While we intensively discuss risky economic dependencies and anxiously watch China’s increasingly rougher tone towards Taiwan, we patiently wait for the China strategy of the German government. Originally, a national security strategy should already have been drafted in the first year of the German government coalition. Which was then supposed to be followed by the China strategy. But so far, neither paper exists.
The individual government parties use the time to define their positions. Currently, it is the turn of the liberal Free Democratic Party (FDP). For example, it wants a stress test for the economy and infrastructure, and to pool China expertise. In his analysis, Finn Mayer-Kuckuk finds astonishing parallels between the Liberals and the positions of the Greens.
A visitor who would not even be allowed to enter the USA will arrive in the UK this Sunday. The governor of the autonomous province of Xinjiang, Erkin Tuniyaz, is traveling to London on behalf of the Chinese government. He plans to meet representatives of the British Foreign Office. Geneva and Brussels are also on his itinerary. His visit is an insult to Uyghur lobby groups, human rights organizations and German and British MPs because Tuniyaz bears particular responsibility for the crimes against the Uyghurs in Xinjiang. Marcel Grzanna describes the background and reactions.
High-resolution footage captured by reconnaissance aircraft offers the US military new information about the Chinese balloon. They show antennas capable of intercepting communications – equipment that weather balloons typically do not carry. The fairytale of a weather balloon never convinced anyone, anyway. Michael Radunski analyzes the latest developments surrounding spherical aircraft and the implications.
This week’s China Perspective is about military service in times of saber rattling. A new reservist law will come into force in March and is unsettling young Chinese, as our Chinese author writes. The army offers promising students from poorer families a chance for free education. This makes the military an attractive choice during peacetime. But what if a violent “reunification” with Taiwan could become a reality?
Blacklisted in the US, at least accepted as a guest in Europe: The governor of the autonomous province of Xinjiang, Erkin Tuniyaz, is traveling to London next Sunday on behalf of the Chinese government, where he is expected to meet with representatives of the British Foreign Office. Exactly one week later, Tuniyaz then wants to make an appearance in Brussels to launch a diplomatic charm offensive with the EU member states.
Uyghur lobby groups, human rights organizations, as well as German and British MPs, harshly criticized the visit. Tuniyaz has been sanctioned by the United States for two years for his role in the human rights violations against Uyghur Muslims in Xinjiang. The US government even refers to Beijing’s treatment of the Uyghurs as genocide. The EU, on the other hand, has so far limited sanctions to four lower-ranking Xinjiang officials, while Tuniyaz is still allowed to enter.
Clear criticism of the visit comes from the EU Parliament. “The governor of Xinjiang is partly responsible for the human rights crimes that the Chinese leadership is still committing in the autonomous region,” MEP Reinhard Buetikofer (Greens) told China.Table. “Talks with China must continue. But that excludes people who, like Erkin Tuniyaz, are personally so closely involved in these crimes.”
Buetikofer, who is also a member of the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China (IPAC) and chair of the EU Parliament’s China delegation, believes the Chinese attempt is a sign that the strong criticism of China’s human rights crimes in recent years is having an effect. “Beijing feels compelled to respond. But I don’t think too many international actors will let the wool be pulled over their eyes,” he said. Buetikofer himself was, in turn, sanctioned by Beijing in 2021 after Brussels sanctioned Xinjiang officials.
Criticism also came from the German parliament. “I think this visit is extremely problematic. Offering the governor of Xinjiang a platform would send the wrong signal,” as human rights politician Peter Heidt (FDP) told China.Table. Heidt also believes that Beijing wants to downplay the situation in Xinjiang.
Frank Schwabe (SPD) warns that the Chinese side could exploit the visit for propaganda purposes. “I hope that the Europeans will take a well-prepared, unambiguous communication strategy with them into these talks. Nobody can make the mistake of being misled by the Chinese narrative.”
The office of the UN Commissioner for Human Rights accused the Chinese government of committing crimes against humanity for the first time last year. The background to this is a years-long re-education campaign that saw millions of people in Xinjiang detained in internment camps. These camps included systematic physical and psychological torture, rape and forced labor.
Shortly after the travel plans of the Chinese politician became public, British human rights lawyer Michael Polak lodged a request with the British Attorney General to request an investigation against Erkin Tuniyaz. Polak acted under the mandate of a former Kazakh camp detainee who now lives in the UK. If the Attorney General grants the request, the Chinese politician could theoretically face arrest.
In the meantime, London offered appeasement. The Foreign Office told British MPs that Tuniyaz was neither officially invited by the UK nor “worthy” of an official ministerial meeting. “China’s actions in Xinjiang are, of course, abhorrent and we will not legitimize them in any way,” a member of the minister’s office said. The British Parliament also labels the treatment of the Uyghurs in Xinjiang as genocide.
