Table.Briefing: China

Evergrande bankruptcy + Dispute over Lithuania + Flat-lying tigers

  • Rating agencies see Evergrande on brink of default
  • China punishes Lithuania with full import ban
  • USA blacklists SenseTime
  • Media entrepreneur Lai found guilty
  • Brandstaetter to take over China portfolio in August
  • Chinese Covid drug approved
  • Johnny Erling on youth movement ‘lying flat’
Dear reader,

Today we present the next episodes of the Evergrande drama (Soar high, fall hard) and the Lithuania thriller (David versus Goliath). The story about the Baltic country resembled a comedy for a while but could escalate into a trade war saga. China wants to reject all EU goods at its border that contain even one component from Lithuania. This is the retaliation for Lithuania’s rapprochement with Taiwan. Now Slovakia has sent its own delegation to Taipei. Amelie Richter analyses whether the country could also fear repercussions. All in all, along with a possible ban on imports from Xinjiang by the US, an ominous sense of new trade conflicts is building up.

Meanwhile, the Evergrande drama may be nearing its final act – at least as far as the actual company is concerned. Rating agencies have already spoken the truth, which the real estate group still refuses to accept: Evergrande is bankrupt. What else should it be called when there is no money left for installment loans, bond interest, and contractor bills? So behind the scenes, preparations are underway for a restructuring. However, lasting economic policy aftermath could follow. China’s bloated real estate sector will have to shrink back to health under the supervision of the state. This will not be without side effects.

Your
Finn Mayer-Kuckuk
Image of Finn  Mayer-Kuckuk

Feature

Rating agencies consider Evergrande bankrupt

Perhaps that one, clearly defined “Evergrande moment” won’t happen after all. Instead, a “salami-slicing bankruptcy” is playing out before our eyes. Every week, the struggling real estate company misses one payment deadline but occasionally serves another – albeit usually late. In China, there are no punishments for delaying bankruptcy (China.Table reported). This gives Evergrande more opportunities to play for time than any German company would have.

On Thursday, however, the noose tightened considerably. The clearest statement came from rating agency Fitch. It downgraded Evergrande’s credit rating to RD (Restricted Default): basically bankrupt, although still partially capable of maintaining business operations. Just below that, however, comes a total default on the credit rating scale. The reason for the downgrade: Evergrande failed to settle $82.5 million in overdue interests on Monday (China.Table reported). Rating agency Standard & Poor’s is also not holding back with its prognosis either, announcing that defaults are “inevitable.” Such signals from both two major rating agencies mean nothing other than the beginning of the end for the Evergrande Group in its current form.

The Shenzhen-based real estate group, which has already just missed bankruptcy several times, has thus missed another reprieve. The Hong Kong stock exchange accordingly reacted alarmed: The shares of the real estate giant fell again on Wednesday. On Thursday, the price was hovering around the 20 euro cent mark. A year ago it was still at three euros. Meanwhile, the government has started suppressing Internet rumors about the imminent bankruptcy to avoid unrest.

Government prepares delicate crisis management

The fallout from the Evergrande crisis is huge: The property developer’s debt is around $300 billion. Of that, $19 billion are owed to international investors. The Chinese government also has a lot at stake, and not only because several million jobs are linked to Evergrande. The real estate industry as a whole generates around a quarter of China’s gross domestic product. Moreover, the population has invested up to 80 percent of its private wealth in real estate.

Beijing’s leadership now wants to set an example in a highly tense area: To be sure, the government wants to cool down the heated and highly indebted real estate sector considerably. But at the same time, it must prevent shockwaves from spreading to the financial markets. Central bank chief Yi Gang already said in Hong Kong on Thursday that short-term disturbances in the property market will not affect the medium- and long-term functioning of the market.

While the compromise solution hinted at so far for the ailing real estate giant Evergrande means that the Chinese state will not build a bailout, it will most certainly help with the restructuring to cushion the effects as much as possible. This makes it clear once and for all that Evergrande is by no means “too big to fail” (China.Table reported). According to media reports, an orderly liquidation of the group was initiated last Friday.

Domestic creditors will probably be given the highest priority: Some 1.6 million Chinese have already invested in their Evergrande home and are now awaiting its completion. Since the Communist Party fears nothing more than social unrest, domestic homebuyers are likely to be protected from any subsequent damage. The odds are much worse for foreign creditors.

Sector could emerge healthier from the bankruptcy wave

Experts predict that China’s real estate industry will shrink to a healthy proportion in the coming years in the wake of the Evergrande fiasco. Property sales have already slumped by more than 20 percent in 2021, and in the first quarter of 2022, the decline could be as much as 30 percent. In addition, the influx into the cities in the People’s Republic is gradually leveling off and demand for real estate is stagnating anyway due to demographic change.

But to ensure that the real estate crisis does face a crash landing, the Chinese central bank has increased the release of money. It temporarily reduced the minimum reserves for the country’s leading banks by half a percentage point at the beginning of the week. That should free up a good $180 billion in liquidity to be made available to the financial market. The People’s Republic is thus taking advantage of the leeway it has retained through the relatively high minimum reserve rates.

