Table.Briefing: China

Boycott + Tesla + Vaccination + IfW + Sanctions + Johnny Erling

  • Western companies in China: on the front lines of an ideological conflict
  • Tesla is slowed down
  • China vaccinates slowly – but wants to catch up
  • IfW: research project on China’s engagement in Africa
  • European think tanks condemn sanctions
  • Johnny Erling on the privilege of Chinese numbers
Dear reader,

Beijing relies on the purchasing power of its consumerist population to show foreign companies time and again what they stand to lose if they fall out of favor. Now it seems to have hit H&M, but Marcel Grzanna uses previous cases to show that among Chinese consumers, pragmatism is stronger than the political ideology of the Communist Party after all. Frank Sieren examines why Elon Musk still has to cozy up to the CCP.

Only very attentive observers will have noticed that Xi Jinping was the only person to have not one, but two cups on the table at the People’s Congress in Beijing ten days ago. In his Friday column, Johnny Erling explains what this is all about and what other extraordinary privileges Xi has.

And I have one more journalistic tidbit to announce: For the future geopolitical relationship between Europe, the United States, and China, the week that is coming to an end is undoubtedly significant and should give us cause to take a comprehensive look at it, away from the flurry of news and events. No less a figure than the former Foreign Minister and current Atlantic Bridge Chairman Sigmar Gabriel has sounded out the political realities in an essay. Best take some time this weekend to let his theses sink in. China.Table will send them to you tomorrow, Saturday, in the usual way.

Have a great weekend.

Your
Ning Wang
Image of Ning  Wang

Feature

Western companies on the front lines of an ideological conflict

Footage of burning Nike-brand sneakers blazed across numerous forums on China’s social media on Thursday. A cynical hashtag read #Herewegoagain: on to the next round. It is nothing new that Western companies are brutally pilloried in the People’s Republic. This always happens when Beijing sees its national interests threatened. As soon as foreign companies take a position on politically charged issues, they are met with a hail of hate speeches and calls for boycotts, which are at least multiplied by the state media, and in some cases even sparked by them.

This time, it is about cotton from Xinjiang, which has been used for years by many textile manufacturers worldwide. But because research by Western research institutions and the media has shown that the raw material is also produced with the help of forced labor by members of the Uyghur minority, many companies apparently feel obliged to stop the supply from Xinjiang.

On the one hand, supply chain laws, for example, at EU level, but also in Germany, are about to be implemented. The chains must be clear and traceable, and eliminating human rights violations is the absolute minimum. H&M has recently done a lot to address these issues and is ranked 20th in the current top 25 ranking of the Gartner Supply Chain Study – behind Nike in 16th place.

On the other hand, companies feel the growing unease among consumers with purchasing power in liberal-democratic industrialized countries. Their attitude towards products from China may be inconsistent, but irritating words such as forced labor are increasingly causing alarm bells to ring in Germany too.

How much does the West accept?

So, in a less than elegant and, above all, unenviable manner, the companies dither precariously back and forth between value-oriented demands in the West and the wrath of an authoritarian government with the world’s largest consumer market behind it. Yet forced labor is only one manifestation of an exuberant discourse that, at its core, revolves around massive human rights crimes against the Muslim Uyghurs in Xinjiang. The US government speaks of genocide. Behind this lies an ideological conflict between the People’s Republic and the West. The fundamental question is to what extent Western societies accept the brutal actions of the Chinese government in order not to endanger their own economic interests.

The conflict is played out on several levels. The companies are unintentionally but inevitably forming their own front. The first salvos in the latest battle were fired not at the US sports goods manufacturer Nike but on Wednesday at the Swedish fast fashion brand H&M. The latter had announced last year that it would do without cotton from Xinjiang. Coincidentally or not, “Chinese internet users,” as Chinese state media put it, have now dug up that statement many months later. The temporal proximity to Monday’s Xinjiang sanctions against China by North America and the EU is startling.

Apparently, “Chinese internet users” didn’t care about H&M’s statement until a few days ago. It is all the more astonishing in what a short time the anger was able to make such high waves that H&M products were removed from e-commerce platforms such as Taobao, Tmall, JD.com, and Pinduoduo in one fell swoop. Even platforms for used goods joined the boycott. On the app stores of Huawei, Xiaomi, Vivo, and Tencent, H&M’s mobile app could no longer be downloaded. On China’s largest search engine, Baidu, as well as platforms such as Dianping and AutoNavi, information about the manufacturer’s locations in the country disappeared from search results, Reuters reported. On taxi service Didi, H&M stores could no longer be given as destinations to drivers.

‘Few falls from grace have been this swift’

Luxury online portal Jing Daily rated H&M’s crash in China as suitably unprecedented: “Few falls from grace have been this swift: Last week, H&M was riding high after a sell-out collaboration with Simone Rocha. Now, celebrities are racing to distance themselves from the company. The studios of actor Huang Xuan, with 10 million Weibo followers, and singer Victoria Song, with 49 million, have both released dissociative statements.”

Nike and others such as Adidas or the Japanese fashion chain Uniqlo were only caught a day later. These companies had also distanced themselves from cotton made from forced labor in the past. Companies, perhaps no longer expecting such outrage, were reminded by the state news agency Xinhua that cooperation was “meaningless” if there was no mutual respect. What was meant was the accusation that the companies would be swayed by reports based on alleged “lies” and unfairly scapegoat China. State broadcaster CCTV commented that Chinese consumers were “voting with their feet and boycotting recalcitrant companies“. The Communist Youth League, an influential institution in the power structure of the party and state, also warned companies not to “spread rumors”. The desire was father to the idea of “wanting to make money in China at the same time”.