It is unclear how long Tuniyaz intends to stay in London. He may travel to Geneva in the middle of next week to attend the UN Social Council meeting there.
On Thursday, the US presented new evidence about the suspected Chinese spy balloon downed by US forces off the coast of South Carolina last Sunday. It is now clear that the Chinese balloon was able to intercept communication signals, the State Department announced.
In addition, according to American sources, the balloon was part of an entire fleet of Chinese surveillance balloons that recently crossed more than 40 countries on all five continents.
High-resolution images captured by American U-2 spy planes showed that the Chinese balloon was “clearly for intelligence surveillance and inconsistent with the equipment on board weather balloons”. Apparently, the balloon had multiple antennas to locate and gather communications. In addition, the attached solar panels were so large that they could power a whole range of sensitive monitoring equipment.
Modern sensors, such as those discovered on the Chinese balloon, can track signals relatively easily: For example, data that tells which mobile phones are being used around a military base like the US base in Montana.
This is where the State Department tried to reassure the public on Thursday. It stated that it was ensured that the Chinese balloon could not gather any useful information at nuclear launch sites and other military bases concerned.
Peter Layton has a different opinion. The Griffith University military expert in Queensland, Australia, is convinced that the Chinese certainly managed to gather information, intercept communications and send the data directly to China. However, the US probably was able to intercept the transmission to China. The bottom line: No sensitive data was intercepted and there is no imminent danger.
For this reason – and because the US government wanted to get its hands on the Chinese software – it was decided to let the balloon continue its journey for a while and only shoot it down over a relatively shallow part of the ocean. Although it will prove tricky to assemble the many individual components, by taking a close look at the equipment, army engineers now want to figure out what China is capable of by now. Because in the meantime, Navy divers have recovered the remains of the balloon off the coast of South Carolina. New insights are eagerly anticipated.
And these are urgently needed, as a look at the not-so-distant past shows: According to the US government, at least five flyovers of Chinese spy balloons over American territory have been reported – three during the Trump administration and two during Biden’s administration.
The Air Force General in charge, Glen VanHerck, had to concede, however, that his forces had not directly detected the overflights and also could not subsequently explain the mysterious flying objects in the sky. For this reason, the spy balloons observed during the Trump era had been classified as unidentified aerial phenomena. According to VanHerck, it took years of investigation to prove that they were part of a global Chinese spy balloon fleet.
China expert Andrew Scobel offers China.Table another explanation: priorities. “A balloon floating over a remote area of the United States may not have been considered as important as information about terrorist threats or a North Korean missile test.” Scobel conducts research at the United States Institute of Peace in Washington. He believes that past governments have long underestimated China’s ambitions and also capabilities.
With unusual candor, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken admitted on Wednesday who is the master and who is the student in this case: The recovered components will be analyzed in detail to learn more about the Chinese surveillance program. The knowledge gained from the balloon would then be combined with the observations made in American airspace.
In China, on the other hand, the goal has seemed clear for several years. A 2018 article in the military newspaper Jiefangjun-Bao 解放军报 said: “Near space has become a new battlefield of modern warfare” 临近空间也已经成为现代战争的一个新战场,是国家安全体系的一个重要环节. The aim, it says, is to dominate space at an altitude of 20 to 100 kilometers, with the author noting: ‘This transition zone between air and space is, apart from the occasional passage of rockets, a previously unexplored space for humans.
Shortly after taking office, China’s President Xi Jinping decreed a radical modernization of the country’s air force. Here it is important to know that Xi is also chairman of the Central Military Commission, and thus commander-in-chief of the Chinese armed forces. In this function, he urged the country’s air force in 2014 to “speed up air and space integration and sharpen their offensive and defensive capabilities.” China’s military experts subsequently identified “near space” as a crucial link.
America is currently seeing in its own skies how advanced the Chinese have become since then.
The FDP parliamentary group in the German Bundestag has published its own position paper on China. The main idea of the paper is to prepare Germany for possible crisis situations with Chinese participation and to strengthen Germany’s negotiating position vis-à-vis the People’s Republic. Among other things, the Free Democrats call for
The FDP considers a fundamental realignment of Germany’s foreign and economic strategy to be overdue. “We agree that our China policy must change, just as China has changed under Xi Jinping,” Johannes Vogel, First Parliamentary Secretary of the FDP parliamentary group, told China.Table.
Thanks to the draft China strategies from the economy and foreign ministries, the Greens have a head start in the German government coalition. Now the FDP is stepping out of the woodwork. The paper sounds like it can reach a consensus with the existing proposals on key points. As expected, free trade, entrepreneurship and networking with liberal democracies take up an important part for the FDP. The last time the Social Democratic Party (SPD) contributed a position paper was in 2020, i.e. before its “Zeitenwende”.