Meanwhile, smaller Evergrande rival Kaisa Group, which was also downgraded to ‘RD’ by Fitch, has already initiated a debt restructuring. Management will soon enter into a non-disclosure agreement with investment bank Lazard, which is advising a group of bondholders. This will lay the groundwork for negotiations on refinancing and loan deferrals, Reuters reports. Kaisa stated it has around $12 billion of foreign bonds outstanding. Evergrande’s totals at about $19 billion. So Kaisa bankruptcy is of a similar magnitude for foreign investors, although it gains less international attention. Fabian Kretschmer/Finn Mayer-Kuckuk/rtr

  • Evergrande
  • Finance
  • Real Estate

China continues to tighten the screws for Lithuania

The trade dispute between Lithuania and China continues to escalate. The Baltic EU state remained locked in the customs system on Thursday, as the Lithuanian Confederation of Industrialists confirmed. Shiploads are not being unloaded or processed by customs authorities. According to the Lithuanian Foreign Ministry, Beijing has now dragged other EU states into the dispute: China has advised companies to break all ties with Lithuania – or risk being excluded from the People’s Republic’s market.

Companies will no longer be allowed to sell their goods on the Chinese market if they “use parts and supplies from Lithuania”, Lithuanian Deputy Foreign Minister Mantas Adomėnas stated. Accordingly, anyone who has relations with Lithuania will also no longer be allowed to procure products in China.

This threat already has consequences, Vice-Minister for Foreign Affairs Adomėnas said: “We have seen some companies cancel contracts with Lithuanian suppliers.” He did not initially specify which companies were affected. At the same time, China had already curbed exports to Lithuania. Foodstuffs, raw materials, pharmaceuticals, furniture, and textiles, for example, were affected. Goods destined for Lithuania are now stuck at Chinese ports because they are not being loaded onto ships, trains, or planes.

Vidmantas Janulevičius, President of the Lithuanian Confederation of Industrialists, confirmed that corporations with Lithuanian suppliers are being targeted. However, he did not give any further details about which sectors. Allegedly, there is pressure on a company from another EU country to get rid of Lithuanian suppliers. The government in Vilnius is already in contact with affected companies, offering them possible financial support, Reuters quoted an official as saying.

Customs authority rejected EU offer of talks

Brussels reportedly sought to clarify the situation. The EU delegation in Beijing was trying to resolve the situation “quickly”, EU Commissioner for Trade Valdis Dombrovskis stressed on Thursday. “The EU will stand firm in defending its interests.” He had also raised the situation with Chinese EU Ambassador Zhang Ming during a business dialogue on Thursday, according to Dombrovskis.

This has not yet reached China apparently: An initial offer for talks by the Europeans was turned down, according to a report in the South China Morning Post (SCMP). The Chinese customs authority had rejected the European Union’s request to discuss the presumed trade ban. The authority claimed to have no time due to the Corona pandemic, SCMP reported, citing sources in Beijing and Brussels. Accordingly, Lithuania’s Deputy Foreign Minister Adomėnas said he was “not surprised” that Chinese authorities had declined to meet. He accused the Chinese side of hypocrisy: After all, the authorities were apparently not too busy to take action against Lithuanian companies.

The EU had already threatened to file a complaint with the World Trade Organisation (WTO) on Wednesday if the problem was not resolved. According to Trade Commissioner Dombrovskis, the EU delegation is currently gathering information on whether this was a unilateral trade embargo violating WTO rules.

Slovakia – the next Lithuania?

The meeting between Slovakia’s Deputy Economy Minister Karol Galek and a trade delegation from Taipei for the first summit of the Taiwanese-Slovak Commission on Economic Cooperation also caused outrage in Beijing. Several cooperation agreements had been signed at the meeting, Taiwan’s Foreign Ministry said Thursday.

China accused Slovakia of violating a treaty signed in 2003. In the joint statement, Slovakia declared that it “will not establish official relations of any form or engage in official contacts of any form with Taiwan.” It would “only enter into private sector-led trade and economic relations with Taiwan.”

Beijing now stated that Galek’s trip “grossly violated the one-China principle“. The political trust between China and Slovakia had been seriously damaged as a result.

The tone was quite different at the Chinese EU Ambassador’s year-end meeting with representatives of the European Union Chamber of Commerce in China and the EU-China Business Association. “China welcomes EU companies’ active participation in the Chinese market, and hopes that they can share in China’s development opportunities, and prosper in the Chinese market,” EU Ambassador Zhang said. That sounded like he hadn’t heard anything about the feud over Lithuania. Or it only applies to compliant EU members.

  • EU
  • Lithuania
  • Taiwan

News

US nears ban on Xinjiang imports

In connection with the allegations of oppression of the Uyghur Muslim minority, Washington is introducing new economic sanctions. On Wednesday, the House of Representatives passed a bill to ban imports from China’s Uyghur region of Xinjiang over allegations of forced labor. The congressional chamber approved the “Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act” almost unanimously by a vote of 428 to 1. For the law to take effect, it must still pass the Senate and be signed by President Joe Biden.

The US government also wants to blacklist Shenzhen-based AI company SenseTime. This was reported by the Financial Times. This means that Americans will not be allowed to invest in the company. The US suspects SenseTime to be one of the Chinese companies involved in human rights violations against Muslim minorities in China.