H&M and Adidas share prices plummet

The beating by the media was followed by hacking by prominent brand ambassadors who terminated their cooperation. In addition to H&M, Nike, and Adidas were also affected, with some of their highly publicized partners with a reach of millions publicly distancing themselves from the Western companies on social networks. The immediate effect of the boycott calls was reflected in the stock markets, where the prices of affected companies plummeted by up to five percent in some cases. Profiteers, on the other hand, were Chinese suppliers of sports goods such as Anda or Li Ning, which gained between seven and eight percent on the Hong Kong stock exchange.

However, the experience of the past years shows that comparable campaigns against foreign brands have not caused any lasting damage so far. Whether at Daimler after the dissemination of a harmless quote by the Dalai Lama, Volkswagen after the alleged treatment of Chinese as second-class customers, airlines, hotel chains, or luxury brands because of the division of their business areas into the People’s Republic of China and Taiwan, or anything on Japanese products after heated disputes over the status of the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands in the East China Sea, claimed by both countries – after brief storms of indignation followed by companies kowtowing to Beijing, the waves usually smoothed out within a few weeks and business picked up again.

The fact that the state and its media have their fingers in the pie here and there when the anger of Chinese consumers bubbles over was shown by the example of the dispute with Japan. At the time, thousands of people marched past the Japanese embassy in Beijing and threw water bottles and fruit at the building. The bottles had previously been put into the hands of the protesters by organized helpers – fire at will. At the time, Toyota also only briefly feared for its sales when the manufacturer’s vehicles were indiscriminately demolished in Chinese cities. To this day, the Chinese police still patrol with cars made in Japan.

Consumers do not follow politics for long

Moreover, Chinese consumers are also reluctant to follow the Communist Party’s exploratory wishes; they like to make their decisions individually. When the American professional basketball club Houston Rockets was targeted because of a manager’s tweet critical of Xinjiang, the Rockets’ games were initially removed from television programming in China. However, the ex-club of basketball icon and National People’s Congress delegate Yao Ming has so many fans that there was great resentment among NBA fans in the country. In many cases, patriotism only has a place when one’s own needs for Western imports are satisfied.

Nevertheless, the effect of the Chinese threats should also not be underestimated. Whether and when the cooperation with the brand ambassadors will continue is unclear, and so are the consequences for the success of the companies’ marketing. Sabre-rattling, whether it is state-concerted or grassroots, is extremely intimidating to companies at times. The best example is Volkswagen, which has maneuvered itself into great dependence on China with investments in the double-digit billions of euros. In an interview with the BBC more than a year ago, company boss Herbert Diess denied knowledge of re-education camps in Xinjiang. Did he really know nothing about it, or did he fear the wrath of Beijing?

  • Adidas
  • Forced Labor
  • Uniqlo

Tesla is slowed down in China

Beijing apparently wants to prohibit the use of Tesla vehicles in China by military personnel, employees of state-owned enterprises, and other security-related industries. It also wants to restrict where the American EV maker’s cars can be found and where they can park. The official reason: The cameras installed in the cars could collect sensitive data and send it to the US. Also, information and contact lists from mobile phones that are synchronized with the vehicles could be read by the company and passed on to third parties. Unlike many other manufacturers, Tesla does not rely on lidar sensors for its autonomous driving systems but instead uses a system consisting primarily of cameras. However, the company has repeatedly stressed that the cameras are only used to improve its Autopilot and other features.

Payback for sanctions?

Experts consider it obvious that the announced ban is a tit-for-tat response to the sanctions imposed by Washington on Chinese tech companies like Huawei. Concrete evidence that data is being siphoned off and forwarded to government agencies has not yet been presented in China, just as it has not been presented in the US for the allegations against Huawei. “There is a very strong incentive to be very confidential with any information,” Musk defended himself last weekend in an online speech at the China Development Forum, an annual conference hosted by the State Council, “If Tesla used cars to spy in China or anywhere, we will get shut down.”

Huawei founder Ren Zhengfei has argued similarly in favor of 5G. “I would rather give up the company than give our customers’ data to the Chinese state.” However, in Huawei’s case, the accusation revolves around Huawei giving the information to the Chinese state.

If the worst comes to worst, Musk could not only lose the more than two million members of the Chinese army as customers, but the Tesla brand could be damaged among all Chinese customers. For the EV pioneer, that would be a disaster: China is not only by far the largest car market in the world but also one of the most important markets for Tesla.

China – most important growth market

Last year, the US electric carmaker doubled its sales here to $6.7 billion – in 2020, Tesla sold 147,445 vehicles in China, or 30 percent of Tesla’s global sales. With its Model 3 and Model Y, the company even briefly took the lead over domestic manufacturers as the market leader last year. Tesla currently holds 13 percent of the Chinese EV market.

It may also be that, regardless of the disputes with Washington, Tesla is simply becoming too successful in China for the government in Beijing.

Because 2021 seems to be even better than 2020: In February alone, Tesla produced 23,623 cars in China and sold over 18,000. This was announced by the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA). 18 percent more than in January. This is despite the fact that February only has 28 days, and the Chinese New Year holiday was in that month. The Giga Factory in Shanghai was only in operation for a good 20 days.

Only the cheap EV Wuling Mini for $5,000 was sold more than Tesla. However, this is not a competitor to Tesla, as its lightweight construction is more like a four-wheeled motorcycle with a sheet metal shell.

The mass market is the target

Still, the espionage allegations come at an unfortunate time for Musk because Tesla wants to move from the premium market to the mass market this year, if possible, with a $25,000 vehicle developed in China.

“We are designing, developing, and producing a Chinese car that will be built here and sold around the world,” explains Tom Zhu, head of Tesla in China. So far, the starting price for the Model 3 is $36,000.