The key aspect of the position paper is to strengthen both Germany and Europe in economic and political competition. Only those who stay economically relevant will be able to have a say in the future and will be taken seriously, is the main message. Therefore, the FDP demands better general conditions for research and development. In typical liberal fashion, this is followed by a call for more entrepreneurial freedom and “unleashing the middle class”.
The FDP is particularly worried about a lack of knowledge about China in Germany. The idea is to create “hubs” where knowledge is systematically gathered. However, the party also sees the decentralized organization of science in a liberal democracy as an advantage. This would result in a greater diversity of information sources. However, it also warns that science should not cooperate blindly.
To ensure that Germany is “more capable of deterrence” in potential conflict scenarios, important players are to undergo stress tests in the future – just like banks have to do for potential financial crises. This particularly would include mobile communications, Vogel says. The paper also lists industry, transport, ports and railways, energy supply and data networks. Companies and authorities from these sectors are to be involved in the stress test exercise.
Here, the FDP warns against misunderstanding technical empowerment as a pursuit of self-sufficiency. Accordingly, trade with other technically advanced countries is more important than ever.
On a global level, the FDP envisions the creation of a global “alliance of democracies” that better cooperates than ever before in order to stand up to China. These countries should exemplify the rule of law and strengthen trade between them. In this way, not only an economic but also a “value area” is supposed to be created.
The Liberals see the conclusion of free trade agreements as a key step in this respect. However, ethical standards for countries of the Global South should not be too strict in order to make agreements possible in the first place.
Taiwan, too, plays a big role in the paper: As a partner in Asia and as a possible theater of a catastrophic conflict with China. The FDP calls for the island’s integration into more international organizations such as the aviation organization ICAO, Interpol or the World Customs Organization WCO. China rejects Taiwan’s membership in these bodies. In light of Russia’s aggression against Ukraine, the FDP believes it will be important to take China’s threats seriously.
Feb. 14, 2023; 2:30 a.m. CET (9:30 CST)
Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, Urban China Series: The Urbanization of People: The Politics of Development, Labor Markets, and Schooling in the Chinese City More
Feb. 15, 2023; 6 p.m. CET (Feb. 16, 1:00 a.m. CST)
Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, Critical Issues Confronting China Series: China’s Overseas Economic Push: Influence or Backlash More
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EU SME Centre, Webinar: Business Prospects for European SMEs in China in 2023 More
China’s Ambassador to the EU, Fu Cong, warned Brussels against signing a bilateral investment treaty with Taiwan. This would “fundamentally change” EU-China relations and “shake the foundations”. This step will be taken very seriously if it comes to that, Fu said at an event of the European Policy Centre. Fu also criticized visits to Taiwan by EU MPs “and also high-ranking officials from the EU institutions”. So far, several delegations from the European Parliament visited Taipei. However, high-ranking officials from the EU Commission or the European External Action Service (EEAS) have not officially visited Taiwan so far.
Fu rejected comparisons between the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the situation in Taiwan, calling them “two completely different things”. “Ukraine is an independent state, and Taiwan is part of China,” he said, “So there’s no comparability between the two issues.” The Chinese EU ambassador also reiterated Beijing’s position that the war in Ukraine must be resolved through negotiations. “We don’t believe that providing weapons will actually solve the problem.”
China’s EU ambassador also criticized the narrative of a victory for Ukraine. “We are quite concerned about people talking about winning and ‘complete victory’ on the battlefield,” Fu said. He urged to take the “security concerns of both sides” into account. On Thursday, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy visited Brussels. Zelenskiy previously met French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Paris and traveled to London. ari
Australia has ordered the removal of surveillance cameras made by Chinese manufacturers from its government buildings. Defense Minister and Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles justified the decision by arguing that the cameras could pose a security risk to Australia. However, he also said that the matter should not be overstated.
More than 900 surveillance cameras manufactured by Hikvision and Dahua are installed in and on government buildings, including the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade and the Department of Justice. Hikvision and Dahua are partly state-owned.
Australia has “no way of knowing if the sensitive information, images and audio collected by these devices are secretly being sent back to China against the interests of Australian citizens,” said James Paterson, Shadow Minister for Cyber Security, who requested the review. He cited a moral issue as another reason. Cameras from the two companies are also used to monitor Uyghurs in Xinjiang.
The United States and the United Kingdom already took a similar step in November and removed cameras. Australia banned Huawei from access to its 5G network in 2018, again due to security concerns. China reacted by imposing trade restrictions. jul
Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou will apparently assume the position of chairwoman at the telecom equipment manufacturer for six months starting in April. She gained international attention after being under house arrest in Canada between 2018 and 2021. Meng is the daughter of company founder and CEO Ren Zhengfei. Huawei did not confirm the news, but Chinese media are treating it as fact. Meng’s ascension to the company’s rotating top management is seen as a sign that she could be part of a plan to succeed 78-year-old Ren.
