Table.Briefing: China

Data collector TikTok + Afghanistan

  • TikTok’s insatiable hunger for data
  • Beijing reluctant to become involved in Afghanistan
  • Sinolytics.Radar: tax revenues plummet
  • Forest fires caused by heatwaves
  • Taiwan: fewer orders from Mainland
  • Allianz wants to enter asset sector
  • Subsidies for hydrogen refueling stations
  • Apple enters India
  • Debt cut for African countries
  • Profile: Yang Huiyan – billionaire in the real estate crisis
  • Authorities change Minions movie
Dear reader,

Google, Facebook, Amazon, Apple – in the past decades, major US tech companies have collected a gigantic treasure trove of user data. Every Google search, every conversation with Siri, every Amazon order and every post on Facebook is stored and can potentially be accessed forever. In everyday life, we have almost come to terms with this. But what happens when a Chinese company also forces its way onto our smartphones? Many young people can hardly imagine everyday life without TikTok. The company, which has a Chinese parent company, taps into users’ data on a massive scale, as Marcel Grzanna reports.

After all, user information could end up in the hands of the Chinese government, as technical analyses show. Cynics might argue that the US NSA already has all the data, so why should we be more careful about China? But that would be a false lesson from Edward Snowden’s revelations. In the digital age, data protection should not be an inconvenient responsibility of users, it should be the task of the government.

Several major powers have already burned their fingers on Afghanistan. A year ago, the Western military and many civilian organizations withdrew from the country. After that, many observers thought that China would step into the vacuum and protect its interests in the Hindu Kush, exploit raw materials and extend the Silk Road into the region.

But the situation turned out differently, as Christiane Kuehl reports. The country sank into chaos after the Western withdrawal: Sanctions against the Taliban made trade with Afghanistan difficult. In addition, a hunger crisis followed a drought. Leaders in Beijing are currently still acting very cautiously in their exchanges with the Taliban. They do not want to be drawn into the chaos.

Your
Nico Beckert
Image of Nico  Beckert

Feature

TikTok fears for its reputation

Hourly location tracking, unrestricted access to personal calendars, and persistent requests to view a user’s contact list: The video app TikTok digs so deeply into users’ privacy that not even Facebook & Co dare to do. This is why TikTok has set a clear priority in its public relations work: To create distance from its Chinese parent company ByteDance. Two internal guidelines from TikTok’s PR department indicate that the company’s close relationship with ByteDance is a source of concern for the PR staff.

The list of bullet points found in a 53-page document titled “TikTok Master Messaging” gives the company’s press departments a clear line on what their central message must be when talking to journalists: They are to emphasize that TikTok is an independent brand while explicitly downplaying its ties to ByteDance and the People’s Republic of China. This was reported by the tech blog Gizmodo, which received these leaked guides from TikTok employees.

Extensive data access powers for the government

The documents dated last year are by no means enough to brand TikTok as a direct tool of Chinese political interests. But at the very least, they prove how problematic the Chinese origin is for a tech company that has gained the trust of users outside the People’s Republic. Especially since the legal situation in China does not help to increase the credibility of the company.

TikTok is accordingly eager to emphasize its autonomy and independence from ByteDance. In a 15-page manual called “TikTok Key Messages” from February 2021, the company provides formulations for PR employees to use. Gizmodo lists three examples. “There’s a lot of misinformation about TikTok right now. The reality is that the TikTok app isn’t even available in China,” reads a standard response. “We have not and will not share user data with the Chinese government, and would not do so if asked,” is another.

But in fact, cybersecurity or national security laws have granted the government extensive powers to access data from the private sector. The Chinese state has established mechanisms and power structures to ensure access to domestic and foreign data by government agencies, according to a legal study for the European Data Protection Board (EDPB), an independent body for the uniform application of data protection rules in the EU.

Censorship and access to hard disks

TikTok’s spokespeople are also said to downplay the use of artificial intelligence. The company’s algorithms have come under fire for censoring certain content – in the past at least. Australian research institute Aspi found in an investigation that TikTok had suppressed videos depicting human rights crimes in Xinjiang or the 2019 Hong Kong protest movement from a China-critical perspective. Hashtags on LGBTQ content were also censored in at least eight languages.

The latest controversy surrounding the video platform was sparked by an analysis from cybersecurity firm Internet 2.0, also based in Australia. It found that TikTok’s data collection methods include access to the user’s calendar, contact list and location, as well as the technical capability to scan the device’s internal storage.

Data acquisition is the only reason

“For the TikTok application to function properly most of the access and device data collection is not required,” the report states. The application would function just as smoothly without this data. “This leads us to believe that the only reason this information has been gathered is for data harvesting,” the authors conclude.

Also striking is TikTok’s persistence to access user data. Although the application doesn’t need it, TikTok asks for certain access rights over and over, presumably in the hope of users’ carelessness or resignation, who, after dozens of rejections, are tired of being asked all the time. “If you tell Facebook you don’t want to share something, it won’t ask you again. TikTok is much more aggressive,” said Robert Potter of Internet 2.0’s executive team, one of the study’s authors.

The investigation also revealed that TikTok servers outside the People’s Republic connect to servers in the People’s Republic via subdomains at regular intervals – at least on the iPhone. After a short period, these connections would automatically close, and then reconnect under a different IP address. However, it is not clear why they are established in the first place.

  • ByteDance
  • Data
  • Data protection
  • Technology
  • Tiktok

Hesitant in Afghanistan

Chinese food relief: Afghans in Kabul sit on Chinese wheat sacks

The situation in Afghanistan has apparently developed differently than many observers expected a year ago. It was believed that China would step in to fill the vacuum left by the withdrawal of the US and its allies. Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with a group of Taliban leaders in Tianjin in late July 2021. They asked China to play a “greater role in Afghanistan’s reconstruction and economic development.” When the Taliban took Kabul, the People’s Republic kept its embassy open. Many analysts said China was very interested in Afghanistan’s raw materials – especially oil and copper.