China criticized the US measure. A government spokesman threatened retaliation. The US must correct its mistakes, the Ministry of Commerce announced. Otherwise, China would take action to safeguard its interests. The move threatens to escalate tensions and trade disputes between the two major powers, which were fanned under previous US President Donald Trump, even under his successor. China and Russia have not been invited to a virtual democracy summit Biden has called for Thursday, which will be attended by more than 100 leaders and other top officials from around the world (China.Table reported). rtr/fin

  • Geopolitics
  • Human Rights
  • Sensetime
  • USA
  • Xinjiang

Media entrepreneur Lai found guilty

On Thursday, a Hong Kong court sentenced China-critical media entrepreneur Jimmy Lai, lawyer Chow Hang Tung and former opposition politician Gwyneth Ho. They had been charged with inciting others to participate in an unauthorized assembly. Lai, Chow, and Ho had pleaded not guilty to calling others to the June 4th, 2020 vigil. It is the latest blow to the democracy movement in the Chinese special administrative region under the so-called Security Law. It was enacted by the Beijing government last year in response to democracy movement protests despite international criticism and gives it more access to Hong Kong.

Jimmy Lai was the editor of the newspaper Apple Daily, which had consistently criticized Beijing’s rising influence in Hong Kong and was thus shut down. The annual June 4th vigil is held to commemorate the 1989 suppression of the Tiananmen Square protests in Beijing. The last two vigils were banned by police, citing Covid restrictions. Lai is considered a fierce and prominent critic of China. He has already been sentenced to 14 months in prison in two similar cases and has been detained since last year. rtr/fin

  • Hongkong
  • Human Rights
  • Jimmy Lai
  • Tiananmen Massacre

Appointment of Brandstaetter to VW Board of Management confirmed

As expected, Volkswagen’s Supervisory Board has appointed the experienced manager Ralf Brandstaetter to the Board of Management for China. He will take the position effective on August 1st, 2022. In January, Brandstätter will already be appointed member of the Board of Management with responsibility for passenger cars. Brandstaetter will thus head both the important China business and the core brand of VW. Brandstaetter will take over management responsibility for China from Group CEO Herbert Diess. The 53-year-old is to formally relieve Diess and will also receive a mandate from the Supervisory Board to deal with the growing problems in the world’s largest car market (China.Table reported). fin

  • Autoindustrie

Brii Biosciences’ Covid drug approved

China’s National Medical Products Administration has approved a COVID-19 antibody treatment. The drug manufactured by Brii Biosciences showed an 80 percent reduction in hospitalizations and deaths, according to the Beijing-based company. More details on the effectiveness against the Omicron variant are expected in two weeks.

China considers drugs for the treatment of acute corona infections as a way out of the zero-covid spiral (China.Table reported). With the emergence of new virus variants, Chinese vaccines in particular are proving to be ineffective. The country could face a severe Covid wave after lifting the country’s lockdown and harsh measures against all outbreaks. If hospitals, on the other hand, had effective drugs against the disease, this could be tolerated without fearing major fatalities.

  • Coronavirus
  • Health

Column

China’s listless tigers

by Johnny Erling
Ein Bild von Johnny Erling

There is a Chinese saying: Don’t touch a tiger’s butt (老虎屁股摸不得). The old master of Chinese satire Hua Junwu drew a tiger with a sign on its butt: “Taboo zone” and the caption: “The sole decider”. He wanted to mock officials who can’t be criticized. That was in 1979, and after the end of Mao’s Cultural Revolution, in which he was severely persecuted, Hua was once again allowed to draw after a ten-year ban. But his harmless caricature caused him new trouble. Ideologues accused him of an underhanded attack on Mao. Hua showed me how, in their eyes, the claw of the tiger looked like the character Mao in the name of the founder of the state. He had to completely redraw the claw.

Caricature by Hua Junwu: Tiger with functionary’s cap and the sign on the butt: “Taboo zone.” Hua mocks the saying: “Never touch a tiger’s butt” = “Don’t criticize officials!”

Satire has always had a hard time in the stern People’s Republic. Today, its cartoonists resort to ever more complicated innuendos, freely following the motto of the aphorist Karl Kraus: “Satires that the censor understands are rightfully banned.”

The left version of the claw looks like the character 毛. A reference to Mao?

The “Picture of the 100 Tigers” (百虎图) by the Cantonese cartoonist Kuang Biao recently gained my attention. He drew 128 well-fed predators on an open field for the New Year of the Tiger, which begins on February 1st, 2022. Their number resembles – pronounced in Chinese – the lucky saying: “I want to become rich”. Hidden in the picture, however, is a second message: his tigers seem very lazy. Some of them look like dozing seals, their eyes closed, unwilling to attract attention, simply ducking away.

Cantonese cartoonist Kuang Biao drew 128 well-fed felines for New Year 2022 (China’s Year of the Tiger). Their number wishes as a lucky slogan: “I want to become rich”. At second glance, however, they appear listlessly sluggish, more like dozing seals than tigers, not wanting to attract attention, ducking away. It’s an allusion to the new cult word “lying flat”.