Huawei rotates between a number of leaders for the position of chair. By doing so, Ren wants to prevent the management structures from becoming rigid. Meng takes over the role from Xu Zhijun (Eric Xu) in April. The 50-year-old only joined the group of rotating company chairmen last year and is taking on the role for the first time. fin
China’s Reservists Law will go into effect on March 1, institutionalizing a system for military personnel replenishment. This would represent the country’s newest step in revising military-related legislation.
Two years ago, the National Defense Law and the Military Service Law were amended. An eye-catching amendment was made to the latter.
The significant scope broadening for possible causes of war is by itself telling enough. The addition of “unity and territorial integrity” is clearly putting Taiwan on the radar.
Who would form the main body of soldiers fighting for China if the country launches a war for Taiwan, and, then most likely, against the USA, and perhaps, Japan, and perhaps more others? Definitely not the Chinese netizens threatening dissidents on Twitter or those ripping down anti-Chinese government posters on Western campuses and those who beat demonstrators before the Chinese embassies and consulates.
Those sent to the frontline will be young men and women from poor families, mainly from small cities and the countryside.
Despite China’s highly publicized achievement of poverty eradication, more than 40 percent of the population still live on 1,000 yuan (137 euro) per month or less, said premier Li Keqiang in 2020. The situation wouldn’t be very different now, considering the stagnant economic growth in the past three years and the hardships caused by the Covid-related measures
Higher education in China is mostly not free. For high school graduates from impoverished families but academically strong, the country’s more than 40 military schools are a tempting choice. Going to these schools are not only free, but allowances are also provided. Graduates from these institutions will be the most important source for military officers.
For young men who can’t pass the entrance exam or whose families have limited means to pay for their higher education, the usual choice is to work in factories producing all sorts of products for domestic and global markets. Working and living conditions there are not the best, and workers’ rights are a touchy subject. Their salaries are usually just enough to make a living for themselves. Only the thrifty ones manage to save some for their family or for the future.
But the army seems to provide another way. Those joining do not have to work in factories, some expect to get good physical and technical training, some take it as their first big opportunity to socialize, and others may even harbor the fantasy of military glory, although, when leaving the active service, they would still face the same difficulties to find a job as the others in the job market.
China doesn’t have a conscription system thanks to its vast population base. But demographics could also show their unfavorable aspects, with the prospects of war becoming increasingly real.
China’s strict family planning policy was abolished only in 2015. Before that, families in the cities can have only one child. Giving in to the country’s sexist tradition and the need for men for farm work, the country allowed rural families to have up to two if the first one was a girl.
This means the young men and women joining the military would most likely be the only son, and in many cases, even the only child.
Joining the army in peaceful times is one thing, but another when a war looks possible.
If met with difficulties to recruit and to boost morale, China will surely step up its efforts in glorifying the sacrifice that the soldiers are supposed to make.
The Chinese Communist Party’s successful nationalist propaganda will also help for war mobilization against Taiwan, the United States, Japan, and even the entire western world.
The narrative that Taiwan is part of Chinese territory has always been very well received. The vast majority of the Chinese people would even say in their sleep that “Taiwan is part of China“.
Among the Chinese population, the United States has a well-established reputation as a bully trying to keep its hegemony by attempting to keep China down and even attempting its collapse. As for Japan, China never lets go of the history of being invaded by the Japanese during 1937-1945. New films and TV dramas about the China-Japan War, as well as the Korean War during 1950-1953, are regularly produced. Some of them even become blockbusters. The other western countries, if they also openly oppose China’s war efforts, can be easily portrayed as mindless followers of the United States, although that image is at the moment downplayed for economic purposes.
The patriotic fervor today is of course not as strong as in the previous decades. A growing number of people can see through the political game of Xi Jinping. Some even have the courage to speak out against it. But in the foreseeable future, he will have enough fuel to fan up high enough nationalist fire if he wants the country to go to war.
Laurie Chen has joined Reuters as a China correspondent in Beijing. The journalist last wrote for AFP and before that for the South China Morning Post.
Allen Wang becomes General Manager China at laboratory equipment manufacturer H.E.L. Group. He takes over the post from Qing Chen. Previously, Wang held the post of Sales Manager and Applications Specialist.
Is something changing in your organization? Let us know at heads@table.media!
Fluffy, swift and with a fine nose: There is no denying that squirrel detectives can easily compete with police dogs as the cutest members of the force. In Chongqing, the police are now using squirrels to detect drugs.
The training of six squirrels has already finished and they are now able to assist in complicated drug trafficking cases. They dash through crowded warehouses in no time, explore even the smallest nooks and crannies and climb high shelves. This allows the cute sleuths to sniff out even the cleverest drug stashes that their four-legged colleagues cannot reach.
China uses more than 120 dog breeds to enforce its zero-tolerance drug policy. However, the deployment of squirrels is new. The number of nuts they received as a treat during their training is not known.