However, whether Tesla’s triumphant march on the Chinese market continues depends on other factors, above all on increasingly strong domestic competition. Companies such as NIO, Lucid Motors, Li Auto, or XPeng are serving the needs of Chinese customers better and better and are cheaper at the same time.

Quality problems and competitive pressure

Since Tesla opened its “Gigafactory” in Shanghai in 2018, the company has continuously expanded its offerings in China. In the process, Tesla has also received a lot of support and encouragement from the government, which wants to make China a world leader in electromobility. The Gigafactory, for example, is the first car factory that is 100 percent owned by a foreign company.

However, the more the conflict with the US intensifies, the greater the pressure on Tesla. Recently, there have been repeated complaints about the quality of Tesla cars. Customers in China reported battery fires and software problems. Some of the Y-model cars are said to have been delivered with warped bodies, tailgates that do not close, and incorrectly installed rear seats. Some 36,000 cars had to be recalled in China because of a faulty display on older S and X models, and as a result, official bodies such as the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology had stepped in and reprimanded Tesla. Tesla CEO Elon Musk acknowledged the quality problems and vowed to improve.

Now in light of the data breach allegations, Musk is even going soft on Chinese state television.“I want to remain optimistic. I am very sure that China will have a great future and that China will become the largest economy in the world with increasing prosperity,” Musk said on Tuesday. In the long term, China will become Tesla’s biggest market. “That’s where we will sell the most cars and have the most customers.”

  • Car Industry
  • Electromobility

China vaccinates slowly – but wants to catch up

Germany is not alone in a vaccination campaign that is dragging on. Even in China, where there have been virtually no new COVID cases for almost a year except for a few local outbreaks, due to strict controls and lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic, very different information has recently emerged about when the majority of the population will be vaccinated.

In mid-March, Chinese state television reported that herd immunity would not be achieved until mid-2022, as the goal was to vaccinate 70-80 percent of the population by then. This week, the authorities corrected themselves. The director of China’s Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said the target could be reached as early as the end of this year. Hopefully, herd immunity “will be substantially achieved by early 2022 or even by the end of 2021”, CDC director Gao Fu said.“The vaccination process is complex and comprehensive, and everyone is working hard on it. I hope early next year is a misjudgment. Hopefully, we can reach the target by the end of this year,” Gao added.

Even Germany vaccinates faster

One thing is certain: If the goal is actually to be achieved, China will have to drastically increase its current vaccination rate. According to the National Health Commission, last Sunday, 75 million doses of the Chinese vaccine have been administered to the population so far. Assuming that two doses are needed for full vaccination protection, this would mean that, at best, China currently has 32.5 million people, or 2.3 percent of the total population, fully vaccinated. The figure is likely to be even lower, as there will be many people who have only received one vaccination so far, putting China even behind Germany in immunization, where 4.3 percent of the population had complete protection as of Wednesday.

There are a number of reasons why vaccination has been so slow in China. The People’s Republic has developed several vaccines and ramped up massive production. But the most populous country has to produce twice as much vaccine for its own needs as the USA and Europe combined.

In addition, millions of doses have already been delivered to other countries abroad. When it comes to whether they should be vaccinated, the Chinese do not tick much differently than people in the West. Since there have been almost no new cases of COVID in China for a good year, many people feel safe and want to take their time with the vaccination.

Fear of ‘vaccination gap’

However, this does not seem to be an option for the Chinese government. It does not want to lose touch with the rest of the world. It warns of a “vaccination gap”. Because the current isolation, in which travel is severely restricted for both Chinese and foreigners and, if at all, is only possible with a 14-day hotel quarantine, is a heavy burden on the economy. If China does not follow suit on vaccinations, the result could be a situation in which Americans and Europeans can once again travel freely, but China would have to keep its border tight.

A massive vaccination campaign is now taking off: By June, Chinese media report, 560 million people, or about 40 percent of the population, will have been vaccinated. 330 million people are to be added by the end of the year, according to the plan presented at the beginning of March. Unlike in the West, people between the ages of 18 and 59 will be vaccinated first in China. Only then will older people follow.

Beijing citizens vaccinated until May

It is also striking that some regions in China are clearly favored. For example, the capital Beijing aims to complete a “massive vaccination program” as early as May to achieve herd immunity. Beijing has more than 20 million residents, and 70 to 80 percent of them will need to be vaccinated to reach that goal, which would be 14 million people or more. Experts estimate that the city can currently vaccinate at least 200,000 people a day, and that capacity will continue to expand.

With its accelerated vaccination program, China is not only hoping to be able to reduce the costly COVID controls and prevent new outbreaks. There is also a whole series of important major events that are to be held at all costs: The 100th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party is to be celebrated in July, the Asia Youth Games are to take place in November, and finally the Winter Olympics are to be held in Beijing in early 2022. By this date, at the latest, China wants to show the world that COVID-19 has finally been overcome in its own country.

  • Health
  • Pharma

News

IfW researches China’s engagement in Africa

Researchers at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) will work with national and international partners over the next three years to study the effects of China’s involvement in Africa. The research project will examine the economic and social impacts of Chinese engagement in Africa along all key dimensions – trade, investment, development aid, debt, and migration. The Leibniz Association funds the research project. The IfW’s partners include the University of Goettingen, the University of Hong Kong, the University of Ghana, and the University of Addis Ababa. asi

  • Neue Seidenstraße

European think tanks condemn sanctions

The heads of major European think tanks and research institutes have issued a statement condemning Beijing’s sanctions against colleagues. “We are deeply concerned that the targeting of independent researchers and civil society institutions undermines the practical and constructive engagement of people who seek to contribute positively to policy debates,” said the directors of some 30 institutions, including Institut Montaigne, CEPS, Bruegel, and IFRI.

“This will be damaging not only for our ability to provide well-informed analysis but also for relations more broadly between China and Europe in the future,” the statement said. Mutual dialogue is crucial in difficult times.