The cartoon is here clearly alluding to a currently winged word in China, which has only been en vogue on the internet and in youth language for a few months. It is called “tangping”( 躺平) and means “lying flat”. According to China.Table’s language column, “It’s currently trending as a buzzword all over social media, as a kind of silent rebellion of the young generation.”

It could also be translated as “doing nothing.” Elsie Chen, New York Times’ Beijing correspondent, portrayed Luo Huazhong (骆华中), who had made it a buzzword with his post on the internet portal Baidu in April. Luo, now 31, was fed up being a factory worker in 2016 and quit. “I felt like a machine,” he told the reporter. First, he went on a bicycle tour, pedaling 2,100 kilometers to Tibet. Back in his hometown of Jiande in Zhejiang, he refused to look for a new job, practiced consumerism, just wanted to “chill” and lived off his meager savings. Luo sees himself as a modest “flat-lier” and feels like Diogenes in his barrel. He captioned a photo of himself, lying on his bed in a room with the curtains drawn, with the motto “Lying Flat Is Justice” (躺平即是正義). On China’s leading media, from Sina Weibo to Douban, he became a star overnight.

All totally relaxed: Detail of Kuang Biao’s tiger painting.

The drop-out feeling struck a chord with a generation that can no longer cope with the stress of school, exams, and constant performance. In 2019, their collective outcry on the internet against the “996 system” had paved the way. 996 stands for having to work from nine in the morning to nine at night, six days a week, especially in China’s high-tech and IT industries. Young Chinese mocked themselves bitterly online, comparing themselves to “chives” that are constantly cut off because they can always grow back. Their new idol Luo disagrees: chives that lie flat are hard to cut (躺平的韭菜不好割).

His Tangping philosophy became synonymous with the search for a new lifestyle. Seven decades after the hippie generation shocked their parents in the US with their attitude of nonconformity, China is now gripped by a similar movement. Before that, the term Neijuan (内卷), (Involution) came up. It represents the feelings of many young Chinese who find themselves caught in a “rat race,” or senselessly running on a wheel like “in a hamster cage.” Young people, sociologists analyze, react to the “constantly intensifying competition from which there is no way out” with stress, burnout, and despair.

China’s CP reacted promptly to the first signs of passive social protest. Censors made Luo’s motto “Lying Flat Is Justice!” disappear online, deleted group chats, and banned booming online sales of T-shirts, teacups, and smartphone cases bearing the slogan. A month after Luo’s first posts, party media labeled “lying flat” as “shameless.”

The youth want to chill, Xi preaches hard work

The dreaded youth word even reached CP leader Xi Jinping, who keeps his ear to the ground when he suspects looming crises or subversive trends. In a speech on 17 August, to promote his program for common prosperity under socialism, he was “encouraging getting rich through hard work and innovation” and to “form an environment where everyone can participate in its development, avoiding ‘involution’, and ‘lying flat’.” (共同富裕要靠勤劳智慧来创造_….,避免 “内卷”、”躺平”).

Notwithstanding such interventions, online enthusiasm for flat-lying continued. In November, the China Daily devoted an entire newspaper page to the controversies surrounding the buzzword. It said, “the concept of ‘lying flat’ embodies rejection of a life and work culture where there is constant competition.” Finally, China’s National Language Resources Monitoring and Research Center (国家语言资源监测与研究中心) has now confirmed that “tangping” is among the top ten most used online terms in 2021 (十大网络用语).

China’s party media are now trying to put a positive spin on “tangping”. It was, after all, just a desire “to take a nap in the perpetual struggle. Lying flat for a short time is to regain energy and start anew.” Nationalist Party newspaper Global Times had commented that tangping “recently struck a chord with many young Chinese, who are eager to take pause to breathe in this fast-paced and highly-competitive society. […] However, it is the same generation who vow, ‘We are working to revitalize the Chinese nation.’”

Even if China’s ideologues refuse to admit it, according to the motto “that what cannot be, must not be”: The party’s ideas struck a serious motivational problem among China’s youth.

  • Domestic policy of the CP China
  • Society

Executive Moves


Xing Guijun has been appointed head of the Shandong branch of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC). The 47-year-old holds a Ph.D. and has many years of experience in supervising rural financial institutions, according to financial daily Caixin. Xing had only taken over the supervision of urban commercial banks and private lenders in the first half of 2020.

Rafael Suchan has been relieved of his duties as CEO of Chiho Environmental Group, the parent of the German company Scholz Recycling. Until recently, Suchan was one of five managing directors of the German subsidiary. As to the reasons for the dismissal, the group said only that it was currently investigating a number of planned transactions in which Suchan had been involved. German steel scrap recycler Scholz had recently been pushing several projects and collaborations to recycle end-of-life cars, scrap metal, and batteries in China. Suchan had only taken over the management of Chiho in March 2020.

  • Finance

Dessert

Cranes at Poyang Lake in Nanchang (Jiangxi Province). Many migratory bird species from the north gather here in winter, appreciating the milder climate. The large birds also perform their dances here. Their sharp, trumpet-like cries echo across the lake.