Limited economic commitment

But in reality, China’s involvement has been rather modest so far. A Chinese project at the Mes Ajnak copper mine has been on hold for years because of the poor security situation and other obstacles. Nothing has changed here. “Although China has spoken of Afghanistan as part of its ambitious Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), and some recent trade has started,” writes Raffaelo Pantucci, a South Asia expert at Britain’s Royal United Services Institute and co-author of a book on China’s role in the Hindu Kush.

“In reality, the tangible economic links between China and Afghanistan amount to the export of Afghan pine nuts to China and the construction of a fiberoptic cable down the Wakhan Corridor to help Afghanistan get on the internet.” The Wakhan Corridor is the “handle” on the Afghan map in the northeast of the country; at its end is the only border between Afghanistan and China.

Taliban government not recognized

“In public discourse, there has always been an exaggerated image of how important China is to Afghanistan,” Pantucci told China.Table. To date, Beijing has not officially recognized the Taliban government. Without decisive action by the holy warriors against the Uyghur militant group East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM) feared by China, this is not up for debate, Beijing’s diplomats repeatedly stressed. However, the fight against the ETIM is obviously not a priority for the Taliban right now. China does have individual specific concerns and issues related to Afghanistan, Pantucci said. “But the reality is that these are not existential for China.” Right now, the biggest concern is that the country could cause problems for Pakistan and Central Asia – as well as that the US could maintain a close relationship with the Taliban. “Economic interests are limited.”

Beijing’s paranoia about Washington is said to be so great that it fears the Taliban could turn on China, Pantucci says. The conflict with the US currently overrides everything in China’s foreign policy. “What is actually going on in Afghanistan is secondary to concerns about what the US is up to.” Indeed, according to Pantucci, there is evidence that suggests some cooperation between Washington and the Taliban. And China’s atheist communists are inherently distrustful of the holy warriors of this radical religious movement.

China sees Afghanistan primarily as a security risk

Even during the first Taliban rule at the turn of the millennium, Beijing feared a rise of the ETIM. In the 1990s, Chinese workers were repeatedly killed or kidnapped in Afghanistan. Over the years, Beijing hosted a series of peace talks between the government and the Taliban – sometimes more, sometimes less enthusiastically. But it was only a host, not a mediator, as Pantucci says.

During this time, China quietly regarded the US as a security guarantor in Afghanistan and the surrounding area – also in order not to have to take responsibility itself. Beijing was not pleased that this security umbrella suddenly disappeared a year ago. It repeatedly criticized the West’s hasty withdrawal.

China’s anger began when Washington removed the Uyghur ETIM from its list of terrorist organizations a few months before the withdrawal. From Beijing’s perspective, this was a hostile act. And yet, for Beijing, the region is not just about the ETIM. In 2021, there were several attacks on Chinese and Silk Road projects in Pakistan. For instance, nine Chinese engineers died in an attack on a bus last July. Today, the Pakistani arm of the Taliban is considered to be the perpetrator of the attack – and not the ETIM. Despite all this, however, China does not want to play a major role in the conflict, Pantucci writes in his book: “China is doomed to play a significant role in the country, but is studiously avoiding it.”

Benefactor of a battered country

China prefers a collective approach. Since August 2021, the People’s Republic has been present at all regional meetings of neighboring countries, including Iran, Pakistan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. “When Beijing says it seeks to build regional consensus and management of Afghanistan, it does not mean for all countries to work together,” explains Niva Yau, a Tajikistan-based Afghanistan expert.

“Rather, it means setting up an agreed list of activities all regional countries should look to implement on their own, given individual capacity differences,” Yau said. She believes China wants to use this to present itself as a benefactor to the battered country, unlike the United States. Yau also considers it likely that China will ultimately want to position itself as a central player after all, “pushing and organizing regional, and soon, global management of Afghanistan affairs.” For example, China has sent humanitarian aid a dozen times to those in need, including internally displaced individuals or victims of natural disasters – most recently wheat and rice for 1,100 households in August.

In late 2021, China launched a bilateral working group with the Taliban on humanitarian aid and economic reconstruction. Between April and June 2022, representatives of the Chinese Embassy met with various Taliban ministers to discuss projects to rebuild the country. Several Chinese entrepreneurs are also said to be in the country, looking for business opportunities. This could well lead to closer cooperation at some point. But this stands and falls with the security situation.

  • Afghanistan
  • Geopolitics
  • USA
  • Wang Yi

Sinolytics.Radar

Tax revenues slumped sharply in first half of 2022

Dieser Inhalt ist Lizenznehmern unserer Vollversion vorbehalten.
  • The Chinese economy’s recovery process is fragile, with the latest economic data in July again showing signs of slowing down.​
  • However, the Chinese government’s efforts to revive the economy are restrained by high debt levels and decreasing tax revenues.​
  • In the first half of 2022, the top 10 tax revenues totaled ¥9.7 trillion, 12 percent lower than the tax revenues during the same period of 2021.​
  • The largest decrease comes from domestic VAT, which decreased by ¥1.6 trillion during the first half of the year, 46 percent in year-on-year comparison. The government’s large-scale VAT refund campaign accounts for most of the VAT revenue decrease. This policy impact excluded, the domestic VAT decreased by 0.7 percent, still massively below the growth in 2021 (+11.8 percent YOY).​
  • Another tax category causing significant revenue reductions are taxes related to land and real estate, including land VAT, real estate tax, deed tax (契税) and others. The sum of all these taxes reached ¥1.1 trillion during the first half of 2022, 7.1 percent lower than that in H1 2021. The tax revenue decrease is driven by the shrinking transactions over real estate in China, due to previous regulatory crackdowns on the real estate sector and pessimistic expectations regarding property prices.​
  • The tax revenue decreases raise the question of how much further stimulus the government can provide to revitalize the Chinese economy weakened by covid disruptions.​

Sinolytics is a European research-based consultancy entirely focused on China. It advises European companies on their strategic orientation and concrete business activities in the People’s Republic.

