Table.Briefing: China

Auto Shanghai + Strasbourg: Macron criticized

Dear reader,

With the Auto China exhibition in Shanghai, the most important industry exhibition for German carmakers has started. In the past, the managers of German brands were overflowing with self-confidence here. It was a stage for world premieres and for showcasing their own successes on the world’s largest market, which VW likes to call its “second home market”. But the mood is now bleak. Outpaced by the local competition and Tesla, the German brands have been forced to eke out a niche existence in the booming electric segment. And even when combustion engines are taken into account, VW has lost its long-held market leadership to local rival BYD.

This has several reasons, as Frank Sieren analyzes: Overly long development phases, insufficient digitalization and false expectations of the buying behavior of Chinese car customers. VW has now reacted: At the exhibition, the Wolfsburg-based company announced a new development center for connected cars. The goal is not only to develop better vehicles, but also to do it faster. Will that be enough? Certainly not.

Meanwhile, the EU is once again debating the right approach toward China. This time, the stage was the European Parliament. At the general debate on China, Josep Borrell and Ursula von der Leyen spoke first for the Council and the Commission. But there was a dispute among the MEPs about one person in particular, who was not there at all, as Amelie Richter reports: France’s President Emmanuel Macron. Many MPs criticized Macron for saying that the Taiwan crisis was none of Europe’s business. However, there was also support for Macron.

The debate showed one thing above all: There is no end in sight to the European polyphony on China.

Your
Christiane Kühl
Image of Christiane  Kühl

Feature

Dramatic times for German automakers

BYD Seagull: A small EV with a sodium-ion battery. Technically and above all in terms of price, VW cannot compete.

The German car industry appeared more disillusioned than ever on the opening day of Auto Shanghai. Glittering world premieres like VW’s ID.7 – a kind of electric Passat – BMW’s new i7 M70 xDrive, Daimler’s seven-seater EQB or the new Porsche Cayenne, cannot hide the fact that the situation is more dire than ever. The three shortcomings of their presence in China are likely to be the main concern for them at what has become the world’s most important motor show:

  • The development of German cars is taking too long.
  • The carmakers realized too late that customers in China pay less for an EV than for a combustion engine – with an amazingly simple explanation: It has no engine and the battery cannot be that expensive. They are still suffering from that miscalculation today.
  • The digitalization of the Chinese and US competition is simpler and more compelling.

These are flaws that weigh heavily, because they concern things that matter a lot on the Chinese market. The price is still a strong selling point in the face of low brand loyalty. The digital aspects of a car are more important to most Chinese than its looks. And the fact that China’s market is fast and therefore requires quick reaction times is no secret anyway.

For this reason, Volkswagen announced a response at the exhibition. The group will invest around one billion euros in setting up a new development, innovation and procurement center for fully connected electric cars in the Chinese city of Hefei. The new subsidiary, with the project name “100%TechCo”, will combine “vehicle and component R&D and procurement and will reduce development times for new products and technologies by around 30 percent”, VW announced on Tuesday. “By consistently bundling development and procurement capacities as well as integrating local suppliers at an early stage, we will significantly accelerate our development pace,” the statement quoted Ralf Brandstaetter, Group Board Member for China.

Germans lose market share

A reaction is sorely needed. The numbers for the first quarter are devastating for the Germans. Decade-long market leader VW has been overtaken by China’s electric pioneer BYD and is now only second in car sales, including internal combustion vehicles – with a market share of only 10.3 percent. BMW and Mercedes rank eighth and ninth – with market shares between three and four percent.

The situation is even worse for EVs: One in four cars sold in the Chinese car market, the largest in the world, is already electric. Chinese companies dominate the market with a share of over 80 percent. VW, on the other hand, only holds a market share of less than two percent. Only BMW just barely made it into the top ten (9th place), which is otherwise dominated by Chinese brands. The EV list is also dominated by China’s electric pioneer BYD (25 percent market share), followed by the US manufacturer Tesla, of all companies, with a market share of just over 15 percent.

Tesla shows how EVs are done in China

However, Tesla has two major advantages over BYD. The Americans achieve their market share with two models, BYD with nine. And Tesla generates significantly more revenue per car than BYD. So the argument that a foreign supplier cannot compete with the Chinese does not hold. This is particularly bitter news for German manufacturers.

The poor performance in the EV segment is partly due to a fatal misconception. For far too long, Germans have believed that Chinese customers have the same perspective on EVs as their domestic buyers. For the sake of the environment, many Germans are willing to pay more for EVs. The London-based car analysis company JATO Dynamics has calculated that the price of European EVs has increased by just under 7,000 euros since 2015 to over 55,000 euros. In the USA, the price of these cars has even risen by 10,000 euros to 63,000 euros. In China, on the other hand, the price of electric cars has more than halved in this period, from the equivalent of 66,000 euros to 31,000 euros.

Among international manufacturers, Tesla was the first to recognize this and triggered a discount battle at the beginning of the year. Now everyone has to join in. FAW-Volkswagen, for example, has to offer the ID.4 and the ID.6 at a discount of up to 5,400 euros. SAIC, Volkswagen’s other partner, gives a discount of around 4,000 euros. The BMW Group is trying to maintain its market share by offering the i3 for more than 10,000 euros less. But they can barely take comfort in the fact that the discount battle is also driving one or two of their competitors into bankruptcy and could clean up the market.

China’s manufacturers: faster and smarter

The biggest problem for German manufacturers, however, is the development time of a car. While 46 months is not unusual in Germany, Chinese manufacturers can do it in under 30 months. This means they can adapt to new trends faster than the Germans. The Germans always defend themselves by claiming that their quality is superior. The only problem is that customers don’t want to pay for such overengineering. And by now, the Chinese are also producing quite presentable cars in the premium segment.

NIO’s new EL7 and ET7 showed “astonishing maturity and quality both visually and technically” was the recent verdict of the German car magazine Autobild. But the Chinese are also faster and smarter in the volume segment: BYD is presenting its small Seagull EV at the exhibition with a range of 400 or 300 kilometers, depending on the battery – more than enough for a city car. In terms of price, it is hard to beat at between 10,000 and 13,000 euros, including a cobalt-, nickel- and lithium-free sodium-ion battery. In other words, if the German manufacturers do not manage to shorten their development pace, they are doomed. Except for Tesla, the Americans are out, the French too, and the Japanese are in free fall.

