- US simulation shows costly war over Taiwan
- Pilot program promotes expansion of solar power
- Global economic crisis would affect China less severely
- German Committee head defends plans for Taiwan visit
- Foxconn barred from acquiring stake in Chinese chipmaker
- Profile: C.B. Yi – the taboo of male sex work
For almost a week, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army simulated an attack on Taiwan. On Wednesday, the military exercises came to an end – for the moment. Because the People’s Liberation Army announced that military exercises will become a regular occurrence in the future. A new white paper from Beijing also defines how the island should be conquered if necessary. US military experts from various think tanks have played out what this could look like. They simulated a hypothetical invasion by the Chinese for the year 2026. The computer calculations gave a result that, from an American perspective, was both hopeful and shocking, as Fabian Kretschmer writes.
The sun continues to blaze down on Europe non-stop this week – haven’t you already toyed with the idea of installing a solar system on the roof of your house or factory? Have you hesitated because it would be too much work? Last summer, China started an innovative pilot program that solves this problem, reports Nico Beckert. Roof areas in districts and cities are equipped with solar systems centrally by only a few project developers. This way, the roof owners have less work to do. Within a very short time, 20 gigawatts of new capacity were connected to the grid. Analysts praise the pilot project as “creative” and a “crucial component” in China’s energy transition. We also took a look at its problems.
In today’s Profile section, Fabian Peltsch introduces director C.B. Yi. For his film “Moneyboys”, the Austrian of Chinese descent has already gained a lot of attention at European festivals. C.B. Yi alias Chen Bo has spent eight years working on his sensitive drama about male prostitutes. Whether his film will ever make it to China is doubtful.
An invasion of Taiwan would involve heavy losses for all
The first shock seems to have passed for the time being: On Wednesday, China’s People’s Liberation Army concluded its military exercises in the area around Taiwan. But this is by no means a reason to sound the all-clear – on the contrary: “The situation” will continue to be monitored and “regular combat readiness patrols” will be conducted, according to a statement. The threat of a Chinese invasion continues to hang over the heads of the island’s 23 million inhabitants.
Last week, a handful of American military experts from the renowned Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) simulated a hypothetical invasion of Taiwan in the year 2026. The complex computer calculations generated a result that, from an American perspective, is both promising and shocking. In most of the likely scenarios, the Taiwanese could defend their island with Washington’s help. Victory, however, would involve catastrophic casualties on all sides – including the US military, which would lose an estimated half of its entire navy and air force in a four-week conflict.
Simulations are useful
Of course, it always leaves a cynical aftertaste when Washington think tanks run war simulations. After all, the massive consequences of a military conflict between the world’s two leading powers are unimaginable. In light of the greatest tensions around Taiwan in several decades, however, experts believe it is important to keep an eye on all eventualities.