On Monday, Beijing had imposed sanctions on European politicians, researchers, and organizations, including the Berlin-based Merics Institute (China.Table reported). What exactly the punitive measures mean for the work of the think tanks was not clear at first. It is also still unclear whether all members of the sanctioned bodies, for example, the European Parliament’s Human Rights Committee, were automatically subject to China’s sanctions. ari

  • Sanctions

Column

On the privilege of the Chinese number

By Johnny Erling
Ein Bild von Johnny Erling aus dem Jahre 2017

Nikkei News Agency’s longtime China correspondent Katsuji Nakazawa spotted a striking deviation from strict protocol during the March meeting of the People’s Congress. Usually, there is only one porcelain teacup on each of the tables in front of the top officials in the presidium and the thousands of deputies seated before them in the plenum. Gloved servants regularly lift the lid and pour hot water.

Only Xi Jinping is allowed two teacups

But then everything turned out quite differently. Xi Jinping was the only person in the Great Hall of the People to have two teacups in front of him. This was no coincidence, the former head of the Nikkei office in Beijing speculated, especially since Xi Jinping himself sat in front of his two cups during group discussions in a small circle. A common saying came to Katsuji’s mind: ‘Ren zou, cha liang’ (人走茶凉), literally, “When people leave, their tea gets cold too.” Xi Jinping probably wanted to show that “his tea doesn’t get cold. There is another hot cup waiting for him”. Actually, he would have to step down constitutionally in 2023 after ten years in office. But he had the rules changed with a “Lex Xi” in 2018. He is allowed to remain at the helm.

Katsuji read that from the tea leaves. Scientifically, this is called tasseography“, the high art of interpreting what is or may come. Western journalists poke around in coffee grounds, Asian journalists in the tea brew, when they talk about the political culture of an authoritarian system of rule that is not legitimized by elections and is full of hidden allusions due to a lack of transparency.

Fangkuai – the script of the bosses

Some are so subtle that even most Chinese don’t recognize them. This applies, for example, to a bizarre privilege that only China’s party leader is allowed to claim once he has ascended to the Olympus of the nation’s ideological mastermind. From then on, he is allowed to write all numbers, figures, or dates that he puts down on paper in his theoretical works in the old written Chinese form (Fangkuai script), without having to use Arabic numerals like other authors. Xi Jinping has also claimed this honor since he enshrined his “Xi Jinping Thought” there in 2017 by amending the party statutes to celebrate it as “21st century Marxism”. He joins an elite group of “Marxist classics” that includes Mao Zedong, Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, and Hu Jintao as the fifth since the founding of the People’s Republic. In Xi Jinping’s new collections of essays and speeches, such as “The Party Leads All Work” (论坚持党对一切工作的领导) or “On the History of China’s Party” (中国共产党历史), all the numbers and figures used in the more than 300 pages of text are written with Chinese characters, even the dates.

Resistance of the scholar Yu Guangyuan

The linguistic special treatment for the autocrat angered China’s Marxist polymath and science councilor Yu Guangyuan (1915-2013) early on. He published more than 90 books, thousands of essays, founded new scientific disciplines, and became one of the theorists who developed the concept of the “socialist market economy”. Yu fought back since 1991 with letters, petitions, and essays against publishing bureaucrats who “unscientifically, undemocratically, and unfairly” decided that he had to write numerical data in Arabic numerals in his publications. They mangled the language, often making a mockery of it, such as in the phrase: “Buguan sanqi ershiyi (不管三七二十一 ). This one means, “I don’t care even if three times seven equals 21.” In Arabic numerals, this would be written “Buguan 3721”. China’s idiom 不怕一万,就怕万一 would also take some getting used to. It means “I fear nothing except when it comes to the special one case in 10,000 occurrences. “It would look like this: 不怕10,000就怕1/10,000.

In 1986, a committee of seven government and party commissions had submitted proposals for standardizing numerical spelling. It was not until ten years later that they came into force as a binding, multi-page “Standardized set of rules on how numbers should be written in publications”. Yu had resisted for a long time with a specially made stamp and a sticker. He stamped his manuscripts in red, “Heartfelt request to comrade editors. Please do not change anything, all my figures are to be taken as I wrote them.” He asked the editors to publish the original version, “even though you will probably have to pay a fine. You can deduct that from my fee“. Yu gave me a collage of his interventions, complete with a stamp imprint and sticker. It made him feel like Don Quixote.

The outcry to protect the language is by no means unique to China. Since March, the historic Musée Carnavalet in Paris has sparked a heated debate in France, according to AFP. After its renovation for the upcoming reopening, it had the Latin script numerals added to a number of its exhibits with Arabic numerals. Louis XIV will be placed next to Louis 14 because it is “easier to read and understand“, the museum writes.

There is no public outcry in China as there is in France, certainly not about how the imperial privilege of being allowed to write only in Chinese becomes the unique selling point of the new ruler over China.

There is a number of such features, including that Xi Jinping lets himself be called the “core” of the leadership. I wonder if his two teacups are also part of it. Perhaps the Nikkei correspondent is just fabricating, has been reading too much Harry Potter. In the Prisoner of Azkaban volume, reading tea leaves appears under the name “tasseomancy”, composed of the French word “tasse” (cup) and the Greek “manteía” for divination.

  • Chinese Communist Party
  • Xi Jinping

Dessert

What looks like a colorful ball pool is currently hitting world trade at a sensitive point – the stuck freighter “Ever Given” continues to block the Suez Canal. Ships are now jammed on both sides, as can be followed live online. It is still unclear when the container ship will be able to continue its journey.