No success without networking the car

Another big topic is digitalization and connected cars. To many Chinese manufacturers, the car is a smartphone on wheels. They think of a car from a digital angle and not from the driving experience. Because that is more in line with the customers’ preferences. Here, too, it is Elon Musk’s Tesla that achieves the symbiosis between driving and IT best among foreign companies.

The biggest concern of the Germans at Auto Shanghai is that they will soon be experiencing in their German market what they are currently going through in China. The fear is not unfounded. China’s car exports have already tripled to 2.5 million vehicles since 2020. This means that China has now moved up to third place in the export world ranking of car manufacturers, just behind Germany with 2.61 million and Japan with around 3 million exported vehicles.

The situation is dramatic for Germans – on an almost unimaginable scale just a few years ago.

  • Autoindustrie
  • Technologie

EU discusses ways toward a common China policy

EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Josep Borrell at the European Parliament in Strasbourg.

Josep Borrell, the EU’s Foreign Affairs Representative, has called for better coordination between EU institutions and member states regarding the common China policy. A cacophony must be avoided, Borrell stressed during the EU Parliament’s general debate on China policy in Strasbourg on Tuesday. He was not least referring to the heavily criticized external impact of the joint visit of EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and French President Emmanuel Macron. The EU foreign affairs representative spoke of coordination problems: “This could have been avoided.”

The fact that there are different positions within the EU is no surprise, said Borrell. “But the goal of a common policy is to smooth out these differences“. This must be jointly worked on within the EU institutions, within the member states and among themselves, demanded Borrell, who spoke for the EU Council at the debate. EU Commission President von der Leyen also reiterated her call for a unified approach to China: “A strong EU China policy relies on strong cooperation between members and institutions, and willingness to avoid ‘divide and conquer’ tactics we might face.”

Von der Leyen calls for economic independence from China

In the European Parliament, von der Leyen repeated her demand for greater economic independence from China. She does not want to cut economic and political ties. “But there is an urgent need to rebalance our relationship on the basis of transparency, predictability and reciprocity.” Even before she traveled to China, she spoke of “de-risking” in a keynote speech. In critical areas such as energy and health, but also in defense, Europe must become more resilient, she said during the debate.

Regarding the latter, von der Leyen stressed that “we have given ourselves the right tools to deal with security concerns and economic distortions. So we must be more assertive in using them when we need them.” However, at the same time, she said, work must be done on new tools. The need for a new control instrument for European foreign investments in sensitive technologies is currently being examined.

Weber: Macron’s statement was naive

In their speeches, the MEPs then took more shots at her travel partner, Emmanuel Macron, than at von der Leyen. “It is naive to say that Taiwan is none of our business,” said Manfred Weber (CSU), leader of the conservative European People’s Party (EPP), criticizing Macron’s interview on his trip back. This statement had come as a shock to him. The French President should think about who applauded him, Weber said.

During his China trip, Macron called for Europe to act more independently in the Taiwan conflict in an interview with the French newspaper Les Echos. He advocated strategic autonomy and said that Europe must not become Washington’s “vassal”. He also suggested that Europe might not stand by Taiwan in the event of an attack by the People’s Republic. Von der Leyen did not comment on this during her speech in the EU Parliament. She emphasized Brussels’ current direction: “We stand strongly against any unilateral change in the status quo, in particular by the use of force.”

French deputies divided over Macron’s statements

The French side also voiced criticism of the French leader’s behavior. Yannick Jadot, a member of parliament for the French Greens, accused Macron of creating a rift with his statements. “He has made the alliance of democracies fragile,” Jadot said in his speech in plenary. Macron and also German Chancellor Olaf Scholz were focusing more on business deals, repeating the same mistakes they made with Russia, Jadot said in an interview with journalists in Strasbourg. “One has the impression that we have heads of state who are actually goldfish,” Jadot said. “We are giving the same speeches to China as we did to Russia a year and a half ago.”

But Macron also received support. “We don’t need to listen to lessons from a party that methodically built our dependency and sold our infrastructure,” Stéphane Séjourné, French MP, leader of the liberal Renew group and Macron confidant, scoffed at Weber’s direction. It is important now to show consensus, Séjourné said.

The French MEP, for example, spoke out against reviving the Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (CAI) – as long as the sanctions against MEPs remained in place and the Uyghur Muslim minority was being persecuted. Recent media reports suggested that work was going on behind the scenes in Brussels on a resumption of talks on CAI, both from the Chinese and the European side. The agreement is on the agenda of several high-level meetings next month, the South China Morning Post recently reported.

Report: Paris is working with Beijing on a framework for peace talks

Macron received praise for his position from the Chinese ambassador to France, Lu Shaye. By insisting that Europe must build its strategic autonomy and defend its own interests, the French leader had spoken “only great truths”. Macron received the support of many “far-sighted” Europeans, such as EU Council President Michel, for this, the Chinese embassy wrote on Twitter on Lu’s behalf. Lu Shaye is considered one of the most extreme “wolf warrior” diplomats.

In the meantime, France’s president continues to work on involving China in a peace initiative on the Ukraine war. Macron has instructed his foreign policy adviser Emmanuel Bonne to work with Beijing’s top diplomat Wang Yi on creating a framework for talks between Ukraine and Russia. This was reported by Bloomberg on Tuesday, citing a person familiar with the events. The report said the French strategy sees potential for talks between Russia and Ukraine before the summer. EU MPs are likely to keep a close eye on the process.