While we intensively discuss risky economic dependencies and anxiously watch China’s increasingly rougher tone towards Taiwan, we patiently wait for the China strategy of the German government. Originally, a national security strategy should already have been drafted in the first year of the German government coalition. Which was then supposed to be followed by the China strategy. But so far, neither paper exists.
The individual government parties use the time to define their positions. Currently, it is the turn of the liberal Free Democratic Party (FDP). For example, it wants a stress test for the economy and infrastructure, and to pool China expertise. In his analysis, Finn Mayer-Kuckuk finds astonishing parallels between the Liberals and the positions of the Greens.
A visitor who would not even be allowed to enter the USA will arrive in the UK this Sunday. The governor of the autonomous province of Xinjiang, Erkin Tuniyaz, is traveling to London on behalf of the Chinese government. He plans to meet representatives of the British Foreign Office. Geneva and Brussels are also on his itinerary. His visit is an insult to Uyghur lobby groups, human rights organizations and German and British MPs because Tuniyaz bears particular responsibility for the crimes against the Uyghurs in Xinjiang. Marcel Grzanna describes the background and reactions.
High-resolution footage captured by reconnaissance aircraft offers the US military new information about the Chinese balloon. They show antennas capable of intercepting communications – equipment that weather balloons typically do not carry. The fairytale of a weather balloon never convinced anyone, anyway. Michael Radunski analyzes the latest developments surrounding spherical aircraft and the implications.
This week’s China Perspective is about military service in times of saber rattling. A new reservist law will come into force in March and is unsettling young Chinese, as our Chinese author writes. The army offers promising students from poorer families a chance for free education. This makes the military an attractive choice during peacetime. But what if a violent “reunification” with Taiwan could become a reality?
Blacklisted in the US, at least accepted as a guest in Europe: The governor of the autonomous province of Xinjiang, Erkin Tuniyaz, is traveling to London next Sunday on behalf of the Chinese government, where he is expected to meet with representatives of the British Foreign Office. Exactly one week later, Tuniyaz then wants to make an appearance in Brussels to launch a diplomatic charm offensive with the EU member states.
Uyghur lobby groups, human rights organizations, as well as German and British MPs, harshly criticized the visit. Tuniyaz has been sanctioned by the United States for two years for his role in the human rights violations against Uyghur Muslims in Xinjiang. The US government even refers to Beijing’s treatment of the Uyghurs as genocide. The EU, on the other hand, has so far limited sanctions to four lower-ranking Xinjiang officials, while Tuniyaz is still allowed to enter.
Clear criticism of the visit comes from the EU Parliament. “The governor of Xinjiang is partly responsible for the human rights crimes that the Chinese leadership is still committing in the autonomous region,” MEP Reinhard Buetikofer (Greens) told China.Table. “Talks with China must continue. But that excludes people who, like Erkin Tuniyaz, are personally so closely involved in these crimes.”
Buetikofer, who is also a member of the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China (IPAC) and chair of the EU Parliament’s China delegation, believes the Chinese attempt is a sign that the strong criticism of China’s human rights crimes in recent years is having an effect. “Beijing feels compelled to respond. But I don’t think too many international actors will let the wool be pulled over their eyes,” he said. Buetikofer himself was, in turn, sanctioned by Beijing in 2021 after Brussels sanctioned Xinjiang officials.
Criticism also came from the German parliament. “I think this visit is extremely problematic. Offering the governor of Xinjiang a platform would send the wrong signal,” as human rights politician Peter Heidt (FDP) told China.Table. Heidt also believes that Beijing wants to downplay the situation in Xinjiang.
Frank Schwabe (SPD) warns that the Chinese side could exploit the visit for propaganda purposes. “I hope that the Europeans will take a well-prepared, unambiguous communication strategy with them into these talks. Nobody can make the mistake of being misled by the Chinese narrative.”
The office of the UN Commissioner for Human Rights accused the Chinese government of committing crimes against humanity for the first time last year. The background to this is a years-long re-education campaign that saw millions of people in Xinjiang detained in internment camps. These camps included systematic physical and psychological torture, rape and forced labor.
Shortly after the travel plans of the Chinese politician became public, British human rights lawyer Michael Polak lodged a request with the British Attorney General to request an investigation against Erkin Tuniyaz. Polak acted under the mandate of a former Kazakh camp detainee who now lives in the UK. If the Attorney General grants the request, the Chinese politician could theoretically face arrest.
In the meantime, London offered appeasement. The Foreign Office told British MPs that Tuniyaz was neither officially invited by the UK nor “worthy” of an official ministerial meeting. “China’s actions in Xinjiang are, of course, abhorrent and we will not legitimize them in any way,” a member of the minister’s office said. The British Parliament also labels the treatment of the Uyghurs in Xinjiang as genocide.