China.Table Editors

CHINA.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

Licenses:
    • Western companies in China: on the front lines of an ideological conflict
    • Tesla is slowed down
    • China vaccinates slowly – but wants to catch up
    • IfW: research project on China’s engagement in Africa
    • European think tanks condemn sanctions
    • Johnny Erling on the privilege of Chinese numbers
    Dear reader,

    Beijing relies on the purchasing power of its consumerist population to show foreign companies time and again what they stand to lose if they fall out of favor. Now it seems to have hit H&M, but Marcel Grzanna uses previous cases to show that among Chinese consumers, pragmatism is stronger than the political ideology of the Communist Party after all. Frank Sieren examines why Elon Musk still has to cozy up to the CCP.

    Only very attentive observers will have noticed that Xi Jinping was the only person to have not one, but two cups on the table at the People’s Congress in Beijing ten days ago. In his Friday column, Johnny Erling explains what this is all about and what other extraordinary privileges Xi has.

    And I have one more journalistic tidbit to announce: For the future geopolitical relationship between Europe, the United States, and China, the week that is coming to an end is undoubtedly significant and should give us cause to take a comprehensive look at it, away from the flurry of news and events. No less a figure than the former Foreign Minister and current Atlantic Bridge Chairman Sigmar Gabriel has sounded out the political realities in an essay. Best take some time this weekend to let his theses sink in. China.Table will send them to you tomorrow, Saturday, in the usual way.

    Have a great weekend.

    Your
    Ning Wang
    Image of Ning  Wang

    Feature

    Western companies on the front lines of an ideological conflict

    Footage of burning Nike-brand sneakers blazed across numerous forums on China’s social media on Thursday. A cynical hashtag read #Herewegoagain: on to the next round. It is nothing new that Western companies are brutally pilloried in the People’s Republic. This always happens when Beijing sees its national interests threatened. As soon as foreign companies take a position on politically charged issues, they are met with a hail of hate speeches and calls for boycotts, which are at least multiplied by the state media, and in some cases even sparked by them.

    This time, it is about cotton from Xinjiang, which has been used for years by many textile manufacturers worldwide. But because research by Western research institutions and the media has shown that the raw material is also produced with the help of forced labor by members of the Uyghur minority, many companies apparently feel obliged to stop the supply from Xinjiang.

    On the one hand, supply chain laws, for example, at EU level, but also in Germany, are about to be implemented. The chains must be clear and traceable, and eliminating human rights violations is the absolute minimum. H&M has recently done a lot to address these issues and is ranked 20th in the current top 25 ranking of the Gartner Supply Chain Study – behind Nike in 16th place.

    On the other hand, companies feel the growing unease among consumers with purchasing power in liberal-democratic industrialized countries. Their attitude towards products from China may be inconsistent, but irritating words such as forced labor are increasingly causing alarm bells to ring in Germany too.

    How much does the West accept?

    So, in a less than elegant and, above all, unenviable manner, the companies dither precariously back and forth between value-oriented demands in the West and the wrath of an authoritarian government with the world’s largest consumer market behind it. Yet forced labor is only one manifestation of an exuberant discourse that, at its core, revolves around massive human rights crimes against the Muslim Uyghurs in Xinjiang. The US government speaks of genocide. Behind this lies an ideological conflict between the People’s Republic and the West. The fundamental question is to what extent Western societies accept the brutal actions of the Chinese government in order not to endanger their own economic interests.

    The conflict is played out on several levels. The companies are unintentionally but inevitably forming their own front. The first salvos in the latest battle were fired not at the US sports goods manufacturer Nike but on Wednesday at the Swedish fast fashion brand H&M. The latter had announced last year that it would do without cotton from Xinjiang. Coincidentally or not, “Chinese internet users,” as Chinese state media put it, have now dug up that statement many months later. The temporal proximity to Monday’s Xinjiang sanctions against China by North America and the EU is startling.

    Apparently, “Chinese internet users” didn’t care about H&M’s statement until a few days ago. It is all the more astonishing in what a short time the anger was able to make such high waves that H&M products were removed from e-commerce platforms such as Taobao, Tmall, JD.com, and Pinduoduo in one fell swoop. Even platforms for used goods joined the boycott. On the app stores of Huawei, Xiaomi, Vivo, and Tencent, H&M’s mobile app could no longer be downloaded. On China’s largest search engine, Baidu, as well as platforms such as Dianping and AutoNavi, information about the manufacturer’s locations in the country disappeared from search results, Reuters reported. On taxi service Didi, H&M stores could no longer be given as destinations to drivers.

    ‘Few falls from grace have been this swift’

    Luxury online portal Jing Daily rated H&M’s crash in China as suitably unprecedented: “Few falls from grace have been this swift: Last week, H&M was riding high after a sell-out collaboration with Simone Rocha. Now, celebrities are racing to distance themselves from the company. The studios of actor Huang Xuan, with 10 million Weibo followers, and singer Victoria Song, with 49 million, have both released dissociative statements.”

    Nike and others such as Adidas or the Japanese fashion chain Uniqlo were only caught a day later. These companies had also distanced themselves from cotton made from forced labor in the past. Companies, perhaps no longer expecting such outrage, were reminded by the state news agency Xinhua that cooperation was “meaningless” if there was no mutual respect. What was meant was the accusation that the companies would be swayed by reports based on alleged “lies” and unfairly scapegoat China. State broadcaster CCTV commented that Chinese consumers were “voting with their feet and boycotting recalcitrant companies“. The Communist Youth League, an influential institution in the power structure of the party and state, also warned companies not to “spread rumors”. The desire was father to the idea of “wanting to make money in China at the same time”.