Sinolytics.Radar

Localization pressure on foreign companies

Dieser Inhalt ist Lizenznehmern unserer Vollversion vorbehalten.
  • China’s industrial policy exerts localization pressure through instruments with varying degrees of bindingness: from signaling by policy guidance to incentive-setting by subsidies, from more indirect mechanisms like standard setting to very direct instruments like procurement rules and localization rules for market access.​
  • On the one hand, the intensity of localization requirements depends on the position of the product along the value chain. The strictest local content rules, for example in public procurement rules that largely also extend to Chinese state-owned enterprises, are typically imposed on end products. For input products, the localization pressure tends to correlate with how critical the input is within the production process.​
  • On the other hand, localization requirements are highly dependent on the industrial sector a company is located in. Non-strategic industries experience little or no localization pressure from the government side, while often experiencing high pressure from domestic market competitors. In politically defined strategic industries, policy instruments to increase domestic production are more pronounced, more explicit and more binding.​
  • A special category are highly strategic industries that are dominated by State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs), most prominently the various sectors of public infrastructure. Imported and/or foreign-produced products face high formal and informal hurdles to be active in these markets.​
  • Another determinant of localization pressure is the level of competition from domestic companies or, put differently, the degree to which foreign companies’ products can be replaced by Chinese alternatives. Lower “replaceability” usually means fewer hurdles and more space to act in the respective market segment.​

Sinolytics is a European research-based consultancy entirely focused on China. It advises European companies on their strategic orientation and concrete business activities in the People’s Republic.

News

G7 foreign ministers find clear words

In the Communiqué of the G7 foreign ministers’ meeting in Japan, the representatives of the seven largest democratic industrialized nations had firm words for China. “We remind China of the need to uphold the purposes and principles of the UN Charter and abstain from threats, coercion, intimidation, or the use of force,” the statement said. Regarding Taiwan, they stressed, “We strongly oppose any unilateral attempts to change the status quo by force or coercion“. On Monday, the G7 foreign ministers already warned Beijing of harsh consequences in the event of any aggressive moves against Taiwan.

The foreign ministers also opposed China’s militarization activities in the South China Sea, saying “There is no legal basis for China’s expansive maritime claims in the South China Sea”. They also expressed concern about human rights violations in Xinjiang and Tibet, as well as the erosion of autonomy rights in Hong Kong.

Criticism and the call for cooperation

The G7 also showed concern about “China’s ongoing and accelerating expansion of its nuclear arsenal, and development of increasingly sophisticated delivery systems.” They called on China “to engage promptly in strategic risk reduction discussions with the US and to promote stability through greater transparency of China’s nuclear 14 weapon policies, plans, and capabilities.”

With regard to economic relations with China, however, the ministers emphasized the will for constructive cooperation and advocated equal market access and fair practices. They also underlined the importance of cooperation on issues such as climate policy.

China criticized the declaration as outrageous interference in the country’s internal affairs. The Communiqué by Western foreign ministers “reflects the group’s arrogance, prejudice and deliberate desire to block and contain China,” Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin said. He added that his government sent a note to that effect to host Japan. Wang urged the seven industrialized nations to “reflect on their own problems”. rtr/jul

EU reaches agreement on Chips Act

The European Parliament and the Member States have resolved the remaining disputes over the Chips Act. The negotiators reached an agreement in the trilogue on Tuesday, particularly on the controversial question of funding. “By mastering the most advanced semiconductors, EU will become an industrial powerhouse in markets of the future,” Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton commented on the agreement.

The question of how the budget of 3.3 billion euros for the “Chips for Europe Initiative”, the first pillar of the Chips Act aimed at research and development, was to be financed remained open until the very end. Parliament wanted to fund it with “fresh money”, but was unable to get its way. Instead, the existing programs Digital Europe and Horizon Europe are to be used. In this way, “the Chips Act is actually at the expense of investments in the competitiveness of other sectors, for example for intelligent mobility and intelligent networks”, criticized Christian Ehler, industrial policy spokesperson of the EPP Group.

The second pillar of the Chips Act is intended to facilitate setting up new factories in the EU. Investors are to be able to expect accelerated approval procedures by member states, preferential access to test facilities and, above all, generous state aid. Following the trilateral agreement, equipment suppliers to chip manufacturers can now also receive the classification under state aid law as “first-of-a-kind” facilities.

Waiting for TSMC’s decision

In anticipation of the Chips Act, chip manufacturers have already announced several large investments in Europe, including Intel in Germany. The world’s largest contract manufacturer TSMC from Taiwan has been in intensive negotiations with the German government for some time about funding for a site in Dresden. The Taiwanese industry service Digitimes recently reported that TSMC now wants to build a factory for semiconductors primarily for customers in the automotive industry, together with partners such as Bosch. The company has not yet confirmed this.

The Chips Act is intended to help avoid supply bottlenecks in the future, as was the case during the Covid pandemic. This is to be ensured by a new crisis mechanism (the third pillar). The Commission is to map long-term supply chains and develop an early warning system. At the insistence of the Parliament, it was “possible to establish clear criteria for the definition of a crisis and the timing of intervention”, said the shadow rapporteur of the Greens, Henrike Hahn.

Experts doubt the usefulness of the new crisis mechanism. It would have been best to simply discard the emergency toolbox, as it is “neither feasible nor effective,” believes Julia Hess of the Stiftung Neue Verantwortung. “But at least it now comes with more checks and balances.” tho

  • Chips Act
  • EU
  • Geopolitics
  • Taiwan
  • Technology
  • TSMC

Arrests related to secret police station in New York

The police in New York City have arrested two US citizens who are being accused of setting up a secret police station in the city on behalf of China. The operation is said to have been a branch of China’s Ministry of Public Security. The suspects Harry Lu Jianwang, 61, and Chen Jinping, 59, were arrested on Monday in their homes, US authorities reported. It is the first time ever that individuals have been detained for such a case. According to the US Department of Justice, the men were acting on orders from a Chinese official, the Associated Press news agency reported.

The secret police station located in an office building in New York’s Chinatown was already closed in the fall of 2022 following an FBI investigation. According to AP, while it also offered services for Chinese, such as renewing driver’s licenses back home, its “more sinister” functions included helping the Chinese government track down a pro-democracy activist of Chinese descent who was living in California.

According to the Spanish civil rights group Safeguard Defenders, dozens of such secret police stations exist, including nine in Spain, four in Italy, three in France, two in the Netherlands, three in the United Kingdom and three in Canada. China, on the other hand, has always insisted that the New York site, like the other offices, is run by volunteers and is not affiliated with the Chinese police.