It is unclear how long Tuniyaz intends to stay in London. He may travel to Geneva in the middle of next week to attend the UN Social Council meeting there.
On Thursday, the US presented new evidence about the suspected Chinese spy balloon downed by US forces off the coast of South Carolina last Sunday. It is now clear that the Chinese balloon was able to intercept communication signals, the State Department announced.
In addition, according to American sources, the balloon was part of an entire fleet of Chinese surveillance balloons that recently crossed more than 40 countries on all five continents.
High-resolution images captured by American U-2 spy planes showed that the Chinese balloon was “clearly for intelligence surveillance and inconsistent with the equipment on board weather balloons”. Apparently, the balloon had multiple antennas to locate and gather communications. In addition, the attached solar panels were so large that they could power a whole range of sensitive monitoring equipment.
Modern sensors, such as those discovered on the Chinese balloon, can track signals relatively easily: For example, data that tells which mobile phones are being used around a military base like the US base in Montana.
This is where the State Department tried to reassure the public on Thursday. It stated that it was ensured that the Chinese balloon could not gather any useful information at nuclear launch sites and other military bases concerned.
Peter Layton has a different opinion. The Griffith University military expert in Queensland, Australia, is convinced that the Chinese certainly managed to gather information, intercept communications and send the data directly to China. However, the US probably was able to intercept the transmission to China. The bottom line: No sensitive data was intercepted and there is no imminent danger.
For this reason – and because the US government wanted to get its hands on the Chinese software – it was decided to let the balloon continue its journey for a while and only shoot it down over a relatively shallow part of the ocean. Although it will prove tricky to assemble the many individual components, by taking a close look at the equipment, army engineers now want to figure out what China is capable of by now. Because in the meantime, Navy divers have recovered the remains of the balloon off the coast of South Carolina. New insights are eagerly anticipated.
And these are urgently needed, as a look at the not-so-distant past shows: According to the US government, at least five flyovers of Chinese spy balloons over American territory have been reported – three during the Trump administration and two during Biden’s administration.
The Air Force General in charge, Glen VanHerck, had to concede, however, that his forces had not directly detected the overflights and also could not subsequently explain the mysterious flying objects in the sky. For this reason, the spy balloons observed during the Trump era had been classified as unidentified aerial phenomena. According to VanHerck, it took years of investigation to prove that they were part of a global Chinese spy balloon fleet.
China expert Andrew Scobel offers China.Table another explanation: priorities. “A balloon floating over a remote area of the United States may not have been considered as important as information about terrorist threats or a North Korean missile test.” Scobel conducts research at the United States Institute of Peace in Washington. He believes that past governments have long underestimated China’s ambitions and also capabilities.
With unusual candor, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken admitted on Wednesday who is the master and who is the student in this case: The recovered components will be analyzed in detail to learn more about the Chinese surveillance program. The knowledge gained from the balloon would then be combined with the observations made in American airspace.
In China, on the other hand, the goal has seemed clear for several years. A 2018 article in the military newspaper Jiefangjun-Bao 解放军报 said: “Near space has become a new battlefield of modern warfare” 临近空间也已经成为现代战争的一个新战场,是国家安全体系的一个重要环节. The aim, it says, is to dominate space at an altitude of 20 to 100 kilometers, with the author noting: ‘This transition zone between air and space is, apart from the occasional passage of rockets, a previously unexplored space for humans.
Shortly after taking office, China’s President Xi Jinping decreed a radical modernization of the country’s air force. Here it is important to know that Xi is also chairman of the Central Military Commission, and thus commander-in-chief of the Chinese armed forces. In this function, he urged the country’s air force in 2014 to “speed up air and space integration and sharpen their offensive and defensive capabilities.” China’s military experts subsequently identified “near space” as a crucial link.
America is currently seeing in its own skies how advanced the Chinese have become since then.
The FDP parliamentary group in the German Bundestag has published its own position paper on China. The main idea of the paper is to prepare Germany for possible crisis situations with Chinese participation and to strengthen Germany’s negotiating position vis-à-vis the People’s Republic. Among other things, the Free Democrats call for
The FDP considers a fundamental realignment of Germany’s foreign and economic strategy to be overdue. “We agree that our China policy must change, just as China has changed under Xi Jinping,” Johannes Vogel, First Parliamentary Secretary of the FDP parliamentary group, told China.Table.
Thanks to the draft China strategies from the economy and foreign ministries, the Greens have a head start in the German government coalition. Now the FDP is stepping out of the woodwork. The paper sounds like it can reach a consensus with the existing proposals on key points. As expected, free trade, entrepreneurship and networking with liberal democracies take up an important part for the FDP. The last time the Social Democratic Party (SPD) contributed a position paper was in 2020, i.e. before its “Zeitenwende”.