China.Table Editors

CHINA.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

Licenses:
    • Rating agencies see Evergrande on brink of default
    • China punishes Lithuania with full import ban
    • USA blacklists SenseTime
    • Media entrepreneur Lai found guilty
    • Brandstaetter to take over China portfolio in August
    • Chinese Covid drug approved
    • Johnny Erling on youth movement ‘lying flat’
    Dear reader,

    Today we present the next episodes of the Evergrande drama (Soar high, fall hard) and the Lithuania thriller (David versus Goliath). The story about the Baltic country resembled a comedy for a while but could escalate into a trade war saga. China wants to reject all EU goods at its border that contain even one component from Lithuania. This is the retaliation for Lithuania’s rapprochement with Taiwan. Now Slovakia has sent its own delegation to Taipei. Amelie Richter analyses whether the country could also fear repercussions. All in all, along with a possible ban on imports from Xinjiang by the US, an ominous sense of new trade conflicts is building up.

    Meanwhile, the Evergrande drama may be nearing its final act – at least as far as the actual company is concerned. Rating agencies have already spoken the truth, which the real estate group still refuses to accept: Evergrande is bankrupt. What else should it be called when there is no money left for installment loans, bond interest, and contractor bills? So behind the scenes, preparations are underway for a restructuring. However, lasting economic policy aftermath could follow. China’s bloated real estate sector will have to shrink back to health under the supervision of the state. This will not be without side effects.

    Your
    Finn Mayer-Kuckuk
    Image of Finn  Mayer-Kuckuk

    Feature

    Rating agencies consider Evergrande bankrupt

    Perhaps that one, clearly defined “Evergrande moment” won’t happen after all. Instead, a “salami-slicing bankruptcy” is playing out before our eyes. Every week, the struggling real estate company misses one payment deadline but occasionally serves another – albeit usually late. In China, there are no punishments for delaying bankruptcy (China.Table reported). This gives Evergrande more opportunities to play for time than any German company would have.

    On Thursday, however, the noose tightened considerably. The clearest statement came from rating agency Fitch. It downgraded Evergrande’s credit rating to RD (Restricted Default): basically bankrupt, although still partially capable of maintaining business operations. Just below that, however, comes a total default on the credit rating scale. The reason for the downgrade: Evergrande failed to settle $82.5 million in overdue interests on Monday (China.Table reported). Rating agency Standard & Poor’s is also not holding back with its prognosis either, announcing that defaults are “inevitable.” Such signals from both two major rating agencies mean nothing other than the beginning of the end for the Evergrande Group in its current form.

    The Shenzhen-based real estate group, which has already just missed bankruptcy several times, has thus missed another reprieve. The Hong Kong stock exchange accordingly reacted alarmed: The shares of the real estate giant fell again on Wednesday. On Thursday, the price was hovering around the 20 euro cent mark. A year ago it was still at three euros. Meanwhile, the government has started suppressing Internet rumors about the imminent bankruptcy to avoid unrest.

    Government prepares delicate crisis management

    The fallout from the Evergrande crisis is huge: The property developer’s debt is around $300 billion. Of that, $19 billion are owed to international investors. The Chinese government also has a lot at stake, and not only because several million jobs are linked to Evergrande. The real estate industry as a whole generates around a quarter of China’s gross domestic product. Moreover, the population has invested up to 80 percent of its private wealth in real estate.

    Beijing’s leadership now wants to set an example in a highly tense area: To be sure, the government wants to cool down the heated and highly indebted real estate sector considerably. But at the same time, it must prevent shockwaves from spreading to the financial markets. Central bank chief Yi Gang already said in Hong Kong on Thursday that short-term disturbances in the property market will not affect the medium- and long-term functioning of the market.

    While the compromise solution hinted at so far for the ailing real estate giant Evergrande means that the Chinese state will not build a bailout, it will most certainly help with the restructuring to cushion the effects as much as possible. This makes it clear once and for all that Evergrande is by no means “too big to fail” (China.Table reported). According to media reports, an orderly liquidation of the group was initiated last Friday.

    Domestic creditors will probably be given the highest priority: Some 1.6 million Chinese have already invested in their Evergrande home and are now awaiting its completion. Since the Communist Party fears nothing more than social unrest, domestic homebuyers are likely to be protected from any subsequent damage. The odds are much worse for foreign creditors.

    Sector could emerge healthier from the bankruptcy wave

    Experts predict that China’s real estate industry will shrink to a healthy proportion in the coming years in the wake of the Evergrande fiasco. Property sales have already slumped by more than 20 percent in 2021, and in the first quarter of 2022, the decline could be as much as 30 percent. In addition, the influx into the cities in the People’s Republic is gradually leveling off and demand for real estate is stagnating anyway due to demographic change.

    But to ensure that the real estate crisis does face a crash landing, the Chinese central bank has increased the release of money. It temporarily reduced the minimum reserves for the country’s leading banks by half a percentage point at the beginning of the week. That should free up a good $180 billion in liquidity to be made available to the financial market. The People’s Republic is thus taking advantage of the leeway it has retained through the relatively high minimum reserve rates.