In a separate case, the US Department of Justice also announced charges on Monday against 40 officials from the Department of Public Security and four others on Monday. They allegedly ran an Internet troll operation from Beijing using fake social media accounts against dissidents in the United States. They are also accused of hiring an employee of an unnamed US telecommunications company to remove a pro-democracy activist from the company’s platform. ck

  • Polizeistationen

China wants to mediate in the Middle East conflict

Foreign Minister Qin Gang has offered China’s services as a Middle East mediator. In separate phone calls, Qin offered Israeli Foreign Minister Eli Cohen and Palestinian Foreign Minister Rijad al-Maliki to mediate in the conflict between the two, Xinhua reported. Qin reportedly encouraged both sides to take “steps to resume peace talks“. For these, he said, China could provide a framework. The talks should be based on a “two-state solution.”

This initiative is another sign that China wants to establish itself as a mediator in regional conflicts. Just recently, Beijing successfully mediated in the conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran. The Middle East peace negotiations have been on hold for almost ten years, and the conflict currently seems unresolvable.

For his part, Israel’s Foreign Minister voiced his concerns about Iran’s nuclear program during a conversation with Qin Gang on Monday. In the process, he reportedly asked Qin to influence Iran – and dissuade the country from obtaining nuclear weapons, Reuters reported. For Israel, China’s mediation success between Saudi Arabia and its arch-enemy Iran is ultimately a setback. The Israeli government hopes for a better relationship with Saudi Arabia in order to make progress in the Middle East conflict. Israel made peace with Riyadh years ago, while Iran is considered an arch-enemy there. jul

  • Saudi Arabia

China’s GDP picks up pace

Above all, consumer appetite drives China’s economy – in the first quarter of 2023, China’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew surprisingly strong. Between January and March, it grew by 4.5 percent compared to the same period last year, as the National Bureau of Statistics of China in Beijing announced on Tuesday.

This strongest quarterly growth in a year was mainly due to rising consumer spending and exports. The spokesman for the Statistics Bureau, Fu Linghui, spoke of a “good start”. At the same time, he stressed that “the international environment is still complex and ever-changing, constraints from insufficient domestic demand are obvious and the foundation for economic recovery is not solid.” Economists polled by Reuters had expected growth of only 4.0 percent. In the fourth quarter of 2022, China’s economic output had grown by only 2.9 percent.

At the end of last year, China announced its departure zero-Covid. Since then, the Chinese have been traveling and shopping more again. This has benefited China’s retailers, whose sales rose by 5.8 percent in the first quarter after declining by 0.2 percent last year.

Economic growth may also have been boosted by the unexpectedly strong 14.1 percent export increase in March. It was the first increase in five months. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) believes the People’s Republic will grow 5.3 percent this year thanks to the recovery from the Covid pandemic, after only managing a three percent increase in 2022. ck/rtr

  • Economic growth

Heads

Christina Otte – economic expert for East Asia

Christina Otte is the Deputy Director for East Asia at Germany Trade and Invest (GTAI), the German government’s economic development agency.

When Christina Otte went to China for a language semester in 2006, she left Germany as a vegetarian. But in the northeastern port metropolis of Dalian, where she studied at Liaoning Normal University, she simply had to try the meaty delicacies of the region. Even today, the GTAI economic expert praises Peking duck and Hong Shao Qiezi (红烧茄子): “I simply can’t do without it anymore.”

The roots of her passion for China, however, are not in food, but in the Chinese language. She first started with Mandarin during her first semester of business studies in Passau, Germany, where she focused on Southeast Asia. “I really liked the imagery of the language,” Otte says, “for example, the word for computer, diànnăo (电脑), which literally means electric brain.” Later, in Dalian, she still had trouble communicating with her cab drivers at first, and the dictionary remained her constant companion. But by the end of her stay, she mastered the language to such an extent that she won second place in a university language competition.

Inform about the Chinese market

Today, the 37-year-old’s language proficiency comes in handy: After graduating, Otte took a job in 2012 at Germany Trade and Invest (GTAI), the official economic development agency of the German government. As Deputy Director for East Asia, Otte monitors the Chinese market and provides detailed information to companies wishing to expand. “Typical inquiries from companies usually revolve around how business is actually done in China.” For example: How do I find a suitable supplier or sales partner in China? How are local labor costs developing? What are the regulations for importing food?

The business expert is always available to advise companies on such matters. “We can make use of our wide network by referring to local German chambers of commerce abroad, embassies and associations, or we can conduct analyses ourselves,” explains Otte.

China is a competitor

Otte not only focuses on the ambitions of companies, she is also a contact person for concerns. “China is no longer just a partner, but increasingly a competitor.” In many core German industries, Chinese manufacturers are gaining more and more ground.

“We prepared an export analysis last year when we looked at the German mechanical engineering, automotive, chemical and electronics sectors over a 20-year period,” Otte reports. “In all these core sectors, China has caught up incredibly as an exporter worldwide and is becoming a leading market in some cases.” To keep up with the competition, many German companies are trying to adapt their products to local conditions and get them faster on the Chinese market.

Despite her knowledge, Otte feels that the term “expert” does not apply to her. The beauty of her work is that she is always learning something new, she says. That is why she prefers to call herself an “observer”. Outside of work, Otte spends a lot of time with her husband and two children. To unwind, she enjoys swimming, and playing the piano – and she is currently learning to play the erhu (二胡), a traditional Chinese stringed instrument. Dayan Djajadisastra

  • Competition
  • GTAI
  • Trade

Executive Moves

Christin Schuster has been responsible for PR Learning & Talent Management Greater China at automotive supplier Schaeffler since March. Her workplace is in Erlangen, Germany.

Is something changing in your organization? Let us know at heads@table.media!

Dessert

Opera composers love the world of legends and myths. It is the purest treasure trove for imbuing stories with meaning, stories that are essentially always about the same things: longing, power and love. With Nixon’s visit to China in 1972, the Spanish Royal Theatre chose a material that is certainly dramatic and also the stuff of several myths – but despite the famously successful outcome for diplomatic relations, there was no romantic duet performed by Mao and Nixon. “Nixon in China” is an opera by John Adams, which is currently being performed in Madrid.