    H&M and Adidas share prices plummet

    The beating by the media was followed by hacking by prominent brand ambassadors who terminated their cooperation. In addition to H&M, Nike, and Adidas were also affected, with some of their highly publicized partners with a reach of millions publicly distancing themselves from the Western companies on social networks. The immediate effect of the boycott calls was reflected in the stock markets, where the prices of affected companies plummeted by up to five percent in some cases. Profiteers, on the other hand, were Chinese suppliers of sports goods such as Anda or Li Ning, which gained between seven and eight percent on the Hong Kong stock exchange.

    However, the experience of the past years shows that comparable campaigns against foreign brands have not caused any lasting damage so far. Whether at Daimler after the dissemination of a harmless quote by the Dalai Lama, Volkswagen after the alleged treatment of Chinese as second-class customers, airlines, hotel chains, or luxury brands because of the division of their business areas into the People’s Republic of China and Taiwan, or anything on Japanese products after heated disputes over the status of the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands in the East China Sea, claimed by both countries – after brief storms of indignation followed by companies kowtowing to Beijing, the waves usually smoothed out within a few weeks and business picked up again.

    The fact that the state and its media have their fingers in the pie here and there when the anger of Chinese consumers bubbles over was shown by the example of the dispute with Japan. At the time, thousands of people marched past the Japanese embassy in Beijing and threw water bottles and fruit at the building. The bottles had previously been put into the hands of the protesters by organized helpers – fire at will. At the time, Toyota also only briefly feared for its sales when the manufacturer’s vehicles were indiscriminately demolished in Chinese cities. To this day, the Chinese police still patrol with cars made in Japan.

    Consumers do not follow politics for long

    Moreover, Chinese consumers are also reluctant to follow the Communist Party’s exploratory wishes; they like to make their decisions individually. When the American professional basketball club Houston Rockets was targeted because of a manager’s tweet critical of Xinjiang, the Rockets’ games were initially removed from television programming in China. However, the ex-club of basketball icon and National People’s Congress delegate Yao Ming has so many fans that there was great resentment among NBA fans in the country. In many cases, patriotism only has a place when one’s own needs for Western imports are satisfied.

    Nevertheless, the effect of the Chinese threats should also not be underestimated. Whether and when the cooperation with the brand ambassadors will continue is unclear, and so are the consequences for the success of the companies’ marketing. Sabre-rattling, whether it is state-concerted or grassroots, is extremely intimidating to companies at times. The best example is Volkswagen, which has maneuvered itself into great dependence on China with investments in the double-digit billions of euros. In an interview with the BBC more than a year ago, company boss Herbert Diess denied knowledge of re-education camps in Xinjiang. Did he really know nothing about it, or did he fear the wrath of Beijing?

    • Adidas
    • Forced Labor
    • Uniqlo

    Tesla is slowed down in China

    Beijing apparently wants to prohibit the use of Tesla vehicles in China by military personnel, employees of state-owned enterprises, and other security-related industries. It also wants to restrict where the American EV maker’s cars can be found and where they can park. The official reason: The cameras installed in the cars could collect sensitive data and send it to the US. Also, information and contact lists from mobile phones that are synchronized with the vehicles could be read by the company and passed on to third parties. Unlike many other manufacturers, Tesla does not rely on lidar sensors for its autonomous driving systems but instead uses a system consisting primarily of cameras. However, the company has repeatedly stressed that the cameras are only used to improve its Autopilot and other features.

    Payback for sanctions?

    Experts consider it obvious that the announced ban is a tit-for-tat response to the sanctions imposed by Washington on Chinese tech companies like Huawei. Concrete evidence that data is being siphoned off and forwarded to government agencies has not yet been presented in China, just as it has not been presented in the US for the allegations against Huawei. “There is a very strong incentive to be very confidential with any information,” Musk defended himself last weekend in an online speech at the China Development Forum, an annual conference hosted by the State Council, “If Tesla used cars to spy in China or anywhere, we will get shut down.”

    Huawei founder Ren Zhengfei has argued similarly in favor of 5G. “I would rather give up the company than give our customers’ data to the Chinese state.” However, in Huawei’s case, the accusation revolves around Huawei giving the information to the Chinese state.

    If the worst comes to worst, Musk could not only lose the more than two million members of the Chinese army as customers, but the Tesla brand could be damaged among all Chinese customers. For the EV pioneer, that would be a disaster: China is not only by far the largest car market in the world but also one of the most important markets for Tesla.

    China – most important growth market

    Last year, the US electric carmaker doubled its sales here to $6.7 billion – in 2020, Tesla sold 147,445 vehicles in China, or 30 percent of Tesla’s global sales. With its Model 3 and Model Y, the company even briefly took the lead over domestic manufacturers as the market leader last year. Tesla currently holds 13 percent of the Chinese EV market.

    It may also be that, regardless of the disputes with Washington, Tesla is simply becoming too successful in China for the government in Beijing.

    Because 2021 seems to be even better than 2020: In February alone, Tesla produced 23,623 cars in China and sold over 18,000. This was announced by the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA). 18 percent more than in January. This is despite the fact that February only has 28 days, and the Chinese New Year holiday was in that month. The Giga Factory in Shanghai was only in operation for a good 20 days.

    Only the cheap EV Wuling Mini for $5,000 was sold more than Tesla. However, this is not a competitor to Tesla, as its lightweight construction is more like a four-wheeled motorcycle with a sheet metal shell.

    The mass market is the target

    Still, the espionage allegations come at an unfortunate time for Musk because Tesla wants to move from the premium market to the mass market this year, if possible, with a $25,000 vehicle developed in China.

    “We are designing, developing, and producing a Chinese car that will be built here and sold around the world,” explains Tom Zhu, head of Tesla in China. So far, the starting price for the Model 3 is $36,000.

    However, whether Tesla’s triumphant march on the Chinese market continues depends on other factors, above all on increasingly strong domestic competition. Companies such as NIO, Lucid Motors, Li Auto, or XPeng are serving the needs of Chinese customers better and better and are cheaper at the same time.