The key aspect of the position paper is to strengthen both Germany and Europe in economic and political competition. Only those who stay economically relevant will be able to have a say in the future and will be taken seriously, is the main message. Therefore, the FDP demands better general conditions for research and development. In typical liberal fashion, this is followed by a call for more entrepreneurial freedom and “unleashing the middle class”.
The FDP is particularly worried about a lack of knowledge about China in Germany. The idea is to create “hubs” where knowledge is systematically gathered. However, the party also sees the decentralized organization of science in a liberal democracy as an advantage. This would result in a greater diversity of information sources. However, it also warns that science should not cooperate blindly.
To ensure that Germany is “more capable of deterrence” in potential conflict scenarios, important players are to undergo stress tests in the future – just like banks have to do for potential financial crises. This particularly would include mobile communications, Vogel says. The paper also lists industry, transport, ports and railways, energy supply and data networks. Companies and authorities from these sectors are to be involved in the stress test exercise.
Here, the FDP warns against misunderstanding technical empowerment as a pursuit of self-sufficiency. Accordingly, trade with other technically advanced countries is more important than ever.
On a global level, the FDP envisions the creation of a global “alliance of democracies” that better cooperates than ever before in order to stand up to China. These countries should exemplify the rule of law and strengthen trade between them. In this way, not only an economic but also a “value area” is supposed to be created.
The Liberals see the conclusion of free trade agreements as a key step in this respect. However, ethical standards for countries of the Global South should not be too strict in order to make agreements possible in the first place.
Taiwan, too, plays a big role in the paper: As a partner in Asia and as a possible theater of a catastrophic conflict with China. The FDP calls for the island’s integration into more international organizations such as the aviation organization ICAO, Interpol or the World Customs Organization WCO. China rejects Taiwan’s membership in these bodies. In light of Russia’s aggression against Ukraine, the FDP believes it will be important to take China’s threats seriously.
Feb. 14, 2023; 2:30 a.m. CET (9:30 CST)
Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, Urban China Series: The Urbanization of People: The Politics of Development, Labor Markets, and Schooling in the Chinese City More
Feb. 15, 2023; 6 p.m. CET (Feb. 16, 1:00 a.m. CST)
Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies, Critical Issues Confronting China Series: China’s Overseas Economic Push: Influence or Backlash More
Feb. 16, 2023; 9 a.m. (4 p.m. CST)
EU SME Centre, Webinar: Business Prospects for European SMEs in China in 2023 More
China’s Ambassador to the EU, Fu Cong, warned Brussels against signing a bilateral investment treaty with Taiwan. This would “fundamentally change” EU-China relations and “shake the foundations”. This step will be taken very seriously if it comes to that, Fu said at an event of the European Policy Centre. Fu also criticized visits to Taiwan by EU MPs “and also high-ranking officials from the EU institutions”. So far, several delegations from the European Parliament visited Taipei. However, high-ranking officials from the EU Commission or the European External Action Service (EEAS) have not officially visited Taiwan so far.
Fu rejected comparisons between the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the situation in Taiwan, calling them “two completely different things”. “Ukraine is an independent state, and Taiwan is part of China,” he said, “So there’s no comparability between the two issues.” The Chinese EU ambassador also reiterated Beijing’s position that the war in Ukraine must be resolved through negotiations. “We don’t believe that providing weapons will actually solve the problem.”
China’s EU ambassador also criticized the narrative of a victory for Ukraine. “We are quite concerned about people talking about winning and ‘complete victory’ on the battlefield,” Fu said. He urged to take the “security concerns of both sides” into account. On Thursday, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy visited Brussels. Zelenskiy previously met French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Paris and traveled to London. ari
Australia has ordered the removal of surveillance cameras made by Chinese manufacturers from its government buildings. Defense Minister and Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles justified the decision by arguing that the cameras could pose a security risk to Australia. However, he also said that the matter should not be overstated.
More than 900 surveillance cameras manufactured by Hikvision and Dahua are installed in and on government buildings, including the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade and the Department of Justice. Hikvision and Dahua are partly state-owned.
Australia has “no way of knowing if the sensitive information, images and audio collected by these devices are secretly being sent back to China against the interests of Australian citizens,” said James Paterson, Shadow Minister for Cyber Security, who requested the review. He cited a moral issue as another reason. Cameras from the two companies are also used to monitor Uyghurs in Xinjiang.
The United States and the United Kingdom already took a similar step in November and removed cameras. Australia banned Huawei from access to its 5G network in 2018, again due to security concerns. China reacted by imposing trade restrictions. jul
Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou will apparently assume the position of chairwoman at the telecom equipment manufacturer for six months starting in April. She gained international attention after being under house arrest in Canada between 2018 and 2021. Meng is the daughter of company founder and CEO Ren Zhengfei. Huawei did not confirm the news, but Chinese media are treating it as fact. Meng’s ascension to the company’s rotating top management is seen as a sign that she could be part of a plan to succeed 78-year-old Ren.