China.Table editorial office

CHINA.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

Licenses:
    Dear reader,

    With the Auto China exhibition in Shanghai, the most important industry exhibition for German carmakers has started. In the past, the managers of German brands were overflowing with self-confidence here. It was a stage for world premieres and for showcasing their own successes on the world’s largest market, which VW likes to call its “second home market”. But the mood is now bleak. Outpaced by the local competition and Tesla, the German brands have been forced to eke out a niche existence in the booming electric segment. And even when combustion engines are taken into account, VW has lost its long-held market leadership to local rival BYD.

    This has several reasons, as Frank Sieren analyzes: Overly long development phases, insufficient digitalization and false expectations of the buying behavior of Chinese car customers. VW has now reacted: At the exhibition, the Wolfsburg-based company announced a new development center for connected cars. The goal is not only to develop better vehicles, but also to do it faster. Will that be enough? Certainly not.

    Meanwhile, the EU is once again debating the right approach toward China. This time, the stage was the European Parliament. At the general debate on China, Josep Borrell and Ursula von der Leyen spoke first for the Council and the Commission. But there was a dispute among the MEPs about one person in particular, who was not there at all, as Amelie Richter reports: France’s President Emmanuel Macron. Many MPs criticized Macron for saying that the Taiwan crisis was none of Europe’s business. However, there was also support for Macron.

    The debate showed one thing above all: There is no end in sight to the European polyphony on China.

    Your
    Christiane Kühl
    Image of Christiane  Kühl

    Feature

    Dramatic times for German automakers

    BYD Seagull: A small EV with a sodium-ion battery. Technically and above all in terms of price, VW cannot compete.

    The German car industry appeared more disillusioned than ever on the opening day of Auto Shanghai. Glittering world premieres like VW’s ID.7 – a kind of electric Passat – BMW’s new i7 M70 xDrive, Daimler’s seven-seater EQB or the new Porsche Cayenne, cannot hide the fact that the situation is more dire than ever. The three shortcomings of their presence in China are likely to be the main concern for them at what has become the world’s most important motor show:

    • The development of German cars is taking too long.
    • The carmakers realized too late that customers in China pay less for an EV than for a combustion engine – with an amazingly simple explanation: It has no engine and the battery cannot be that expensive. They are still suffering from that miscalculation today.
    • The digitalization of the Chinese and US competition is simpler and more compelling.

    These are flaws that weigh heavily, because they concern things that matter a lot on the Chinese market. The price is still a strong selling point in the face of low brand loyalty. The digital aspects of a car are more important to most Chinese than its looks. And the fact that China’s market is fast and therefore requires quick reaction times is no secret anyway.

    For this reason, Volkswagen announced a response at the exhibition. The group will invest around one billion euros in setting up a new development, innovation and procurement center for fully connected electric cars in the Chinese city of Hefei. The new subsidiary, with the project name “100%TechCo”, will combine “vehicle and component R&D and procurement and will reduce development times for new products and technologies by around 30 percent”, VW announced on Tuesday. “By consistently bundling development and procurement capacities as well as integrating local suppliers at an early stage, we will significantly accelerate our development pace,” the statement quoted Ralf Brandstaetter, Group Board Member for China.

    Germans lose market share

    A reaction is sorely needed. The numbers for the first quarter are devastating for the Germans. Decade-long market leader VW has been overtaken by China’s electric pioneer BYD and is now only second in car sales, including internal combustion vehicles – with a market share of only 10.3 percent. BMW and Mercedes rank eighth and ninth – with market shares between three and four percent.

    The situation is even worse for EVs: One in four cars sold in the Chinese car market, the largest in the world, is already electric. Chinese companies dominate the market with a share of over 80 percent. VW, on the other hand, only holds a market share of less than two percent. Only BMW just barely made it into the top ten (9th place), which is otherwise dominated by Chinese brands. The EV list is also dominated by China’s electric pioneer BYD (25 percent market share), followed by the US manufacturer Tesla, of all companies, with a market share of just over 15 percent.

    Tesla shows how EVs are done in China

    However, Tesla has two major advantages over BYD. The Americans achieve their market share with two models, BYD with nine. And Tesla generates significantly more revenue per car than BYD. So the argument that a foreign supplier cannot compete with the Chinese does not hold. This is particularly bitter news for German manufacturers.

    The poor performance in the EV segment is partly due to a fatal misconception. For far too long, Germans have believed that Chinese customers have the same perspective on EVs as their domestic buyers. For the sake of the environment, many Germans are willing to pay more for EVs. The London-based car analysis company JATO Dynamics has calculated that the price of European EVs has increased by just under 7,000 euros since 2015 to over 55,000 euros. In the USA, the price of these cars has even risen by 10,000 euros to 63,000 euros. In China, on the other hand, the price of electric cars has more than halved in this period, from the equivalent of 66,000 euros to 31,000 euros.

    Among international manufacturers, Tesla was the first to recognize this and triggered a discount battle at the beginning of the year. Now everyone has to join in. FAW-Volkswagen, for example, has to offer the ID.4 and the ID.6 at a discount of up to 5,400 euros. SAIC, Volkswagen’s other partner, gives a discount of around 4,000 euros. The BMW Group is trying to maintain its market share by offering the i3 for more than 10,000 euros less. But they can barely take comfort in the fact that the discount battle is also driving one or two of their competitors into bankruptcy and could clean up the market.

    China’s manufacturers: faster and smarter

    The biggest problem for German manufacturers, however, is the development time of a car. While 46 months is not unusual in Germany, Chinese manufacturers can do it in under 30 months. This means they can adapt to new trends faster than the Germans. The Germans always defend themselves by claiming that their quality is superior. The only problem is that customers don’t want to pay for such overengineering. And by now, the Chinese are also producing quite presentable cars in the premium segment.

    NIO’s new EL7 and ET7 showed “astonishing maturity and quality both visually and technically” was the recent verdict of the German car magazine Autobild. But the Chinese are also faster and smarter in the volume segment: BYD is presenting its small Seagull EV at the exhibition with a range of 400 or 300 kilometers, depending on the battery – more than enough for a city car. In terms of price, it is hard to beat at between 10,000 and 13,000 euros, including a cobalt-, nickel- and lithium-free sodium-ion battery. In other words, if the German manufacturers do not manage to shorten their development pace, they are doomed. Except for Tesla, the Americans are out, the French too, and the Japanese are in free fall.