    Meanwhile, smaller Evergrande rival Kaisa Group, which was also downgraded to ‘RD’ by Fitch, has already initiated a debt restructuring. Management will soon enter into a non-disclosure agreement with investment bank Lazard, which is advising a group of bondholders. This will lay the groundwork for negotiations on refinancing and loan deferrals, Reuters reports. Kaisa stated it has around $12 billion of foreign bonds outstanding. Evergrande’s totals at about $19 billion. So Kaisa bankruptcy is of a similar magnitude for foreign investors, although it gains less international attention. Fabian Kretschmer/Finn Mayer-Kuckuk/rtr

    • Evergrande
    • Finance
    • Real Estate

    China continues to tighten the screws for Lithuania

    The trade dispute between Lithuania and China continues to escalate. The Baltic EU state remained locked in the customs system on Thursday, as the Lithuanian Confederation of Industrialists confirmed. Shiploads are not being unloaded or processed by customs authorities. According to the Lithuanian Foreign Ministry, Beijing has now dragged other EU states into the dispute: China has advised companies to break all ties with Lithuania – or risk being excluded from the People’s Republic’s market.

    Companies will no longer be allowed to sell their goods on the Chinese market if they “use parts and supplies from Lithuania”, Lithuanian Deputy Foreign Minister Mantas Adomėnas stated. Accordingly, anyone who has relations with Lithuania will also no longer be allowed to procure products in China.

    This threat already has consequences, Vice-Minister for Foreign Affairs Adomėnas said: “We have seen some companies cancel contracts with Lithuanian suppliers.” He did not initially specify which companies were affected. At the same time, China had already curbed exports to Lithuania. Foodstuffs, raw materials, pharmaceuticals, furniture, and textiles, for example, were affected. Goods destined for Lithuania are now stuck at Chinese ports because they are not being loaded onto ships, trains, or planes.

    Vidmantas Janulevičius, President of the Lithuanian Confederation of Industrialists, confirmed that corporations with Lithuanian suppliers are being targeted. However, he did not give any further details about which sectors. Allegedly, there is pressure on a company from another EU country to get rid of Lithuanian suppliers. The government in Vilnius is already in contact with affected companies, offering them possible financial support, Reuters quoted an official as saying.

    Customs authority rejected EU offer of talks

    Brussels reportedly sought to clarify the situation. The EU delegation in Beijing was trying to resolve the situation “quickly”, EU Commissioner for Trade Valdis Dombrovskis stressed on Thursday. “The EU will stand firm in defending its interests.” He had also raised the situation with Chinese EU Ambassador Zhang Ming during a business dialogue on Thursday, according to Dombrovskis.

    This has not yet reached China apparently: An initial offer for talks by the Europeans was turned down, according to a report in the South China Morning Post (SCMP). The Chinese customs authority had rejected the European Union’s request to discuss the presumed trade ban. The authority claimed to have no time due to the Corona pandemic, SCMP reported, citing sources in Beijing and Brussels. Accordingly, Lithuania’s Deputy Foreign Minister Adomėnas said he was “not surprised” that Chinese authorities had declined to meet. He accused the Chinese side of hypocrisy: After all, the authorities were apparently not too busy to take action against Lithuanian companies.

    The EU had already threatened to file a complaint with the World Trade Organisation (WTO) on Wednesday if the problem was not resolved. According to Trade Commissioner Dombrovskis, the EU delegation is currently gathering information on whether this was a unilateral trade embargo violating WTO rules.

    Slovakia – the next Lithuania?

    The meeting between Slovakia’s Deputy Economy Minister Karol Galek and a trade delegation from Taipei for the first summit of the Taiwanese-Slovak Commission on Economic Cooperation also caused outrage in Beijing. Several cooperation agreements had been signed at the meeting, Taiwan’s Foreign Ministry said Thursday.

    China accused Slovakia of violating a treaty signed in 2003. In the joint statement, Slovakia declared that it “will not establish official relations of any form or engage in official contacts of any form with Taiwan.” It would “only enter into private sector-led trade and economic relations with Taiwan.”

    Beijing now stated that Galek’s trip “grossly violated the one-China principle“. The political trust between China and Slovakia had been seriously damaged as a result.

    The tone was quite different at the Chinese EU Ambassador’s year-end meeting with representatives of the European Union Chamber of Commerce in China and the EU-China Business Association. “China welcomes EU companies’ active participation in the Chinese market, and hopes that they can share in China’s development opportunities, and prosper in the Chinese market,” EU Ambassador Zhang said. That sounded like he hadn’t heard anything about the feud over Lithuania. Or it only applies to compliant EU members.

    • EU
    • Lithuania
    • Taiwan

    News

    US nears ban on Xinjiang imports

    In connection with the allegations of oppression of the Uyghur Muslim minority, Washington is introducing new economic sanctions. On Wednesday, the House of Representatives passed a bill to ban imports from China’s Uyghur region of Xinjiang over allegations of forced labor. The congressional chamber approved the “Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act” almost unanimously by a vote of 428 to 1. For the law to take effect, it must still pass the Senate and be signed by President Joe Biden.

    The US government also wants to blacklist Shenzhen-based AI company SenseTime. This was reported by the Financial Times. This means that Americans will not be allowed to invest in the company. The US suspects SenseTime to be one of the Chinese companies involved in human rights violations against Muslim minorities in China.