Huawei rotates between a number of leaders for the position of chair. By doing so, Ren wants to prevent the management structures from becoming rigid. Meng takes over the role from Xu Zhijun (Eric Xu) in April. The 50-year-old only joined the group of rotating company chairmen last year and is taking on the role for the first time. fin
China’s Reservists Law will go into effect on March 1, institutionalizing a system for military personnel replenishment. This would represent the country’s newest step in revising military-related legislation.
Two years ago, the National Defense Law and the Military Service Law were amended. An eye-catching amendment was made to the latter.
The significant scope broadening for possible causes of war is by itself telling enough. The addition of “unity and territorial integrity” is clearly putting Taiwan on the radar.
Who would form the main body of soldiers fighting for China if the country launches a war for Taiwan, and, then most likely, against the USA, and perhaps, Japan, and perhaps more others? Definitely not the Chinese netizens threatening dissidents on Twitter or those ripping down anti-Chinese government posters on Western campuses and those who beat demonstrators before the Chinese embassies and consulates.
Those sent to the frontline will be young men and women from poor families, mainly from small cities and the countryside.
Despite China’s highly publicized achievement of poverty eradication, more than 40 percent of the population still live on 1,000 yuan (137 euro) per month or less, said premier Li Keqiang in 2020. The situation wouldn’t be very different now, considering the stagnant economic growth in the past three years and the hardships caused by the Covid-related measures
Higher education in China is mostly not free. For high school graduates from impoverished families but academically strong, the country’s more than 40 military schools are a tempting choice. Going to these schools are not only free, but allowances are also provided. Graduates from these institutions will be the most important source for military officers.
For young men who can’t pass the entrance exam or whose families have limited means to pay for their higher education, the usual choice is to work in factories producing all sorts of products for domestic and global markets. Working and living conditions there are not the best, and workers’ rights are a touchy subject. Their salaries are usually just enough to make a living for themselves. Only the thrifty ones manage to save some for their family or for the future.
But the army seems to provide another way. Those joining do not have to work in factories, some expect to get good physical and technical training, some take it as their first big opportunity to socialize, and others may even harbor the fantasy of military glory, although, when leaving the active service, they would still face the same difficulties to find a job as the others in the job market.
China doesn’t have a conscription system thanks to its vast population base. But demographics could also show their unfavorable aspects, with the prospects of war becoming increasingly real.
China’s strict family planning policy was abolished only in 2015. Before that, families in the cities can have only one child. Giving in to the country’s sexist tradition and the need for men for farm work, the country allowed rural families to have up to two if the first one was a girl.
This means the young men and women joining the military would most likely be the only son, and in many cases, even the only child.
Joining the army in peaceful times is one thing, but another when a war looks possible.
If met with difficulties to recruit and to boost morale, China will surely step up its efforts in glorifying the sacrifice that the soldiers are supposed to make.
The Chinese Communist Party’s successful nationalist propaganda will also help for war mobilization against Taiwan, the United States, Japan, and even the entire western world.
The narrative that Taiwan is part of Chinese territory has always been very well received. The vast majority of the Chinese people would even say in their sleep that “Taiwan is part of China“.
Among the Chinese population, the United States has a well-established reputation as a bully trying to keep its hegemony by attempting to keep China down and even attempting its collapse. As for Japan, China never lets go of the history of being invaded by the Japanese during 1937-1945. New films and TV dramas about the China-Japan War, as well as the Korean War during 1950-1953, are regularly produced. Some of them even become blockbusters. The other western countries, if they also openly oppose China’s war efforts, can be easily portrayed as mindless followers of the United States, although that image is at the moment downplayed for economic purposes.
The patriotic fervor today is of course not as strong as in the previous decades. A growing number of people can see through the political game of Xi Jinping. Some even have the courage to speak out against it. But in the foreseeable future, he will have enough fuel to fan up high enough nationalist fire if he wants the country to go to war.
Laurie Chen has joined Reuters as a China correspondent in Beijing. The journalist last wrote for AFP and before that for the South China Morning Post.
Allen Wang becomes General Manager China at laboratory equipment manufacturer H.E.L. Group. He takes over the post from Qing Chen. Previously, Wang held the post of Sales Manager and Applications Specialist.
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Fluffy, swift and with a fine nose: There is no denying that squirrel detectives can easily compete with police dogs as the cutest members of the force. In Chongqing, the police are now using squirrels to detect drugs.
The training of six squirrels has already finished and they are now able to assist in complicated drug trafficking cases. They dash through crowded warehouses in no time, explore even the smallest nooks and crannies and climb high shelves. This allows the cute sleuths to sniff out even the cleverest drug stashes that their four-legged colleagues cannot reach.
China uses more than 120 dog breeds to enforce its zero-tolerance drug policy. However, the deployment of squirrels is new. The number of nuts they received as a treat during their training is not known.