News

Evacuations after forest fires

More than 1,500 people have been evacuated from Chongqing as forest fires continue to rage in the neighboring mountains. According to authority statements, at least four districts of the city were affected. Thousands of firefighters were deployed, the Financial Times reported. Wildfires also broke out in the province of Sichuan due to the regional drought. Authorities issued a “red” level fire warning late Tuesday night, warning that the situation in forest areas in central and southern Chongqing and eastern Sichuan was “extremely dangerous,” Reuters reports. 19 forest fires have occurred in the region since August 14. The provinces of Jiangxi, Hunan and Guizhou are also on high alert for forest and grassland fires.

Decreasing temperatures are expected in central China from today, Wednesday. Sichuan and Chongqing are expected to experience less extreme weather after August 29, the National Meteorological Center reported. However, the drought is expected to last until September, Reuters reported.

The Maritime Safety Administration at the Yangtze River called on captains to reduce their cargo off the port of Wuhan. It said the water level was too low and it was no longer safe to travel to and from the port. According to consulting agency Trivium China, ocean-going vessels will have to distribute their cargo across several river vessels. This would increase transport times by at least five days. Costs will rise. Normally, the port is open for sea cargo until October, Trivium China analysts said. nib/rtr

  • Chongqing
  • Climate
  • Heat waves
  • Heatwave
  • Sichuan
  • Wuhan

Taiwan’s exports shrink

Taiwan’s exports fell significantly last month. The main reason for the surprising decline was the falling demand from China and Hong Kong. The number of orders from there dropped by around 23 percent, Bloomberg reported, citing Taiwan’s Ministry of Economic Affairs. A 6.9 percent year-on-year increase in exports to the United States failed to compensate for the decline in exports to China. Orders reportedly fell in all product categories except electronics. Semiconductors also fall into this category.

The decline in export orders in July ended the year-on-year growth seen in the previous two months. Overall, exports for July totaled about $54 billion. According to the ministry, this represents a year-on-year decline of just over two percent – in May and June, exports were up six and 9.5 percent, respectively, compared to the months in 2021.

After the visit of US Democrat Nancy Pelosi, China also reacted with an import ban on various Taiwanese products. These include citrus fruits such as pomelo, various edible fish and even sand. ari

  • Trade

Allianz seeks partner for investment business

The Allianz Group is looking for partners among Chinese banks to build up a local investment division. In recent months, the subsidiary Allianz Global Investors has held talks with Industrial Bank and China CITIC Bank, among others. This was reported by Reuters. Unrelated to this, the financial house is also advancing plans to set up a fund company without Chinese participation. The management consultancy McKinsey has been commissioned to draw up a concept for the project.

The market for asset management in the People’s Republic is estimated at €4.3 trillion. In 2019, Beijing simplified the entry of Western providers through deregulation. Since then, investors have been exploring the field or have already founded joint ventures, including BlackRock, Goldman Sachs and Barclays.

Meanwhile, the influx raises doubts about whether there are enough suitable local partners for Allianz. “The competition to win over a local bank intensified this year as not many large banks are left for foreign firms to grab,” Reuters quotes an Allianz employee as saying. At least one other foreign asset manager is said to be in joint venture talks with CITIC Bank as well.

Allianz currently holds 49 percent of the shares in a joint venture with China Pacific Insurance which manages funds. The Germans were unable to buy the shares from their Chinese partner in order to gain full control of the company. Consequently, the plan to set up its own fully-owned subsidiary emerged. rtr/fin

  • Banks
  • Finance

Beijing promotes the use of hydrogen

Beijing’s municipal government wants to popularize hydrogen as an energy source. As part of the 14th Five-Year Plan, a strategy paper lists several uses that the city will promote. These include the construction of hydrogen refueling stations for cars, buses, and trucks, as well as research funding for new technologies.

The plan represents the regional implementation of the national Five-Year Plan for developing the hydrogen economy. Automakers in the city will receive ¥1.7 billion (€250 million) in tax breaks from central government funding pools provided they meet interim targets for introducing hydrogen mobility within a set timetable. The aim is to have 50,000 fuel cell cars on China’s roads by 2025. fin

  • Autoindustrie

India is new alternative for iPhone production

According to a media report, Apple has found an additional production site in India to China, where Covid lockdowns had paralyzed manufacturing. The US technology company is planning to manufacture its iPhone 14 in India as well, Bloomberg reports, citing people familiar with the matter. Apple’s Taiwanese supplier Foxconn has reportedly already examined the process of shipping components from China and assembling the iPhone 14 at a plant outside the southern Indian city of Chennai. Production could start there in late October. According to Bloomberg, the growing tensions between the US and China are also a reason for diversifying production. rtr/nib

  • Apple
  • India
  • Technology
  • Trade

China plans debt relief in Africa

China plans to write off debt to African nations. According to a Bloomberg report, the People’s Republic wants to forgo 23 interest-free loans to 17 African countries and redirect tens of billions of dollars in reserves from the International Monetary Fund to nations on the continent.

Foreign Minister Wang Yi announced debt cuts at a meeting of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) last week. The ministry did not provide details on the total amount of the loans, which were due at the end of 2021. Nor did it say which countries would benefit from the relief. The vast majority of Chinese financing in Africa are concessional and commercial loans, according to Bloomberg. They have not been considered for cancellation so far. However, some of them have been restructured.

Since 2000, Beijing has implemented several debt relief programs for interest-free loans to African countries, canceling at least $3.4 billion in debt by 2019, according to a study by the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies. The debt cancellation was limited to maturing interest-free foreign aid loans, with Zambia receiving the biggest share during the period.

