumers.

    Currently, more than half of the compensation payments come from international sources, such as through the Just Energy Transition Partnerships (JETPs). However, how the necessary funds for compensation payments could be mobilized in India and China is an open question, according to the study authors. “The estimated compensation payments in China and India are not only larger in absolute terms [than previous compensation mechanisms], but would also be more expensive compared to the economic capacities” of the two states, says Lola Nacke, one of the study’s authors.

    Previous compensation costs are below CO2 price

    The previously estimated 209 billion US dollars for compensation payments in various countries are already a high amount, according to the study authors. However, they lead to a reduction of six billion tons of CO2 emissions. However, “the costs of compensating for coal phase-outs per ton of avoided CO2 emissions (29 to 46 US dollars per ton) are significantly below recent carbon prices in Europe (around 64 to 80 US dollars per ton)”. Additionally, compensation costs are always offset by avoided costs for climate damages that can be prevented through ambitious climate policies. nib

    • JETP
    • Kohleausstieg

    Forest condition: Why only every fifth tree is healthy

    The forest in Germany continues to suffer. Among the most prevalent tree species – spruce, pine, beech, and oak – only one in five trees is healthy. This is the result of the new forest condition survey for 2023 conducted by the Federal Ministry of Food and Agriculture (BMEL). Reasons for this include persistent drought and high temperatures since 2018. The state of the forest has neither significantly improved nor worsened since the previous year. Overall, only 20 percent of the forest area in Germany in 2023 is so healthy that it shows no crown thinning, meaning no visible or measurable needle or leaf loss in the tree canopy. Only in the case of pine was there a slight improvement in crown condition.

    Compared to other main tree species, spruce is faring the worst, with the highest mortality rate. Since the first survey in 1984, the visible leaf or needle loss of all tree species has been increasing. The most significant changes were observed in 2019. “The climate crisis has a firm grip on our forest; prolonged drought and high temperatures in recent years have left lasting damage,” says Cem Özdemir, Federal Minister for Food and Agriculture. The forest is becoming a chronic patient. Therefore, the BMEL has allocated 250 million euros for forest promotion this year to protect the forest against the climate crisis. seh

    • Wald

    Agricultural ETS: Liese believes debate on CO2 price for farmers is premature

    The rapporteur for the European Emissions Trading System, Peter Liese (EPP), does not consider it appropriate to include the agricultural sector in the ETS yet. He argues that the focus should be on the benefits provided by farmers and foresters, rather than problematizing the sector. “It is the only sector that provides large amounts of CO2 sinks,” Liese said in response to inquiries from Table.Briefings. Therefore, it is not the right time to discuss the inclusion of the sector in the ETS.

    However, the fact remains that the agricultural sector is currently considered a net emitter in the EU. Economists and environmental organizations, therefore, demand that agriculture also be subject to a CO2 price to incentivize the industry to reduce emissions. However, experts – including Peter Liese – advocate for integrating compensation for carbon removals from the atmosphere into the ETS to incentivize CO2 removals. This way, the natural carbon sequestration capacity of the agricultural sector could become profitable for farmers. However, the implementation of an agricultural ETS is currently hindered by the lack of a system that fully captures removed CO2 in the agriculture and land use sector (LULUCF).

    Liese: ‘A too high ETS price jeopardizes industrial production’

    Liese also rejects interventions in the existing EU Emissions Trading System (ETS). He refuses to concede to demands for measures to raise the declining CO2 price in the ETS. “A too high ETS price can accelerate the decline of industrial production in the European Union because decarbonization in industry does not happen so quickly,” the EPP’s climate policy spokesperson said.

    After the price crashes last year, calls for clearer market signals through higher CO2 prices and urging the Commission to suspend auctions for additional emission allowances grew louder. Liese is confident that the CO2 price will eventually rise back to 100 euros and beyond. “Therefore, no one should have illusions: Those who invest in clean technologies now will benefit in the long run,” he emphasizes. luk

    • Agricultural Policy
    • Klima & Umwelt

    Opinion

    Energy transition requires support for large battery storage

    by Benedikt Deuchert
    Benedikt Deuchert, Head of Business Development & Regulatory Affairs at Kyon Energy.