    China criticized the US measure. A government spokesman threatened retaliation. The US must correct its mistakes, the Ministry of Commerce announced. Otherwise, China would take action to safeguard its interests. The move threatens to escalate tensions and trade disputes between the two major powers, which were fanned under previous US President Donald Trump, even under his successor. China and Russia have not been invited to a virtual democracy summit Biden has called for Thursday, which will be attended by more than 100 leaders and other top officials from around the world (China.Table reported). rtr/fin

    • Geopolitics
    • Human Rights
    • Sensetime
    • USA
    • Xinjiang

    Media entrepreneur Lai found guilty

    On Thursday, a Hong Kong court sentenced China-critical media entrepreneur Jimmy Lai, lawyer Chow Hang Tung and former opposition politician Gwyneth Ho. They had been charged with inciting others to participate in an unauthorized assembly. Lai, Chow, and Ho had pleaded not guilty to calling others to the June 4th, 2020 vigil. It is the latest blow to the democracy movement in the Chinese special administrative region under the so-called Security Law. It was enacted by the Beijing government last year in response to democracy movement protests despite international criticism and gives it more access to Hong Kong.

    Jimmy Lai was the editor of the newspaper Apple Daily, which had consistently criticized Beijing’s rising influence in Hong Kong and was thus shut down. The annual June 4th vigil is held to commemorate the 1989 suppression of the Tiananmen Square protests in Beijing. The last two vigils were banned by police, citing Covid restrictions. Lai is considered a fierce and prominent critic of China. He has already been sentenced to 14 months in prison in two similar cases and has been detained since last year. rtr/fin

    • Hongkong
    • Human Rights
    • Jimmy Lai
    • Tiananmen Massacre

    Appointment of Brandstaetter to VW Board of Management confirmed

    As expected, Volkswagen’s Supervisory Board has appointed the experienced manager Ralf Brandstaetter to the Board of Management for China. He will take the position effective on August 1st, 2022. In January, Brandstätter will already be appointed member of the Board of Management with responsibility for passenger cars. Brandstaetter will thus head both the important China business and the core brand of VW. Brandstaetter will take over management responsibility for China from Group CEO Herbert Diess. The 53-year-old is to formally relieve Diess and will also receive a mandate from the Supervisory Board to deal with the growing problems in the world’s largest car market (China.Table reported). fin

    • Autoindustrie

    Brii Biosciences’ Covid drug approved

    China’s National Medical Products Administration has approved a COVID-19 antibody treatment. The drug manufactured by Brii Biosciences showed an 80 percent reduction in hospitalizations and deaths, according to the Beijing-based company. More details on the effectiveness against the Omicron variant are expected in two weeks.

    China considers drugs for the treatment of acute corona infections as a way out of the zero-covid spiral (China.Table reported). With the emergence of new virus variants, Chinese vaccines in particular are proving to be ineffective. The country could face a severe Covid wave after lifting the country’s lockdown and harsh measures against all outbreaks. If hospitals, on the other hand, had effective drugs against the disease, this could be tolerated without fearing major fatalities.

    • Coronavirus
    • Health

    Column

    China’s listless tigers

    by Johnny Erling
    Ein Bild von Johnny Erling

    There is a Chinese saying: Don’t touch a tiger’s butt (老虎屁股摸不得). The old master of Chinese satire Hua Junwu drew a tiger with a sign on its butt: “Taboo zone” and the caption: “The sole decider”. He wanted to mock officials who can’t be criticized. That was in 1979, and after the end of Mao’s Cultural Revolution, in which he was severely persecuted, Hua was once again allowed to draw after a ten-year ban. But his harmless caricature caused him new trouble. Ideologues accused him of an underhanded attack on Mao. Hua showed me how, in their eyes, the claw of the tiger looked like the character Mao in the name of the founder of the state. He had to completely redraw the claw.

    Caricature by Hua Junwu: Tiger with functionary’s cap and the sign on the butt: “Taboo zone.” Hua mocks the saying: “Never touch a tiger’s butt” = “Don’t criticize officials!”

    Satire has always had a hard time in the stern People’s Republic. Today, its cartoonists resort to ever more complicated innuendos, freely following the motto of the aphorist Karl Kraus: “Satires that the censor understands are rightfully banned.”

    The left version of the claw looks like the character 毛. A reference to Mao?

    The “Picture of the 100 Tigers” (百虎图) by the Cantonese cartoonist Kuang Biao recently gained my attention. He drew 128 well-fed predators on an open field for the New Year of the Tiger, which begins on February 1st, 2022. Their number resembles – pronounced in Chinese – the lucky saying: “I want to become rich”. Hidden in the picture, however, is a second message: his tigers seem very lazy. Some of them look like dozing seals, their eyes closed, unwilling to attract attention, simply ducking away.

    Cantonese cartoonist Kuang Biao drew 128 well-fed felines for New Year 2022 (China’s Year of the Tiger). Their number wishes as a lucky slogan: “I want to become rich”. At second glance, however, they appear listlessly sluggish, more like dozing seals than tigers, not wanting to attract attention, ducking away. It’s an allusion to the new cult word “lying flat”.