According to the World Bank, China accounts for nearly 40 percent of the bilateral and private creditor debt that the world’s poorest countries will have to service this year. The People’s Republic has already granted tariff-free entry to 98 percent of exports from 12 African countries this year and provided emergency food distribution to Djibouti, Ethiopia, Somalia and Eritrea, Wang said during his speech. Africa wants “a favorable and amicable cooperation environment, not the zero-sum Cold War mentality.” fpe

  • Africa
  • New Silk Road

Heads

Yang Huiyan – from rags to riches and back

Yang Huiyan lost billions during the real estate crisis

So far, 2022 has been a disastrous year for Asia’s richest woman: Yang Huiyan has lost more than half of her fortune, which once totaled nearly $24 billion. And now her real estate company Country Garden is also facing serious liquidity problems.

The story of the just 41-year-old entrepreneur is symbolic of the drastic transformations of Chinese society under Xi Jinping. And her rise and fall also show that, while the “Chinese dream” has led many people to unimaginable wealth in the blink of an eye, it can melt away just as quickly.

Born in Shunde in southern China, Yang Huiyan became one of the youngest billionaires at the age of 24. Her father, a former migrant worker who founded the construction company Country Gardens in the booming Pearl River Delta in the 1990s, bequeathed 70 percent of the company shares to Yang just one year after she received her bachelor’s degree.

Faster, higher, stronger

The business model was as simple as it was ingenious: It provided the Chinese middle class, which grew by several million every year, with modern apartment buildings. While the economy was growing at double-digit rates and the population experienced the dynamics of the market economy for the first time, real estate developers seemed to know only one direction for decades: faster, higher, stronger.

Construction projects grew more and more ambitious, and banks loosened their lending policies for companies. And for the population, which on average invests up to three-quarters of their savings, real estate was formerly considered a safe bet. Prices rose steadily, eventually reaching a level where the dream of owning a home has long been out of reach for the broad middle class, especially in the East Coast metropolises. But alternative investment opportunities are virtually non-existent: Prices on the domestic stock markets resemble a roller coaster ride, and the Chinese are not allowed to invest their money outside China because of strict capital controls.

Due to the persistent real estate boom, Yang Huiyan reached her entrepreneurial zenith at the beginning of 2018. In the first four days of the year alone, increased stock prices had added $2 billion to her wealth. At the time, it was a sensation: A Chinese woman suddenly shot to the top of Asia’s male-dominated rich lists.

But in Xi Jinping’s China, this distinction is a double-edged sword. “When you’re at the top of the annual rich list, you’re already in line to be the next to be slaughtered,” says Desmond Shum, a former building contractor who now lives in exile in London. “Xi Jinping is transforming all aspects of society. This process is scary for entrepreneurs,” says the 57-year-old

Stricter regulation, crushing debt

And indeed, Xi Jinping propagates few ideas as prominently as his vision of “common prosperity”; virtually no speech by the head of state is complete without this slogan. In an effort to make Chinese society more egalitarian, Xi also targeted the real estate industry last year: Housing should no longer be a speculative commodity in China, and real estate should once again be affordable for the middle class. Under Xi, regulation has been massively tightened: Since then, construction companies have had to meet much stricter requirements in order to obtain bank loans.

These conditions seem understandable. But they triggered a painful chain reaction that caused not only the world’s most indebted company, Evergrande, to stumble, but the entire sector. Many of the market leaders suddenly found themselves unable to repay their debts.

The explosive power of the real estate crisis for Chinese society was most recently demonstrated in July: In more than 90 cities, apartment buyers halted their mortgage payments because construction work on their half-finished apartment blocks came to a standstill (China.Table reported). Thousands of them have voiced their frustration on social media. For Beijing’s party cadres, who value nothing more than social stability, the looming real estate bubble is one of the biggest challenges.

Yang Huiyan’s company, Country Garden, at first seemed to emerge from the crisis year unscathed. But at the end of July, the real estate developer also caused shockwaves – by selling shares at a 13 percent discount to raise capital. Some of it was said to be needed to service outstanding debts. The markets reacted strongly: Compared to four years ago, the share price of Country Garden is now only one-seventh.

It is safe to assume that Yang Huiyan has already managed to secure her fortune in view of the radical changes in the real estate industry. According to media reports, she acquired Cypriot citizenship years ago, which the island state offered to wealthy investors. It seems that under Xi Jinping, the wealthy no longer consider their prosperity to be safe. Fabian Kretschmer

  • Finance
  • Real Estate

Executive Moves

Johannes Drescher took over the position of Business Unit Manager Supply Chain & Operations at IMS Gear in Shanghai in July. The company, headquartered in Donaueschingen, Germany, specializes in gear and transmission technology for the automotive industry.

Erdal Hocaoglu now works as Senior Manager Transportation Planning at Daimler Greater China. Hocaoglu has many years of experience in China. Among other things, he worked for Daimler as Manager SC/I in the Liaison Office China in Beijing between 2011 and 2015.

Is something changing in your organization? Why not let us know at heads@table.media!

Dessert

“Who changed our film?” – “Well, the authorities in China,” “Really?”. As posts and screenshots on the Chinese microblogging site Weibo show, the US animated film “Minions: The Rise of Gru” has been given an alternative ending in China.

Freeze frames and captions during the end credits sequence in the changed version for the Chinese market tell us that the main character Gru goes from being a villain to a good “father of three daughters” in the end, while his mentor, the super villain Wild Knuckles, winds up in “prison for 20 years”. A happy ending, just the way the CP likes it.

In the international version, Knuckles gets away by faking his death. He sets off on new adventures with Gru.