    No success without networking the car

    Another big topic is digitalization and connected cars. To many Chinese manufacturers, the car is a smartphone on wheels. They think of a car from a digital angle and not from the driving experience. Because that is more in line with the customers’ preferences. Here, too, it is Elon Musk’s Tesla that achieves the symbiosis between driving and IT best among foreign companies.

    The biggest concern of the Germans at Auto Shanghai is that they will soon be experiencing in their German market what they are currently going through in China. The fear is not unfounded. China’s car exports have already tripled to 2.5 million vehicles since 2020. This means that China has now moved up to third place in the export world ranking of car manufacturers, just behind Germany with 2.61 million and Japan with around 3 million exported vehicles.

    The situation is dramatic for Germans – on an almost unimaginable scale just a few years ago.

    • Autoindustrie
    • Technologie

    EU discusses ways toward a common China policy

    EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Josep Borrell at the European Parliament in Strasbourg.

    Josep Borrell, the EU’s Foreign Affairs Representative, has called for better coordination between EU institutions and member states regarding the common China policy. A cacophony must be avoided, Borrell stressed during the EU Parliament’s general debate on China policy in Strasbourg on Tuesday. He was not least referring to the heavily criticized external impact of the joint visit of EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and French President Emmanuel Macron. The EU foreign affairs representative spoke of coordination problems: “This could have been avoided.”

    The fact that there are different positions within the EU is no surprise, said Borrell. “But the goal of a common policy is to smooth out these differences“. This must be jointly worked on within the EU institutions, within the member states and among themselves, demanded Borrell, who spoke for the EU Council at the debate. EU Commission President von der Leyen also reiterated her call for a unified approach to China: “A strong EU China policy relies on strong cooperation between members and institutions, and willingness to avoid ‘divide and conquer’ tactics we might face.”

    Von der Leyen calls for economic independence from China

    In the European Parliament, von der Leyen repeated her demand for greater economic independence from China. She does not want to cut economic and political ties. “But there is an urgent need to rebalance our relationship on the basis of transparency, predictability and reciprocity.” Even before she traveled to China, she spoke of “de-risking” in a keynote speech. In critical areas such as energy and health, but also in defense, Europe must become more resilient, she said during the debate.

    Regarding the latter, von der Leyen stressed that “we have given ourselves the right tools to deal with security concerns and economic distortions. So we must be more assertive in using them when we need them.” However, at the same time, she said, work must be done on new tools. The need for a new control instrument for European foreign investments in sensitive technologies is currently being examined.

    Weber: Macron’s statement was naive

    In their speeches, the MEPs then took more shots at her travel partner, Emmanuel Macron, than at von der Leyen. “It is naive to say that Taiwan is none of our business,” said Manfred Weber (CSU), leader of the conservative European People’s Party (EPP), criticizing Macron’s interview on his trip back. This statement had come as a shock to him. The French President should think about who applauded him, Weber said.

    During his China trip, Macron called for Europe to act more independently in the Taiwan conflict in an interview with the French newspaper Les Echos. He advocated strategic autonomy and said that Europe must not become Washington’s “vassal”. He also suggested that Europe might not stand by Taiwan in the event of an attack by the People’s Republic. Von der Leyen did not comment on this during her speech in the EU Parliament. She emphasized Brussels’ current direction: “We stand strongly against any unilateral change in the status quo, in particular by the use of force.”

    French deputies divided over Macron’s statements

    The French side also voiced criticism of the French leader’s behavior. Yannick Jadot, a member of parliament for the French Greens, accused Macron of creating a rift with his statements. “He has made the alliance of democracies fragile,” Jadot said in his speech in plenary. Macron and also German Chancellor Olaf Scholz were focusing more on business deals, repeating the same mistakes they made with Russia, Jadot said in an interview with journalists in Strasbourg. “One has the impression that we have heads of state who are actually goldfish,” Jadot said. “We are giving the same speeches to China as we did to Russia a year and a half ago.”

    But Macron also received support. “We don’t need to listen to lessons from a party that methodically built our dependency and sold our infrastructure,” Stéphane Séjourné, French MP, leader of the liberal Renew group and Macron confidant, scoffed at Weber’s direction. It is important now to show consensus, Séjourné said.

    The French MEP, for example, spoke out against reviving the Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (CAI) – as long as the sanctions against MEPs remained in place and the Uyghur Muslim minority was being persecuted. Recent media reports suggested that work was going on behind the scenes in Brussels on a resumption of talks on CAI, both from the Chinese and the European side. The agreement is on the agenda of several high-level meetings next month, the South China Morning Post recently reported.

    Report: Paris is working with Beijing on a framework for peace talks

    Macron received praise for his position from the Chinese ambassador to France, Lu Shaye. By insisting that Europe must build its strategic autonomy and defend its own interests, the French leader had spoken “only great truths”. Macron received the support of many “far-sighted” Europeans, such as EU Council President Michel, for this, the Chinese embassy wrote on Twitter on Lu’s behalf. Lu Shaye is considered one of the most extreme “wolf warrior” diplomats.

    In the meantime, France’s president continues to work on involving China in a peace initiative on the Ukraine war. Macron has instructed his foreign policy adviser Emmanuel Bonne to work with Beijing’s top diplomat Wang Yi on creating a framework for talks between Ukraine and Russia. This was reported by Bloomberg on Tuesday, citing a person familiar with the events. The report said the French strategy sees potential for talks between Russia and Ukraine before the summer. EU MPs are likely to keep a close eye on the process.