    Quality problems and competitive pressure

    Since Tesla opened its “Gigafactory” in Shanghai in 2018, the company has continuously expanded its offerings in China. In the process, Tesla has also received a lot of support and encouragement from the government, which wants to make China a world leader in electromobility. The Gigafactory, for example, is the first car factory that is 100 percent owned by a foreign company.

    However, the more the conflict with the US intensifies, the greater the pressure on Tesla. Recently, there have been repeated complaints about the quality of Tesla cars. Customers in China reported battery fires and software problems. Some of the Y-model cars are said to have been delivered with warped bodies, tailgates that do not close, and incorrectly installed rear seats. Some 36,000 cars had to be recalled in China because of a faulty display on older S and X models, and as a result, official bodies such as the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology had stepped in and reprimanded Tesla. Tesla CEO Elon Musk acknowledged the quality problems and vowed to improve.

    Now in light of the data breach allegations, Musk is even going soft on Chinese state television.“I want to remain optimistic. I am very sure that China will have a great future and that China will become the largest economy in the world with increasing prosperity,” Musk said on Tuesday. In the long term, China will become Tesla’s biggest market. “That’s where we will sell the most cars and have the most customers.”

    • Car Industry
    • Electromobility

    China vaccinates slowly – but wants to catch up

    Germany is not alone in a vaccination campaign that is dragging on. Even in China, where there have been virtually no new COVID cases for almost a year except for a few local outbreaks, due to strict controls and lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic, very different information has recently emerged about when the majority of the population will be vaccinated.

    In mid-March, Chinese state television reported that herd immunity would not be achieved until mid-2022, as the goal was to vaccinate 70-80 percent of the population by then. This week, the authorities corrected themselves. The director of China’s Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said the target could be reached as early as the end of this year. Hopefully, herd immunity “will be substantially achieved by early 2022 or even by the end of 2021”, CDC director Gao Fu said.“The vaccination process is complex and comprehensive, and everyone is working hard on it. I hope early next year is a misjudgment. Hopefully, we can reach the target by the end of this year,” Gao added.

    Even Germany vaccinates faster

    One thing is certain: If the goal is actually to be achieved, China will have to drastically increase its current vaccination rate. According to the National Health Commission, last Sunday, 75 million doses of the Chinese vaccine have been administered to the population so far. Assuming that two doses are needed for full vaccination protection, this would mean that, at best, China currently has 32.5 million people, or 2.3 percent of the total population, fully vaccinated. The figure is likely to be even lower, as there will be many people who have only received one vaccination so far, putting China even behind Germany in immunization, where 4.3 percent of the population had complete protection as of Wednesday.

    There are a number of reasons why vaccination has been so slow in China. The People’s Republic has developed several vaccines and ramped up massive production. But the most populous country has to produce twice as much vaccine for its own needs as the USA and Europe combined.

    In addition, millions of doses have already been delivered to other countries abroad. When it comes to whether they should be vaccinated, the Chinese do not tick much differently than people in the West. Since there have been almost no new cases of COVID in China for a good year, many people feel safe and want to take their time with the vaccination.

    Fear of ‘vaccination gap’

    However, this does not seem to be an option for the Chinese government. It does not want to lose touch with the rest of the world. It warns of a “vaccination gap”. Because the current isolation, in which travel is severely restricted for both Chinese and foreigners and, if at all, is only possible with a 14-day hotel quarantine, is a heavy burden on the economy. If China does not follow suit on vaccinations, the result could be a situation in which Americans and Europeans can once again travel freely, but China would have to keep its border tight.

    A massive vaccination campaign is now taking off: By June, Chinese media report, 560 million people, or about 40 percent of the population, will have been vaccinated. 330 million people are to be added by the end of the year, according to the plan presented at the beginning of March. Unlike in the West, people between the ages of 18 and 59 will be vaccinated first in China. Only then will older people follow.

    Beijing citizens vaccinated until May

    It is also striking that some regions in China are clearly favored. For example, the capital Beijing aims to complete a “massive vaccination program” as early as May to achieve herd immunity. Beijing has more than 20 million residents, and 70 to 80 percent of them will need to be vaccinated to reach that goal, which would be 14 million people or more. Experts estimate that the city can currently vaccinate at least 200,000 people a day, and that capacity will continue to expand.

    With its accelerated vaccination program, China is not only hoping to be able to reduce the costly COVID controls and prevent new outbreaks. There is also a whole series of important major events that are to be held at all costs: The 100th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party is to be celebrated in July, the Asia Youth Games are to take place in November, and finally the Winter Olympics are to be held in Beijing in early 2022. By this date, at the latest, China wants to show the world that COVID-19 has finally been overcome in its own country.

    • Health
    • Pharma

    News

    IfW researches China’s engagement in Africa

    Researchers at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW) will work with national and international partners over the next three years to study the effects of China’s involvement in Africa. The research project will examine the economic and social impacts of Chinese engagement in Africa along all key dimensions – trade, investment, development aid, debt, and migration. The Leibniz Association funds the research project. The IfW’s partners include the University of Goettingen, the University of Hong Kong, the University of Ghana, and the University of Addis Ababa. asi

    • Neue Seidenstraße

    European think tanks condemn sanctions

    The heads of major European think tanks and research institutes have issued a statement condemning Beijing’s sanctions against colleagues. “We are deeply concerned that the targeting of independent researchers and civil society institutions undermines the practical and constructive engagement of people who seek to contribute positively to policy debates,” said the directors of some 30 institutions, including Institut Montaigne, CEPS, Bruegel, and IFRI.

    “This will be damaging not only for our ability to provide well-informed analysis but also for relations more broadly between China and Europe in the future,” the statement said. Mutual dialogue is crucial in difficult times.