China.Table editorial office

CHINA.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

Licenses:
    • TikTok’s insatiable hunger for data
    • Beijing reluctant to become involved in Afghanistan
    • Sinolytics.Radar: tax revenues plummet
    • Forest fires caused by heatwaves
    • Taiwan: fewer orders from Mainland
    • Allianz wants to enter asset sector
    • Subsidies for hydrogen refueling stations
    • Apple enters India
    • Debt cut for African countries
    • Profile: Yang Huiyan – billionaire in the real estate crisis
    • Authorities change Minions movie
    Dear reader,

    Google, Facebook, Amazon, Apple – in the past decades, major US tech companies have collected a gigantic treasure trove of user data. Every Google search, every conversation with Siri, every Amazon order and every post on Facebook is stored and can potentially be accessed forever. In everyday life, we have almost come to terms with this. But what happens when a Chinese company also forces its way onto our smartphones? Many young people can hardly imagine everyday life without TikTok. The company, which has a Chinese parent company, taps into users’ data on a massive scale, as Marcel Grzanna reports.

    After all, user information could end up in the hands of the Chinese government, as technical analyses show. Cynics might argue that the US NSA already has all the data, so why should we be more careful about China? But that would be a false lesson from Edward Snowden’s revelations. In the digital age, data protection should not be an inconvenient responsibility of users, it should be the task of the government.

    Several major powers have already burned their fingers on Afghanistan. A year ago, the Western military and many civilian organizations withdrew from the country. After that, many observers thought that China would step into the vacuum and protect its interests in the Hindu Kush, exploit raw materials and extend the Silk Road into the region.

    But the situation turned out differently, as Christiane Kuehl reports. The country sank into chaos after the Western withdrawal: Sanctions against the Taliban made trade with Afghanistan difficult. In addition, a hunger crisis followed a drought. Leaders in Beijing are currently still acting very cautiously in their exchanges with the Taliban. They do not want to be drawn into the chaos.

    Your
    Nico Beckert
    Image of Nico  Beckert

    Feature

    TikTok fears for its reputation

    Hourly location tracking, unrestricted access to personal calendars, and persistent requests to view a user’s contact list: The video app TikTok digs so deeply into users’ privacy that not even Facebook & Co dare to do. This is why TikTok has set a clear priority in its public relations work: To create distance from its Chinese parent company ByteDance. Two internal guidelines from TikTok’s PR department indicate that the company’s close relationship with ByteDance is a source of concern for the PR staff.

    The list of bullet points found in a 53-page document titled “TikTok Master Messaging” gives the company’s press departments a clear line on what their central message must be when talking to journalists: They are to emphasize that TikTok is an independent brand while explicitly downplaying its ties to ByteDance and the People’s Republic of China. This was reported by the tech blog Gizmodo, which received these leaked guides from TikTok employees.

    Extensive data access powers for the government

    The documents dated last year are by no means enough to brand TikTok as a direct tool of Chinese political interests. But at the very least, they prove how problematic the Chinese origin is for a tech company that has gained the trust of users outside the People’s Republic. Especially since the legal situation in China does not help to increase the credibility of the company.

    TikTok is accordingly eager to emphasize its autonomy and independence from ByteDance. In a 15-page manual called “TikTok Key Messages” from February 2021, the company provides formulations for PR employees to use. Gizmodo lists three examples. “There’s a lot of misinformation about TikTok right now. The reality is that the TikTok app isn’t even available in China,” reads a standard response. “We have not and will not share user data with the Chinese government, and would not do so if asked,” is another.

    But in fact, cybersecurity or national security laws have granted the government extensive powers to access data from the private sector. The Chinese state has established mechanisms and power structures to ensure access to domestic and foreign data by government agencies, according to a legal study for the European Data Protection Board (EDPB), an independent body for the uniform application of data protection rules in the EU.

    Censorship and access to hard disks

    TikTok’s spokespeople are also said to downplay the use of artificial intelligence. The company’s algorithms have come under fire for censoring certain content – in the past at least. Australian research institute Aspi found in an investigation that TikTok had suppressed videos depicting human rights crimes in Xinjiang or the 2019 Hong Kong protest movement from a China-critical perspective. Hashtags on LGBTQ content were also censored in at least eight languages.

    The latest controversy surrounding the video platform was sparked by an analysis from cybersecurity firm Internet 2.0, also based in Australia. It found that TikTok’s data collection methods include access to the user’s calendar, contact list and location, as well as the technical capability to scan the device’s internal storage.

    Data acquisition is the only reason

    “For the TikTok application to function properly most of the access and device data collection is not required,” the report states. The application would function just as smoothly without this data. “This leads us to believe that the only reason this information has been gathered is for data harvesting,” the authors conclude.

    Also striking is TikTok’s persistence to access user data. Although the application doesn’t need it, TikTok asks for certain access rights over and over, presumably in the hope of users’ carelessness or resignation, who, after dozens of rejections, are tired of being asked all the time. “If you tell Facebook you don’t want to share something, it won’t ask you again. TikTok is much more aggressive,” said Robert Potter of Internet 2.0’s executive team, one of the study’s authors.

    The investigation also revealed that TikTok servers outside the People’s Republic connect to servers in the People’s Republic via subdomains at regular intervals – at least on the iPhone. After a short period, these connections would automatically close, and then reconnect under a different IP address. However, it is not clear why they are established in the first place.

    • ByteDance
    • Data
    • Data protection
    • Technology
    • Tiktok

    Hesitant in Afghanistan

    Chinese food relief: Afghans in Kabul sit on Chinese wheat sacks

    The situation in Afghanistan has apparently developed differently than many observers expected a year ago. It was believed that China would step in to fill the vacuum left by the withdrawal of the US and its allies. Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with a group of Taliban leaders in Tianjin in late July 2021. They asked China to play a “greater role in Afghanistan’s reconstruction and economic development.” When the Taliban took Kabul, the People’s Republic kept its embassy open. Many analysts said China was very interested in Afghanistan’s raw materials – especially oil and copper.