    Sinolytics.Radar

    Localization pressure on foreign companies

    Dieser Inhalt ist Lizenznehmern unserer Vollversion vorbehalten.
    • China’s industrial policy exerts localization pressure through instruments with varying degrees of bindingness: from signaling by policy guidance to incentive-setting by subsidies, from more indirect mechanisms like standard setting to very direct instruments like procurement rules and localization rules for market access.​
    • On the one hand, the intensity of localization requirements depends on the position of the product along the value chain. The strictest local content rules, for example in public procurement rules that largely also extend to Chinese state-owned enterprises, are typically imposed on end products. For input products, the localization pressure tends to correlate with how critical the input is within the production process.​
    • On the other hand, localization requirements are highly dependent on the industrial sector a company is located in. Non-strategic industries experience little or no localization pressure from the government side, while often experiencing high pressure from domestic market competitors. In politically defined strategic industries, policy instruments to increase domestic production are more pronounced, more explicit and more binding.​
    • A special category are highly strategic industries that are dominated by State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs), most prominently the various sectors of public infrastructure. Imported and/or foreign-produced products face high formal and informal hurdles to be active in these markets.​
    • Another determinant of localization pressure is the level of competition from domestic companies or, put differently, the degree to which foreign companies’ products can be replaced by Chinese alternatives. Lower “replaceability” usually means fewer hurdles and more space to act in the respective market segment.​

    Sinolytics is a European research-based consultancy entirely focused on China. It advises European companies on their strategic orientation and concrete business activities in the People’s Republic.

    News

    G7 foreign ministers find clear words

    In the Communiqué of the G7 foreign ministers’ meeting in Japan, the representatives of the seven largest democratic industrialized nations had firm words for China. “We remind China of the need to uphold the purposes and principles of the UN Charter and abstain from threats, coercion, intimidation, or the use of force,” the statement said. Regarding Taiwan, they stressed, “We strongly oppose any unilateral attempts to change the status quo by force or coercion“. On Monday, the G7 foreign ministers already warned Beijing of harsh consequences in the event of any aggressive moves against Taiwan.

    The foreign ministers also opposed China’s militarization activities in the South China Sea, saying “There is no legal basis for China’s expansive maritime claims in the South China Sea”. They also expressed concern about human rights violations in Xinjiang and Tibet, as well as the erosion of autonomy rights in Hong Kong.

    Criticism and the call for cooperation

    The G7 also showed concern about “China’s ongoing and accelerating expansion of its nuclear arsenal, and development of increasingly sophisticated delivery systems.” They called on China “to engage promptly in strategic risk reduction discussions with the US and to promote stability through greater transparency of China’s nuclear 14 weapon policies, plans, and capabilities.”

    With regard to economic relations with China, however, the ministers emphasized the will for constructive cooperation and advocated equal market access and fair practices. They also underlined the importance of cooperation on issues such as climate policy.

    China criticized the declaration as outrageous interference in the country’s internal affairs. The Communiqué by Western foreign ministers “reflects the group’s arrogance, prejudice and deliberate desire to block and contain China,” Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin said. He added that his government sent a note to that effect to host Japan. Wang urged the seven industrialized nations to “reflect on their own problems”. rtr/jul

    EU reaches agreement on Chips Act

    The European Parliament and the Member States have resolved the remaining disputes over the Chips Act. The negotiators reached an agreement in the trilogue on Tuesday, particularly on the controversial question of funding. “By mastering the most advanced semiconductors, EU will become an industrial powerhouse in markets of the future,” Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton commented on the agreement.

    The question of how the budget of 3.3 billion euros for the “Chips for Europe Initiative”, the first pillar of the Chips Act aimed at research and development, was to be financed remained open until the very end. Parliament wanted to fund it with “fresh money”, but was unable to get its way. Instead, the existing programs Digital Europe and Horizon Europe are to be used. In this way, “the Chips Act is actually at the expense of investments in the competitiveness of other sectors, for example for intelligent mobility and intelligent networks”, criticized Christian Ehler, industrial policy spokesperson of the EPP Group.

    The second pillar of the Chips Act is intended to facilitate setting up new factories in the EU. Investors are to be able to expect accelerated approval procedures by member states, preferential access to test facilities and, above all, generous state aid. Following the trilateral agreement, equipment suppliers to chip manufacturers can now also receive the classification under state aid law as “first-of-a-kind” facilities.

    Waiting for TSMC’s decision

    In anticipation of the Chips Act, chip manufacturers have already announced several large investments in Europe, including Intel in Germany. The world’s largest contract manufacturer TSMC from Taiwan has been in intensive negotiations with the German government for some time about funding for a site in Dresden. The Taiwanese industry service Digitimes recently reported that TSMC now wants to build a factory for semiconductors primarily for customers in the automotive industry, together with partners such as Bosch. The company has not yet confirmed this.

    The Chips Act is intended to help avoid supply bottlenecks in the future, as was the case during the Covid pandemic. This is to be ensured by a new crisis mechanism (the third pillar). The Commission is to map long-term supply chains and develop an early warning system. At the insistence of the Parliament, it was “possible to establish clear criteria for the definition of a crisis and the timing of intervention”, said the shadow rapporteur of the Greens, Henrike Hahn.

    Experts doubt the usefulness of the new crisis mechanism. It would have been best to simply discard the emergency toolbox, as it is “neither feasible nor effective,” believes Julia Hess of the Stiftung Neue Verantwortung. “But at least it now comes with more checks and balances.” tho

    • Chips Act
    • EU
    • Geopolitics
    • Taiwan
    • Technology
    • TSMC

    Arrests related to secret police station in New York

    The police in New York City have arrested two US citizens who are being accused of setting up a secret police station in the city on behalf of China. The operation is said to have been a branch of China’s Ministry of Public Security. The suspects Harry Lu Jianwang, 61, and Chen Jinping, 59, were arrested on Monday in their homes, US authorities reported. It is the first time ever that individuals have been detained for such a case. According to the US Department of Justice, the men were acting on orders from a Chinese official, the Associated Press news agency reported.

    The secret police station located in an office building in New York’s Chinatown was already closed in the fall of 2022 following an FBI investigation. According to AP, while it also offered services for Chinese, such as renewing driver’s licenses back home, its “more sinister” functions included helping the Chinese government track down a pro-democracy activist of Chinese descent who was living in California.

    According to the Spanish civil rights group Safeguard Defenders, dozens of such secret police stations exist, including nine in Spain, four in Italy, three in France, two in the Netherlands, three in the United Kingdom and three in Canada. China, on the other hand, has always insisted that the New York site, like the other offices, is run by volunteers and is not affiliated with the Chinese police.