    The cartoon is here clearly alluding to a currently winged word in China, which has only been en vogue on the internet and in youth language for a few months. It is called “tangping”( 躺平) and means “lying flat”. According to China.Table’s language column, “It’s currently trending as a buzzword all over social media, as a kind of silent rebellion of the young generation.”

    It could also be translated as “doing nothing.” Elsie Chen, New York Times’ Beijing correspondent, portrayed Luo Huazhong (骆华中), who had made it a buzzword with his post on the internet portal Baidu in April. Luo, now 31, was fed up being a factory worker in 2016 and quit. “I felt like a machine,” he told the reporter. First, he went on a bicycle tour, pedaling 2,100 kilometers to Tibet. Back in his hometown of Jiande in Zhejiang, he refused to look for a new job, practiced consumerism, just wanted to “chill” and lived off his meager savings. Luo sees himself as a modest “flat-lier” and feels like Diogenes in his barrel. He captioned a photo of himself, lying on his bed in a room with the curtains drawn, with the motto “Lying Flat Is Justice” (躺平即是正義). On China’s leading media, from Sina Weibo to Douban, he became a star overnight.

    All totally relaxed: Detail of Kuang Biao’s tiger painting.

    The drop-out feeling struck a chord with a generation that can no longer cope with the stress of school, exams, and constant performance. In 2019, their collective outcry on the internet against the “996 system” had paved the way. 996 stands for having to work from nine in the morning to nine at night, six days a week, especially in China’s high-tech and IT industries. Young Chinese mocked themselves bitterly online, comparing themselves to “chives” that are constantly cut off because they can always grow back. Their new idol Luo disagrees: chives that lie flat are hard to cut (躺平的韭菜不好割).

    His Tangping philosophy became synonymous with the search for a new lifestyle. Seven decades after the hippie generation shocked their parents in the US with their attitude of nonconformity, China is now gripped by a similar movement. Before that, the term Neijuan (内卷), (Involution) came up. It represents the feelings of many young Chinese who find themselves caught in a “rat race,” or senselessly running on a wheel like “in a hamster cage.” Young people, sociologists analyze, react to the “constantly intensifying competition from which there is no way out” with stress, burnout, and despair.

    China’s CP reacted promptly to the first signs of passive social protest. Censors made Luo’s motto “Lying Flat Is Justice!” disappear online, deleted group chats, and banned booming online sales of T-shirts, teacups, and smartphone cases bearing the slogan. A month after Luo’s first posts, party media labeled “lying flat” as “shameless.”

    The youth want to chill, Xi preaches hard work

    The dreaded youth word even reached CP leader Xi Jinping, who keeps his ear to the ground when he suspects looming crises or subversive trends. In a speech on 17 August, to promote his program for common prosperity under socialism, he was “encouraging getting rich through hard work and innovation” and to “form an environment where everyone can participate in its development, avoiding ‘involution’, and ‘lying flat’.” (共同富裕要靠勤劳智慧来创造_….,避免 “内卷”、”躺平”).

    Notwithstanding such interventions, online enthusiasm for flat-lying continued. In November, the China Daily devoted an entire newspaper page to the controversies surrounding the buzzword. It said, “the concept of ‘lying flat’ embodies rejection of a life and work culture where there is constant competition.” Finally, China’s National Language Resources Monitoring and Research Center (国家语言资源监测与研究中心) has now confirmed that “tangping” is among the top ten most used online terms in 2021 (十大网络用语).

    China’s party media are now trying to put a positive spin on “tangping”. It was, after all, just a desire “to take a nap in the perpetual struggle. Lying flat for a short time is to regain energy and start anew.” Nationalist Party newspaper Global Times had commented that tangping “recently struck a chord with many young Chinese, who are eager to take pause to breathe in this fast-paced and highly-competitive society. […] However, it is the same generation who vow, ‘We are working to revitalize the Chinese nation.’”

    Even if China’s ideologues refuse to admit it, according to the motto “that what cannot be, must not be”: The party’s ideas struck a serious motivational problem among China’s youth.

    • Domestic policy of the CP China
    • Society

    Executive Moves


    Xing Guijun has been appointed head of the Shandong branch of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC). The 47-year-old holds a Ph.D. and has many years of experience in supervising rural financial institutions, according to financial daily Caixin. Xing had only taken over the supervision of urban commercial banks and private lenders in the first half of 2020.

    Rafael Suchan has been relieved of his duties as CEO of Chiho Environmental Group, the parent of the German company Scholz Recycling. Until recently, Suchan was one of five managing directors of the German subsidiary. As to the reasons for the dismissal, the group said only that it was currently investigating a number of planned transactions in which Suchan had been involved. German steel scrap recycler Scholz had recently been pushing several projects and collaborations to recycle end-of-life cars, scrap metal, and batteries in China. Suchan had only taken over the management of Chiho in March 2020.

    • Finance

    Dessert

    Cranes at Poyang Lake in Nanchang (Jiangxi Province). Many migratory bird species from the north gather here in winter, appreciating the milder climate. The large birds also perform their dances here. Their sharp, trumpet-like cries echo across the lake.

    China.Table Editors

    CHINA.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

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