    Limited economic commitment

    But in reality, China’s involvement has been rather modest so far. A Chinese project at the Mes Ajnak copper mine has been on hold for years because of the poor security situation and other obstacles. Nothing has changed here. “Although China has spoken of Afghanistan as part of its ambitious Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), and some recent trade has started,” writes Raffaelo Pantucci, a South Asia expert at Britain’s Royal United Services Institute and co-author of a book on China’s role in the Hindu Kush.

    “In reality, the tangible economic links between China and Afghanistan amount to the export of Afghan pine nuts to China and the construction of a fiberoptic cable down the Wakhan Corridor to help Afghanistan get on the internet.” The Wakhan Corridor is the “handle” on the Afghan map in the northeast of the country; at its end is the only border between Afghanistan and China.

    Taliban government not recognized

    “In public discourse, there has always been an exaggerated image of how important China is to Afghanistan,” Pantucci told China.Table. To date, Beijing has not officially recognized the Taliban government. Without decisive action by the holy warriors against the Uyghur militant group East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM) feared by China, this is not up for debate, Beijing’s diplomats repeatedly stressed. However, the fight against the ETIM is obviously not a priority for the Taliban right now. China does have individual specific concerns and issues related to Afghanistan, Pantucci said. “But the reality is that these are not existential for China.” Right now, the biggest concern is that the country could cause problems for Pakistan and Central Asia – as well as that the US could maintain a close relationship with the Taliban. “Economic interests are limited.”

    Beijing’s paranoia about Washington is said to be so great that it fears the Taliban could turn on China, Pantucci says. The conflict with the US currently overrides everything in China’s foreign policy. “What is actually going on in Afghanistan is secondary to concerns about what the US is up to.” Indeed, according to Pantucci, there is evidence that suggests some cooperation between Washington and the Taliban. And China’s atheist communists are inherently distrustful of the holy warriors of this radical religious movement.

    China sees Afghanistan primarily as a security risk

    Even during the first Taliban rule at the turn of the millennium, Beijing feared a rise of the ETIM. In the 1990s, Chinese workers were repeatedly killed or kidnapped in Afghanistan. Over the years, Beijing hosted a series of peace talks between the government and the Taliban – sometimes more, sometimes less enthusiastically. But it was only a host, not a mediator, as Pantucci says.

    During this time, China quietly regarded the US as a security guarantor in Afghanistan and the surrounding area – also in order not to have to take responsibility itself. Beijing was not pleased that this security umbrella suddenly disappeared a year ago. It repeatedly criticized the West’s hasty withdrawal.

    China’s anger began when Washington removed the Uyghur ETIM from its list of terrorist organizations a few months before the withdrawal. From Beijing’s perspective, this was a hostile act. And yet, for Beijing, the region is not just about the ETIM. In 2021, there were several attacks on Chinese and Silk Road projects in Pakistan. For instance, nine Chinese engineers died in an attack on a bus last July. Today, the Pakistani arm of the Taliban is considered to be the perpetrator of the attack – and not the ETIM. Despite all this, however, China does not want to play a major role in the conflict, Pantucci writes in his book: “China is doomed to play a significant role in the country, but is studiously avoiding it.”

    Benefactor of a battered country

    China prefers a collective approach. Since August 2021, the People’s Republic has been present at all regional meetings of neighboring countries, including Iran, Pakistan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. “When Beijing says it seeks to build regional consensus and management of Afghanistan, it does not mean for all countries to work together,” explains Niva Yau, a Tajikistan-based Afghanistan expert.

    “Rather, it means setting up an agreed list of activities all regional countries should look to implement on their own, given individual capacity differences,” Yau said. She believes China wants to use this to present itself as a benefactor to the battered country, unlike the United States. Yau also considers it likely that China will ultimately want to position itself as a central player after all, “pushing and organizing regional, and soon, global management of Afghanistan affairs.” For example, China has sent humanitarian aid a dozen times to those in need, including internally displaced individuals or victims of natural disasters – most recently wheat and rice for 1,100 households in August.

    In late 2021, China launched a bilateral working group with the Taliban on humanitarian aid and economic reconstruction. Between April and June 2022, representatives of the Chinese Embassy met with various Taliban ministers to discuss projects to rebuild the country. Several Chinese entrepreneurs are also said to be in the country, looking for business opportunities. This could well lead to closer cooperation at some point. But this stands and falls with the security situation.

    • Afghanistan
    • Geopolitics
    • USA
    • Wang Yi

    Sinolytics.Radar

    Tax revenues slumped sharply in first half of 2022

    Dieser Inhalt ist Lizenznehmern unserer Vollversion vorbehalten.
    • The Chinese economy’s recovery process is fragile, with the latest economic data in July again showing signs of slowing down.​
    • However, the Chinese government’s efforts to revive the economy are restrained by high debt levels and decreasing tax revenues.​
    • In the first half of 2022, the top 10 tax revenues totaled ¥9.7 trillion, 12 percent lower than the tax revenues during the same period of 2021.​
    • The largest decrease comes from domestic VAT, which decreased by ¥1.6 trillion during the first half of the year, 46 percent in year-on-year comparison. The government’s large-scale VAT refund campaign accounts for most of the VAT revenue decrease. This policy impact excluded, the domestic VAT decreased by 0.7 percent, still massively below the growth in 2021 (+11.8 percent YOY).​
    • Another tax category causing significant revenue reductions are taxes related to land and real estate, including land VAT, real estate tax, deed tax (契税) and others. The sum of all these taxes reached ¥1.1 trillion during the first half of 2022, 7.1 percent lower than that in H1 2021. The tax revenue decrease is driven by the shrinking transactions over real estate in China, due to previous regulatory crackdowns on the real estate sector and pessimistic expectations regarding property prices.​
    • The tax revenue decreases raise the question of how much further stimulus the government can provide to revitalize the Chinese economy weakened by covid disruptions.​

    Sinolytics is a European research-based consultancy entirely focused on China. It advises European companies on their strategic orientation and concrete business activities in the People’s Republic.