    In a separate case, the US Department of Justice also announced charges on Monday against 40 officials from the Department of Public Security and four others on Monday. They allegedly ran an Internet troll operation from Beijing using fake social media accounts against dissidents in the United States. They are also accused of hiring an employee of an unnamed US telecommunications company to remove a pro-democracy activist from the company’s platform. ck

    • Polizeistationen

    China wants to mediate in the Middle East conflict

    Foreign Minister Qin Gang has offered China’s services as a Middle East mediator. In separate phone calls, Qin offered Israeli Foreign Minister Eli Cohen and Palestinian Foreign Minister Rijad al-Maliki to mediate in the conflict between the two, Xinhua reported. Qin reportedly encouraged both sides to take “steps to resume peace talks“. For these, he said, China could provide a framework. The talks should be based on a “two-state solution.”

    This initiative is another sign that China wants to establish itself as a mediator in regional conflicts. Just recently, Beijing successfully mediated in the conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran. The Middle East peace negotiations have been on hold for almost ten years, and the conflict currently seems unresolvable.

    For his part, Israel’s Foreign Minister voiced his concerns about Iran’s nuclear program during a conversation with Qin Gang on Monday. In the process, he reportedly asked Qin to influence Iran – and dissuade the country from obtaining nuclear weapons, Reuters reported. For Israel, China’s mediation success between Saudi Arabia and its arch-enemy Iran is ultimately a setback. The Israeli government hopes for a better relationship with Saudi Arabia in order to make progress in the Middle East conflict. Israel made peace with Riyadh years ago, while Iran is considered an arch-enemy there. jul

    • Saudi Arabia

    China’s GDP picks up pace

    Above all, consumer appetite drives China’s economy – in the first quarter of 2023, China’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew surprisingly strong. Between January and March, it grew by 4.5 percent compared to the same period last year, as the National Bureau of Statistics of China in Beijing announced on Tuesday.

    This strongest quarterly growth in a year was mainly due to rising consumer spending and exports. The spokesman for the Statistics Bureau, Fu Linghui, spoke of a “good start”. At the same time, he stressed that “the international environment is still complex and ever-changing, constraints from insufficient domestic demand are obvious and the foundation for economic recovery is not solid.” Economists polled by Reuters had expected growth of only 4.0 percent. In the fourth quarter of 2022, China’s economic output had grown by only 2.9 percent.

    At the end of last year, China announced its departure zero-Covid. Since then, the Chinese have been traveling and shopping more again. This has benefited China’s retailers, whose sales rose by 5.8 percent in the first quarter after declining by 0.2 percent last year.

    Economic growth may also have been boosted by the unexpectedly strong 14.1 percent export increase in March. It was the first increase in five months. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) believes the People’s Republic will grow 5.3 percent this year thanks to the recovery from the Covid pandemic, after only managing a three percent increase in 2022. ck/rtr

    • Economic growth

    Heads

    Christina Otte – economic expert for East Asia

    Christina Otte is the Deputy Director for East Asia at Germany Trade and Invest (GTAI), the German government’s economic development agency.

    When Christina Otte went to China for a language semester in 2006, she left Germany as a vegetarian. But in the northeastern port metropolis of Dalian, where she studied at Liaoning Normal University, she simply had to try the meaty delicacies of the region. Even today, the GTAI economic expert praises Peking duck and Hong Shao Qiezi (红烧茄子): “I simply can’t do without it anymore.”

    The roots of her passion for China, however, are not in food, but in the Chinese language. She first started with Mandarin during her first semester of business studies in Passau, Germany, where she focused on Southeast Asia. “I really liked the imagery of the language,” Otte says, “for example, the word for computer, diànnăo (电脑), which literally means electric brain.” Later, in Dalian, she still had trouble communicating with her cab drivers at first, and the dictionary remained her constant companion. But by the end of her stay, she mastered the language to such an extent that she won second place in a university language competition.

    Inform about the Chinese market

    Today, the 37-year-old’s language proficiency comes in handy: After graduating, Otte took a job in 2012 at Germany Trade and Invest (GTAI), the official economic development agency of the German government. As Deputy Director for East Asia, Otte monitors the Chinese market and provides detailed information to companies wishing to expand. “Typical inquiries from companies usually revolve around how business is actually done in China.” For example: How do I find a suitable supplier or sales partner in China? How are local labor costs developing? What are the regulations for importing food?

    The business expert is always available to advise companies on such matters. “We can make use of our wide network by referring to local German chambers of commerce abroad, embassies and associations, or we can conduct analyses ourselves,” explains Otte.

    China is a competitor

    Otte not only focuses on the ambitions of companies, she is also a contact person for concerns. “China is no longer just a partner, but increasingly a competitor.” In many core German industries, Chinese manufacturers are gaining more and more ground.

    “We prepared an export analysis last year when we looked at the German mechanical engineering, automotive, chemical and electronics sectors over a 20-year period,” Otte reports. “In all these core sectors, China has caught up incredibly as an exporter worldwide and is becoming a leading market in some cases.” To keep up with the competition, many German companies are trying to adapt their products to local conditions and get them faster on the Chinese market.

    Despite her knowledge, Otte feels that the term “expert” does not apply to her. The beauty of her work is that she is always learning something new, she says. That is why she prefers to call herself an “observer”. Outside of work, Otte spends a lot of time with her husband and two children. To unwind, she enjoys swimming, and playing the piano – and she is currently learning to play the erhu (二胡), a traditional Chinese stringed instrument. Dayan Djajadisastra

    • Competition
    • GTAI
    • Trade

    Executive Moves

    Christin Schuster has been responsible for PR Learning & Talent Management Greater China at automotive supplier Schaeffler since March. Her workplace is in Erlangen, Germany.

    Is something changing in your organization? Let us know at heads@table.media!

    Dessert

    Opera composers love the world of legends and myths. It is the purest treasure trove for imbuing stories with meaning, stories that are essentially always about the same things: longing, power and love. With Nixon’s visit to China in 1972, the Spanish Royal Theatre chose a material that is certainly dramatic and also the stuff of several myths – but despite the famously successful outcome for diplomatic relations, there was no romantic duet performed by Mao and Nixon. “Nixon in China” is an opera by John Adams, which is currently being performed in Madrid.

    China.Table editorial office

    CHINA.TABLE EDITORIAL OFFICE

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