    The goal of Solar Package I within the new European Renewable Energy Directive (RED III) is commendable: to streamline and accelerate the construction and operation of wind and photovoltaic installations. Among other things, so-called “acceleration zones” are provided for renewable energy projects. And this acceleration is urgently needed. By 2030, 80 percent of the electricity consumed in Germany is supposed to come from renewable sources. This requires easy access to wind and solar power and better options for using volatile energy and relieving or stabilizing the grid. Large battery storage plays a crucial role here.

    Large battery storage currently serves mainly three purposes: stabilizing grid frequency by providing regulation energy, managing bottlenecks in the power grid and smoothing out extreme price fluctuations in the electricity market.

    They not only stabilize market prices but also have a price-reducing effect. Additionally, they reduce the need for controllable generators like gas power plants and contribute to supply security. Expansion is more relevant than ever. By 2030, the Fraunhofer Institute ISE estimates the need for storage capacity at around 104 gigawatt-hours. Currently, only about 1.5 gigawatt-hours are installed (as of January 2024).

    Due to the highly dynamic market development with investment announcements on a billion-dollar scale, storage systems are now moving up the political agenda for the first time. This is important because the legal-regulatory framework still massively hinders the potential of large battery storage. The German government is currently working on three strategies concerning large battery storage: the system development strategy, the electricity storage strategy, and the power plant strategy. Initial conclusion: the strategies are not aligned with each other.

    Strategies lacking foresight

    With the electricity storage strategy, the German government recognizes the role of large battery storage and accurately describes why they must play a central role in the future energy system. However, it remains a statement of intent because concrete measures and timelines are missing. In contrast, the system development strategy completely ignores the relevance of large battery storage: It is based on long-term scenarios that consider the energy system up to 2045. Neither the interim report nor the updated scenarios (February 2024) are aligned with the electricity storage strategy. For example, the reference scenario does not assume any expansion of storage. The model does not even differentiate between home storage and large-scale facilities. And even worse, the reality of expanding energy storage is inadequately considered. The models are already outdated.

    The recently published power plant strategy, on the other hand, focuses on how a secure generation capacity can be created from hydrogen-based gas power plants. However, the extent to which “storage power plants” should play a role remains open. Also, a capacity mechanism is announced from 2028 onwards. This is akin to a bombshell because it would effectively abolish the established energy-only market that has been in place for many years. The mere announcement of this will have significant implications for investment readiness in various areas of energy generation. It is, therefore, crucial to quickly clarify the design of these mechanisms to prevent necessary and economically viable investments in energy generation and storage from being withheld due to uncertainties. Such a situation would exacerbate the problem and turn the capacity mechanism into a “self-fulfilling prophecy”. It should, therefore, be ensured that any future mechanism does not unduly affect the price signals in the energy-only market in a way that excessively dampens price volatility. Furthermore, the strategy should stipulate that a capacity of a few hours, as is typically the case with newly planned large battery storage (and also pump storage power plants), is highly valuable for the overall system.

    A holistic perspective is needed

    A closer look, unfortunately, reveals that the individual strategies are conceived as silos. However, neither the expansion of renewables nor of storage is an end in itself. It’s about building an energy system that works with 100 percent renewables in the future. This requires a holistic approach that must also consider storage, among other things, alongside improvements for wind and photovoltaics. The German government needs to step up here.

    This means that the electricity storage strategy must contain concrete measures and a clear legislative timeline. Legal clarity regarding the discontinuation of construction cost subsidies and privileges in rural areas is necessary. Similarly, a market-based redispatch instrument for storage is needed. Fair conditions for providing non-frequency system services and, if necessary, for the future capacity mechanism should also be ensured. The system development strategy urgently needs to emphasize the relevance of large battery storage and realistically correct the expansion rates of large battery storage.

    In the first step, the power plant strategy needs a quick clarification of the design of the announced capacity mechanism to ensure future investment readiness. The role of storage power plants should also be defined. Instead of sticking to silo thinking, it is now advisable to promote synergies to ensure that the strategies support each other rather than undermine each other.

    Benedikt Deuchert is Head of Business Development & Regulatory Affairs at Kyon Energy, a project development company focusing on large battery storage systems.

    Climate.Table editorial team

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