    News

    Evacuations after forest fires

    More than 1,500 people have been evacuated from Chongqing as forest fires continue to rage in the neighboring mountains. According to authority statements, at least four districts of the city were affected. Thousands of firefighters were deployed, the Financial Times reported. Wildfires also broke out in the province of Sichuan due to the regional drought. Authorities issued a “red” level fire warning late Tuesday night, warning that the situation in forest areas in central and southern Chongqing and eastern Sichuan was “extremely dangerous,” Reuters reports. 19 forest fires have occurred in the region since August 14. The provinces of Jiangxi, Hunan and Guizhou are also on high alert for forest and grassland fires.

    Decreasing temperatures are expected in central China from today, Wednesday. Sichuan and Chongqing are expected to experience less extreme weather after August 29, the National Meteorological Center reported. However, the drought is expected to last until September, Reuters reported.

    The Maritime Safety Administration at the Yangtze River called on captains to reduce their cargo off the port of Wuhan. It said the water level was too low and it was no longer safe to travel to and from the port. According to consulting agency Trivium China, ocean-going vessels will have to distribute their cargo across several river vessels. This would increase transport times by at least five days. Costs will rise. Normally, the port is open for sea cargo until October, Trivium China analysts said. nib/rtr

    • Chongqing
    • Climate
    • Heat waves
    • Heatwave
    • Sichuan
    • Wuhan

    Taiwan’s exports shrink

    Taiwan’s exports fell significantly last month. The main reason for the surprising decline was the falling demand from China and Hong Kong. The number of orders from there dropped by around 23 percent, Bloomberg reported, citing Taiwan’s Ministry of Economic Affairs. A 6.9 percent year-on-year increase in exports to the United States failed to compensate for the decline in exports to China. Orders reportedly fell in all product categories except electronics. Semiconductors also fall into this category.

    The decline in export orders in July ended the year-on-year growth seen in the previous two months. Overall, exports for July totaled about $54 billion. According to the ministry, this represents a year-on-year decline of just over two percent – in May and June, exports were up six and 9.5 percent, respectively, compared to the months in 2021.

    After the visit of US Democrat Nancy Pelosi, China also reacted with an import ban on various Taiwanese products. These include citrus fruits such as pomelo, various edible fish and even sand. ari

    • Trade

    Allianz seeks partner for investment business

    The Allianz Group is looking for partners among Chinese banks to build up a local investment division. In recent months, the subsidiary Allianz Global Investors has held talks with Industrial Bank and China CITIC Bank, among others. This was reported by Reuters. Unrelated to this, the financial house is also advancing plans to set up a fund company without Chinese participation. The management consultancy McKinsey has been commissioned to draw up a concept for the project.

    The market for asset management in the People’s Republic is estimated at €4.3 trillion. In 2019, Beijing simplified the entry of Western providers through deregulation. Since then, investors have been exploring the field or have already founded joint ventures, including BlackRock, Goldman Sachs and Barclays.

    Meanwhile, the influx raises doubts about whether there are enough suitable local partners for Allianz. “The competition to win over a local bank intensified this year as not many large banks are left for foreign firms to grab,” Reuters quotes an Allianz employee as saying. At least one other foreign asset manager is said to be in joint venture talks with CITIC Bank as well.

    Allianz currently holds 49 percent of the shares in a joint venture with China Pacific Insurance which manages funds. The Germans were unable to buy the shares from their Chinese partner in order to gain full control of the company. Consequently, the plan to set up its own fully-owned subsidiary emerged. rtr/fin

    • Banks
    • Finance

    Beijing promotes the use of hydrogen

    Beijing’s municipal government wants to popularize hydrogen as an energy source. As part of the 14th Five-Year Plan, a strategy paper lists several uses that the city will promote. These include the construction of hydrogen refueling stations for cars, buses, and trucks, as well as research funding for new technologies.

    The plan represents the regional implementation of the national Five-Year Plan for developing the hydrogen economy. Automakers in the city will receive ¥1.7 billion (€250 million) in tax breaks from central government funding pools provided they meet interim targets for introducing hydrogen mobility within a set timetable. The aim is to have 50,000 fuel cell cars on China’s roads by 2025. fin

    • Autoindustrie

    India is new alternative for iPhone production

    According to a media report, Apple has found an additional production site in India to China, where Covid lockdowns had paralyzed manufacturing. The US technology company is planning to manufacture its iPhone 14 in India as well, Bloomberg reports, citing people familiar with the matter. Apple’s Taiwanese supplier Foxconn has reportedly already examined the process of shipping components from China and assembling the iPhone 14 at a plant outside the southern Indian city of Chennai. Production could start there in late October. According to Bloomberg, the growing tensions between the US and China are also a reason for diversifying production. rtr/nib

    • Apple
    • India
    • Technology
    • Trade

    China plans debt relief in Africa

    China plans to write off debt to African nations. According to a Bloomberg report, the People’s Republic wants to forgo 23 interest-free loans to 17 African countries and redirect tens of billions of dollars in reserves from the International Monetary Fund to nations on the continent.

    Foreign Minister Wang Yi announced debt cuts at a meeting of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) last week. The ministry did not provide details on the total amount of the loans, which were due at the end of 2021. Nor did it say which countries would benefit from the relief. The vast majority of Chinese financing in Africa are concessional and commercial loans, according to Bloomberg. They have not been considered for cancellation so far. However, some of them have been restructured.

    Since 2000, Beijing has implemented several debt relief programs for interest-free loans to African countries, canceling at least $3.4 billion in debt by 2019, according to a study by the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies. The debt cancellation was limited to maturing interest-free foreign aid loans, with Zambia receiving the biggest share during the period.