    On Monday, Beijing had imposed sanctions on European politicians, researchers, and organizations, including the Berlin-based Merics Institute (China.Table reported). What exactly the punitive measures mean for the work of the think tanks was not clear at first. It is also still unclear whether all members of the sanctioned bodies, for example, the European Parliament’s Human Rights Committee, were automatically subject to China’s sanctions. ari

    • Sanctions

    Column

    On the privilege of the Chinese number

    By Johnny Erling
    Ein Bild von Johnny Erling aus dem Jahre 2017

    Nikkei News Agency’s longtime China correspondent Katsuji Nakazawa spotted a striking deviation from strict protocol during the March meeting of the People’s Congress. Usually, there is only one porcelain teacup on each of the tables in front of the top officials in the presidium and the thousands of deputies seated before them in the plenum. Gloved servants regularly lift the lid and pour hot water.

    Only Xi Jinping is allowed two teacups

    But then everything turned out quite differently. Xi Jinping was the only person in the Great Hall of the People to have two teacups in front of him. This was no coincidence, the former head of the Nikkei office in Beijing speculated, especially since Xi Jinping himself sat in front of his two cups during group discussions in a small circle. A common saying came to Katsuji’s mind: ‘Ren zou, cha liang’ (人走茶凉), literally, “When people leave, their tea gets cold too.” Xi Jinping probably wanted to show that “his tea doesn’t get cold. There is another hot cup waiting for him”. Actually, he would have to step down constitutionally in 2023 after ten years in office. But he had the rules changed with a “Lex Xi” in 2018. He is allowed to remain at the helm.

    Katsuji read that from the tea leaves. Scientifically, this is called tasseography“, the high art of interpreting what is or may come. Western journalists poke around in coffee grounds, Asian journalists in the tea brew, when they talk about the political culture of an authoritarian system of rule that is not legitimized by elections and is full of hidden allusions due to a lack of transparency.

    Fangkuai – the script of the bosses

    Some are so subtle that even most Chinese don’t recognize them. This applies, for example, to a bizarre privilege that only China’s party leader is allowed to claim once he has ascended to the Olympus of the nation’s ideological mastermind. From then on, he is allowed to write all numbers, figures, or dates that he puts down on paper in his theoretical works in the old written Chinese form (Fangkuai script), without having to use Arabic numerals like other authors. Xi Jinping has also claimed this honor since he enshrined his “Xi Jinping Thought” there in 2017 by amending the party statutes to celebrate it as “21st century Marxism”. He joins an elite group of “Marxist classics” that includes Mao Zedong, Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin, and Hu Jintao as the fifth since the founding of the People’s Republic. In Xi Jinping’s new collections of essays and speeches, such as “The Party Leads All Work” (论坚持党对一切工作的领导) or “On the History of China’s Party” (中国共产党历史), all the numbers and figures used in the more than 300 pages of text are written with Chinese characters, even the dates.

    Resistance of the scholar Yu Guangyuan

    The linguistic special treatment for the autocrat angered China’s Marxist polymath and science councilor Yu Guangyuan (1915-2013) early on. He published more than 90 books, thousands of essays, founded new scientific disciplines, and became one of the theorists who developed the concept of the “socialist market economy”. Yu fought back since 1991 with letters, petitions, and essays against publishing bureaucrats who “unscientifically, undemocratically, and unfairly” decided that he had to write numerical data in Arabic numerals in his publications. They mangled the language, often making a mockery of it, such as in the phrase: “Buguan sanqi ershiyi (不管三七二十一 ). This one means, “I don’t care even if three times seven equals 21.” In Arabic numerals, this would be written “Buguan 3721”. China’s idiom 不怕一万,就怕万一 would also take some getting used to. It means “I fear nothing except when it comes to the special one case in 10,000 occurrences. “It would look like this: 不怕10,000就怕1/10,000.

    In 1986, a committee of seven government and party commissions had submitted proposals for standardizing numerical spelling. It was not until ten years later that they came into force as a binding, multi-page “Standardized set of rules on how numbers should be written in publications”. Yu had resisted for a long time with a specially made stamp and a sticker. He stamped his manuscripts in red, “Heartfelt request to comrade editors. Please do not change anything, all my figures are to be taken as I wrote them.” He asked the editors to publish the original version, “even though you will probably have to pay a fine. You can deduct that from my fee“. Yu gave me a collage of his interventions, complete with a stamp imprint and sticker. It made him feel like Don Quixote.

    The outcry to protect the language is by no means unique to China. Since March, the historic Musée Carnavalet in Paris has sparked a heated debate in France, according to AFP. After its renovation for the upcoming reopening, it had the Latin script numerals added to a number of its exhibits with Arabic numerals. Louis XIV will be placed next to Louis 14 because it is “easier to read and understand“, the museum writes.

    There is no public outcry in China as there is in France, certainly not about how the imperial privilege of being allowed to write only in Chinese becomes the unique selling point of the new ruler over China.

    There is a number of such features, including that Xi Jinping lets himself be called the “core” of the leadership. I wonder if his two teacups are also part of it. Perhaps the Nikkei correspondent is just fabricating, has been reading too much Harry Potter. In the Prisoner of Azkaban volume, reading tea leaves appears under the name “tasseomancy”, composed of the French word “tasse” (cup) and the Greek “manteía” for divination.

    • Chinese Communist Party
    • Xi Jinping

    Dessert

    What looks like a colorful ball pool is currently hitting world trade at a sensitive point – the stuck freighter “Ever Given” continues to block the Suez Canal. Ships are now jammed on both sides, as can be followed live online. It is still unclear when the container ship will be able to continue its journey.

    China.Table Editors

    CHINA.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

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