    According to the World Bank, China accounts for nearly 40 percent of the bilateral and private creditor debt that the world’s poorest countries will have to service this year. The People’s Republic has already granted tariff-free entry to 98 percent of exports from 12 African countries this year and provided emergency food distribution to Djibouti, Ethiopia, Somalia and Eritrea, Wang said during his speech. Africa wants “a favorable and amicable cooperation environment, not the zero-sum Cold War mentality.” fpe

    • Africa
    • New Silk Road

    Heads

    Yang Huiyan – from rags to riches and back

    Yang Huiyan lost billions during the real estate crisis

    So far, 2022 has been a disastrous year for Asia’s richest woman: Yang Huiyan has lost more than half of her fortune, which once totaled nearly $24 billion. And now her real estate company Country Garden is also facing serious liquidity problems.

    The story of the just 41-year-old entrepreneur is symbolic of the drastic transformations of Chinese society under Xi Jinping. And her rise and fall also show that, while the “Chinese dream” has led many people to unimaginable wealth in the blink of an eye, it can melt away just as quickly.

    Born in Shunde in southern China, Yang Huiyan became one of the youngest billionaires at the age of 24. Her father, a former migrant worker who founded the construction company Country Gardens in the booming Pearl River Delta in the 1990s, bequeathed 70 percent of the company shares to Yang just one year after she received her bachelor’s degree.

    Faster, higher, stronger

    The business model was as simple as it was ingenious: It provided the Chinese middle class, which grew by several million every year, with modern apartment buildings. While the economy was growing at double-digit rates and the population experienced the dynamics of the market economy for the first time, real estate developers seemed to know only one direction for decades: faster, higher, stronger.

    Construction projects grew more and more ambitious, and banks loosened their lending policies for companies. And for the population, which on average invests up to three-quarters of their savings, real estate was formerly considered a safe bet. Prices rose steadily, eventually reaching a level where the dream of owning a home has long been out of reach for the broad middle class, especially in the East Coast metropolises. But alternative investment opportunities are virtually non-existent: Prices on the domestic stock markets resemble a roller coaster ride, and the Chinese are not allowed to invest their money outside China because of strict capital controls.

    Due to the persistent real estate boom, Yang Huiyan reached her entrepreneurial zenith at the beginning of 2018. In the first four days of the year alone, increased stock prices had added $2 billion to her wealth. At the time, it was a sensation: A Chinese woman suddenly shot to the top of Asia’s male-dominated rich lists.

    But in Xi Jinping’s China, this distinction is a double-edged sword. “When you’re at the top of the annual rich list, you’re already in line to be the next to be slaughtered,” says Desmond Shum, a former building contractor who now lives in exile in London. “Xi Jinping is transforming all aspects of society. This process is scary for entrepreneurs,” says the 57-year-old

    Stricter regulation, crushing debt

    And indeed, Xi Jinping propagates few ideas as prominently as his vision of “common prosperity”; virtually no speech by the head of state is complete without this slogan. In an effort to make Chinese society more egalitarian, Xi also targeted the real estate industry last year: Housing should no longer be a speculative commodity in China, and real estate should once again be affordable for the middle class. Under Xi, regulation has been massively tightened: Since then, construction companies have had to meet much stricter requirements in order to obtain bank loans.

    These conditions seem understandable. But they triggered a painful chain reaction that caused not only the world’s most indebted company, Evergrande, to stumble, but the entire sector. Many of the market leaders suddenly found themselves unable to repay their debts.

    The explosive power of the real estate crisis for Chinese society was most recently demonstrated in July: In more than 90 cities, apartment buyers halted their mortgage payments because construction work on their half-finished apartment blocks came to a standstill (China.Table reported). Thousands of them have voiced their frustration on social media. For Beijing’s party cadres, who value nothing more than social stability, the looming real estate bubble is one of the biggest challenges.

    Yang Huiyan’s company, Country Garden, at first seemed to emerge from the crisis year unscathed. But at the end of July, the real estate developer also caused shockwaves – by selling shares at a 13 percent discount to raise capital. Some of it was said to be needed to service outstanding debts. The markets reacted strongly: Compared to four years ago, the share price of Country Garden is now only one-seventh.

    It is safe to assume that Yang Huiyan has already managed to secure her fortune in view of the radical changes in the real estate industry. According to media reports, she acquired Cypriot citizenship years ago, which the island state offered to wealthy investors. It seems that under Xi Jinping, the wealthy no longer consider their prosperity to be safe. Fabian Kretschmer

    • Finance
    • Real Estate

    Executive Moves

    Johannes Drescher took over the position of Business Unit Manager Supply Chain & Operations at IMS Gear in Shanghai in July. The company, headquartered in Donaueschingen, Germany, specializes in gear and transmission technology for the automotive industry.

    Erdal Hocaoglu now works as Senior Manager Transportation Planning at Daimler Greater China. Hocaoglu has many years of experience in China. Among other things, he worked for Daimler as Manager SC/I in the Liaison Office China in Beijing between 2011 and 2015.

    Is something changing in your organization? Why not let us know at heads@table.media!

    Dessert

    “Who changed our film?” – “Well, the authorities in China,” “Really?”. As posts and screenshots on the Chinese microblogging site Weibo show, the US animated film “Minions: The Rise of Gru” has been given an alternative ending in China.

    Freeze frames and captions during the end credits sequence in the changed version for the Chinese market tell us that the main character Gru goes from being a villain to a good “father of three daughters” in the end, while his mentor, the super villain Wild Knuckles, winds up in “prison for 20 years”. A happy ending, just the way the CP likes it.

    In the international version, Knuckles gets away by faking his death. He sets off on new adventures with Gru.

    China.Table editorial office

    CHINA.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

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